• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.41 no.5
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• pp.287-296
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• 2017

The Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) is a structured and systematic methodology developed by the IMO, aimed at assessing the risk of vessels and recommending the method to control intolerable risks, thereby enhancing maritime safety, including protection of life, health, the marine environment and property, by using risk analysis and cost-benefit assessment. While the FSA has mostly been applied to merchant vessels, it has rarely been applied to a DP vessel, which is one of the special purpose vessels in the offshore industry. Furthermore, most of the FSA has been conducted so far by using the Fault Tree Analysis tool, even though there are many other risk analysis tools. This study carried out the FSA for safe operation of DP vessels by using the Bayesian network, under which conditional probability was examined. This study determined the frequency and severity of DP LOP incidents reported to the IMCA from 2001 to 2010, and obtained the Risk Index by applying the Bayesian network. Then, the Risk Control Options (RCOs) were identified through an expert brainstorming and DP vessel simulations. This study recommends duplication of PRS, regardless of the DP class and PRS type and DP system specific training. Finally, this study verified that the Bayesian network and DP simulator can also serve as an effective tool for FSA implementation.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.57-60
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• 2004

Evaluating the risk of collision quantitatively plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This study analysed thoroughly how to determine the thresholds as described in the new evaluation of collision risk using sech function, and developed the appropriate equation as applicable.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.262-265
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• 2017

This study is to calculate the Real-Time Overlapped Area of ellipses with weight by Ship's Bumper Theory. In this paper, The Real-Time Overlapped Area of ellipses with weight can be used the important tool to feel the perceived risk evaluation by navigator. In this paper, through how to feel the risk of collision between the vessels in advance, We will study the technique to certify the perceived risk of collision from several different angles.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2004.08a
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• pp.146-154
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• 2004

Evaluating the risk of collision quantitatively plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This study suggested and developed a new approach to the evaluation by using the sech function as an alternative to the existing methods of appraising the collision risk. This study also investigated and built up theoretically how to determine the gradient coefficients in this approach and suggested the appropriate values as much as applicable. Finally this study analyzed thoroughly how to determine the threshold function of avoiding time and developed the appropriate equation.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.351-357
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• 2003

Evaluating the risk of collision quantitatively plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This study analysed theoretically and thoroughly how to determine the gradient coefficients as described in the new evaluation of collision risk using sech function, and suggested the appropriate values as applicable.

• Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.31-37
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• 2011

Various algorithms and system development are being required to support the advanced decision making of navigation information support system because of a serious loss of lives and property accidents by officer's error like as carelessness and decision faults. Much of researchers have introduced the techniques about the systems, but they hardly consider environmental factors. In this paper, We collect the context information in order to assess the risk, which is considered the various factor of the sailing ship, then extract the features of knowledge context, which is to apply the weight of correlation coefficients among data in context information. We decide the risk after the extract features through the classification and prediction of context information, and compare the value accuracy of proposed method in order to compare efficiency of the weighted value with the non-weighted value. As a result of experience, we know that the method of weight properties effectively reflect the marine environment because the weight accurate better than the non-weighted.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.41 no.3
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• pp.93-102
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• 2017

When VTSOs (Vessel Traffic Service Operator) determine the degree of collision risk for two vessels, they consider comprehensive information about each vessel's course, speed, DCPA, TCPA, and encountering situation. In this study, we proposed a utility function based on the risk attitudes of VTSOs toward the Risk Index (RI). The RI was calculated using the risk of encounter, the risk of approach, and the risk of time for two vessels in order to predict each ship's collision risk from the VTS viewpoint. We obtained each coefficient of the RI and the risk attitude through a survey of collision risks among VTSOs of Korea. In order to verify whether the proposed utility is reasonable, we validated by applying the degree of collision risk to some historical cases of accidents in Busan port along with the Ship of ES value($ES_S$) of ES(Environmental Stress) model.

• Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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• 2018.06a
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• pp.106-106
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• 2018

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2013.06a
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• pp.441-442
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• 2013

ISM Code 1.2.2.2항 개정안 발효됨에 따라 선박에서 실질적으로 위험성평가 (Risk Assessment) 시행을 요구하고 있다. 하지만 해운업계 및 선원들은 관련 지식 및 경험 부족으로 시행에 여러움을 겪고 있다. 이 연구에서는 선상에서 효과적인 이행을 위해 표준 위험성평가 지침을 개발하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2013.10a
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• pp.387-389
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• 2013

In order to determine the collision risk, the probability estimation is very important part for accurate risk estimation. Recently, the collision risk at the Busan North Port is studied for making the risk map by authors. The result has been found some connections with previous collision places. For more precise estimation, the probability calculation is necessary. Recently the Bayesian matrix is mainly used for calculating the probabilities. Also considering the oil spill risk with tankers, ships' speed, relative angle and ships' size are key aspect whether breaking the double hull or not. This research presents the way of estimating the probabilities not her research and also the collision risk probability considerations for small divided areas.