• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2007.02a
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• pp.94-97
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• 2007

This study aims to find the characteristics of damage and states of natural disasters at Gimhae, Gyeongsangnam-do from 1985 to 2004. Using the data of Statistical yearbook of calamities issued by the National Emergency Management Agency and Annual Climatological Report issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. we have analyzed the cause, elements, and vulnerable regions for natural disasters. Major causes of natural disaster at Gimhae are four, such as a heavy rain, heavy rain typhoon, typhoon, storm snow, and storm. The cause of disaster recorded the most amount of damage is typhoon. The areas of Hallim-myeon, Sangdong-myeon, and Saengnim-myeon are classified the vulnerable region for the natural disasters in Gimhae. Therefore, it seems necessary to build natural disaster mitigation plan each cause of disaster to control water resources and to reduce damage for these areas.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2007.02a
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• pp.323-326
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• 2007

Recently, occurrence frequency of natural disasters decrease but scale of damage increase remarkably by the Climate change due to global warming. Especially, extreme heat become more critical weather problem in the Korean Peninsula. But, we don't have exact threshold about extreme heat. Extreme heat does not classify into natural disaster. Therefore, we have compared death count of the natural disaster with the one of extreme heat at Seoul, Korea. As a result, the number of death by extreme heat don't smaller than one by the natural disasters and we knew extreme heat have also to consider as natural disaster.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2007.02a
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• pp.319-322
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• 2007

This study aims to find the characteristics of damage and states of natural disasters at the Korean Peninsula from 1985 to 2004. Using the data of Statistical yearbook of calamities issued by the National Emergency Management Agency and Annual Climatological Report issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. we have analyzed the cause, elements, and vulnerable regions for natural disasters. Major causes of natural disaster at Korean Peninsula are four, such as a heavy rain, heavy rain typhoon, typhoon, storm snow, and storm. The frequency of natural disaster is the highest from June to September. The period from December to March also shows high frequency. The total amount of damage is high during the summer season(Jul.-Sept). The period from January to March shows relatively high amount of damage due to storm and storm snow The areas of Gangwon-do, Gyeongsangnam-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do are classified the vulnerable region for the natural disasters. By establishing mitigation plans which fit the type and characteristics of disaster for each region, damage from disaster can be reduced with efficient prevention activities.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.211-218
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• 1993

Landslides, failure of slope stability by natural or artificial factors, occur loss of life and properties. Recently, statistical methods and field measurements are used to a study for prediction of landslide harzard area, but there are so many difficulties to find the occurence system because of its complexity. In this study, authors choose the model area where occured landslides to predict the landslide hazard. Authors made a database of ground height to compare the each topography by scale of 1 : 25,000, 1 : 10,000, 1 : 5,000 and 1 : 1,200. Authors predict to landslide hazard area by the weight of ground height data and slope angle data. Finally, authors could know the possibility of prediction to find the landslide hazard partly.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.59-65
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• 2015

Background: After the Fukushima accident, the importance of hazard analysis for extreme external events was raised. Methods: To analyze typhoon-induced hazards, which are one of the significant disasters of East Asian countries, a statistical analysis using the extreme value theory, which is a method for estimating the annual exceedance frequency of a rare event, was conducted for an estimation of the occurrence intervals or hazard levels. For the four meteorological variables, maximum wind speed, instantaneous wind speed, hourly precipitation, and daily precipitation, the parameters of the predictive extreme value theory models were estimated. Results: The 100-year return levels for each variable were predicted using the developed models and compared with previously reported values. It was also found that there exist significant long-term climate changes of wind speed and precipitation. Conclusion: A fragility analysis should be conducted to ensure the safety levels of a nuclear power plant for high levels of wind speed and precipitation, which exceed the results of a previous analysis.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.26-35
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• 2005

This paper is intended to compare the hazard rate estimations from Bayesian approach and maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) method. Hazard rate frequently involves unknown parameters and it is common that those parameters are estimated from observed data by using MLE method. Such estimated parameters are appropriate as long as there are sufficient data. Due to various reasons, however, we frequently cannot obtain sufficient data so that the result of MLE method may be unreliable. In order to resolve such a problem we need to rely on the judgement about the unknown parameters. We do this by adopting the Bayesian approach. The first one is to use a predictive distribution and the second one is a method called Bayesian estimate. In addition, in the Bayesian approach, the prior distribution has a critical effect on the result of analysis, so we introduce the method using computerized-simulation to elicit an effective prior distribution. For the simplicity, we use exponential and gamma distributions as a likelihood distribution and its natural conjugate prior distribution, respectively. Finally, numerical examples are given to illustrate the potential benefits of the Bayesian approach.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.36-51
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• 2000

Almost every year, Korean suffered from the repetitive natural disasters such as typhoons and floods. During last 10 years, Korea experienced annual average of $50 million property damages caused by inundation. To estabilish the flood disaster counter plan, knowledge for flood damage causes based on the field investigations of inundated area is required. The field investigations is focused on technique to document and analyze the meteorological conditions leading to torrential rains, the causes and patterns of flooding, the performance of flood control structures in affected areas, the extent damages and the effectiveness of local emergency response and recovery actions. We did comparative analysis of field investigation techniques. As a major goal of flood hazard map design, one of non structural disaster countermeasures, it was expected to reduce flood damage losses by requiring local governments to implement land-use regulation that would result in safe building practices in flood hazard areas. This requires local governments to develop flood hazard maps to assess how to manage particularly vulnerable floodplain areas. In this study we suggested a design manual and the management system of flood hazard map.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2008.02a
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• pp.577-580
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• 2008

The purpose of this study is the stability evaluation of soil slope according to inclination of upper natural slope. Upper natural slope breeds loss of slope by inflow in slope of surface water by rainfall and fluctuation of amount of materials in slope through method of cutting slope according to degree of inclination. Basis of standard inclination does not consider of inclination of upper natural slope and is presented uniformly. Therefore, in this study, analyzed stability of inclination of upper natural slope through limit equilibrium analysis.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.67-73
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• 2009

Financial supports of private facilities which were damaged by natural disaster are currently performed partially by a government and the guideline of corresponding recovery costs be the natural disaster prevention law in South Korea. However, current financial recovery guidelines for the damaged private facilities has not been estimated objectively so far. This research presents advanced recovery cost search and assesment methods for the damaged private facilities under natural disaster. To produce more accurate data, an investigation for practical field markets which are appointed in Kangwon area is conducted and the proposed recovery values per each item are compared to exact field market values. Finally. more realistic and accurate recovery cost guideline including evaluation and more effective market surveying method are suggested here. A theoretical and practical program for systematic recovery cost calculation is proposed and expected to be used at public institution before long.

• Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.28-32
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• 2001

Using the CNG(compressed natural gas) and LPG(liquified petroleum gas) as the automotive fuel will be expanded because of their clean effect to the environmental air qualify. But these programs of gas using expansion would have a difficulty due to public consideration of gas utilities as a big hazard. The Ministry of Environment has an ambitious plan to substitute more than 25,000 buses with CNG and ensure more than 200 CNG refueling stations as well by the year of 2007. However, it is very difficult to establish new CNG and LPG refueling stations because of expanded safety distance than ever before by several major explosion accidents.