• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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• 2003.11a
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• pp.77-79
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• 2003

For the management of maximum demand power, power control system that is consist of CCMS(Central Control and Management System) and MCCS(Minimum Cost Control and management Software) is proposed. MCCS has the basic functions of the set of target power and the enrollment of load control logic. And also MCCS give the simulation of Power rate that help more effective Demand Control.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.23 no.9
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• pp.47-54
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• 2009

These clays, because of world economy recession, exports decreased rapidly and manufacturing industry growth fell into negative. Industrial power consumption has been reduced about 7[%] that forms 53[%] of total load demand in Korea. And also, daily load pattern has been changed in several ways because of power consumption decrease influenced by domestic demand recession and heating power load decreased by the rise in temperature. This research analyzes, by analyzing maximum load demand, average load demand, load pattern based on relative factor, and load sensitiveness in accordance with temperature, that maximum load demand is more sensitive to atmospheric temperature than GDP growth rate and average load demand tends to be reduced according to GDP growth rate. I suppose KPX could operate the network system economically and safely by forecasting load demand in winter and summer seasons based on the results.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.39 no.1
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• pp.25-30
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• 2016

It is critical to forecast the maximum daily and monthly demand for power with as little error as possible for our industry and national economy. In general, long-term forecasting of power demand has been studied from both the consumer's perspective and an econometrics model in the form of a generalized linear model with predictors. Time series techniques are used for short-term forecasting with no predictors as predictors must be predicted prior to forecasting response variables and containing estimation errors during this process is inevitable. In previous researches, seasonal exponential smoothing method, SARMA (Seasonal Auto Regressive Moving Average) with consideration to weekly pattern Neuron-Fuzzy model, SVR (Support Vector Regression) model with predictors explored through machine learning, and K-means clustering technique in the various approaches have been applied to short-term power supply forecasting. In this paper, SARMA and intervention model are fitted to forecast the maximum power load daily, weekly, and monthly by using the empirical data from 2011 through 2013. $ARMA(2,\;1,\;2)(1,\;1,\;1)_7$ and $ARMA(0,\;1,\;1)(1,\;1,\;0)_{12}$ are fitted respectively to the daily and monthly power demand, but the weekly power demand is not fitted by AREA because of unit root series. In our fitted intervention model, the factors of long holidays, summer and winter are significant in the form of indicator function. The SARMA with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) of 2.45% and intervention model with MAPE of 2.44% are more efficient than the present seasonal exponential smoothing with MAPE of about 4%. Although the dynamic repression model with the predictors of humidity, temperature, and seasonal dummies was applied to foretaste the daily power demand, it lead to a high MAPE of 3.5% even though it has estimation error of predictors.

• The Journal of Bigdata
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.227-239
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• 2020

This paper introduces a method for predicting the maximum power demand despite communication errors in industrial sites. Due to the recent policy of de-nuclearization in Korea, the price of electricity is inevitable, and the amount of electricity used and maximum load management for the management of power demand are becoming important issues. Accordingly, it is important to predict and manage peak power. However, problems such as loss and modulation of measured power data occur at industrial sites due to noise generated by various facilities and sensors. It is difficult to predict the exact value when measured effective power data are lost. The study presents a model for predicting and correcting anomalies and missing values when measured effective power data are lost. The models used in this study are expected to be useful in predicting peak power demand in the event of communication errors at industrial sites.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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• v.58 no.4
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• pp.505-510
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• 2009

In this paper, building energy analysis and energy cost of power stand up and demand control over the power proposed to reduce power demand. Through analysis of the load power demand special day were able to apply the pattern. In addition, the existing rate of change of load forecasting to reduce the large errors were not previously available data. And daily schedules and special day for considering the exponential smoothing methods were used. Previous year's special day and the previous day due to the uncertainty of the load and the model components were considered. The maximum demand power control simulation using the fuzzy control of power does not exceed the contract. Through simulation, the benefits of the proposed energy-saving techniques were demonstrated.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.333-347
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• 2000

We employed various econometic methods to estimate the production index elasticity and the price elasticity of elecricity demand in Korea and compared the forecasting power of those methods. Cointegration models (ADL model, Engle-Granger model, Full Informtion Maximum Likelihood method by Johansen and Juselius) and Dynamic OLS by Stock and Watson were considered. The forecasting power test shows that Dynamic OLS has the best forecasting power. According to Dynamic OLS, the production index elasticity and the price elasticity of electricity demand in Korea are 0.13 and -0.40, respectively.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.369-374
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• 2011

Generally the neural network and the Fuzzy compensative algorithms are applied to forecast the time series for power demand with the characteristics of a nonlinear dynamic system, but, relatively, they have a few prediction errors. They also make long term forecasts difficult because of sensitivity to the initial conditions. In this paper, we evaluate the chaotic characteristic of electrical power demand with qualitative and quantitative analysis methods and perform a forecast simulation of electrical power demand in regular sequence, attractor reconstruction and a time series forecast for multi dimension using Lyapunov Exponent (L.E.) quantitatively. We compare simulated results with previous methods and verify that the present method is more practical and effective than the previous methods. We also obtain the hourly predictability of time series for power demand using the L.E. and evaluate its accuracy.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.2283-2286
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• 2003

This paper presents conservation of electrical energy in building with harmonics analysis and compensation which occur in electrical system. We use load controlling and management system in order to adjust load factor of system.The maximum demand limiting and controlling are used ,then the system can acquire the prediction and compare it to the maximum demand set point.The electrical signal analysis based on FFT technique. The harmonics are compensated by using harmonic filters.This system consists computer which works as controller, processor , analysis and database unit together with digital power meter in form of multidrop network through serial communication via RS-485.The load control system uses PLC to control load via serial communication RS-485. The A/D converter is used for sampling the electrical signals via parallel port of computer.The harmonic filters are controlled by a computer.The data of measurement such as voltage, current, power, power factor, total harmonic distortion, energy, etc., can be saved as database and analysis. The load factor is adjusted by limiting and controlling maximum demand. The load factor adjustment can reduce the cost of electric consumption and energy generation together with harmonics compensation in order to increase high efficiency of electrical system.

• The Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.43-49
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• 1992

Forecasting of electric power demand has been a basic element for electric power system operation and system development, and it's accuracy has very strong influence on reliability and economical efficience of power supply. So, in this paper, long―term maximum electric power demand has been forecasted by using the triple exponential smoothing method initiated R.G.Brown. It has been regarded this method as high accuracy and operational convenience. The smoothing function is a liner combination of all past observations and the weight given to previous observations decreases geometrically with age.

• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.425-431
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• 2016

Supply Capability of the generator, if the maximum demand occurs, refers to the maximum power that can be stably supplied and it is possible to maintain stable power supply to be greater than actual load. However, unexpected power demand and reduction in supply Capability due to stop of unexpected generator in operation can temporarily make a big chaos in power system. In fact, due to a lack of power supply Capability in the country, enforced emergency load adjustment to the September 15, 2011, the circulation power outage has occurred in several cities. As the result, interrupted operation of the elevator and stopped hospital medical equipment led to a great deal of trouble to people's lives, causing a social problem. At that time, it was found that a failed frequency control because of smaller actual supply Capability than that of predicted. The difference was about 1,170 MW with Gas turbine power plant. By accurately calculating the generator supply capability, we can not only grasp the power reserve rate, but also correspond to the time of power supply instability.