• Title/Summary/Keyword: Negative Binomial Regression Model

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Development of a New Cluster Index for Semiconductor Wafer Defects and Simulation - Based Yield Prediction Models (변동계수를 이용한 반도체 결점 클러스터 지표 개발 및 수율 예측)

  • Park, Hang-Yeob;Jun, Chi-Hyuck;Hong, Yu-Shin;Kim, Soo-Young
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.371-385
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    • 1995
  • The yield of semiconductor chips is dependent not only on the average defect density but also on the distribution of defects over a wafer. The distribution of defects leads to consider a cluster index. This paper briefly reviews the existing yield prediction models ad proposes a new cluster index, which utilizes the information about the defect location on a wafer in terms of the coefficient of variation. An extensive simulation is performed under a variety of defect distributions and a yield prediction model is derived through the regression analysis to relate the yield with the proposed cluster index and the average number of defects per chip. The performance of the proposed simulation-based yield prediction model is compared with that of the well-known negative binomial model.

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Accident Models of 4-Legged Signalized Intersections by Vehicle Type in the Case of Cheongju (4지 신호교차로 차종별 사고모형 -청주시를 사례로-)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Park, Gil-Soo;In, Byung-Chul
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.161-170
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    • 2008
  • This study deals with the accident models by vehicle type. The goal is to develop the accident models by vehicle type using the data of 143 4-legged signalized intersections in Cheongju. In pursuing the above, this study gives the particular attentions to explaining the relationships between the values of EPDO(equivalent property damage only) and the traffic and geometric elements. The main results analyzed are the followings. First, 6 negative binomial models are developed, which are all significant at the 90% confidence level. Second, the values of ${\rho}^2$ by vehicle type are 0.14307(auto), 0.35556(large van), 0.21684(small van), 0.205152(motocycle), 0.32338(light-duty truck) and 0.29046(heavy-duty truck), that are all analyzed to be statistically significant. Finally, the common variable included in all models is ADT(average daily traffic), and the specific variable(SV) of auto is analyzed to be the sum of lane width of main road, SV of large van is the average yellow time, and SV of small van is the difference in the number of lane between main and minor road.

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Analyzing the Characteristics of Traffic Accidents and Developing the Models by Day and Night in the Case of the Cheongju Arterial Link Sections (청주시 간선가로 구간의 주.야간 사고특성 및 모형개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Lim, Jin-Kang;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the characteristics of traffic accidents and to develop the models by day and night-time in the case of the arterial link sections. In pursuing the above, this study uses the 224 accident data occurred at the 24 arterial link sections in Cheongju. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, it was analyzed that the number of accidents during day was more than night, but the accidents rate during night was higher than day. Second, four models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between the day and night models were comparatively analyzed using independent variables.

Prediction of the Number of Food Poisoning Occurrences by Microbes (원인균별 식중독 발생 건수 예측)

  • Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.923-932
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a method to predict the number of foodborne disease outbreaks by microbes. The weekly data of food poisoning occurrences by microbes in Korea contain many zero-valued observations and have dependency between outbreaks. In order to model both phenomena, the number of food poisonings is predicted by an autoregressive model and the probabilities of food poisoning occurrences by microbes (given the total of food poisonings) are estimated by the baseline category logit model. The predicted number of foodborne disease outbreaks by a microbe is obtained by multiplying the predicted number of foodborne disease outbreaks and the estimated probability of the food poisoning by the corresponding microbe. The mean squared error and the mean absolute value error are evaluated to compare the performances of the proposed method and the zero-inflated model.

Exploration of Enterprise Innovation Sources through Patent Analysis : Comparison of High-Tech Industries and Mid-Tech Industries (특허출원을 통한 기업 기술혁신 원천분석 : 고기술산업과 중저기술산업의 비교)

  • Hwang, Gyu-hee;Lee, Jung Mann
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.21 no.4_spc
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    • pp.331-344
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    • 2014
  • This study attempts to explore the difference of innovation sources between high-tech industry and mid-tech industry through patent analysis. After extracting 119 corporates, commonly surveyed in 2007 HCCP(Human Capital Corporate Panel) and 2005~2006 Korea Innovation Survey, their patents applied for the Korean Intellectual Property Office in 2007~2012 are analysed mainly through negative binomial regression model. Analytical results shows that external information source could be opposite effects to technological innovation depending on technological level and industrial characteristics. The current results are still bounded in the statistical significance, mainly due to the limited observations and information.

