• 제목/요약/키워드: Multinomial likelihood

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Test of Local Restriction on a Multinomial Parameter

  • Oh, Myongsik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.525-534
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    • 2003
  • If a restriction is imposed only to a (proper) subset of parameters of interest, we call it a local restriction. Statistical inference under a local restriction in multinomial setting is studied. The maximum likelihood estimation under a local restriction and likelihood ratio tests for and against a local restriction are discussed. A real data is analyzed for illustrative purpose.

Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for a One Parameter Model using Multinomial Sampling

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Chul;Kim, Dae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.465-472
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    • 1999
  • We considered a bootstrap method for constructing confidenc intervals for a one parameter model using multinomial sampling. The convergence rates or the proposed bootstrap method are calculated for model-based maximum likelihood estimators(MLE) using multinomial sampling. Monte Carlo simulation was used to compare the performance of bootstrap methods with normal approximations in terms of the average coverage probability criterion.

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Laplace-Metropolis알고리즘에 의한 다항로짓모형의 변수선택에 관한 연구 (Laplace-Metropolis Algorithm for Variable Selection in Multinomial Logit Model)

  • 김혜중;이애경
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2001
  • This paper is concerned with suggesting a Bayesian method for variable selection in multinomial logit model. It is based upon an optimal rule suggested by use of Bayes rule which minimizes a risk induced by selecting the multinomial logit model. The rule is to find a subset of variables that maximizes the marginal likelihood of the model. We also propose a Laplace-Metropolis algorithm intended to suggest a simple method forestimating the marginal likelihood of the model. Based upon two examples, artificial data and empirical data examples, the Bayesian method is illustrated and its efficiency is examined.

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Statistical Inference Concerning Local Dependence between Two Multinomial Populations

  • Oh, Myong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.413-428
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    • 2003
  • If a restriction is imposed only to a (proper) subset of parameters of interest, we call it a local restriction. Statistical inference under a local restriction in multinomial setting is studied. The maximum likelihood estimation under a local restriction and likelihood ratio tests for and against a local restriction are discussed. A real data is analyzed for illustrative purpose.

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Simulation study on the estimation of multinomial proportions

  • Kim, Dae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.411-417
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we consider the estimation of multinomial proportions. Multinomial distribution is the most important multivaritate distribution. Estimation of multinomial parameters for multinomial distribution is widely applicable to many practical research areas including genetics. We investigated the properties of several frequency substitution estimates and derived the maximum likelihood estimate of multinomial proportions of Hardy Weinberg proportions. Phenotype and genotype frequencies of allele are used to the estimation of multinomial proportions. These estimates are then analyzed via numerical data. Small sample Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to compare considered estimates of multinomial proportions.

A Closed-Form Bayesian Inferences for Multinomial Randomized Response Model

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we examine the problem of estimating the sensitive characteristics and behaviors in a multinomial randomized response model using Bayesian approach. We derived a posterior distribution for parameter of interest for multinomial randomized response model. Based on the posterior distribution, we also calculated a credible intervals and mean squared error (MSE). We finally compare the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes estimator in terms of MSE.

The Bahadur Efficiency of the Power-Divergence Statistics Conditional on Margins for Testing homogeneity with Equal Sample Size

  • Kang, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.453-465
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    • 1997
  • The family of power-divergence statistics conditional on margins is considered for testing homogeneity of .tau. multinomial populations with equal sample size and the exact Bahadur slope is obtained. It is shown that the likelihood ratio test conditional on margins is the most Bahadur efficient among the family of power-divergence statistics.

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GOODNESS-OF-FIT TEST USING LOCAL MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD POLYNOMIAL ESTIMATOR FOR SPARSE MULTINOMIAL DATA

  • Baek, Jang-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.313-321
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    • 2004
  • We consider the problem of testing cell probabilities in sparse multinomial data. Aerts et al. (2000) presented T=${{\Sigma}_{i=1}}^{k}{[{p_i}^{*}-E{(p_{i}}^{*})]^2$ as a test statistic with the local least square polynomial estimator ${{p}_{i}}^{*}$, and derived its asymptotic distribution. The local least square estimator may produce negative estimates for cell probabilities. The local maximum likelihood polynomial estimator ${{\hat{p}}_{i}}$, however, guarantees positive estimates for cell probabilities and has the same asymptotic performance as the local least square estimator (Baek and Park, 2003). When there are cell probabilities with relatively much different sizes, the same contribution of the difference between the estimator and the hypothetical probability at each cell in their test statistic would not be proper to measure the total goodness-of-fit. We consider a Pearson type of goodness-of-fit test statistic, $T_1={{\Sigma}_{i=1}}^{k}{[{p_i}^{*}-E{(p_{i}}^{*})]^2/p_{i}$ instead, and show it follows an asymptotic normal distribution. Also we investigate the asymptotic normality of $T_2={{\Sigma}_{i=1}}^{k}{[{p_i}^{*}-E{(p_{i}}^{*})]^2/p_{i}$ where the minimum expected cell frequency is very small.

Multinomial Group Testing with Small-Sized Pools and Application to California HIV Data: Bayesian and Bootstrap Approaches

  • 김종민;허태영;안형진
    • 한국조사연구학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조사연구학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회 발표논문집
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    • pp.131-159
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    • 2006
  • This paper consider multinomial group testing which is concerned with classification each of N given units into one of k disjoint categories. In this paper, we propose exact Bayesian, approximate Bayesian, bootstrap methods for estimating individual category proportions using the multinomial group testing model proposed by Bar-Lev et al (2005). By the comparison of Mcan Squre Error (MSE), it is shown that the exact Bayesian method has a bettor efficiency and consistency than maximum likelihood method. We suggest an approximate Bayesian approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for posterior computation. We derive exact credible intervals based on the exact Bayesian estimators and present confidence intervals using the bootstrap and MCMC. These intervals arc shown to often have better coverage properties and similar mean lengths to maximum likelihood method already available. Furthermore the proposed models are illustrated using data from a HIV blooding test study throughout California, 2000.

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단계별로 얻어진 이차원 분할표의 모수 추정을 위한 정확최대우도추정법과 단계별추출추정법의 비교 (Comparison of Step-Wise and Exact Maximum Likelihood Estimations on Cell Probabilities of Contingency Table)

  • 이상은;강기훈;정석오;신기일
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2010
  • 단계별로 얻어진 $I{\times}J$ 이차원 범주형 자료에서 분할표 일부의 칸에서 도수가 붕괴(collapse)된 상태로 조사가 이루어진 것을 단계별추출(step-wise sampling)이라 한다. 단계별추출로 얻어진 자료를 분석할 경우 단계별추출법을 사용하여 분석하면 분석의 효과를 얻을 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 단계별추출법 중에서 최대우도추정법을 이용하여 얻어진 정확최대우도추정량(exact maximum likelihood estimator)과 단계별추출최대우도추정량을 연구하였다. 또한 MSE와 편향(bias)을 기준으로 모의실험을 통하여 두 추정법을 비교하였다.