• Title/Summary/Keyword: Option price

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A Monte-Carlo Least Squares Approach for CO2 Abatement Investment Options Analysis with Linearly Non-Separable Profits of Power Plants (분리불가 이윤함수를 가진 발전사의 온실가스 감축투자 옵션 연구: 몬테카를로 최소자승법)

  • Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.607-627
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    • 2015
  • As observed and experienced in EU ETS, allowance price volatility is one of major concerns in decision making process for $CO_2$ abatement investment. The problem of linearly non-separable profits functions could emerge when one power company holds several power plants with different technology specifications. Under this circumstance, conventional analytical solution for investment option is no longer available, thereby calling for the development of numerical analysis. This paper attempts to develop a Monte-Carlo least squares model to analyze investment options for power companies under emission trading scheme regulations. Stochastic allowance price is considered, and simulation is performed to verify model performance.

An analysis of the production conditions for small-sized women's jacket products - Focusing on young contemporary brands for spring/summer 2021 - (여성복 스몰사이즈 재킷 제품 생산실태- 2021년 S/S 영컨템포러리 브랜드를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Yujin;Jang, Jeongah
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.849-864
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed product conditions in terms of "size system," "clothing construction depending on fit," "details," "colors," and "prices," with an emphasis on young contemporary brands for spring/summer 2021, in order to provide basic data for the development of small-sized women's jackets. Out of 96 domestic and foreign brands, the study analyzed 254 small-sized jacket products from 23 brands that produce size-XS jackets. First, when examining the sizes for women's jackets, we found that 8 out of the 23 brands offer a size-XXS option. After conducting tree analysis to analyze the factors affecting the production of size-XXS, the study found significant results in the areas of "distinction between domestic and foreign brands" and "product price." Second, after categorizing small-sized women's jackets into 3 categories-fit-slim, basic, and straight-the study analyzed clothing construction elements depending on fit. This seasons mainly feature straight-fit's hip-line length jacket, a 4-panel pattern, and a panel without a waist dart. Third, the study, through the analysis of the colors of small-sized women's jackets, found a higher frequency of colors in the order of black (23.0%), white (13.3%), and beige tones (10.1%), with additional colors such as sky blue, rose pink, and aquamarine in production, which exhibit the senses of the seasons. Price analysis revealed that small-sized jackets constituted a price range at the mid-to-low end, as in ₩50,000-100,000 (30.3%), ₩100,000-150,000 (19.3%), and ₩150,000-200,000 (11.8%).

