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Economic Evaluation of ODA Project - A Case of Poultry Farm in Uganda - (우간다 양계부문 ODA 사업의 농가단위 경제성 평가)

  • Yang, Heon-Yong;Seo, Il-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2020
  • As globalization, international cooperation has grown in importance. In accordance with this trend, Korea has been receiving high demands from international organizations about expanding the scale of Official Development Assistance(ODA) in line with its improved national status. In addition, in the economic aspect of Korea, the ODA project is expected to provide new growth opportunities in the mid- to long-term by promoting cooperation with developing countries. Uganda is an area with high strategic value due to good agricultural conditions and favorable geographical conditions. The poultry industry is a business that is generally carried out to the Ugandan, but due to economic problems such as initial investment cost, most of them have raised poultry on a small scale which is not enough for main income. This paper proposes the construction and operation plan of adapting to small poultry farms in the village-intensive type to sustainable income for residents in Uganda through ODA project in Korea's agricultural technology. The economic feasibility was analyzed from the long-term perspective when the initial construction cost was supported or not and the poultry species ratio was adjusted in terms of initial and operating costs. Economic analysis was performed using Net Present Value(NPV) method. As of after 10 years, when operating in the form of shifting kuroiler to layers, it was estimated to earn about 700,000 ugx more than when only kuroiler is raised, and it is able to reduce about 14 million ugx from the initial cost than when only raising layers. As of 20 years, the most profitables scenario was the breeding of 100 kuroilers and 400 layers methods. however, this case was anlayzed to be unsuitable for Uganda farmers, with initial costs more than three times higher than the shifting method of the kuroiler to layers. If the initial construction cost is supported by ODA project, the initial investment cost can be recovered in the first year with the shifting method, whereas raising only layers take two years to recoup the cost. In the meantime, when studying livestock industry in Uganda, it was examined by relying on statistical data, but this paper is meaningful in that it predicted how much it is economically effective based on field experience.

Development of a Detection Model for the Companies Designated as Administrative Issue in KOSDAQ Market (KOSDAQ 시장의 관리종목 지정 탐지 모형 개발)

  • Shin, Dong-In;Kwahk, Kee-Young
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.157-176
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this research is to develop a detection model for companies designated as administrative issue in KOSDAQ market using financial data. Administration issue designates the companies with high potential for delisting, which gives them time to overcome the reasons for the delisting under certain restrictions of the Korean stock market. It acts as an alarm to inform investors and market participants of which companies are likely to be delisted and warns them to make safe investments. Despite this importance, there are relatively few studies on administration issues prediction model in comparison with the lots of studies on bankruptcy prediction model. Therefore, this study develops and verifies the detection model of the companies designated as administrative issue using financial data of KOSDAQ companies. In this study, logistic regression and decision tree are proposed as the data mining models for detecting administrative issues. According to the results of the analysis, the logistic regression model predicted the companies designated as administrative issue using three variables - ROE(Earnings before tax), Cash flows/Shareholder's equity, and Asset turnover ratio, and its overall accuracy was 86% for the validation dataset. The decision tree (Classification and Regression Trees, CART) model applied the classification rules using Cash flows/Total assets and ROA(Net income), and the overall accuracy reached 87%. Implications of the financial indictors selected in our logistic regression and decision tree models are as follows. First, ROE(Earnings before tax) in the logistic detection model shows the profit and loss of the business segment that will continue without including the revenue and expenses of the discontinued business. Therefore, the weakening of the variable means that the competitiveness of the core business is weakened. If a large part of the profits is generated from one-off profit, it is very likely that the deterioration of business management is further intensified. As the ROE of a KOSDAQ company decreases significantly, it is highly likely that the company can be delisted. Second, cash flows to shareholder's equity represents that the firm's ability to generate cash flow under the condition that the financial condition of the subsidiary company is excluded. In other words, the weakening of the management capacity of the parent company, excluding the subsidiary's competence, can be a main reason for the increase of the possibility of administrative issue designation. Third, low asset turnover ratio means that current assets and non-current assets are ineffectively used by corporation, or that asset investment by corporation is excessive. If the asset turnover ratio of a KOSDAQ-listed company decreases, it is necessary to examine in detail corporate activities from various perspectives such as weakening sales or increasing or decreasing inventories of company. Cash flow / total assets, a variable selected by the decision tree detection model, is a key indicator of the company's cash condition and its ability to generate cash from operating activities. Cash flow indicates whether a firm can perform its main activities(maintaining its operating ability, repaying debts, paying dividends and making new investments) without relying on external financial resources. Therefore, if the index of the variable is negative(-), it indicates the possibility that a company has serious problems in business activities. If the cash flow from operating activities of a specific company is smaller than the net profit, it means that the net profit has not been cashed, indicating that there is a serious problem in managing the trade receivables and inventory assets of the company. Therefore, it can be understood that as the cash flows / total assets decrease, the probability of administrative issue designation and the probability of delisting are increased. In summary, the logistic regression-based detection model in this study was found to be affected by the company's financial activities including ROE(Earnings before tax). However, decision tree-based detection model predicts the designation based on the cash flows of the company.

