• 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국조명전기설비학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.366-368
• /
• 2007

In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate (TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO). For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential (random failure) and Weibull (aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate (MFR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
• /
• 제3권1호
• /
• pp.1-16
• /
• 2002

In reliability engineering, the bathtub-shaped hazard rates play an important role in survival analysis and many other applications as well. For the bathtub-shaped, initially the hazard rate decreases from a relatively high value due to manufacturing defects or infant mortality to a relatively stable middle useful life value and then slowly increases with the onset of old age or wear out. In this paper, we present a new two-parameter lifetime distribution function, called the Loglog distribution, with Vtub-shaped hazard rate function. We illustrate the usefulness of the new Vtub-shaped hazard rate function by evaluating the reliability of several helicopter parts based on the data obtained in the maintenance malfunction information reporting system database collected from October 1995 to September 1999. We develop the S-Plus add-in software tool, called Reliability and Safety Assessment (RSA), to calculate reliability measures include mean time to failure, mean residual function, and confidence Intervals of the two helicopter critical parts. We use the mean squared error to compare relative goodness of fit test of the distribution models include normal, lognormal, and Weibull within the two data sets. This research indicates that the result of the new Vtub-shaped hazard rate function is worth the extra function-complexity for a better relative fit. More application in broader validation of this conclusion is needed using other data sets for reliability modeling in a general industrial setting.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
• /
• 제11권1호
• /
• pp.76-85
• /
• 1986

This study was intended to examine the failure characteristics and breakdowns of the head-fed type combines generally used on farms. The failure distribution was assumed to follow Weibull distribution function and the Weibull parameters of the major parts, units and combine as whole were estimated by using the data collected in a survey. A computer program for the estimation of the Weibull parameter was developed. Monte Carlo method was used in predicting the time between failures. The results of study may be summarized as follows: 1. The number of failures per combine was 4.83 times per year and 0.3 times per hectare of combines of different ages. 2. According to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test method, it was proved that the Weibull distribution function is well fitted to the characteristics of the failure and breakdowns of combines. 3. Weibull parameters of failure distribution of the combine as a whole were estimated to give the shape parameter ${\beta}$=1.3089 and the scale parameter ${\alpha}$=105.2409. The combining area with 80% reliability was 1.1 ha, and the probability of operating the combine without any failure for a year, was $2.76{\times}10^{-4}$. 4. The mean time between failures (MTBF) of the combines was predicted to be 3.2 ha of operation, which corresponds to 32 hours of operation.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
• /
• 제19권3호
• /
• pp.43-51
• /
• 2018

건축물생애주기 중 유지관리단계는 비용적인 측면에서 그리고 건축물 가치 관리적인 측면에서 매우 중요한 단계이다. 그럼에도 불구하고, 아직 체계적이고 합리적인 유지관리 프로세스가 마련되어있지 않아 정확하고 선제적인 유지관리를 통한 건축물 가치상승 및 생애주기비용 관리를 적절하게 하지 못 하는 경우가 많다. 이러한 주된 원인은 유지관리 데이터에 대한 객관적인 분석을 토대로 한 프로세스를 구축하려는 노력이 미흡한 결과이다. 본 연구의 목적은 최적의 유지관리 프로세스를 개발하기 위한 기초연구로써 합리적인 유지관리 데이터 분석을 위한 데이터 체계를 구축하고, 이를 바탕으로 정량적 데이터분석에 기반 한 유지관리 프로세스를 제안하는데 있다. 본 연구는 유지관리 전문가 면담 및 관련 실무자료 분석을 통해 기존의 데이터체계를 검토하고, 그 한계점을 도출하였고 그에 대한 해답으로써 유지관리 분야의 정량적인 데이터 분석도구인 MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure)를 활용한 공간정보 기반 유지관리 데이터분석 방법을 제시하였다. 결과적으로 이러한 분석방법을 활용한 최적의 유지관리 프로세스를 제안하고 실제 유지관리 데이터에 이를 대입하여 그 효과성을 검증하였다. 체계적인 유지관리 실행을 위한 프레임으로써 활용이 될 경우 객관적이고 합리적인 유지관리 의사결정에 도움이 될 수 있을 것으로 판단되며, 이를 바탕으로 한 시스템 개발 시 유용한 기초자료로 이용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 대한기관식도과학회지
• /
• 제6권2호
• /
• pp.177-180
• /
• 2000

Backgrounds： Patients with respiratory failure may require prolonged mechanical ventilation. The purpose of this study was to determine the optimal time for tracheostomy and complications of tracheostomy. Methods : All medical records of 27 patients who underwent tracheostomy in department of thoracic & cardiovascular surgery at Yondong Severance hospital between January 1, 1990 and December 31, 1998, were reviewed. Variables analyzed include underlying disease, primary indication of tracheostomy, interval from 1st intubation to tracheostomy, duration from tracheostomy to weaning ventilator, duration of decannulation, and complication. There were 18 men and 9 women. Mean age at the time of the tracheostomy was 54 years (rage, 11 to 64 yeras). Results : Underlying diseases included lung cancer in 14 patients (51.9%), trauma in 8 patients (29.6%), and TE fistula in 2 patients. The indication for tracheostomy were as follows: prolonged mechanical ventilation in 13 patients, purpose of bronchial toilet in 9 patients, and tracheal stenosis in 5 patients. The mean interval between the first intubation and tracheostomy was 8.1 days. The mean duration from tracheostomy to weaning ventilator was 10.1 days. Conclusions : Timing of tracheostomy Is very important. Tracheostomy may benefit patients because it can accelerate the process of weaning and thus lead to a reduction in the duration of ventilation, length of hospitalization, and cost.

