• Title/Summary/Keyword: PARK(Potential Assessment of Risk) model

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A Study on the Development the Maritime Safety Assessment Model in Korea Waterway

  • Park, Young-Soo;Kim, Jong-Sung;Aydogdu, Volkan
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.567-574
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    • 2013
  • Although Korea coastal area has the increasing potential marine accident due to frequent ship's encounter, increased vessel traffic and large vessel, there is no specific model to evaluate the navigating vessel's risk considering the domestic traffic situation. The maritime transport environmental assessment is necessary due to the amended maritime traffic law. However, marine safety diagnosis is now carried out by foreign model. In this paper, therefore, we suggest a domestic traffic model reflecting the characteristics of korea coastal area and navigator's risk as we named PARK(Potential Assessment of Risk) model. We can evaluate the subjective risk by establishing the model and model output into maritime risk exposure system. To evaluate this model's effectiveness, we used ship handling simulation and applied, analyzed collision accident which occurred in korea coastal area. And also, we applied integrated to an ECDIS program for monitoring traffic risk of vessels with real time based AIS data and apply to evaluate traffic risk in busan harbor waterway. As a result, we could evaluate busan harbor waterway risk effectively.

A Comparison of ES and PARK Maritime Traffic Risk Assessment Models in a Korean Waterway

  • Nguyen, Thanh Xuan;Park, Young-Soo;Smith, Matthew Vail;Aydogdu, Volkan;Jung, Chang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.246-252
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    • 2015
  • This paper compared the consistency of the Environment Stress(ES) model and the Potential Risk Assessment Model (PARK model, which was developed based on a Korean mariner risk perception) for the Busan adjacent waterway. Evaluation of accuracy and comparison of these two models have been made by Vessel Traffic Service (VTS) officers in the Busan VTS Centre. The assessment results of Busan waterway show that the PARK model is more consistent than the ES model as follows. (1) The difference between assessment results applying ES model and PARK model with risk degree of VTSOs were 34% and 5% respectively in six typical traffic situations. (2) The assessment using PARK model is more suitable and identical with the VTSOs opinion in his or her duty time.

Comparison Analysis between the IWRAP and the ES Model in Ulsan Waterway

  • Kim, Dae-Won;Park, Jin-Soo;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.281-287
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    • 2011
  • According to the Marine Traffic Safety Law, revised in 2009, Marine Traffic Safety Audit is introduced to secure the safe navigation, to prevent the marine accident and to maximize the efficiency of the port. In this audit system, marine traffic safety assessment is the most important scheme because the primary purpose of the audit system is to identify potential risk elements affecting safe navigation. Even though the reliability of audit result depends on the selection of assessment models, there are no independent assessment models for Korean coastal waters and most of models used in Korea currently are developed by foreign countries. Therefore, the development of the independent assessment model for Korean coastal water is required. This study, prior to the development of independent assessment model, aims to provide a basic data by comparing two foreign assessment models in Ulsan port area with marine accident statistics data.

Risk Assessment for Contact Accident of Buoy - Focusing on Busan New Port - (등부표 접촉사고 발생의 위험성 평가에 관한 기초 연구 - 부산항신항 해역을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Myoung-ki;Park, Young-Soo;Jeong, Hae-Sang;Gug, Seung-Gi
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.158-165
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    • 2020
  • Buoys are a necessary component for the safety of vessel traffic. However, if the buoy becomes inoperable from damage and loss, it can have significant impact on vessel traffic safety as well as unexpected budget spending. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the risk of accidental contact by applying the marine traffic assessment index that can reflect the traffic flow in the sea area. First, Busan Port No. 5 fairway, with a high number of buoys and many contact accidents, was set as the sea area for assessment. to investigate the status of accidental contact and evaluate risk of contact accidents based on the IALA Waterway Risk Assessment Programme (IWRAP MkII) and Potential Assessment of Risk Model (PARK Model). As a result, buoys are near the P recautionary Area wherein the traffic flow was complicated by the Masan port vessel and Busan new port vessel, and buoys are near the entrance of the Gadeok waterway, wherein vessels show a pattern of navigation across the fairway and buoys are near the breakwater in the inner fairway were considered as high risk for contact accidents. This study can be used as basic data for establishing an integrated model to evaluate the risk of buoy contact accidents.

Development of Railway Accident Risk Assessment Procedures using Common Safety Methods (공통 방법론을 적용한 철도사고 위험도 평가 절차 개발)

  • Park, Chan-Woo;Wang, Jong-Bae;Kwak, Sang-Log;Choi, Don-Bum
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.2101-2107
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    • 2008
  • This study has proposed the development procedure of 'railway accident risk assessment model' by as a common approach. The risk assessment procedure is following the requirements of the common safety methods (CSM) suggested in EU and was developed based on the accident scenarios. Various hazardous events, which have the potential to lead directly to casualties, were defined. Then, for each hazardous event, the railway accident appearance scenarios and railway accident progress scenarios were developed. The developed procedure will provide a generic model of the safety risk on the Korea railway.