Diversification, Industry Concentration, and Bank Margins: Empirical Evidence from an Emerging South Asian Economy

  • SARWAR, Bilal;MUHAMMAD, Noor;ZAMAN, Nadeem Uz
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.349-360
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to empirically examine the determinants of bank margins from Pakistan, an emerging South Asian economy. To elucidate the importance of the Pakistani banking sector, secondary data has been used, which was extracted from the annual accounts of twenty-four Pakistani scheduled commercial banks (20 conventional, four full-fledged Islamic) over a sample period of 2006 to 2017. The factors identified in the dealership model and the subsequent empirical developments in the dealership model categorized as bank-specific, diversification, regulatory, and industry concentration are analyzed by applying the most-common linear dynamic panel-data estimator, the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator, developed by Arellano and Bond (1991). The findings reveal that, among the bank-specific variables, funding cost, credit risk, managerial efficiency, market share, and operating cost are significant predictors of bank margins. For diversification variables employed in the study, both variables including net non-interest income and asset diversity are as well significant predictors of bank margins. It is also found that the market concentration variable proxied by the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) is significantly predicting bank margins. Subsequently, one of the regulatory variables, the opportunity cost of holding reserves, and one bank-specific variable, the degree of risk aversion, are insignificant in the model.

A Study on the Analysis of Management Efficiency of Start-up Investment Companies (창업투자회사의 경영 효율성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jun-Hyung;Yoon, Jun-Sang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.353-363
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed to provide information for business improvement by analyzing the management efficiency of start-up investment companies so that startup investment companies can operate efficiently and by presenting information on inefficient factors. From 2014 to 2018, 83 start-up investment companies were analyzed using the DEA model. Input variables were he number of employees, capital, and output variables were selected for start-up investment assets, operating income, and net profit. As a result of the analysis, technical efficiency and pure technical efficiency showed a pattern with an increase in average, but scale efficiency repeatedly increased and decreased. It is believed that the decline in technology efficiency was due to the decrease in pure technology efficiency, and the inefficiency of start-up investment companies seems to have influenced the inefficiency of start-up investment companies rather than the inefficiency of scale. In addition, the size revenue shows that the DRS value is gradually decreasing, and the IRS value is generally increasing. It is believed that efficiency can be improved if operational inefficiency is improved based on the results and efficiency measures are established through scale expansion.

