• 제목/요약/키워드: Monte-Carlo methods

검색결과 949건 처리시간 0.025초

납 취급 근로자의 Monte-Carlo simulation을 이용한 노출 및 건강위해성평가 (Exposure and Health Risk Assessment of Lead Workers using Monte-Carlo Simulation)

  • 염정호;권근상;이주형;정주원
    • 한국산업보건학회지
    • /
    • 제16권2호
    • /
    • pp.110-122
    • /
    • 2006
  • Objective : This study was conducted to quantify chronic lead exposure from various media(ie. working environment, food, ambient air), and to certify the usefulness of exposure assessment using Monte-Carlo simulation in the fields of occupational health. Methods : Data were obtained from Korean Industrial Health Association, Korea Food and Drug Administration, and the Ministry of Environment. Then lead worker's exposure was estimated indirectly from various media and parameters (ie. volume inhaled, body weight, dietary intake, etc.). Uncertainty was analyzed by Monte Carlo simulation with Crystal Ball software. Exposure doses and hazard indices were simulated with various hypothetical scenarios including weekly working hours and respiratory protective equipment. Results : Without respiratory protective equipment, the total exposure dose per kilogram of body weight of lead workers was estimated as $5.45{\times}10^{-3}mg/kg/day$, and hazard index was estimated as 2.26, and exposure contributions were calculated as follows : working environment(82.42 %); foods(17.57 %); and ambient air(0.01 %). But, if working condition has changed - reduction of working hours and using respiratory protective equipment, the total exposure dose per kilogram of body weight was estimated between $1.34{\times}10^{-3}-1.49{\times}10^{-3}mg/kg/day$, and hazard index was estimated between 0.56 - 0.62. Conclusions : This study suggested that occurrence of hazardous impact(ie. increased blood pressure) through lifetime lead exposure would be expected, and that the Monte-Carlo simulation was useful for the fields of occupational health.

Comparative Study of Exposure Assessment of Dust in Building Materials Enterprises Using ART and Monte Carlo

  • Wei Jiang;Zonghao Wu;Mengqi Zhang;Haoguang Zhang
    • Safety and Health at Work
    • /
    • 제15권1호
    • /
    • pp.33-41
    • /
    • 2024
  • Background: Dust generated during the processing of building materials enterprises can pose a serious health risk. The study aimed to compare and analyze the results of ART and the Monte Carlo model for the dust exposure assessment in building materials enterprises, to derive the application scope of the two models. Methods: First, ART and the Monte Carlo model were used to assess the exposure to dust in each of the 15 building materials enterprises. Then, a comparative analysis of the exposure assessment results was conducted. Finally, the model factors were analyzed using correlation analysis and the scope of application of the models was determined. Results: The results show that ART is mainly influenced by four factors, namely, localized controls, segregation, dispersion, surface contamination, and fugitive emissions, and applies to scenarios where the workplace information of the building materials enterprises is specific and the average dust concentration is greater than or equal to 1.5 mg/m3. The Monte Carlo model is mainly influenced by the dust concentration in the workplace of building materials enterprises and is suitable for scenarios where the dust concentration in the workplace of the building materials enterprises is relatively uniform and the average dust concentration is less than or equal to 6mg/m3. Conclusion: ART is most accurate when workplace information is specific and average dust concentration is > 1.5 mg/m3; whereas, The Monte Carlo model is the best when dust concentration is homogeneous and average dust concentration is < 6 mg/m3.

나노 스케일 확산 공정 모사를 위한 동력학적 몬테칼로 소개 (An Introduction to Kinetic Monte Carlo Methods for Nano-scale Diffusion Process Modeling)

