• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.127-133
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• 2009

본 연구에서는 다변량 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용하여 무차원 누가강우량 곡선을 생성하였다. 이를 위해 30년 이상의 관측년수를 갖는 강우자료를 활용하여 강우사상을 분리하고 이를 무차원화하여 강우의 지역적, 시간적 변동성을 제거하였다. 그리고 이들 무차원화된 누가강우량곡선을 4가지 형태로 구분하여 강우자료 특성을 반영한 누가강우량 곡선을 생성하였다. 무차원 누가 강우량 곡선의 절점이 항상 0이상이고 전체의 합이 1이 되어야 하는 제약조건을 극복하기 위해 log-ratio 기법을 도입하였고 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 다변량 생성시 요구되는 정규화와 상관계수 반영의 문제점을 Johnson 시스템과 직교변환을 도입하여 모형에 적용함으로서 제약조건을 극복할 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 적용한 다변량 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 강우변동생성기법은 실제 강우량 자료의 특성을 가공없이 반영할 수 있어 해당 유역의 특성을 정확히 반영할 수 있었고 유역의 홍수대책 수립, 수공구조물 설계 및 분석 등 활용성이 매우 클 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.411-423
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• 2003

In this paper we develop a method for calculating a probability that a particular generalized variance is the smallest of all the K multivariate normal generalized variances. The method gives a way of comparing K multivariate populations in terms of their dispersion or spread, because the generalized variance is a scalar measure of the overall multivariate scatter. Fully parametric frequentist approach for the probability is intractable and thus a Bayesian method is pursued using a variant of weighted Monte Carlo (WMC) sampling based approach. Necessary theory involved in the method and computation is provided.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.71-78
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• 2018

In this study, we consider the likelihood ratio test for the covariance matrix of the multivariate normal data. For this, we propose a method for obtaining null distributions of the likelihood ratio statistics by the Monte-Carlo approach when it is difficult to derive the exact null distributions theoretically. Then we compare the performance and precision of distributions obtained by the asymptotic normality and the Monte-Carlo method for the likelihood ratio test through a simulation study. Finally we discuss some interesting features related to the likelihood ratio test for the covariance matrix and the Monte-Carlo method for obtaining null distributions for the likelihood ratio statistics.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.65-85
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• 2024

The tail probability of a function of a multivariate random variable is not easy to estimate by the crude Monte Carlo simulation. When the occurrence of the function value over a threshold is rare, the accurate estimation of the corresponding probability requires a huge number of samples. When the explicit form of the cumulative distribution function of each component of the variable is known, the inverse transform likelihood ratio method is directly applicable scheme to estimate the tail probability efficiently. The method is a type of the importance sampling and its efficiency depends on the selection of the importance sampling distribution. When the cumulative distribution of the multivariate random variable is represented by a copula and its marginal distributions, we develop an iterative algorithm to find the optimal importance sampling distribution, and show the convergence of the algorithm. The performance of the proposed scheme is compared with the crude Monte Carlo simulation numerically.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통계학회 2002년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.73-78
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• 2002

In this paper we develop a method for constructing a Bayesian HPD (highest probability density) interval of a ratio of two multivariate normal generalized variances. The method gives a way of comparing two multivariate populations in terms of their dispersion or spread, because the generalized variance is a scalar measure of the overall multivariate scatter. Fully parametric frequentist approaches for the interval is intractable and thus a Bayesian HPD(highest probability densith) interval is pursued using a variant of weighted Monte Carlo (WMC) sampling based approach introduced by Chen and Shao(1999). Necessary theory involved in the method and computation is provided.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.53-67
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• 1996

Numerous classical as well as robust methods have been proposed in the literature for the detection of multiple outlier in multivariate data. The effectiveness and power of each of these methods have not been thoroughly investigated. In this paper we first reduce the vast number of outlier detection methods to a small number of viable ones. This reduction is based on previous work of other researches and on some theoretical arguments. Then we design and implement a Monte Carlo experiment for comparing these methods. The main goal of our study is to determine which methods are most powerful in the detection of multiple outlier and in dealing with the masking and swamping problems. The results of the Monte Carlo study indicate that two of the methods seem to hace better performances than the others for the detection of multiple outlier in multivariate data.

• 한국CDE학회논문집
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• 제2권4호
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• pp.215-221
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• 1997

A new approach in solving design centering problem is presented. Like most stochastic optimization problems, optimal design centering problems have intrinsic difficulties in multivariate intergration of probability density functions. In order to avoid to avoid those difficulties, genetic algorithm and very coarse Monte Carlo simulation are used in this research. The new algorithm performs robustly while producing improved yields. This result implies that the combination of robust optimization methods and approximated simulation schemes would give promising ways for many stochastic optimizations which are inappropriate for mathematical programming.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.225-232
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• 2000

The linear and quadratic discrimination functions based on normal theory are widely used to classify an observation to one of predefined groups. But the discriminant functions are sensitive to outliers. A high breakdown procedure to estimate location and scatter of multivariate data is the minimum volume ellipsoid or MVE estimator To obtain high breakdown classifiers outliers in multivariate data are detected by using the robust Mahalanobis distance based on MVE estimators and the weighted estimators are inserted in the functions for classification. A samll-sample MOnte Carlo study shows that the high breakdown robust procedures perform better than the classical classifiers.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.443-455
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• 1999

A simulation-based approach to estimating the probability of an arbitrary region under a multivariate normal distribution is developed. In specific, the probability is expressed as the ratio of the unrestricted and the restricted multivariate normal density functions, where the restriction is given by the region whose probability is of interest. The density function of the restricted distribution is then estimated by using a sample generated from the Gibbs sampling algorithm.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.765-777
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• 2003

In this paper, we investigate some measures as tests of multivariate normality based on principal components. The idea was proposed by Srivastava and Hui(1987). They generalized Shapiro-Wilk statistic for multi variate cases. We show the null distributions of the statistics do not depend on the unknown parameters and mention the asymptotic null distributions. Also power performance of the tests are assessed in a Monte Carlo study.