A Review on Theories and Empirical Studies of Initial Public Offers (최초공모주의 이론과 실증연구에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Beom-Jin
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.11
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    • pp.217-239
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    • 1998
  • The intial public offerings(IPO) issued by going public must be decided duly and seriously. In these sense, this paper reviewed and analysed synthetically the theories and the empirical studies on the IPO. The implications about the empirical studies on the IPO in korea stock exchanges(KSE) are as follows: First, evaluating the IPO's intrinsic value, the issued firm's characteristics(style, scale, age, reevaluation and goodwill etc.) and business environments(industry, economic states, regulations and the relation with government etc.) will be considered. Evaluating the IPO's relative value, the stock price of firms registered in KOSDAQ market will be appreciated. Second, the income smoothing of an IPO listed in KSE accrued in the first and second years. Accordingly if auditors audit the accounting reports of firms to list in KSE by going public, they should more concern to the income smoothing on the accounting reports. Third, the information accuracy of investment banks and the qualities of auditors negatively correlated with the underpricing of an IPO. It is need to promote the information accuracy of investment banks and the qualities of auditors. Regulatory organizations support to promote the information accuracy of investment banks and the qualities of auditors. Forth, the investors interested in the IPO are to recognize the follows. (1) Relations between the underpricing of an IPO and the ratio of public participation, the issue price, the offer size, the insider ownership, the net asset value per share, the price decision system of an IPO. (2) An entrepreneurs who decided to bring his firm public would like to issue the IPO when company's operating conditions are good.

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Does the Geography Matter for Analysts' Forecasting Abilities and Stock Price Impacts? (기업 본사 소재지에 따른 애널리스트의 이익 예측능력 및 주가영향력 차이가 존재하는가?)

  • Kim, Dong-Soon;Eum, Seung-Sub
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2008
  • We empirically examined the forecasting abilities of analysts in the Korean stock market with regard to their earnings estimates, and the impacts of their reports on stock prices. Further, we also examine if there is any difference in analysts' forecasting accuracy and stock prices impacts depending upon the geographical distance between analysts and companies they follow. We found the following interesting empirical results. First, analysts have tendency to overestimate sales, operating income, and net income, consistent with the previous literature. Second, the degree of overestimation depends upon the geography of companies. That is, it is smaller for companies headquartered in Seoul than companies in local provinces. Third, analysts' earnings estimates are also more accurate for companies located in Seoul. So, we conjecture that analysts have easier access to the information for the companies. Fourth, when analysts downgrade target prices, companies in Seoul are less negatively affected than those in local provinces. Even when analysts revise downward stock recommendations, stock prices of companies in Seoul go up. Overall, analysts' price impacts are more favorable for Seoul-located companies. Last, but not least, when foreign ownership is higher, investors react less negatively to downward revisions of stock recommendation, but react more negatively to downward revisions of target prices.

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A Study of Financial Structure, Profitability, Growth and Financial Risk of Food Service Franchisor (외식산업프랜차이즈본사의 재무구조, 수익성, 성장성 및 재무위험에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hoang-Taig
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.85-108
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    • 2014
  • This study provides the information about size, financial structure, profitability and growth of franchisors using financial data(asset, liability, equity, sales volume, operating income and net income) in uniform franchise offering circular of fair trade commission. The data were collected from 1,050 franchisors in various business fields: fast food, family restaurant, bakery, agriculture & fishery and liquor shop in the uniform franchise offering circular in 2012 and 2011. Results of this study are as follows: For company size, median of total assets was KRW 675 million and the accumulated median assets rate was 0.48%, but the accumulated median company numbers were 49.9%, which showed small size. For financial structure, 525 companies were below 200% debt ratio, while 314 (29.9%) companies were in over 200% debt, and 211 (20.1%) companies were impaired in capital. These also showed financial structure was vulunerable. For profitability, median of ROA for total companies were only 4.72%, which showed low profitability. For growth, median of growth rate for sales were 7.57% per year, which showed mature industry. In overall, the results showed franchisors should improve their financial status.

