• Title/Summary/Keyword: Metropolis algorithm

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Methods of Design Optimality Evaluation for Caisson Structural Systems (케이슨 구조계의 설계 최적성 평가)

  • Choi Min-Hee;Ryu Yeon-Sun;Cho Hyun-Man;Na Won-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2005
  • Numerical procedure of design optimality evaluation is studied for caisson structural systems. Two kinds of evaluation methods can be considered; mathematical optimality criteria method (MOCM) and numerical optimization method (NOM). The choice of the method depends on the available information of the system MOCM can be used only when the information of all function values, gradients and Lagrange multipliers is available, which may not be realistic in practice. Therefore, in this study, NOMs are applied for the structural optimality evaluation, where only design variables are necessary. To this end, Metropolis genetic algorithm (MGA) is advantageously used and applied for a standard optimization model of caisson composite breakwater. In the numerical example, cost and constraint functions are assumed to be changed from the orignal design situation and their effects are evaluated for optimality. From the theoretical consideration and numerical experience, it is found that the proposed optimality evaluation procedure with MGA-based NOM is efficient and practically applicable.

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Bayesian Methods for Wavelet Series in Single-Index Models

  • Park, Chun-Gun;Vannucci, Marina;Hart, Jeffrey D.
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.83-126
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    • 2005
  • Single-index models have found applications in econometrics and biometrics, where multidimensional regression models are often encountered. Here we propose a nonparametric estimation approach that combines wavelet methods for non-equispaced designs with Bayesian models. We consider a wavelet series expansion of the unknown regression function and set prior distributions for the wavelet coefficients and the other model parameters. To ensure model identifiability, the direction parameter is represented via its polar coordinates. We employ ad hoc hierarchical mixture priors that perform shrinkage on wavelet coefficients and use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for a posteriori inference. We investigate an independence-type Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to produce samples for the direction parameter. Our method leads to simultaneous estimates of the link function and of the index parameters. We present results on both simulated and real data, where we look at comparisons with other methods.

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Bayesian Hierarchical Model with Skewed Elliptical Distribution

  • Chung Younshik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2000
  • Meta-analysis refers to quantitative methods for combining results from independent studies in order to draw overall conclusions. We consider hierarchical models including selection models under a skewed heavy tailed error distribution and it is shown to be useful in such Bayesian meta-analysis. A general class of skewed elliptical distribution is reviewed and developed. These rich class of models combine the information of independent studies, allowing investigation of variability both between and within studies, and weight function. Here we investigate sensitivity of results to unobserved studies by considering a hierarchical selection model and use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to develop inference for the parameters of interest.

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A Bayesian Approach to Detecting Outliers Using Variance-Inflation Model

  • Lee, Sangjeen;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.805-814
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    • 2001
  • The problem of 'outliers', observations which look suspicious in some way, has long been one of the most concern in the statistical structure to experimenters and data analysts. We propose a model for outliers problem and also analyze it in linear regression model using a Bayesian approach with the variance-inflation model. We will use Geweke's(1996) ideas which is based on the data augmentation method for detecting outliers in linear regression model. The advantage of the proposed method is to find a subset of data which is most suspicious in the given model by the posterior probability The sampling based approach can be used to allow the complicated Bayesian computation. Finally, our proposed methodology is applied to a simulated and a real data.

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Bayesian Approach for Determining the Order p in Autoregressive Models

  • Kim, Chansoo;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.777-786
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    • 2001
  • The autoregressive models have been used to describe a wade variety of time series. Then the problem of determining the order in the times series model is very important in data analysis. We consider the Bayesian approach for finding the order of autoregressive(AR) error models using the latent variable which is motivated by Tanner and Wong(1987). The latent variables are combined with the coefficient parameters and the sequential steps are proposed to set up the prior of the latent variables. Markov chain Monte Carlo method(Gibbs sampler and Metropolis-Hasting algorithm) is used in order to overcome the difficulties of Bayesian computations. Three examples including AR(3) error model are presented to illustrate our proposed methodology.

