• 대한통합의학회지
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.149-169
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• 2018

Purpose : This study was to develop a strategy for modeling future workforce projections to serve as a basis for analyzing annual supply of and demand for physical therapists across the South Korea into 2030. Methods : In-and-out movement model was used to project the supply of physical therapists. The demand was projected according to the demand-based method which consists of four-stages such as estimation of the utilization rate of the base year, forecasting of health care utilization of the target years, forecasting of the requirements of clinical physical therapists and non-clinical physical therapists based on the projected physical therapists. Results : Based on the current productivity standards, there will be oversupply of 39,007 to 40,875 physical therapists under the demand scenario of average rate in 2030, undersupply of 44,663 to 49,885 under the demand scenario of logistic model, oversupply of 16,378 to 19,100 under the demand scenario of logarithm, and oversupply of 18,185 to 20,839 under the demand scenario of auto-regressive moving average (ARIMA) model in 2030. Conclusion : The result of this projection suggests that the direction and degree of supply of and demand for physical therapists varied depending on physical therapists productivity and utilization growth scenarios. However, the need for introduction of a professional physical therapist system and the need to provide long-term care rehabilitation services are actively being discussed in entering the aging society. If community rehabilitation programs for rehabilitation of disabled people and the elderly are activated, the demand of physical therapists will increase, especially for elderly people. Therefore, healthcare policy should focus on establishing rehabilitation service infrastructure suitable for an aging society, providing high-quality physical therapy services, and effective utilization of physical therapists.

• 공학교육연구
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.72-82
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• 2016

In Korea, engineering education based on industry demand is highly emphasized; the survey of industry demand or company satisfaction is frequently conducted. Although engineering schools have often attempted and implemented the reform of engineering education, it was found that company satisfaction with college education was always low. In this context, this study aimed to find the cause of the low satisfaction. To this end, the social background for the active survey of industry demand and company satisfaction, and its progress were investigated. The findings of this study showed that the survey of industry demand in Korea has limitations in improving the quality of college education or developing its future demand, contrary to its intention. This industry demand based approach has its historical and social root in the Korea-specific model of the catching-up style industry development and technology innovation. Therefore, it is difficult to establish appropriate academy-industry relations and discover future vision based on this model. This study presents a new way to understand and develop the future-oriented industrial and social demand, not just arguing for the uselessness of the survey of industry demand in engineering education.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제37권1호
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• pp.71-85
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• 2021

기업이 물류비용을 절감할 수 있는 정교한 수요 예측 모형은 그동안 수많은 연구를 통해 다양한 방법들이 제시되었다. 이러한 연구들은 주로 수요 패턴에 의해서 적용 가능한 수요 예측 모형을 결정하고, 통계적 검증을 통해서 모형의 정확성을 판단하였다. 수요 패턴은 크게 규칙성과 불규칙성으로 나뉘어 질 수 있다. 규칙적인 패턴은 주문이 정기적이고 주문량이 일정한 경우를 의미한다. 이러한 경우에는 주로 회귀모형이나 시계열 모형을 통해서 수요를 예측하는 방법들이 사용된다. 그러나 불규칙적이고 주문량의 변동 폭이 큰 경우는 간헐적 수요(Intermittent Demand)라고 하는데, 기존의 회귀 모형이나 시계열 모형으로는 수요 예측의 오류 발생 가능성이 높기 때문이다. 간헐적 수요를 보이는 품목에 대해서는 주로 Croston모형 혹은 Holts모형 등을 사용하여 수요를 예측한다. 본 연구에서는 간헐적 수요 패턴을 보이는 항공 화물의 다양한 품목에 대해서 수요 패턴을 분석하고, 다양한 모형을 통해 수요를 예측하여 각 모형의 예측력을 비교 분석하였다. 이 과정에서 항공 화물의 품목별, 지역별로 다양한 모형의 적합도를 분석하여 항공사가 가장 효율적으로 운영할 수 있는 항공 화물의 수요 예측 모형에 대한 개발 방향을 제시하고자 함이 본 논문의 목적이다.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국해양정보통신학회 2003년도 춘계종합학술대회
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• pp.213-217
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• 2003

Ad-Hoc망은 어떠한 집중화된 관리 혹은 표준 지원 서비스의 도움 없이 임시 네트워크를 형성시킨 무선 이동 호스트들의 집합으로서 고정된 라우터 없이 이동 호스트들이 라우터로 동작하므로 기존의 라우팅 프로토콜 알고리즘들은 효율적일 수 없다. Ad-Hoc망의 프로토콜은 크게 Table-Driven 경로 선정 알고리즘과 On-Demand 경로선정 알고리즘으로 나눌 수 있고 이론적인 면에서는 On-Demand 경로설정 방식의 절차가 더 효율적인 방식으로 제시되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 On-Demand Ad-Hoc망에서 AODV, DSR 라우팅 프로토콜의 노드 당 처리율을 시뮬레이션을 통해 분석하였다.