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Risk Assessment and Pharmacogenetics in Molecular and Genomic Epidemiology

  • Park, Sue-K.;Choi, Ji-Yeob
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.371-376
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    • 2009
  • In this article, we reviewed the literature on risk assessment (RA) models with and without molecular genomic markers and the current utility of the markers in the pharmacogenetic field. Epidemiological risk assessment is applied using statistical models and equations established from current scientific knowledge of risk and disease. Several papers have reported that traditional RA tools have significant limitations in decision-making in management strategies for individuals as predictions of diseases and disease progression are inaccurate. Recently, the model added information on the genetic susceptibility factors that are expected to be most responsible for differences in individual risk. On the continuum of health care, from diagnosis to treatment, pharmacogenetics has been developed based on the accumulated knowledge of human genomic variation involving drug distribution and metabolism and the target of action, which has the potential to facilitate personalized medicine that can avoid therapeutic failure and serious side effects. There are many challenges for the applicability of genomic information in a clinical setting. Current uses of genetic markers for managing drug therapy and issues in the development of a valid biomarker in pharmacogenetics are discussed.

A Study on the Risk based RAMS Assessment for Railway Rolling Stock Systems (철도차량시스템의 위험기반 RAMS 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Mun-Gyu;Han, Seong-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.64 no.4
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    • pp.220-230
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    • 2015
  • Rolling stock RAMS is a field of engineering which integrates reliability, availability, maintainability and safety (RAMS) characteristics into an inherent product design property through rolling stock system engineering process. It is implemented to achieve operational objectives successfully, and recently the RAMS has become a rapidly growing engineering discipline because it has a great potential to ensure safety and improve cost effectiveness. However, the Korean rolling stock industry has not yet implemented RAMS management in the rolling stock engineering process, despite the issue having been addressed since the introduction of the KTX. Thus, this paper discusses the processes, methods and techniques for RAMS assessment in three parts. Firstly, it outlines a process of the overall RAMS performance assessment for achieving technical RAMS design criteria. Secondly, it discusses a process for assessing the operational RAM and allocating the RAM. This paper also proposes a model for assessing safety-based risk management, which includes five analytic techniques for identifying the causes and consequences of a system failure. Finally, a case example is provided for the risk assessment of the pneumatic braking device.

Analysis of marine accident probability in Mokpo waterways

  • Kim, Kwang-Il;Park, Gye-Kark;Jeong, Jung-Sik
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.9
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    • pp.729-733
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    • 2011
  • The maritime risk assessment is important not only to evaluate the safety level of the ports and waterways but also to reduce potential maritime accidents at sea in terms of the proactive measures of the maritime accidents. In this paper, the collision risk assessment in Mokpo waterways has been carried out based on the IALA recommended model, IWRAP. To evaluate the accident probabilities in Mokpo waterways, all data of vessels were collected from AIS and Radar observations data and the computer simulations were carried out. To assess the risk on the traffic, the scenario-base approach has been applied to the Mokpo waterway by using the maritime accident statics over the past 5 years.

Toxicity of PFCs in Embryos of the Oryzias latipes Using Flow though Exposure System (유수식 연속노출장비를 이용한 과불화화합물(PFOS, PFOA)이 송사리 (Oryzias latipes) 알의 초기발생과정에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Cho, Jae-Gu;Kim, Kyung-Tae;Ryu, Tae-Kwon;Park, Yu-Ri;Yoon, Jun-Heon;Lee, Chul-Woo;Kim, Hyun-Mi;Choi, Kyung-Hee;Jung, Ki-Eun
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.145-151
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    • 2010
  • Perfluorinated chemicals (PFCs) is a kinds of persistent organic pollutants, and have the potential toxicity of which is causing great concern. In this study, we employed Oryzias latipes embryos to investigate the developmental toxicity of perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS) and perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA)s compound using flowthrow system for 14 day. O. latipes embryos were exposed to solvent control, 20, 40 and 80 mg/L of PFOS and 62.5, 130, 260 mg/L of PFOA respectively. After exposure, hatchability, mortality, total length and heart beats were examined. Hatching rates were reduced approximately 27% in the 80 mg/L PFOS-treated group and 17% in the 62.5, 130 mg/L PFOA-treated groups. Heart beats in the PFOS-treated groups were reduced at 7 day but, PFOA-treated groups were increased heart beats. 80 mg/L PFOS treated group showed significant reduction in growth (total length) level to 90% of control. But PFOA did not showed significant effect on growth. In the 14 days $LC_{50}$ of PFOS and PFOA was 22.74 mg/L and 173 mg/L, respectively. The overall results indicated that the early stage of O. latipes might be a reliable model for the testing of developmental toxicity to perfluorinated chemicals.