A Study on the Effect of Social Enterprises Characterics on Financial and Social Performance (사회적기업의 특성이 재무적 성과와 사회적 성과에 미치는 영향: CEO 특성을 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Sooo-Young;Kim, Yong-Duck
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.165-175
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    • 2018
  • Since the 1997 financial crisis, large scale unemployment and poverty have become serious, and public and social job creation projects have been carried out. However, with the limitations of low-wage and short-term jobs, the need for long-term and high quality jobs gradually began to attract attention. In recent years, social enterprises have grown both quantitatively and qualitatively and interest in social enterprises has increased. And also it is interested in the determinants of success and failure of social enterprises in the academic field. In this study, we examined the effects of social enterprise characteristics on financial and social performance, and we analyzed empirically by using social enterprises registered in the Korea Social Enterprise Agency. The financial performance of the social enterprise is measured by the net income ratio, operating income ratio, and the return on asset. The social performance of the social enterprise is measured by total number of workers and the employment rate of the vulnerable social groups. The characteristics of the social enterprise include the CEO characteristics (gender, age, experience in operating the social enterprise), the firm size, and the elapsed time of the authentication. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, as a result of analysis for the effect on financial performance, we found that the financial performance have a statistically significant positive relationship with firm size, organizational form, government subsidies and capital adequacy ratio. And it is found that the social performance have a statistically significant negative relationship with CEO age, credit debt dependence. Second, as a result of analysis for the effect on social performance, we foumd that total number of workers have a significant positive relationships with CEO gender, CEO age, and firm size, government subsidies, while total number of workers have a significant negative relationship with certification type and industry dummy. On the other hand, the employment rate of the vulnerable social groups have a siginificant positive relationship with CEO gender and certification type and It have not statistically significant relationship with the government subsidies and the firm size.

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The Impact of Social Enterprises on the Financial and Social Performance: An Empirical Analysis in Korea (재무적·사회적 성과를 결정하는 사회적기업의 특성)

  • Hwang, Soo-Young;Kim, Yong-Deok;Koo, Inhyouk
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2019
  • Since the financial crisis in 1997, large scale unemployment and poverty have become serious, but there has been a surge in public and social job creation projects. However, with the limitations of low-wage and short-term jobs, the need for long-term, high quality jobs gradually began to garner attention. In recent years, social enterprises have grown both quantitatively and qualitatively and interest in social enterprises has increased; more specifically, scholars are interested in the determinants of success and failure of social enterprises in the academic field. In this study, we examined the effects of social enterprise characteristics on financial and social performance. In particular, we empirically analyzed social enterprises registered in the Korea Social Enterprise Agency. The financial performance of the social enterprise was measured using the net income ratio, operating income ratio, and the return on asset. The social performance of the social enterprise was measured by the total number of workers and the employment rate of vulnerable social groups. The characteristics of the social enterprise included CEO characteristics (gender, age, experience in operating the social enterprise), firm size, and the elapsed time of authentication. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, as a result of analysis for the effect on financial performance, we found that the financial performance has a statistically significant, positive relationship with firm size, organizational form, government subsidies, and capital adequacy ratio. And we found that the social performance has a statistically significant, negative relationship with CEO age and credit debt dependence. Second, as a result of analysis for the effect on social performance, we found that the total number of workers had a significant, positive relationship with CEO gender and CEO age, as well as firm size, government subsidies; whereas the total number of workers had a significant, negative relationship with certification type and industry dummy. Comparatively, the employment rate of the vulnerable social groups had a significant, positive relationship with CEO gender and certification type, but there was no statistically significant relationship with the government subsidies or firm size.

Initial Adoption and Convergence of Accounting System under the K-IFRS by the Quasi-Government Entity : A Case of National Research Foundation of Korea (준정부기관의 한국채택국제회계기준(K-IFRS) 도입 및 회계시스템 융합과정의 주요 회계현안과 시사점 -한국연구재단 도입사례를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Do-Hyeong;Oh, Kwang-Wuk;Park, Sung-Jong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.57-75
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    • 2015
  • The study introduces the case of initial adoption and convergence of accounting system under the K-IFRS by the quasi-government entity, the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF). Followings are the methodology used in the study. (1) The study provides several accounting issues, their impact on the financial information of the NRF and implications about NRF's financial information in the course of convergence of accounting system under the K-IFRS. (2) As examples of accounting issues, the NRF reflected several accounting difference such as revaluation of fixed assets, economic useful life, depreciation method, reclassification of investment, representation of transfer revenue from the government, the timing of revenue recognition, and employ benefits, etc. As results of adjustments under the K-IFRS, the NRF decreased 1,109 billion of total assets and 1,064 billion of total liabilities. Also, increase in operating expenses results a slight decrease in net income, which may have an impact on future management evaluation of the NRF. A successful case of K-IFRS adoption by the NRF which brings deep insight on adoption and convergence of new accounting system to other quasi-government entity.