• Title/Summary/Keyword: Non-homogeneous Poisson process

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The Comparative Study of Software Optimal Release Time Based on Weibull Distribution Property (와이블 분포 특성에 근거한 소프트웨어 최적 방출시기에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Park, Hyoung-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.1903-1910
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we were researched decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transferring it to the user. The applied model of release time exploited infinite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process This infinite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process is a model which reflects the possibility of introducing new faults when correcting or modifying the software. The failure life-cycle distribution used the Weibull distribution which has the efficient various property which has the place efficient quality. Thus, optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement becomes an optimal release policies. In a numerical example, after trend test applied and estimated the parameters using maximum likelihood estimation of inter-failure time data, estimated software optimal release time.

PRECISE LARGE DEVIATIONS FOR AGGREGATE LOSS PROCESS IN A MULTI-RISK MODEL

  • Tang, Fengqin;Bai, Jianming
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.447-467
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we consider a multi-risk model based on the policy entrance process with n independent policies. For each policy, the entrance process of the customer is a non-homogeneous Poisson process, and the claim process is a renewal process. The loss process of the single-risk model is a random sum of stochastic processes, and the actual individual claim sizes are described as extended upper negatively dependent (EUND) structure with heavy tails. We derive precise large deviations for the loss process of the multi-risk model after giving the precise large deviations of the single-risk model. Our results extend and improve the existing results in significant ways.

BAYESIAN APPROACH TO MEAN TIME BETWEEN FAILURE USING THE MODULATED POWER LAW PROCESS

  • Na, Myung-Hwa;Kim, Moon-Ju;Ma, Lin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2006
  • The Renewal process and the Non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) process are probably the most popular models for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems. But both these models are based on too restrictive assumptions on the effect of the repair action. For these reasons, several authors have recently proposed point process models which incorporate both renewal type behavior and time trend. One of these models is the Modulated Power Law Process (MPLP). The Modulated Power Law Process is a suitable model for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems when both renewal-type behavior and time trend are present. In this paper we propose Bayes estimation of the next failure time after the system has experienced some failures, that is, Mean Time Between Failure for the MPLP model. Numerical examples illustrate the estimation procedure.

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The Comparative Study for Property of Learning Effect based on Truncated time and Delayed S-Shaped NHPP Software Reliability Model (절단고정시간과 지연된 S-형태 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 근거한 학습효과특성 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2012
  • In this study, in the process of testing before the release of the software products designed, software testing manager in advance should be aware of the testing-information. Therefore, the effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and applied property of learning effect based on truncated time and delayed S-shaped software reliability. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model can be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis was performed, using time between failures, according to the small sample and large sample sizes. The parameter estimation was carried out using maximum likelihood estimation method. Model selection was performed using the mean square error and coefficient of determination, after the data efficiency from the data through trend analysis was performed.

Prediction of MTBF Using the Modulated Power Law Process

  • Na, Myung-Hwan;Son, Young-Sook;Yoon, Sang-Hoo;Kim, Moon-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.535-541
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    • 2007
  • The Non-homogeneous Poisson process is probably the most popular model since it can model systems that are deteriorating or improving. The renewal process is a model that is often used to describe the random occurrence of events in time. But both these models are based on too restrictive assumptions on the effect of the repair action. The Modulated Power Law Process is a suitable model for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems when both renewal-type behavior and time trend are present. In this paper we propose maximum likelihood estimation of the next failure time after the system has experienced some failures, that is, Mean Time Between Failure for the MPLP model.

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Bayesian analysis of a repairable system subject to overhauls with bounded failure intensity

  • Preeti Wanti, Srivastava;Nidhi, Jain
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2013
  • This paper deals with the Bayesian analysis of the failure data of a repairable mechanical system subject to minimal repairs and periodic overhauls. The effect of overhauls on the reliability of the system is modeled by a proportional age reduction model and the failure process between two successive overhauls is assumed to be 2-parameter Engelhardt-Bain process (2-EBP). Power Law Process (PLP) model has a disadvantage which 2-EBP can overcome. On the basis of the observed data and of a number of suitable prior densities, point and interval estimation of model parameters, as well as quantities of relevant interest are found. Also hypothesis tests on the effectiveness of performed overhauls have been developed using Bayes factor. Sensitivity analysis of improvement parameter is carried out. Finally, a numerical application is used to illustrate the proposed method.

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Generalization of the Testing-Domain Dependent NHPP SRGM and Its Application

  • Park, J.Y.;Hwang, Y.S.;Fujiwara, T.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes a new non-homogeneous Poisson process software reliability growth model based on the coverage information. The new model incorporates the coverage information in the fault detection process by assuming that only the faults in the covered constructs are detectable. Since the coverage growth behavior depends on the testing strategy, the fault detection process is first modeled for the general testing strategy and then realized for the uniform testing. Finally the model for the uniform testing is empirically evaluated by applying it to real data sets.

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A study on the Reliability System Software based on NHPP(Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process (비-동질 안정 프로세스 기반 임베디드 시스템 소프트웨어의 신뢰성 특성에 관한 연구)

  • 한상섭;백영구;이근석;전현덕;류호중;이기서
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.347-358
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we apply NHPP model example to s/w process in order to get to know s/w reliability. The test is constructed by a test zig of commercial product loaded real embedded system s/w. It is established to s/w reliability prediction and estimation of real-time embedded system s/w. It is computed the prediction value of cumulative failures, the failure intensity, the reliability and the estimation value of MTTF, Failure Rate. To the more realization of high reliability in the real-time embedded system s/w, if the embedded system s/w is ensured to the test coverage and constructed to stable s/w process & operating system, we can improve the performance and the reliability characteristic of the real-time embedded system s/w.

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Improved Exponential Software Reliability Model Based on NHPP with the Uncertainty of Operating Environments

  • Song, Kwang Yoon;Chang, In Hong
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.249-257
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    • 2017
  • The main focus when developing software is to improve the reliability and stability of a software system. We are enjoying a very comfortable life thanks to modern civilization, however, comfort is not guaranteed to us. Once software systems are introduced, the software systems used in the field environments are the same as or close to those used in the development-testing environment; however, the systems may be used in many different locations. Development of software system is a difficult and complex process. Generally, existing software reliability models are applied to software testing data and then used to make predictions on the software failures and reliability in the field. In this paper, we present an improved exponential NHPP software reliability model in different development environments, and examine the goodness-of-fit of improved exponential model and other model based on two datasets. The results show that the proposed model fits significantly better than other NHPP software reliability model.

A Spare Ordering Policy for Preventive Replacement with Repair (수리가능한 품목의 예방교체를 위한 주문정책)

  • Lim, Sung-Uk;Park, Young-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.480-485
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents a spare ordering policy for preventive replacement with minimal repair. To analyze the ordering policy, the failure process is modeled by a non-homogeneous Poisson process. Introducing the ordering, repair, downtime, replacement costs and salvage value, we derive the expected cost effectiveness as a criterion of optimality when the lifetime and lead times for the regular and expedited orders are generally distributed random variables. It is shown that, under certain conditions, there exists a finite and unique optimum ordering time which maximizes the expected cost effectiveness. A numerical example is also included to explain the proposed model.