• 제목/요약/키워드: Multiple regression model

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울산 지역 암석 시료의 스펙트럼 특성과 이의 Clustering 응용 (The Clustering Application of Spectral Characteristics of Rock Samples from Ulsan)

  • 박종남;김지훈
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.115-133
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    • 1990
  • Study was made on the spectral characteristics of rock samples including bentonites collected from the northern Ulsan area. The geology of the area consists mainly of sediments of the Kyongsang Series and Bulguksa granite, the Tertiary volcanics, andesites and tuffs. Relative reflectances of meshed samples(2.5~10mm) to BaSO$_4$ are measured at 6 Landsat TM spectral windows (excluding the thermal band) with HHRR, and their reflection charactristics were analysed. In addition, three different data selection schemes including the Eulidean distance, multiple regression, and PCA weight methods were applied to the 30 TM ratio channels, derived from the above 6 bands. The selected data sets were subject to two unsupervised classification techniques(FA and ISODATA) in order to compare the effectiveness for classification of particularly bentonite from others. As a result, in ISODATA analysis the multiple regression model shows the best, followed by the Euliean distances one. The PCA weight model seems to show some confusion. In FA, though difficult for quantitative analysis, the best still seems to be the regression model. Among ratio bands, rations of band 7 or 5 against other bands represent the best contribution in classification of bentonites from others.

도로포장 반응모형에 대한 통계모형 개발 (A Development of Statistical Model for Pavement Response Model)

  • 이문섭;박희문;김부일;허태영
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2012
  • 도로포장 반응모형의 구축을 위하여 새로운 방법론으로 부분최소제곱회귀모형의 활용성을 소개하고 실제 FWD 실험자료에 적용시켰다. 실증분석 결과 일반 다중회귀모형에서 발생된 다중공선성 문제를 부분최소제곱회귀모형을 통하여 해결방안을 제시하였으며, 변환된 자료가 아닌 원시자료를 이용하여 모형을 구축할 수 있다는 장점도 가지고 있다.

대학 급식소의 식수예측 모델 개발 (Development of a Forecasting Model for University Food Services)

  • 정라나;양일선;백승희
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.910-918
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    • 2003
  • The purposes of this study were to develop a model for university foodservices and to provide management strategies for reducing costs, and increasing productivity and customer satisfaction. The results of this study were as follows : 1) The demands in university food services varied depending on the time series. A fixed pattern was discovered for specific times of the month and semesters. The demand tended to constantly decrease from the beginning of a specific semester to the end, from March to June and from September to December. Moreover, the demand was higher during the first semester than the second semester, within school term than during vacation periods, and during the summer vacation than the winter. 2) Pearson's simple correlation was done between actual customer demand and the factors relating to forecasting the demand. There was a high level of correlation between the actual demand and the demand that had occurred in the previous weeks. 3) By applying the stepwise multiple linear regression analysis to two different university food services providing multiple menu items, a model was developed in terms of four different time series(first semester, second semester, summer vacation, and winter vacation). Customer preference for specific menu items was found to be the most important factor to be considered in forecasting the demand.

다중회귀분석을 통한 대구지역 오존농도 예측 (Prediction of Ozone Concentration by Multiple Regression Analysis in Daegu area)

  • 최성우;최상기;도상현
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제11권7호
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2002
  • Air quality monitoring data and meteorology data which had collected from 1995. 1. to 1999. 2. in six areas of Daegu, Manchondong, Bokhyundong, Deamyungdong, Samdukdong, Leehyundong and Nowondong, were investigated to determine the distribution and characteristic of ozone. A equation of multiple regression was suggested after time series analysis of contribution factor and meteorology factor were investigated during the day which had high concentration of ozone. The results show the following; First, 63.6% of high ozone concentration days, more than 60 ppb of ozone concentration, were in May, June and September. The percentage of each area showed that; Manchondong 14.4%, Bokhyundong 15.4%, Deamyungdong 15.6%, Samdukdong 15.6%, Leehyundong 17.3% and Nowondong 21.6%. Second, correlation coefficients of ozone, $SO_2$, TSP, $NO_2$ and CO showed negative relationship; the results were respectively -0.229, -0.074, -0.387, -0.190(p<0.01), and humidity were -0.677. but temperature, amount of radiation and wind speed had positive relationship; the results were respectively 0.515, 0.509, 0.400(p<0.01). Third, $R^2$ of equation of multiple regression at each area showed that; Nowondong 45.4%, Lee hyundong 77.9%, Samdukdong 69.9%, Daemyungdong 78.8%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 77.6%. Including 1 hour prior ozone concentration, $R^2$ of each area was significantly increased; Nowondong 75.2%, Leehyundong 89.3%, Samdukdong 86.4%, Daemyungdong 88.6%, Manchondong 88.6%, Bokhyundong 88.0%. Using equation of multiple regression, There were some different $R^2$ between predicted value and observed value; Nowondong 48%, Leehyundong 77.5%, Samdukdong 58%, Daemyungdong 73.4%, Manchondong 77.7%, Bokhyundong 75.1%. $R^2$ of model including 1 hour prior ozone concentration was higher than equation of current day; Nowondong 82.5%, Leehyundong 88.3%, Samdukdong 80.7%, Daemyungdong 82.4%, Manchondong 87.6%, Bokhyundong 88.5%.

이중실물옵션을 활용한 단계별 기술투자 가치평가 (Valuation of Two-Stage Technology Investment Using Double Real Option)

  • 성웅현
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.141-151
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    • 2002
  • Many technology investment projects can be considered as set of sequential options. A compound real option can be used for evaluating sequential technology investment decisions under significant uncertainty and measuring its value. In this paper, the formula developed by Geske and Johnson(1984) and Buraschi and Dumas(2001) was applied to evaluate the technology investment with related double real option. Also double real option was com-pared with net present value method and multiple linear regression model was used to assess the partial effects of risk free rate and log-term volatility on its value.