• 한국병원경영학회지
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.32-60
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• 2006

Based on the Job Demand-Control model which was proposed by R. A. Karasek, this study was designed to investigate the relationships among job demand, job control, and job burnout of nurses. In addition, the other aim of the present study was to test the moderating or buffering role of social supports in the relationship between the job demand and job burnout. The analysis based on data collected from 239 nurses who are working in two general hospitals has produced the following results. We found that job demand was primarily related to the exhaustion component of burnout, whereas (lack of) job control was related to the disengagement dimension of burnout. And social supports from the supervisor attenuated the disengagement, whereas social supports from the colleague diminished the exhaustion. But, we found no interaction effects that were expected in the hypotheses. Specifically, social supports didn't buffer the negative effects of job demand on burnout, while job control had the moderating effect which was in opposite direction. The implications of these analyses and limitations of the study were then discussed.

• 한국보육지원학회지
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• 제12권6호
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• pp.123-137
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• 2016

The purpose of this study was to forecast demand of childcare teachers based ion four different scenarios. In order to, the demand for childcare teachers from 2015 to 2024 were forecasted using time series techniques with data on the number of childcare teachers from 2003 to 2014. Results were as followings. Firstly, the demand for childcare teachers was expected to increase until 2019, but after 2020 steadily decreased in terms of scenario 1(child teacher ratio regulation). According to scenario 2(child teacher ratio based on 17 cities and provinces), the demand for childcare teachers was expected to need 440 teachers more until 2016. Then, according to scenario 3(two teachers each class), Scenario 4-1(one teacher and one staff each 2 toddler class and 3 older class) and scenario 4-2(one teacher and one staff each class), the demand of childcare teachers and staffs were estimated. These results implicated that childcare teachers and staffs supply policy would be established according to forecast demand.

• 에너지공학
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.79-85
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• 2016

본 논문은 건물군을 위한 개선된 수요 관리 방안을 연구하였다. 수요 반응 체계하에서 제어가능한 다양한 수요 사이드 자원을 집단화하는 것이 중요하다. 기존의 수요관리 알고리즘은 주로 단일 건물로 제한된데 반하여 본 논문은 많은 수의 건물을 위한 수요관리 알고리즘을 제시하였다. 또한, 제시된 수요관리 알고리즘을 적용하기 위한 절차를 제시하였다.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.241-249
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• 2009

It is well known that the trend of water demand in large-size water supply systems has been suddenly changed, and many expansions of water supply facilities become unnecessary. To be cost-effective, thus, politicians as well as many professionals lay stress on the adaptive management of water supply facilities. Failure in adapting to the new trend of demand is sure to be the most critical reason of unnecessary expansions. Hence, we try to develop the model and modeling procedure that do not depend on the old data of demand, and provide engineers with the fast learning process. To forecast water demand of Seoul, the Bayesian parameter estimation was applied, which is a representative method for statistical pattern recognition. It results that we can get a useful time-series model after observing water demand during 6 years, although trend of water demand were suddenly changed.

• 가정과삶의질연구
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.71-84
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• 1995

This study discusses whether conflict-coping types of marital couples affect marital satisfaction. There are 5 conflict-coping types of husbands and wives which can be distinguished from each other by attitudes based on partners' answers. Women's conflict-coping types are : compromisors passives apathetics attackers and blamers. Men's conflict-coping types are : reasoners passives jubeniles attackers and volatiles. Each type of husband and wife affects their marital satisfaction. All married coulpes are categorized again by the index of withdraw/demand. As result there is a difference among 3 groups : resoner-husbadn/ any type of wife demand-husband/ withdraw-wife and demand-husband/ demand-wife. In other words when a husband is resoner-husband regardless of the type of wife their marital satisfaction is the highest. And the demand-husband / withdraw-wife type shows a more positive effect on marital satisfaction than the demand-husband/ demand-wife type.

• 경영과학
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.67-79
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• 2010

When airlines sell the same seats on an air flight at different fares, demand for a fare class depends on demand for other fare classes due to demand dependency. Demand dependencies occur when customers will buy other fare class tickets if the originally requested fare were unavailable, or when customers postpone their purchase decisions in anticipation of reopening of the lower fare in the next period. Demand dependency as a result customer buying behavior has a considerable profit implication, which was ignored in many earlier studies. We investigate the impact of demand dependency on the optimal booking limits and the expected revenues under a single-period and a two-period setting. We show how to find optimal booking limits of the problem and provide numerical examples to illustrate the impact.