• Title/Summary/Keyword: Market value

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A Study on Demand Forecasting Change of Korea's Imported Wine Market after COVID-19 Pandemic (코로나 팬데믹 이후 국내 수입와인 시장의 수요예측 변화 연구)

  • Jihyung Kim
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.189-200
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    • 2023
  • At the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, Korea's wine market had shrunk as other countries. However, right after the pandemic, Korea's imported wine consumption had been increased 69.6%. Because of the ban on overseas travel, wine was consumed in the domestic market. And consumption of high-end wines were increased significantly due to revenge spending and home drinking. However, from 2022 Korea's wine market has begun to shrink sharply again. Therefore this study forecasts the size of imported wine market by 2032 to provide useful information to wine related business entities. KITA(Korea International Trade Association)'s 95 time-series data per quarter from Q1 of 2001 to Q3 of 2023 was utilized in this research. The accuracy of model was tested based on value of MAPE. And ARIMA model was chosen to forecast the size of market value and Winter's multiplicative model was used for the size of market volume. The result of ARIMA model for the value (MAPE=10.56%) shows that the size of market value in 2032 will be increased up to USD $1,023,619, CAGR=6.22% which is 101% bigger than its size of 2023. On the other hand, the volume of imported wine market (MAPE=10.56%) will be increased up to 64,691,329 tons, CAGR=-0.61% which is only 15.12% bigger than its size of 2023. The result implies that the value of Korea's wine market will continue to grow despite the recent decline. And the high-end wine market will account for most of the increase.

Stock Market Sentiment and Stock Returns

  • Kim, Taehyuk;Ryu, Hoyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2759-2769
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    • 2018
  • The behavioral finance view on the existence of asset pricing anomalies is based on two factors: investors' sentiment and limits to arbitrage. This paper tries to examine the effect of investors' sentiment on the stock price in the Korean stock market. In order to measure investors' sentiment, we constructed the sentiment index using principal component of five sentiment variables. By using sentiment index as an additional independent variable to three risk factors, impacts of the sentiment index on individual stocks and 25 portfolios sorted by BM-size are examined. Main results found are as follows: 1) not only all three risk factors show positive impacts on the return of individual stock, but also the sentiment index has a positive impact. SI alone explains 15% of individual return variation. 2) among four independent variables, the most important factor turned out to be the market risk factor and investors' sentiment has better explanatory power on stock price than the size effect. 3) after controlling the market risk factor, the coefficient of the sentiment index for the smallest size and highest book/market value portfolios is significantly positive. 4) all the coefficients of the sentiment index for 25 portfolios sorted by BM-size have significant positive value after controlling size or (and) value.

A Study on the influence of e-Service Quality of Internet Open-Market as Perceived Value, Customer Satisfaction and e-Loyalty (인터넷 오픈마켓의 e-서비스 품질이 지각된 가치, 고객만족 및 e-충성도에 마치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Bon-Su;Bae, Mu-Eun
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.83-101
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    • 2010
  • Competition in Internet open-market has become fiercer as much for its growth possibility in differentiating from the general commercial market. For this reason, internet open-market entrepreneurs should make effective strategy in improving customers' e-loyalty to survive in the highly competitive internet open-market as in off-line market and to aim for growth through constant profit making. To satisfy with the goal, this study has been performed as the empirical research that confirms to the influence and relationship of e-service quality affected on the perceived value, customer satisfaction and e-loyalty. This is based on the result that e-service quality affected on e-loyalty for internet open-market. The research results are shown as follows; first, all factors including the perceived value and customer satisfaction, except possibility of system use, have the effect of e-service quality. Second, the perceived value between measurements affects significantly on customer satisfaction. And third, the perceive value and the customer satisfaction are a1so meaningfully influential to e-loyalty. The result presents important point that entrepreneurs in Internet open-market need to do their best to maintain in making profits for the future by improving the customers' e-loyalty and securing customers with high loyalty via continually revealing new influential factors on e-service quality, perceived value, and customer satisfaction.