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Testing for A Change Point by Model Selection Tools in Linear Regression Models

  • Yoon, Yong-Hwa;Kim, Jong-Tae;Cho, Kil-Ho;Shin, Kyung-A
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.655-665
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    • 2000
  • Several information criterions, Schwarz information criterion (SIC), Akaike information criterion (AIC), and the modified Akaike information criterion ($AIC_c$), are proposed to locate a change point in the multiple linear regression model. These methods are applied to a stock Exchange data set and compared to the results.

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Penman 식과 기상요소를 이용한 증발산모델에 관하여 (On the Evapotranspiration Model derived from the Meteorological Elements and Penman equation)

  • 이광호
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.6-11
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    • 1973
  • This paper include the hydrometeorological analyses of evapotranspiration which is import factor concerning the estimate of water budgest over a certain basin. Evapotranspiration model mode by the multiple regression analysis between the evapotranspiration measured on various kinds of ground cover (water, bare soil and lawn) and the other meteorological elements affecting the evapotranspiration process, and the simple regression analysis between the evapo transpiration measured on each ground cover and the evapotranspiration on water and vegetables calculated from the Penman equation. It is expected that the evapotranspiration models are a very useful formulae estimating ten days amounts or a month's amounts.

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통계적 회귀 모형과 인공 신경망을 이용한 Plasma-MIG 하이브리드 용접의 인장강도 예측 (Prediction of Tensile Strength for Plasma-MIG Hybrid Welding Using Statistical Regression Model and Neural Network Algorithm)

  • 정진수;이희근;박영환
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2016
  • Aluminum alloy is one of light weight material and it is used to make LNG tank and ship. However, in order to weld aluminum alloy high density heat source is needed. In this paper, I-butt welding of Al 5083 with 6mm thickness using Plasma-MIG welding was carried out. The experiment was performed to investigate the influence of plasma-MIG welding parameters such as plasma current, wire feeding rate, MIG-welding voltage and welding speed on the tensile strength of weld. In addition we suggested 3 strength estimation models which are second order polynomial regression model, multiple nonlinear regression model and neural network model. The estimation performance of 3 models was evaluated in terms of average error rate (AER) and their values were 0.125, 0.238, and 0.021 respectively. Neural network model which has training concept and reflects non -linearity was best estimation performance.

회귀모형에 의한 상수도 1일 급수량 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Daily Urban Water Demand with Multiple Regression Model)

  • 박성천;문병석;오창주;이병조
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.68-77
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this paper is to establish a method estimating the daily urban water demand using statistical analysis that is used for developing the efficient management and operation of the water supply facilities, and accurary of the model is verified by error rate and F-value. The data used in this study were the daily urban water use, the weather conditions such as temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, etc, and the day of The week. The case study was taken placed for the city of Namwon in Korea. The raw data used in this study were rearranged either by month or by season for analysis purpose, and the statistical analysis was applied to the data to obtain the regression model As a result of this study, the linear regression model was developed to estimate the daily urban water use with weather condition. The regression constant and coefficients of the model were determined for each month of a year. The accuracy of the model was within 3% of average error and within 11% of maximum error. The resulting model was found to he useful to the practical operation and management of the water supply facilities.

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다중 선형 회귀를 이용한 PNU/CME CGCM의 동아시아 여름철 강수예측 보정 연구 (A Correction of East Asian Summer Precipitation Simulated by PNU/CME CGCM Using Multiple Linear Regression)

  • 황윤정;안중배
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.214-226
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    • 2007
  • 강수는 다양한 대기 변수들의 영향으로 나타나기 때문에 비선형성이 매우 강하다. 따라서 역학 모형을 통해 예측된 강수의 보정은 비선형 모형인 인공 신경망 등을 통해 가능할 것이지만, 인공 신경망의 경우 초기 가중치 선택, 지역 최소화 문제, 뉴런의 수 결정 등의 문제로 인한 한계가 있다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 가장 보편적으로 사용되는 다중 선형 회귀 모형을 이용하여 CGCM에 의해 모사된 강수를 보정하였으며, 예측성을 살펴보았다. 이를 위하여 우선 PNU/CME 접합 대순환 모형(Coupled General Circulation model, CGCM)(박혜선과 안중배, 2004)을 이용하여 1979년부터 2005년까지 매해 4월부터 8월까지 5개월간 앙상블 적분을 하였다. 적분 결과 중 한반도를 포함한 동북아시아 지역$(110^{\circ}E-145^{\circ}E,\;25^{\circ}N-55^{\circ}N)$의 여름철인 6월(리드 2), 7월(리드 3), 8월(리드 4) 및 여름철 평균인 JJA(from June to August) 기간의 PNU/CME CGCM에 의해 모사된 강수를 보정하기 위해 다중 선형 회귀(Multiple Linear Regression, MLR)를 이용하였다. PNU/CME 접합 대순환 모형의 결과 중 강수, 500 hPa 연직 속도, 200 hPa 발산장, 지상 기온 등의 예측 인자와 관측 강수와의 선형적인 관계를 이용하여 MLR 모형을 구축하였다. 그리고 교차 검증(cross- validation)을 수행하여 PNU/CME 접합 대순환 모형의 결과와 교차 검증 결과를 비교하였다. 상관계수, 적중률 (hit rate), 오보율(false alarm rate) 그리고 Heidke 기술 점수(Heidke skill score) 등을 살펴본 바, 보정하지 않은 모형의 결과에 비해 MLR 모형을 이용하여 보정한 결과의 강수에 대한 예측성이 뛰어난 것을 알 수 있었다.