  • 황치옥;서지현;권오섭;김기동;원태영
    • 대한전자공학회논문지SD
    • /
    • 제41권6호
    • /
    • pp.25-31
    • /
    • 2004
  • 본 논문에서는 나노 스케일 확산 공정 모사를 위한 방법으로 동력학적 몬테칼로(kinetic Monte Carlo)를 소개하고자 한다. 먼저 동력학적 몬테칼로의 이론과 배경을 살펴보고 실제적인 이해를 돕기 위하여 실리콘 기판에 이온(전자) 주입 후 열처리과정에서 일어나는 점결함의 확산을 동력학적 몬테칼로를 이용하여 모사하는 간단한 예를 보여주고 있다. 동력학적 몬테칼로는 몬테칼로의 일종이지만 기존의 몬테칼로에서 구현하지 못하였던 물리적인 시간을 포아송 확률 과정을 통하여 구현하였다. 동력학적 몬테칼로 확산 공정 모사에서는 연속 확산 미분 방정식의 해를 구하는 기존의 유한 요소 수치 해석적 방법과 달리원자 상호간 혹은 원자와 결함 또는 결함들 간의 화학적 반응과 입자들의 확산 과정을 포아송 확률 과정에 따라 일어나는 화학적 반응, 입자들의 확산 사건의 연속으로 본다. 사건마다 고유의 사건 발생 확률을 갖고 이 사건 발생 확률에 따라 일어나는 확률적 사건의 연속적 발생으로 실제의 반도체 확산 공정을 시간에 따라 직접적으로 모사할 수 있다. 입자들 간의 화학적 반응 사건 확률과 입자들의 확산 공정에 필요한 확률적 인자들은 분자 동역학, 양자 역학적 계산, 흑은 실험으로 얻어진다.

Enhanced-Precision LHSMC of Electrical Circuit Considering Low Discrepancy

  • Park, Eun-Suk;Oh, Deok-Keun;Kim, Ju-Ho
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
    • /
    • 제15권1호
    • /
    • pp.101-113
    • /
    • 2015
  • The Monte-Carlo (MC) technique is very efficient solution for statistical problem. Various MC methods can easily be applied to statistical circuit performance analysis. Recently, as the number of process parameters and their impact, has increasingly affected circuit performance, a sufficient sample size is required in order to consider high dimensionality, profound nonlinearity, and stringent accuracy requirements. Also, it is important to identify the performance of circuit as soon as possible. In this paper, Fast MC method is proposed for efficient analysis of circuit performance. The proposed method analyzes performance using enhanced-precision Latin Hypercube Sampling Monte Carlo (LHSMC). To increase the accuracy of the analysis, we calculate the effective dimension for the low discrepancy value on critical parameters. This will guarantee a robust input vector for the critical parameters. Using a 90nm process parameter and OP-AMP, we verified the accuracy and reliability of the proposed method in comparison with the standard MC, LHS and Quasi Monte Carlo (QMC).

Simulation, design optimization, and experimental validation of a silver SPND for neutron flux mapping in the Tehran MTR

  • Saghafi, Mahdi;Ayyoubzadeh, Seyed Mohsen;Terman, Mohammad Sadegh
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제52권12호
    • /
    • pp.2852-2859
    • /
    • 2020
  • This paper deals with the simulation-based design optimization and experimental validation of the characteristics of an in-core silver Self-Powered Neutron Detector (SPND). Optimized dimensions of the SPND are determined by combining Monte Carlo simulations and analytical methods. As a first step, the Monte Carlo transport code MCNPX is used to follow the trajectory and fate of the neutrons emitted from an external source. This simulation is able to seamlessly integrate various phenomena, including neutron slowing-down and shielding effects. Then, the expected number of beta particles and their energy spectrum following a neutron capture reaction in the silver emitter are fetched from the TENDEL database using the JANIS software interface and integrated with the data from the first step to yield the origin and spectrum of the source electrons. Eventually, the MCNPX transport code is used for the Monte Carlo calculation of the ballistic current of beta particles in the various regions of the SPND. Then, the output current and the maximum insulator thickness to avoid breakdown are determined. The optimum design of the SPND is then manufactured and experimental tests are conducted. The calculated design parameters of this detector have been found in good agreement with the obtained experimental results.

Monte Carlo-based identification of electron and proton edges for calibration of miniaturized tissue equivalent proportional counter

  • Mingi Eom;Sukwon Youn;Sung-Joon Ye
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제55권11호
    • /
    • pp.4167-4172
    • /
    • 2023
  • Miniaturized tissue equivalent proportional counters (mini-TEPCs) are proper for radiation dosimetry in medical application because the small size of the dosimeter could prevent pile-up effect under the high intensity of therapeutic beam. However, traditional methods of calibrating mini-TEPCs using internal alpha sources are not feasible due to their small size. In this study, we investigated the use of electron and proton edges on Monte Carlo-generated lineal energy spectra as markers for calibrating a 0.9 mm diameter and length mini-TEPC. Three possible markers for each spectrum were calculated and compared using different simulation tools. Our simulations showed that the electron edge markers were more consistent across different simulation tools than the proton edge markers, which showed greater variation due to differences in the microdosimetric spectra. In most cases, the second marker, yδδ, had the smallest uncertainty. Our findings suggest that the lineal energy spectra from mini-TEPCs can be calibrated using Monte Carlo simulations that closely resemble real-world detector and source geometries.

