• 응용통계연구
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.835-843
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• 2008

In this paper, we investigate a Bayesian inference for software reliability models based on mean value functions which take the form of the mixture of beta distribution functions. The posterior simulation via the Markov chain Monte Carlo approach is used to produce estimates of posterior properties. Its applicability is illustrated with two real data sets. We compute the predictive distribution and the marginal likelihood of various models to compare the performance of them. The model comparison results show that the model based on the beta-mixture performs better than other models.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.553-560
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• 2007

In this paper, we consider two components system which lifetimes have Freund's bivariate exponential model with equal failure rates. We propose Bayesian multiple comparisons procedure for the failure rates of I Freund's bivariate exponential populations based on Dirichlet process priors(DPP). The family of DPP is applied in the form of baseline prior and likelihood combination to provide the comparisons. Computation of the posterior probabilities of all possible hypotheses are carried out through Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) method, namely, Gibbs sampling, due to the intractability of analytic evaluation. The whole process of multiple comparisons problem for the failure rates of bivariate exponential populations is illustrated through a numerical example.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제23권6호
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• pp.1241-1247
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• 2012

The paper considers empirical Bayes (EB) and hierarchical Bayes (HB) predictors of the finite population mean under a linear regression model with measurement errors We discuss how to calculate the mean squared prediction errors of the EB predictors using jackknife methods and the posterior standard deviations of the HB predictors based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. A simulation study is provided to illustrate the results of the preceding sections and compare the performances of the proposed procedures.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.803-814
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• 2016

Recent times have seen an exponential increase in the amount of spatial data, which is in many cases associated with temporal data. Recent advances in computer technology and computation of hierarchical Bayesian models have enabled to analyze complex spatio-temporal data. Our work aims at modeling data of daily average nitrogen dioxide (NO2) levels obtained from 25 air monitoring sites in Seoul between 2003 and 2010. We considered an independent Gaussian process model and an auto-regressive model and carried out estimation within a hierarchical Bayesian framework with Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques. A Gaussian predictive process approximation has shown the better prediction performance rather than a Hierarchical auto-regressive model for the illustrative NO2 concentration levels at any unmonitored location.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.749-754
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• 2015

This article presents Bayesian approach to regression splines with knots on a grid of equally spaced sample quantiles of the independent variables under functional measurement error model.We consider small area model by using penalized splines of non-linear pattern. Specifically, in a basis functions of the regression spline, we use radial basis functions. To fit the model and estimate parameters we suggest a hierarchical Bayesian framework using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methodology. Furthermore, we illustrate the method in an application data. We check the convergence by a potential scale reduction factor and we use the posterior predictive p-value and the mean logarithmic conditional predictive ordinate to compar models.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.755-762
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• 2015

One of the main objectives of the U.S. Census Bureau is the proper estimation of median household income for small areas. These estimates have an important role in the formulation of various governmental decisions and policies. Since direct survey estimates are available annually for each state or county, it is desirable to exploit the longitudinal trend in income observations in the estimation procedure. In this study, we consider Fay-Herriot type small area models which include time-specific random effect to accommodate any unspecified time varying income pattern. Analysis is carried out in a hierarchical Bayesian framework using Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology. We have evaluated our estimates by comparing those with the corresponding census estimates of 1999 using some commonly used comparison measures. It turns out that among three types of time-specific random effects the small area model with a time series random walk component provides estimates which are superior to both direct estimates and the Census Bureau estimates.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.225-235
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• 2009

Lattice process models are used to explain phase transitions in statistical mechanics, a branch of physics. The Ising model, a specific form of lattice process model, was proposed by Ising in 1925. Since then, variants of the Ising model such as the Potts model and the unitary cell model have been proposed. Like the Ising model, it is believed that the more general models exhibit phase transitions on the critical surface, which is based on the mathematical equation. In statistical sense, phase transitions can be simulated through Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). We applied Swendsen-Wang algorithm, a block Gibbs algorithm, to a general lattice process models and we simulate phase transition phenomena of the unitary cell model.

• 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지구물리탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of the international symposium on the fusion technology
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• pp.340-343
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• 2003

This study presents a practical procedure for the Bayesian inversion of geophysical data by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and geostatistics. We have applied geostatistical techniques for the acquisition of prior model information, and then the MCMC method was adopted to infer the characteristics of the marginal distributions of model parameters. For the Bayesian inversion of dipole-dipole array resistivity data, we have used the indicator kriging and simulation techniques to generate cumulative density functions from Schlumberger array resistivity data and well logging data, and obtained prior information by cokriging and simulations from covariogram models. The indicator approach makes it possible to incorporate non-parametric information into the probabilistic density function. We have also adopted the MCMC approach, based on Gibbs sampling, to examine the characteristics of a posteriori probability density function and the marginal distribution of each parameter. This approach provides an effective way to treat Bayesian inversion of geophysical data and reduce the non-uniqueness by incorporating various prior information.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제27권6호
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• pp.909-922
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• 2014

부등제한 조건 (>,<,=)과 관련된 베이지안 추론에서 다음의 세 가지 주제에 대하여 기존의 연구와 최근의 연구동향 그리고 추후 연구주제에 대하여 살펴보았다 : ⅰ) 모수에 대한 여러 부등제한 조건들의 비교, ⅱ) 모수에 부등제한 조건을 부여하는 것이 타당하다고 할 때 모수의 동등성에 관한 동시 다중 검정, ⅲ) 순서적 범주형 변수에 대한 분할표에서 스코어 모수에 순서적 부등제한 조건을 가정 할 때 스코어 모수의 동등성에 대한 다중 검정.

• 천문학회보
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.73.2-73.2
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• 2010

암흑에너지는 우주상수만으로 여러 우주론 관측 자료들을 잘 설명하고 있지만, 최근 SN Ia 자료가 축적됨에 따라 암흑에너지의 상태방정식 파라미터 $\omega$가 우주상수에서와 같이 -1인 상수인지, 시간에 따라 변하는지를 알아내기 위한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 $\omega$가 시간에 따라 갑자기 변하는(sudden jump) transition-$\omega$CDM 모형을 이용하여 SN Ia 자료를 Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) 방법을 통해 분석했다. Transition-$\omega$CDM 모형에서는 상수인 $\omega$의 값이 임의의 적색이동에서 변한다고 가정하였다. 분석에 사용된 SN Ia 데이터는 307개의 Union 자료와 90개의 CfA3 SN Ia가 추가된 Constitution 자료이며 개별적으로 분석됐다. 그 결과 transition 시기 전후 $\omega$ 값들의 확률밀도분포를 얻어내었고, 이를 통해 SN Ia의 특성을 조사하였다.