The Effects of Self-regulatory Resources and Construal Levels on the Choices of Zero-cost Products (자아조절자원 및 해석수준이 공짜대안 선택에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Jinyong;Im, Seoung Ah
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.55-76
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    • 2012
  • Most people prefer to choose zero-cost products they may get without paying any money. The 'zero-cost effect' can be explained with a 'zero-cost model' where consumers attach special values to zero-cost products in a different way from general economic models (Shampanier, Mazar and Ariely 2007). If 2 different products at the regular prices of ₩200 and ₩400 simultaneously offer ₩200 discounts, the prices will be changed to ₩0 and ₩200, respectively. In spite of the same price gap of the two products after the ₩200 discounts, people are much more likely to select the free alternative than the same product at the price of ₩200. Although prior studies have focused on the 'zero-cost effect' in isolation of other factors, this study investigates the moderating effects of a self-regulatory resource and a construal level on the selection of free products. Self-regulatory resources induce people to control or regulate their behavior. However, since self-regulatory resources are limited, they are to be easily depleted when exerted (Muraven, Tice, and Baumeister 1998). Without the resources, consumers tend to become less sensitive to price changes and to spend money more extravagantly (Vohs and Faber 2007). Under this condition, they are also likely to invest less effort on their information processing and to make more intuitive decisions (Pocheptsova, Amir, Dhar, and Baumeister 2009). Therefore, context effects such as price changes and zero cost effects are less likely in the circumstances of resource depletion. In addition, construal levels have profound effects on the ways of information processing (Trope and Liberman 2003, 2010). In a high construal level, people tend to attune their minds to core features and desirability aspects, whereas, in a low construal level, they are more likely to process information based on secondary features and feasibility aspects (Khan, Zhu, and Kalra 2010). A perceived value of a product is more related to desirability whereas a zero cost or a price level is more associated with feasibility. Thus, context effects or reliance on feasibility (for instance, the zero cost effect) will be diminished in a high level construal while those effects may remain in a low level construal. When people make decisions, these 2 factors can influence the magnitude of the 'zero-cost effect'. This study ran two experiments to investigate the effects of self-regulatory resources and construal levels on the selection of a free product. Kisses and Ferrero-Rocher, which were adopted in the prior study (Shampanier et al. 2007) were also used as alternatives in Experiments 1 and 2. We designed Experiment 1 in order to test whether self-regulatory resource depletion will moderate the zero-cost effect. The level of self-regulatory resources was manipulated with two different tasks, a Sudoku task in the depletion condition and a task of drawing diagrams in the non-depletion condition. Upon completion of the manipulation task, subjects were randomly assigned to one of a decision set with a zero-cost option (i.e., Kisses ₩0, and Ferrero-Rocher ₩200) or a set without a zero-cost option (i.e., Kisses ₩200, and Ferrero-Rocher ₩400). A pair of alternatives in the two decision sets have the same price gap of ₩200 between a low-priced Kisses and a high-priced Ferrero-Rocher. Subjects in the no-depletion condition selected Kisses more often (71.88%) over Ferrero-Rocher when Kisses was free than when it was priced at ₩200 (34.88%). However, the zero-cost effect disappeared when people do not have self-regulatory resources. Experiment 2 was conducted to investigate whether constual levels influence the magnitude of the 'zero-cost effect'. To manipulate construal levels, 4 different 'why (in the high construal level condition)' or 'how (in the low construal level condition)' questions about health management were asked. They were presented with 4 boxes connected with downward arrows. In a box at the top, there was one question, 'Why do I maintain good physical health?' or 'How do I maintain good physical health?' Subjects inserted a response to the question of why or how they would maintain good physical health. Similar tasks were repeated for the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th responses. After the manipulation task, subjects were randomly assigned either to a decision set with a zero-cost option, or to a set without it, as in Experiment 1. When a low construal level is primed with 'how', subjects chose free Kisses (60.66%) more often over Ferrero-Rocher than they chose ₩200 Kisses (42.19%) over ₩400 FerreroRocher. On contrast, the zero-cost effect could not be observed any longer when a high construal level is primed with 'why'.

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A System Dynamics Model of Alternative Fuel Vehicles Market under the Network Effect

  • Kwon, Tae-Hyeong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.5-23
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    • 2007
  • According to the system dynamics model of this study, if there is a significant network effect on vehicle operating costs, it is difficult to achieve the shift to AFV even in the long term without a policy intervention because the car market is locked in to the current structure. Network effect can be caused by an increasing return to scale in fuel supply sector as well as in maintenance service sector. It is also related to the fact that the reliability and awareness of consumers on new products increases with the growth of the market share of the new products. There are several possible policy options to break the 'locked in' structure of car market, such as subsidy on vehicle price (capital cost), subsidy on fuel (operating cost) and niche management policy. Combined policy options would be more effective than relying on a single policy option to increase the market share of AFV.

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An Iterative Method for American Put Option Pricing under a CEV Model (수치적 반복 수렴 방법을 이용한 CEV 모형에서의 아메리칸 풋 옵션 가격 결정)

  • Lee, Seungkyu;Jang, Bong-Gyu;Kim, In Joon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.244-248
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    • 2012
  • We present a simple numerical method for pricing American put options under a constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model. Our analysis is done in a general framework where only the risk-neutral transition density of the underlying asset price is given. We obtain an integral equation of early exercise premium. By exploiting a modification of the integral equation, we propose a novel and simple numerical iterative valuation method for American put options.

