• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte Carlo model

Search Result 1,443, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Stochastic Simulation of Monthly Streamflow by Gamma Distribution Model (Gamma 분포모델에 의한 하천유량의 Simulation에 관한 연구)

  • 이중석;이순택
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.41-50
    • /
    • 1980
  • The prupose of this study are the theoretical examination of Gamma distribution function and its application to hydraulic engineering, that is studying the simulation of monthly streamflow by the Gamma distribtution function model(Gamma Model) based on Monte Carlo technique. In the analysis, monthly streamflow data in the Nak Dong River, the Han River, and the Keum River were used and the data were changed to modular coefficient in order to make the analysis convenient. At first, the fitness of monthly streamflow to 2-Parameter Gamma distribution was tested by Chi-square and Kolmogrov-Smironov test, by which it was found the monthly streamflow were fit well to this Gamma distribution function. Then, the Gamma Model based on the Gamma distribution and Monte Carlo Method was used in the simulation of monthly streamflow, and simulateddata showed that all their stastical characteristics were preserved well in the simulation. Consequently, it can be concluded that the Gamma Model is suitable for the simulation of monthly streamflow series directly by using the Mote Carlo technique.

  • PDF

Markov Chain Monte Carol estimation in Two Successive Occasion Sampling with Radomized Response Model

  • Lee, Kay-O
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.211-224
    • /
    • 2000
  • The Bayes estimation of the proportion in successive occasions sampling with randomized response model is discussed by means of Acceptance Rejection sampling. Bayesian estimation of transition probabilities in two successive occasions is suggested via Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm and its applicability is represented in a numerical example.

  • PDF

A Monte Carlo Simulation Model Development for Electron Beam Lithography Process in the Multi-Layer Resists and Compound Semiconductor Substrates (다층 리지스트 및 화합물 반도체 기판 구조에서의 전자 빔 리소그래피 공정을 위한 몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션 모델 개발)

  • 손명식
    • Journal of the Korean Vacuum Society
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.182-192
    • /
    • 2003
  • A new Monte Carlo (MC) simulator for electron beam lithography process in the multi-layer resists and compound semiconductor substrates has been developed in order to fabricate and develop the high-speed PHEMT devices for millimeter-wave frequencies. For the accurate and efficient calculation of the transferred and deposited energy distribution to the multi-component and multi-layer targets by electron beams, we newly modeled for the multi-layer resists and heterogeneous multi-layer substrates. By this model, the T-shaped gate fabrication process by electron beam lithography in the PHEMT device has been simulated and analyzed. The simulation results are shown along with the SEM observations in the T-gate formation process, which verifies the new model in this paper.

Reliability Analysis of a System with Redundancy Management Based on Monte-Carlo Probability Model (다중구조관리자 특성이 반영된 확률모델 기반의 몬테카를로 신뢰도 해석 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Su;Park, Sang-Hyuk;Kim, Sung-Hwan;Choi, Kee-Young;Park, Choon-Bae;Ha, Cheol-Keun
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
    • /
    • v.17 no.11
    • /
    • pp.1132-1137
    • /
    • 2011
  • Critical systems with high reliability feature fault tolerant redundancy. Conventional analytical reliability analysis methods that use the Reliability Block Diagram do not adequately reflect characteristics of the redundancy management system and are not suitable for this applications. This paper uses Monte-Carlo method to calculate the reliability of complicated redundant systems. The method was first validated for cases with analytical solutions. Then, the tool was successfully applied to analyze reliability of the flight control systems with a voter as redundancy management system.

Statistical Modeling of 3-D Parallel-Plate Embedded Capacitors Using Monte Carlo Simulation

  • Yun, Il-Gu;Poddar, Ravi;Carastro, Lawrence;Brooke, Martin;May, Gary S.
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.23-32
    • /
    • 2001
  • Examination of the statistical variation of integrated passive components is crucial for designing and characterizing the performance of multichip module (MCM) substrates. In this paper, the statistical analysis of parallel plate capacitors with gridded plates manufactured in a multilayer low temperature cofired ceramic (LTCC) process is presented. A set of integrated capacitor structures is fabricated, and their scattering parameters are measured for a range of frequencies from 50 MHz to 5 GHz. Using optimized equivalent circuits obtained from HSPICE, mean and absolute deviation is calculated for each component of each device model. Monte Carlo Analysis for the capacitor structures is then performed using HSPICE. Using a comparison of the Monte Carlo results and measured data, it is determined that even a small number of sample structures, the statistical variation of the component values provides an accurate representation of the overall capacitor performance.