개선된 평가점 선정기법을 이용한 응답면기법 (Improved Response Surface Method Using Modified Selection Technique of Sampling Points)

  • 김상효;나성원;황학주
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국전산구조공학회 1993년도 가을 학술발표회논문집
    • /
    • pp.248-255
    • /
    • 1993
  • Recently, due to the increasing attention to the structural safety under uncertain environments, many researches on the structural reliability analysis have been peformed. Some useful methods are available to evaluate performance reliability of structures with explicit limit states. However, for large structures, in which structural behaviors can be analyzed with finite element models and the limit states are only expressed implicitly, Monte-Carlo simulation method has been mainly used. However, Monte-Carlo simulation method spends too much computational time on repetitive structural analysis. Many alternative methods are suggested to reduce the computational work required in Monte-Carlo simulation. Response surface method is widely used to improve the efficiency of structural reliability analysis. Response surface method is based on the concept of approximating simple polynomial function of basic random variables for the limit state which is not easily expressed in explicit forms of design random variables. The response surface method has simple algorithm. However, the accuracy of results highly depends on how properly the stochastic characteristics of the original limit state has been represented by approximated function, In this study, an improved response surface method is proposed in which the sampling points for creating response surface are modified to represent the failure surface more adequately and the combined use of a linear response surface function and Rackwitz-Fiessler method has been employed. The method is found to be more effective and efficient than previous response surface methods. In addition more consistent convergence is achieved, Accuracy of the proposed method has been investigated through example.

  • PDF

A study on the uncertainty of setpoint for reactor trip system of NPPs considering rectangular distributions

  • Youngho Jin;Jae-Yong Lee;Oon-Pyo Zhu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제56권5호
    • /
    • pp.1845-1853
    • /
    • 2024
  • The setpoint of the reactor trip system shall be set to consider the measurement uncertainty of the instrument channel and provide a reasonable and sufficient margin between the analytical limit and the trip setpoint. A comparative analysis was conducted to find out an appropriate uncertainty combination method through an example problem. The four methods were evaluated; 1) ISA-67.04.01 method, 2) the GUM95 method, 3) the modified GUM method developed by Fotowicz, and 4) the modified IEC61888 method proposed by authors for the pressure instrument channel presented in ISA-RP67.04.02 example. The appropriateness of each method was validated by comparing it with the result of Monte Carlo simulation. As a result of the evaluation, all methods are appropriate when all measurement uncertainty elements are normally distributed as expected. But ISA-67.04 method and GUM95 method overestimated the channel uncertainty if there is a dominant input element with rectangular distribution among the uncertainty input elements. Modified GUM95 methods developed by Fotowicz and modified IEC61888 method by authors are able to produce almost the same level of channel uncertainty as the Monte Carlo method, even when there is a dominant rectangular distribution among the uncertainty components, without computer-assisted simulations.

다중구조관리자 특성이 반영된 확률모델 기반의 몬테카를로 신뢰도 해석 기법 연구 (Reliability Analysis of a System with Redundancy Management Based on Monte-Carlo Probability Model)

  • 김성수;박상혁;김성환;최기영;박춘배;하철근
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
    • /
    • 제17권11호
    • /
    • pp.1132-1137
    • /
    • 2011
  • Critical systems with high reliability feature fault tolerant redundancy. Conventional analytical reliability analysis methods that use the Reliability Block Diagram do not adequately reflect characteristics of the redundancy management system and are not suitable for this applications. This paper uses Monte-Carlo method to calculate the reliability of complicated redundant systems. The method was first validated for cases with analytical solutions. Then, the tool was successfully applied to analyze reliability of the flight control systems with a voter as redundancy management system.

불규칙 매개변수 가진을 받는 비선형계의 확률론적 진동평가 (Vibration of Non-linear System under Random Parametric Excitations by Probabilistic Method)

  • 이신영
    • 한국정밀공학회지
    • /
    • 제23권12호
    • /
    • pp.72-79
    • /
    • 2006
  • Vibration of a non-linear system under random parametric excitations was evaluated by probabilistic methods. The non-linear characteristic terms of a system structure were quasi-linearized and excitation terms were remained as they were An analytical method where the square mean of error was minimized was used An alternative method was an energy method where the damping energy and restoring energy of the linearized system were equalized to those of the original non-linear system. The numerical results were compared with those obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. The comparison showed the results obtained by Monte Carlo simulation located between those by the analytical method and those by the energy method.