Accident Models of Circular Intersection by Cause Using ZAM (ZAM을 이용한 원형교차로 원인별 사고모형 개발)

  • Na, Hee;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2012
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents of circular intersections in Korea. The goal of this study is to develop the traffic accident models using ZAM. The main results are as follows. First, in the case of 'violating the operational method of intersection', ZINB(zero-inflatednegative binomial) models were analyzed to be the best fit to the data. Second, in the case of' no maintaining the safe distance', ZINB models were also analyzed to be the best fit to the data. Finally, such the common variables as traffic volume and width of circular roadway were selected as the independent variables. The more traffic volume and the less width of circulatory roadway were evaluated to make the more accidents. Such the specific variables as the number of approach lanes and speed reduction facilities were selected as the explanatory variables. The more approach lanes and the less speed reduction facilities were evaluated to give the more accidents. This study might be expected to give some implications to the accident research on the circular intersections.

Analysis of Traffic Accident by Circular Intersection Type in Korea Using Count Data Model (가산자료 모형을 이용한 국내 원형교차로 유형별 교통사고 분석)

  • Kim, Tae Yang;Lee, Min Yeong;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to develop the traffic accident models by circular intersection type using count data model. The number of accident, the number of fatal and injured persons(FSI), and EPDO are calculated from the traffic accident data of TAAS. The circular intersection accident models are developed through Poisson and negative binomial regression analysis. The main results of this study are as follows. First, the null hypotheses that there are differences in the number of traffic accidents, FSI and EPDO by type of circular intersections are rejected. Second, the scale of intersection(median, large), number of approach road, mean width and length of exit road, area of the circulating roadway and central island are selected as factors influencing the number of traffic accidents, FSI and EPDO in rotary. Third, the scale of intersection(median), guide signs(limited speed, direction, roundabout), number of approach road, entry angle, area of the intersection and central island are adopted as factors influencing the number of traffic accidents, FSI and EPDO in roundabout. Finally, transferring from rotary to roundabout could be expected to make the accident decrease.

Heat-Wave Data Analysis based on the Zero-Inflated Regression Models (영-과잉 회귀모형을 활용한 폭염자료분석)

  • Kim, Seong Tae;Park, Man Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2829-2840
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    • 2018
  • The random variable with an arbitrary value or more is called semi-continuous variable or zero-inflated one in case that its boundary value is more frequently observed than expected. This means the boundary value is likely to be practically observed more than it should be theoretically under certain probability distribution. When the distribution considered is continuous, the variable is defined as semi-continuous and when one of discrete distribution is assumed for the variable, we regard it as zero-inflated. In this study, we introduce the two-part model, which consists of one part for modelling the binary response and the other part for modelling the variable greater than the boundary value. Especially, the zero-inflated regression models are explained by using Poisson distribution and negative binomial distribution. In real data analysis, we employ the zero-inflated regression models to estimate the number of days under extreme heat-wave circumstances during the last 10 years in South Korea. Based on the estimation results, we create prediction maps for the estimated number of days under heat-wave advisory and heat-wave warning by using the universal kriging, which is one of the spatial prediction methods.

A Study on the Factors Influencing Regional Networks of Start-ups in New Growth Industries in the Capital Region (수도권 신성장산업 창업 사업체의 지역 간 유출입 네트워크 및 영향 요인)

  • Song, Changhyun;Kim, Juyoung;Lim, Up
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.3-20
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to exploratory analyze the transition pattern of establishments and workers in new growth industries in the metropolitan area from 2010 to 2019 and to identify regional factors affecting the inflow and outflow of new growth industry start-ups. As for the analysis, the original data of the Census on Establishments were used, and spatial data at the sigungu level were constructed based on the inflow and outflow data of the number of new growth industry businesses and workers. For the analysis, the degree centrality of connection to outflow inflow by region was calculated, and an empirical analysis was conducted on regional-level factors affecting the inflow and outflow of new growth industries by applying a negative binomial regression model. According to the results, the new growth industry manufacturing sector was actively relocated in southern Gyeonggi Province, and the new growth industry service sector in Gangnam and Guro-Geumcheon-gu, and the impact of regional-level factors on the inflow and outflow of new growth industry start-ups varies depending on the industry. This study presented implications for regional industrial policies to improve the competitiveness of the local economy by attracting new industries by identifying spatial transition patterns for new growth industries and conducting empirical analysis to identify influencing factors.

Traffic Accident Models of Urban Circular Intersections by Operational Type (운영유형별 도시부 원형교차로 사고모형)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwan;Park, Kil-Soo;Park, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2012
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents of circular intersections in Korea. The purposes are to comparatively analyze the characteristics by operational type, and to develop the models using the data of 82 intersections. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular emphasis to modeling such the accidents as the roundabout and rotary in urban area. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the null hypotheses that the number of accidents are the same in both the urban and rural intersections, and roundabout and rotary in urban area, were analyzed to be rejected. Second, 3 accident models were developed, which were all statistically significant. The independent variables used in the above models are the ADT, number of approach lane, bus stop, parking facilities, and others. This study could be expected to give some implications to the traffic safety policy decision-making.