• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국통계학회 2000년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
• /
• pp.187-191
• /
• 2000

In the analysis of repeated measurements, multivariate regression models that account for the correlations among the observations from the same subject are widely used. Like the usual univariate regression models, these multivariate regression models also need some model diagnostic procedures. In this paper, we propose a simple graphical method to detect outliers and to investigate the goodness of model fit in repeated measures data. The graphical method is based on the quantile-quantile(Q-Q) plots of the $X^2$ distribution and the standard normal distribution. We also propose diagnostic measures to detect influential observations. The proposed method is illustrated using two examples.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제28권5호
• /
• pp.553-562
• /
• 2021

Directional regression (DR; Li and Wang, 2007) is well-known as an exhaustive sufficient dimension reduction method, and performs well in complex regression models to have linear and nonlinear trends. However, the extension of DR is not well-done upto date, so we will extend DR to accommodate multivariate regression and large p-small n regression. We propose three versions of DR for multivariate regression and discuss how DR is applicable for the latter regression case. Numerical studies confirm that DR is robust to the number of clusters and the choice of hierarchical-clustering or pooled DR.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제35권1호
• /
• pp.105-114
• /
• 2006

In this paper we propose a simple and computationally attractive difference-based variance estimator in nonparametric regression models with multivariate predictors. We show that the estimator achieves $n^{-1/2}$ rate of convergence for regression functions with only a first derivative when d, the dimension of the predictor, is less than or equal to 4. When d > 4, the rate turns out to be $n^{-4/(d+4)}$ under the first derivative condition for the regression functions. A numerical study suggests that the proposed estimator has a good finite sample performance.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제11권2호
• /
• pp.381-397
• /
• 2004

The marginal likelihood has become an important tool for model selection in Bayesian analysis because it can be used to rank the models. We discuss the marginal likelihood for Poisson regression models that are potentially useful in small area estimation. Computation in these models is intensive and it requires an implementation of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Using importance sampling and multivariate density estimation, we demonstrate a computation of the marginal likelihood through an output analysis from an MCMC sampler.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
• /
• 제10권3호
• /
• pp.269-284
• /
• 2016

Simplified techniques based on in situ testing methods are commonly used to assess seismic liquefaction potential. Many of these simplified methods were developed by analyzing liquefaction case histories from which the liquefaction boundary (limit state) separating two categories (the occurrence or non-occurrence of liquefaction) is determined. As the liquefaction classification problem is highly nonlinear in nature, it is difficult to develop a comprehensive model using conventional modeling techniques that take into consideration all the independent variables, such as the seismic and soil properties. In this study, a modification of the Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach based on Logistic Regression (LR) LR_MARS is used to evaluate seismic liquefaction potential based on actual field records. Three different LR_MARS models were used to analyze three different field liquefaction databases and the results are compared with the neural network approaches. The developed spline functions and the limit state functions obtained reveal that the LR_MARS models can capture and describe the intrinsic, complex relationship between seismic parameters, soil parameters, and the liquefaction potential without having to make any assumptions about the underlying relationship between the various variables. Considering its computational efficiency, simplicity of interpretation, predictive accuracy, its data-driven and adaptive nature and its ability to map the interaction between variables, the use of LR_MARS model in assessing seismic liquefaction potential is promising.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제24권1호
• /
• pp.67-80
• /
• 2017

Over the last few decades, ensemble forecasts based on global climate models have become an important part of climate forecast due to the ability to reduce uncertainty in prediction. Moreover in ensemble forecast, assessing the prediction uncertainty is as important as estimating the optimal weights, and this is achieved through a probabilistic forecast which is based on the predictive distribution of future climate. The Bayesian model averaging has received much attention as a tool of probabilistic forecasting due to its simplicity and superior prediction. In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian model averaging method for probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The proposed method combines a deterministic ensemble forecast based on a multivariate regression approach with Bayesian model averaging. We demonstrate that the proposed method is better in prediction than the standard Bayesian model averaging approach by analyzing monthly average precipitations and temperatures for ten cities in Korea.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
• /
• 제70권6호
• /
• pp.671-681
• /
• 2019