Pricing Real Options Value Based On the Opportunity Cost Concept (기회비용개념을 이용한 실물옵션가치분석)

  • 김규태;김윤배
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2001
  • Traditionally, companies have been concerned with making an investment decision either to go now or never to go forever. However, owing to the development of the theory of options pricing in a financial investment field and its introduction to the appraisal of real investments in these days, we are now partially allowed to derive the value of a managerial flexibility of real investment projects. In this paper, we derived a general mathematical model to price the option value of real investment projects assuming that they have only one-period of time under which uncertainty exists. This mathematical model was developed based on the opportunity cost concept. We will show a simple numerical example to illustrate how the mathematical model works comparing it with the existing models.

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COMMODITY FUTURES TERM STRUCTURE MODEL

  • Choi, Hyeong In;Kwon, Song-Hwa;Kim, Jun Yeol;Jung, Du-Seop
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.51 no.6
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    • pp.1791-1804
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    • 2014
  • A new approach to the commodity futures term structure model is introduced. The most salient feature of this model is that, once the interest rate model is given, the commodity futures price volatility is the only quantity that completely determines the model. As a consequence this model enables one to do away with the drudgeries of having to deal with the convenience yield altogether, which has been the most thorny point so far.

Optimal Asset Allocation with Minimum Performance and Inflation Risk (최소 자산제약 및 인플레이션을 고려한 자산 할당에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.167-181
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    • 2013
  • We investigate the dynamic asset allocation problem under inflation risk when the wealth of an investor is constrained with minimum requirements. To capture the investor's risk preference, the CRRA utility function is considered and he maximizes his expected utility at predetermined date of the refund by participation in the financial market. The financial market is supposed to consist of three kinds of financial instruments which are a risk free asset, a risky asset, and an index bond. The role of an index bond is managing inflation risk represented by price process. The optimal wealth and the optimal asset allocation are derived explicitly by using the method to get the European call option pricing formula. From the numerical results, it is confirmed that the investments on index bond is high when the investor's wealth level is low. However, as his wealth increases, the investments on index bond decreases and he invests on risky asset more. Furthermore, the minimum wealth constraint induces lower investment on risky asset but the effect of the constraints is reduced as the wealth level increases.

Pricing weather derivatives: An application to the electrical utility

  • Zou, Zhixia;Lee, Kwang-Bong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.365-374
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    • 2012
  • Weather derivatives designed to manage casual changes of weather, as opposed to catastrophic risks of weather, are relatively a new class of financial instruments. There are still many theoretical and practical challenges to the effective use of these instruments. The objective of this paper is to develop a pricing approach for valuing weather derivatives and presents a case study that is practical enough to be used by the risk managers of electrical utility firms. Utilizing daily average temperature data of Guangzhou, China from $1^{st}$ January 1978 to $31^{st}$ December 2010, this paper adopted a univariate time series model to describe weather behavior dynamics and calculates equilibrium prices for weather futures and options for an electrical utility firm in the region. The results imply that the risk premium is an important part of derivatives prices and the market price of risk affects option values much more than forward prices. It also demonstrates that weather innovation as well as weather risk management significantly affect the utility's financial outcomes.

Option Strategies: An Analysis of Naked Put Writing

  • Lekvin Brent J.;Tiwari Ashish
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.329-364
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    • 1996
  • Writing naked put options is a strategy employed either as a speculation to capture premium income, or as a method of placing a limit order to buy the underlying at the strike price in return for premium received. Using a Monte Carlo simulation, twenty thousand equity prices are generated under known volatility and return parameters. A binomial tree is constructed using the same volatility and return parameters. Put options on these 'equities' are valued with the binomial methodology. The performance of various put writing strategies is evaluated on a risk-adjusted basis. Evidence presented suggests that the judicious use of put options may enhance returns during portfolio construction.

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