• 한국농공학회지
• /
• 제17권1호
• /
• pp.3702-3711
• /
• 1975

This study was originated to investigate the imparired parts of the mist and dust blowers and intended to analyze the causes of their failures by the use of the Weibull probability paper. By the use of the paper, the parts which were needed to change the design, the force of the urgency, the mean time between failures of the parts and the basic causes of the troubles could be predicted. The survey showed that the following parts got out of order: (A) flexible rubber hose, (B) blowing fan, (C) lead valve, (D) piston ring. (E) crank main bearing, (F) coil in magneto and (G) needle valve in carburettor. The analysis of the survey indicated that the parts G, C, E and D were belonged to "wear-out failure", and that the mean time between failures became shorter in order as indicated above. To insure longer lives of those parts, it would be necessary to change the design and the material and to upgrade operators mechanical technique of the mist and dust blower. The failure of the parts A, B and F was classified as "randomfailure", and they did not seem to be the "wear-out" at that time. The parts B and F was evaluated as "initial failure". Quality controls and operating tests by the producer. and the operational training for users should be strengthened so as to eliminate these failures. Were the failures only in the parts A, C, D, E, F and G, it could be said that the "reliability" of the mist and dust blower would fall to 10 percent in the second year, and 50 percent of the mist and dust blowers would fail in all parts A, C, D, E, F and G before the blower would have control insect and disease in 58.2 hectares. The use of the Weibull probability paper for analyzing failures of the mist and dust blowers was effective in that it analyzed failure in the relationship between strength of the parts and users actual circumstanoes.

• 융합보안논문지
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.55-61
• /
• 2010

소프트웨어 제품을 개발하여 테스팅을 거친 후 사용자에게 인도하는 시기를 결정하는 일은 아주 실제적이고 흥미 있는 일이 된다. 이러한 문제를 소프트웨어 최적 방출시기라고 한다. 본 연구에서는 소프트웨어의 결함을 제거하거나 수정 작업 중에도 새로운 결함이 발생될 가능성이 있는 무한고장수를 가진 비동질적인 포아송 과정에 기초하고 고장간격 수명 시간의 형태에 따른 방출시간의 비교에 대하여 연구되었다. 소프트웨어 요구 신뢰도를 만족시키고 소프트웨어 개발및 유지 총비용을 최소화시키는 최적 소프트웨어 방출 정책이 된다. 본 논문의 수치적인 예에서는 모의실험 자료 즉, 강도함수가 일정한 경우, 증가하는 경우, 감소하는 경우를 적용하여 최적 방출시기를 추정하고 그 결과를 나열 하였다.

• 품질경영학회지
• /
• 제23권1호
• /
• pp.41-49
• /
• 1995

This paper suggests optimal accelerated constant stress life tests in Exponential distribution. The relationship between the log-mean life and the loaded stress is assumed to be linear. Optimal plans considering mean square errors of maximum likelihood estimators of the log mean life and test costs are obtained. We consider accelerated life tests with two stress levels, and as data types, failure censoring( type II) and time censoring(type I) data are used. We propose the procedure to obtain the optimal plans for each case. Some examples are also included.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
• /
• 제12권1호
• /
• pp.61-77
• /
• 2011

One of the most important problems in the estimation of the parameter of the failure model, is the cost of experimental sampling units, which can be reduced by using any prior information available about ${\theta}$, and devising a two-stage pooling shrunken estimation procedure. We have proposed an estimator of the reliability function (R(t)) of the exponential model using two-stage time censored data when a prior value about the unknown parameter (${\theta}$) is available from the past. To compare the performance of the proposed estimator with the classical estimator, computer intensive calculations for bias, mean squared error, relative efficiency, expected sample size and percentage of the overall sample size saved expressions, were done for varying the constants involved in the proposed estimator (${\tilde{R}}$(t)).

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
• /
• 제8권1호
• /
• pp.67-82
• /
• 2007

This paper deals with the effectiveness analysis of an engineering system, which has two units of different strengths in parallel and one unit as a cold standby unit. Failure times for all the units have negative exponential distribution whereas their repair times have general distribution. Single server caters the need for the system. The effectiveness analysis of the system is done by using regenerative point technique. The different measures of effectiveness such as mean sojourn time, mean time to system failure, availability, busy period, etc, are derived. Cost factors also taken into consideration.