• Title/Summary/Keyword: Over-estimation

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Estimation of Future Daily Wind Speed over South Korea Using the CGCM3 Model (CGCM3 전지구모형에 의한 한반도 미래 일평균 풍속의 평가)

  • Ham, Hee-Jung
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.33 no.A
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2013
  • A statistical downscaling methodology has been developed to investigate future daily wind speeds over South Korea. This methodology includes calibration of the statistical downscaling model by using large-scale atmospheric variables encompassing NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, validation of the model for the calibration period, and estimation of the future wind speed based on the general circulation model (GCM) outputs of scenario A1B of the CGCM3. Based on the scenario A1B of the CGCM3 model, the potential impacts of climate change on the daily surface wind speed is relatively small (+/- 1m/s) in South Korea.

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Stochastic procedures for extreme wave induced responses in flexible ships

  • Jensen, Jorgen Juncher;Andersen, Ingrid Marie Vincent;Seng, Sopheak
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.1148-1159
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    • 2014
  • Different procedures for estimation of the extreme global wave hydroelastic responses in ships are discussed. Firstly, stochastic procedures for application in detailed numerical studies (CFD) are outlined. The use of the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) to generate critical wave episodes of short duration, less than 1 minute, with prescribed probability content is discussed for use in extreme response predictions including hydroelastic behaviour and slamming load events. The possibility of combining FORM results with Monte Carlo simulations is discussed for faster but still very accurate estimation of extreme responses. Secondly, stochastic procedures using measured time series of responses as input are considered. The Peak-over-Threshold procedure and the Weibull fitting are applied and discussed for the extreme value predictions including possible corrections for clustering effects.

Charging and Revenue Estimation for the WiMAX System

  • Lee, Hoon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.3B
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    • pp.288-303
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    • 2009
  • In the near future it is foreseen that a genuine multimedia service over the WiMAX system is provided in a worldwide manner by exploiting the QoS technologies introduced in the wireless and wired broadband network. In this work we propose a pricing scheme for the multimedia service over the generic WiMAX system that supports a full QoS functionality. We assume real-time services such as the voice and video as well as the nonreal-time service such as the conventional high-speed data, and we propose a pricing and charging scheme for those services by investigating the inherent characteristics of those services and the multiple-class of QoS-service provided to them. After that we propose a method to compute expected revenue that is obtained from the WiMAX system by using an analytic method to estimate the usage of the bandwidth resources for the different class of services. Via numerical experiment, we verify the implication of the work.

Rank Reduction for Wideband Signals incident on a Uniform Linear Array

  • Hong, Wooyoung
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1992.06a
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    • pp.123-126
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    • 1992
  • A new class of data transformation matri is introduced for estimation of angles of arrivals by the rank reduction of multiple wideband sources. The proposed unitary focusing matri minimizes the average of the squared norm of focusing error over the angles of interest without a priori knowledge of source locations. The merit that result as a consequence is a lower resolution threshold. These matrices can be applied to the case of the multigroup sources. Simulations and the comparison of statistical performance are compared with the algorithms (especially, spatial resampling method) which does not require the pre-estimation.

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Theoretical Basis of PERT Formula and a New Estimation Method (PERT 공식의 이론적 근거와 새로운 추정방법)

  • Kim, Se-Hun;Won, Y.K.;Chae, Kyung-C.
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 1989
  • PERT formulae for the mean and variance of activity time are near exact only over a short interval of the concentration parameter which is defined as the sum of the two shape parameters of the beta distribution. Aiming a better estimation of the mean and variance of activity time, we propose a method of subjectively estimating this concentration parameter via estimating the probability of completing the activity within a specified time interval.

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Robustness in the Hierarchical Bayes Estimation of Normal Means

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Park, Jin -Kap
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.511-522
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    • 1999
  • The paper considers the problem of robustness in hierarchical bayesian models. In specific we address Bayesian robustness in the estimation of normal means. We provide the ranges of the posterior means under $\varepsilon$-contamination class as well as the density ratio class of priors. For the class of priors that are uniform over a specified interval we investigate the sensitivity as to the choice of the intervals. The methods are illustrated using the famous baseball data of Efron and Morris(1975).

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Minimum Chi-square estimation and the bootstrap (최소카이제곱추정과 붓스트랩)

  • 정한영;이기원;구자용
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.269-277
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    • 1994
  • Bootstrap approximation is compared with ordinary asymptotic method in the context of minimum chi-square estimation through application in a real problem. Fixed interval search method is shown to be superior over a random interval search method or Newton-Raphson method. All the procedures are implemented by S-Plus functions.

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Non-Pilot-Aided Timing Offset Estimation for OFDM Systems with Frequency Diversity

  • Yang, Hyun;You, Young-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.175-177
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    • 2006
  • This letter deals with non-pilot-aided symbol timing estimation methods in an orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) system. To do this, OFDM system uses a frequency diversity scheme over two consecutive data symbols. Our approach can be viewed as an expansion of Schmidl's and Minn's correlation methods. Using the OFDM signal equipped with frequency diversity, however, symbol timing is accurately estimated without additional training symbol and a second-order diversity gain is achieved.

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Channel Estimation for WLAN System Employing CCK Modulation in Multipath Fading Channels

  • Cho, Jin-Woong;Kang, Cheol-Ho
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.1437-1443
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    • 2000
  • This paper considers a channel estimation technique in a wireless local area network (WLAN) system with complementary code keying (CCK) signaling over multipath fading channels. This scheme uses the maximum correlator output of RAKE receiver for the extraction of the channel parameters. The performance of the proposed detection technique is compared with that of a noncoherent detection technique, and a significant improvement of performance is observed in terms of the bit error probability.

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Sensorless Control of the Synchronous Reluctance Machine

  • Kilthau, A.;Pacas, J.M.
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 2002
  • The paper deals with the control of the synchronous reluctance machine without position senser. A method for the computation of the transformation angle out of terminal voltages and currents is presented. The injection of test signals allows operation at zero speed. Fundamental for this control scheme is the angle estimation method over the whole operating range including field-weakening is discussed in detail. The implementation of the angle estimation method in a rotor-oriented control scheme and practical results are demonstrated.