• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multinomial likelihood

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Test of Local Restriction on a Multinomial Parameter

  • Oh, Myongsik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.525-534
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    • 2003
  • If a restriction is imposed only to a (proper) subset of parameters of interest, we call it a local restriction. Statistical inference under a local restriction in multinomial setting is studied. The maximum likelihood estimation under a local restriction and likelihood ratio tests for and against a local restriction are discussed. A real data is analyzed for illustrative purpose.

Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for a One Parameter Model using Multinomial Sampling

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Chul;Kim, Dae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.465-472
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    • 1999
  • We considered a bootstrap method for constructing confidenc intervals for a one parameter model using multinomial sampling. The convergence rates or the proposed bootstrap method are calculated for model-based maximum likelihood estimators(MLE) using multinomial sampling. Monte Carlo simulation was used to compare the performance of bootstrap methods with normal approximations in terms of the average coverage probability criterion.

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Laplace-Metropolis Algorithm for Variable Selection in Multinomial Logit Model (Laplace-Metropolis알고리즘에 의한 다항로짓모형의 변수선택에 관한 연구)

  • 김혜중;이애경
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2001
  • This paper is concerned with suggesting a Bayesian method for variable selection in multinomial logit model. It is based upon an optimal rule suggested by use of Bayes rule which minimizes a risk induced by selecting the multinomial logit model. The rule is to find a subset of variables that maximizes the marginal likelihood of the model. We also propose a Laplace-Metropolis algorithm intended to suggest a simple method forestimating the marginal likelihood of the model. Based upon two examples, artificial data and empirical data examples, the Bayesian method is illustrated and its efficiency is examined.

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Statistical Inference Concerning Local Dependence between Two Multinomial Populations

  • Oh, Myong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.413-428
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    • 2003
  • If a restriction is imposed only to a (proper) subset of parameters of interest, we call it a local restriction. Statistical inference under a local restriction in multinomial setting is studied. The maximum likelihood estimation under a local restriction and likelihood ratio tests for and against a local restriction are discussed. A real data is analyzed for illustrative purpose.

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Simulation study on the estimation of multinomial proportions

  • Kim, Dae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.411-417
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we consider the estimation of multinomial proportions. Multinomial distribution is the most important multivaritate distribution. Estimation of multinomial parameters for multinomial distribution is widely applicable to many practical research areas including genetics. We investigated the properties of several frequency substitution estimates and derived the maximum likelihood estimate of multinomial proportions of Hardy Weinberg proportions. Phenotype and genotype frequencies of allele are used to the estimation of multinomial proportions. These estimates are then analyzed via numerical data. Small sample Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to compare considered estimates of multinomial proportions.

A Closed-Form Bayesian Inferences for Multinomial Randomized Response Model

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we examine the problem of estimating the sensitive characteristics and behaviors in a multinomial randomized response model using Bayesian approach. We derived a posterior distribution for parameter of interest for multinomial randomized response model. Based on the posterior distribution, we also calculated a credible intervals and mean squared error (MSE). We finally compare the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes estimator in terms of MSE.

The Bahadur Efficiency of the Power-Divergence Statistics Conditional on Margins for Testing homogeneity with Equal Sample Size

  • Kang, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.453-465
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    • 1997
  • The family of power-divergence statistics conditional on margins is considered for testing homogeneity of .tau. multinomial populations with equal sample size and the exact Bahadur slope is obtained. It is shown that the likelihood ratio test conditional on margins is the most Bahadur efficient among the family of power-divergence statistics.

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GOODNESS-OF-FIT TEST USING LOCAL MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD POLYNOMIAL ESTIMATOR FOR SPARSE MULTINOMIAL DATA

  • Baek, Jang-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.313-321
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    • 2004
  • We consider the problem of testing cell probabilities in sparse multinomial data. Aerts et al. (2000) presented T=${{\Sigma}_{i=1}}^{k}{[{p_i}^{*}-E{(p_{i}}^{*})]^2$ as a test statistic with the local least square polynomial estimator ${{p}_{i}}^{*}$, and derived its asymptotic distribution. The local least square estimator may produce negative estimates for cell probabilities. The local maximum likelihood polynomial estimator ${{\hat{p}}_{i}}$, however, guarantees positive estimates for cell probabilities and has the same asymptotic performance as the local least square estimator (Baek and Park, 2003). When there are cell probabilities with relatively much different sizes, the same contribution of the difference between the estimator and the hypothetical probability at each cell in their test statistic would not be proper to measure the total goodness-of-fit. We consider a Pearson type of goodness-of-fit test statistic, $T_1={{\Sigma}_{i=1}}^{k}{[{p_i}^{*}-E{(p_{i}}^{*})]^2/p_{i}$ instead, and show it follows an asymptotic normal distribution. Also we investigate the asymptotic normality of $T_2={{\Sigma}_{i=1}}^{k}{[{p_i}^{*}-E{(p_{i}}^{*})]^2/p_{i}$ where the minimum expected cell frequency is very small.

Multinomial Group Testing with Small-Sized Pools and Application to California HIV Data: Bayesian and Bootstrap Approaches

  • Kim, Jong-Min;Heo, Tae-Young;An, Hyong-Gin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.131-159
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    • 2006
  • This paper consider multinomial group testing which is concerned with classification each of N given units into one of k disjoint categories. In this paper, we propose exact Bayesian, approximate Bayesian, bootstrap methods for estimating individual category proportions using the multinomial group testing model proposed by Bar-Lev et al (2005). By the comparison of Mcan Squre Error (MSE), it is shown that the exact Bayesian method has a bettor efficiency and consistency than maximum likelihood method. We suggest an approximate Bayesian approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for posterior computation. We derive exact credible intervals based on the exact Bayesian estimators and present confidence intervals using the bootstrap and MCMC. These intervals arc shown to often have better coverage properties and similar mean lengths to maximum likelihood method already available. Furthermore the proposed models are illustrated using data from a HIV blooding test study throughout California, 2000.

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Comparison of Step-Wise and Exact Maximum Likelihood Estimations on Cell Probabilities of Contingency Table (단계별로 얻어진 이차원 분할표의 모수 추정을 위한 정확최대우도추정법과 단계별추출추정법의 비교)

  • Lee, Sang-Eun;Kang, Kee-Hoon;Jeung, Seok-O;Shin, Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2010
  • In multinomial scheme with step-wise sampling, maximum likelihood estimates of multinomial probabilities are improved when some frequencies are merged. In this study, for cell probabilities in a I by J independent contingency tables, exact MLE and step-wise estimation methods are applied and the results are compared using MSE and Bias.