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ASSESSING POPULATION BIOEQUIVALENCE IN A $2{\times}2$ CROSSOVER DESIGN WITH CARRYOVER EFFECT IN A BAYESIAN PERSPECTIVE

  • Oh Hyun-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.239-250
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    • 2006
  • A $2{\times}2$ crossover design including carryover effect is considered for assessment of population bioequivalence of two drug formulations in a Bayesian framework. In classical analysis, it is complex to deal with the carryover effect since the estimate of the drug effect is biased in the presence of a carryover effect. The proposed method in this article uses uninformative priors and vague proper priors for objectiveness of priors and the posterior probability distribution of the parameters of interest is derived with given priors. The posterior probabilities of the hypotheses for assessing population bioequivalence are evaluated based on a Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation method. An example with real data set is given for illustration.

BAYESIAN HIERARCHICAL MODEL WITH SKEWED ELLIPTICAL DISTRIBUTION

  • Chung, Youn-Shik;Dipak K. Dey;Yang, Tae-Young;Jang, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.425-448
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    • 2003
  • Meta-analysis refers to quantitative methods for combining results from independent studies in order to draw overall conclusions. We consider hierarchical models including selection models under a skewed heavy tailed error distribution proposed originally by Chen et al. (1999) and Branco and Dey (2001). These rich classes of models combine the information of independent studies, allowing investigation of variability both between and within studies, and incorporate weight function. Here, the testing for the skewness parameter is discussed. The score test statistic for such a test can be shown to be expressed as the posterior expectations. Also, we consider the detail computational scheme under skewed normal and skewed Student-t distribution using MCMC method. Finally, we introduce one example from Johnson (1993)'s real data and apply our proposed methodology. We investigate sensitivity of our results under different skewed errors and under different prior distributions.

Bayesian analysis for the bivariate Poisson regression model: Applications to road safety countermeasures

  • Choe, Hyeong-Gu;Lim, Joon-Beom;Won, Yong-Ho;Lee, Soo-Beom;Kim, Seong-W.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.851-858
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    • 2012
  • We consider a bivariate Poisson regression model to analyze discrete count data when two dependent variables are present. We estimate the regression coefficients as sociated with several safety countermeasures. We use Markov chain and Monte Carlo techniques to execute some computations. A simulation and real data analysis are performed to demonstrate model fitting performances of the proposed model.

Bayesian Estimation for Inflection S-shaped Software Reliability Growth Model (변곡 S-형 소프트웨어 신뢰도성장모형의 베이지안 모수추정)

  • Kim, Hee-Soo;Lee, Chong-Hyung;Park, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2009
  • The inflection S-shaped software reliability growth model (SRGM) proposed by Ohba(1984) is one of the most commonly used models and has been discussed by many authors. The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the parameters of Ohba's SRGM within the Bayesian framework by applying the Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. While the maximum likelihood estimates for these parameters are well known, the Bayesian method for the inflection S-shaped SRGM have not been discussed in the literature. The proposed methods can be quite flexible depending on the choice of prior distributions for the parameters of interests. We also compare the Bayesian methods with the maximum likelihood method numerically based on the real data.

Classical and Bayesian studies for a new lifetime model in presence of type-II censoring

  • Goyal, Teena;Rai, Piyush K;Maury, Sandeep K
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.385-410
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes a new class of distribution using the concept of exponentiated of distribution function that provides a more flexible model to the baseline model. It also proposes a new lifetime distribution with different types of hazard rates such as decreasing, increasing and bathtub. After studying some basic statistical properties and parameter estimation procedure in case of complete sample observation, we have studied point and interval estimation procedures in presence of type-II censored samples under a classical as well as Bayesian paradigm. In the Bayesian paradigm, we considered a Gibbs sampler under Metropolis-Hasting for estimation under two different loss functions. After simulation studies, three different real datasets having various nature are considered for showing the suitability of the proposed model.