  • PDF

Analysis of Electromagnetic Wave Scattering from a Sea Surface Using a Monte-Carlo FDTD Technique

  • Choi Dong-Muk;Kim Che-Young;Kim Dong-Il;Jeon Joong-Sung
    • Journal of electromagnetic engineering and science
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.87-91
    • /
    • 2005
  • This paper presents a Monte-Carlo FDTD technique to determine the scattered field from a perfectly conducting surface like a sea surface, from which the useful information on the incoherent pattern tendency could be observed. A one-dimensional sea surface used to analysis scattering was generated using the Pierson-Moskowitz model. In order to verify the numerical results by this technique, these results are compared with those of the small perturbation method, which show a good match between them. To investigate the incoherent pattern tendency involved, the dependence of the back scattering coefficients on the different wind speed(U) is discussed for the back scattering case.

A DSMC Technique for the Analysis of Chemical Reactions in Hypersonic Rarefied Flows (화학반응을 수반하는 극초음속 희박류 유동의 직접모사법 개발)

  • Chung C. H.;Yoon S. J.
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
    • /
    • v.4 no.3
    • /
    • pp.63-70
    • /
    • 1999
  • A Direct simulation Monte-Carlo (DSMC) code is developed, which employs the Monte-Carlo statistical sampling technique to investigate hypersonic rarefied gas flows accompanying chemical reactions. The DSMC method is a numerical simulation technique for analyzing the Boltzmann equation by modeling a real gas flow using a representative set of molecules. Due to the limitations in computational requirements. the present method is applied to a flow around a simple two-dimensional object in exit velocity of 7.6 km/sec at an altitude of 90 km. For the calculation of chemical reactions an air model with five species (O₂, N₂, O, N, NO) and 19 chemical reactions is employed. The simulated result showed various rarefaction effects in the hypersonic flow with chemical reactions.

  • PDF

The Feasibility Study on the Monte Carlo Based RTP Commissioning

  • Kang, Sei-Kwon;Cho, Byung-Chul;Park, Suk-Won;Oh, Do-Hoon;Park, Hee-Chul;Bae, Hoon-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Medical Physics Conference
    • /
    • 2004.11a
    • /
    • pp.43-46
    • /
    • 2004
  • The commissioning of a treatment planning system of model-based dose calculation algorithm requires a lot of parameters to be selected to fit measured data, in which process physical insights for the parameters are often forgotten. We present the photon beam commissioning of Pinnacle$^3$ with the help of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation and evaluate the parameters Pinnacle$^3$ demands. Even though the MC calculation produces reasonable values for the commissioning, the thorough physical basis of the Pinnacles$^3$'s commissioning process is needed to use the MC derived parameters directly.

  • PDF

A neural network approach for simulating stationary stochastic processes

  • Beer, Michael;Spanos, Pol D.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.71-94
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this paper a procedure for Monte Carlo simulation of univariate stationary stochastic processes with the aid of neural networks is presented. Neural networks operate model-free and, thus, circumvent the need of specifying a priori statistical properties of the process, as needed traditionally. This is particularly advantageous when only limited data are available. A neural network can capture the "pattern" of a short observed time series. Afterwards, it can directly generate stochastic process realizations which capture the properties of the underlying data. In the present study a simple feed-forward network with focused time-memory is utilized. The proposed procedure is demonstrated by examples of Monte Carlo simulation, by synthesis of future values of an initially short single process record.

Relative Power Density Distribution Calculations of the Kori Unit 1 Pressurized Water Reactor with Full-Scope Explicit Modeling of Monte Carlo Simulation

  • Kim, Jong-Oh;Kim, Jong-Kyung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.29 no.5
    • /
    • pp.375-384
    • /
    • 1997
  • Relative power density distributions of the Kori Unit 1 pressurized water reactor are calculated by Monte Carlo modeling with the MCNP code. The Kori Unit 1 core is modeled on a three-dimensional representation of the one-eighth of the reactor in-vessel component with reflective boundaries at 0 and 45 degrees. The axial core model is based on half core symmetry and is divided into four axial segments. Fission reaction density in each rod is calculated by following 100 cycles with 5,000 test neutrons in each cycle after starling with a localized neutron source and ten noncontributing settle cycles. Relative assembly power distributions are calculated from fission reaction densities of rods in assembly. After 100 cycle calculations, the system converges to a k value of 1.00039 $\geq$ 0.00084. Relative assembly power distribution is nearly the same with that of the Kori Unit 1 FSAR. Applicability of the full-scope Monte Carlo simulation in the power distribution calculation is examined by the relative root moan square error of 2.159%.

  • PDF