This paper examines the applicability of artificial neural network (ANN) and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) to predict the compressive strength of bacteria incorporated geopolymer concrete (GPC). The mix is composed of new bacterial strain, manufactured sand, ground granulated blast furnace slag, silica fume, metakaolin and fly ash. The concentration of sodium hydroxide (NaOH) is maintained at 8 Molar, sodium silicate ($Na_2SiO_3$) to NaOH weight ratio is 2.33 and the alkaline liquid to binder ratio of 0.35 and ambient curing temperature ($28^{\circ}C$) is maintained for all the mixtures. In ANN, back-propagation training technique was employed for updating the weights of each layer based on the error in the network output. Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm was used for feed-forward back-propagation. MARS model was developed by establishing a relationship between a set of predictors and dependent variables. MARS is based on a divide and conquers strategy partitioning the training data sets into separate regions; each gets its own regression line. Six models based on ANN and MARS were developed to predict the compressive strength of bacteria incorporated GPC for 1, 3, 7, 28, 56 and 90 days. About 70% of the total 84 data sets obtained from experiments were used for development of the models and remaining 30% data was utilized for testing. From the study, it is observed that the predicted values from the models are found to be in good agreement with the corresponding experimental values and the developed models are robust and reliable.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
• /
• 제24권4호
• /
• pp.44-50
• /
• 2024

This paper offers an overview of matrix formation and calculation techniques within the framework of General Linear Models (GLMs). It takes a sequential approach, beginning with a detailed exploration of matrix formation and calculation methods in regression analysis and univariate analysis of variance (ANOVA). Subsequently, it extends the discussion to cover multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA). The primary objective of this study was to provide a clear and accessible explanation of the underlying matrices that play a crucial role in GLMs. Through linking, essentially different statistical methods, by fundamental principles and algebraic foundations that underpin the GLM estimation. Insights presented here aim to assist researchers, statisticians, and data analysts in enhancing their understanding of GLMs and their practical implementation in diverse research domains. This paper contributes to a better comprehension of the matrix-based techniques that can be extended to GLMs.

• Computers and Concrete
• /
• 제24권2호
• /
• pp.137-150
• /
• 2019

In this paper, surrogate models such as multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) and M5P model tree (M5P MT) methods have been investigated in order to propose a new formulation for the 28-days compressive strength of self-compacting concrete (SCC) incorporating metakaolin as a supplementary cementitious materials. A database comprising experimental data has been assembled from several published papers in the literature and the data have been used for training and testing. In particular, the data are arranged in a format of seven input parameters covering contents of cement, coarse aggregate to fine aggregate ratio, water, metakaolin, super plasticizer, largest maximum size and binder as well as one output parameter, which is the 28-days compressive strength. The efficiency of the proposed techniques has been demonstrated by means of certain statistical criteria. The findings have been compared to experimental results and their comparisons shows that the MARS and M5P MT approaches predict the compressive strength of SCC incorporating metakaolin with great precision. The performed sensitivity analysis to assign effective parameters on 28-days compressive strength indicates that cementitious binder content is the most effective variable in the mixture.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제28권3호
• /
• pp.533-545
• /
• 2017

분위수 회귀모형은 반응변수의 조건부 분포에 대하여 포괄적이고 유용한 통계적 정보를 제공한다. 그러나 많은 실제 자료는 설명변수와 반응변수가 비선형의 관계를 갖고 있어 전통적인 선형 분위수 회귀모형은 왜곡되고 잘못된 결과를 초래할 수 있다. 또한 자료의 복잡성이 증가하여 반응변수가 여러개인 다변량 자료의 분석에 대한 보다 정확한 예측과 더불어 풍부한 해석에 대한 요구가 증가하고 있다. 이러한 이유로 본 연구에서는 다변량 분위수 회귀나무 모형을 제안하였다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 다변량 회귀나무 모형의 분할변수 선택 알고리즘의 문제점을 지적하고 향상된 분할변수 선택 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 제안한 알고리즘은 합리적인 계산시간으로 적용 가능하며 분할변수 선택에서 편향 발생의 문제를 갖지 않는 동시에 기존 방법보다 더 정확하게 분할변수를 선택할 수 있있다. 본 연구에서는 모의실험과 실증 예제를 통해 제안한 방법의 우수한 성능과 유용성을 확인하였다.