The effect of Big-data investment on the Market value of Firm (기업의 빅데이터 투자가 기업가치에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Kwon, Young jin;Jung, Woo-Jin
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.99-122
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    • 2019
  • According to the recent IDC (International Data Corporation) report, as from 2025, the total volume of data is estimated to reach ten times higher than that of 2016, corresponding to 163 zettabytes. then the main body of generating information is moving more toward corporations than consumers. So-called "the wave of Big-data" is arriving, and the following aftermath affects entire industries and firms, respectively and collectively. Therefore, effective management of vast amounts of data is more important than ever in terms of the firm. However, there have been no previous studies that measure the effects of big data investment, even though there are number of previous studies that quantitatively the effects of IT investment. Therefore, we quantitatively analyze the Big-data investment effects, which assists firm's investment decision making. This study applied the Event Study Methodology, which is based on the efficient market hypothesis as the theoretical basis, to measure the effect of the big data investment of firms on the response of market investors. In addition, five sub-variables were set to analyze this effect in more depth: the contents are firm size classification, industry classification (finance and ICT), investment completion classification, and vendor existence classification. To measure the impact of Big data investment announcements, Data from 91 announcements from 2010 to 2017 were used as data, and the effect of investment was more empirically observed by observing changes in corporate value immediately after the disclosure. This study collected data on Big Data Investment related to Naver 's' News' category, the largest portal site in Korea. In addition, when selecting the target companies, we extracted the disclosures of listed companies in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market. During the collection process, the search keywords were searched through the keywords 'Big data construction', 'Big data introduction', 'Big data investment', 'Big data order', and 'Big data development'. The results of the empirically proved analysis are as follows. First, we found that the market value of 91 publicly listed firms, who announced Big-data investment, increased by 0.92%. In particular, we can see that the market value of finance firms, non-ICT firms, small-cap firms are significantly increased. This result can be interpreted as the market investors perceive positively the big data investment of the enterprise, allowing market investors to better understand the company's big data investment. Second, statistical demonstration that the market value of financial firms and non - ICT firms increases after Big data investment announcement is proved statistically. Third, this study measured the effect of big data investment by dividing by company size and classified it into the top 30% and the bottom 30% of company size standard (market capitalization) without measuring the median value. To maximize the difference. The analysis showed that the investment effect of small sample companies was greater, and the difference between the two groups was also clear. Fourth, one of the most significant features of this study is that the Big Data Investment announcements are classified and structured according to vendor status. We have shown that the investment effect of a group with vendor involvement (with or without a vendor) is very large, indicating that market investors are very positive about the involvement of big data specialist vendors. Lastly but not least, it is also interesting that market investors are evaluating investment more positively at the time of the Big data Investment announcement, which is scheduled to be built rather than completed. Applying this to the industry, it would be effective for a company to make a disclosure when it decided to invest in big data in terms of increasing the market value. Our study has an academic implication, as prior research looked for the impact of Big-data investment has been nonexistent. This study also has a practical implication in that it can be a practical reference material for business decision makers considering big data investment.

Mergers and Acquisitions in the Telecommunications Industry: Myths and Reality

  • Park, Myeong-Cheol;Yang, Dong-Hoon;Nam, Chan-Gi;Ha, Young-Wook
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.56-64
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    • 2002
  • This paper investigates how market participants react to mergers and acquisitions (M&As) involving telecommunications companies. The empirical evidence suggests that such activities convey bad news to the market. This is consistent with the synergy trap hypothesis and extant empirical findings of value-reducing diversification strategies in recent literature. The evidence also indicates that a cross-border, rather than a domestic M&A deal, is the main driver of the negative market reaction. Further, our evidence of negative impacts on the bidder's business after an M&A reinforces our main finding that market participants, on average, perceive M&A activities to be detrimental to shareholder value. This suggests that value creation or synergy through an M&A deal is not warranted even though it can generate an increase in size of the firm.

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A Dynamic Analysis on Value Chain Model of E-Commerce - The Case of Online Book Market - (전자상거래의 가치사슬모형에 관한 동태적 분석 - 온라인 서점시장을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee Young-Chan;Seo Chang-Gab
    • Proceedings of the Korea Association of Information Systems Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.316-335
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    • 2004
  • This paper builds a system dynamics model analyzing first mover effect and growth strategy of online retailer, a major segment of B2C e-commerce. The dynamic model in this paper is calibrated to the online book market and Yes24.com as major test cases. The model consists of eight key value chain sectors. Five of these(Users, Site Operations, Human Resources, Financial Accounting, and Fundraising) are internal to the company, and three others(Market, Financial Market, and Relative Performance) are external to the company. With the model, this paper suggests research propositions representing positive feedback loops and negative feedback loops that lead to corporate growth and limits to growth according to dynamic causal relationships among eight key value chain sectors, and simulate these propositions.

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Effects of Information Release for Technological Innovation on Firm's Value (기술혁신 정보가 기업가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Seong-Pyo;Park, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.159-177
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    • 2004
  • Technological innovation is one of the critical success factors determining firm's Technological innovation is one of the critical success factors determining firm's value in the knowledge based economy. The study examines whether the information release on technological innovation has information contents in the stock market. The abnormal returns and cumulative abnormal return were calculated by using Market and Risk Adjusted Return Model. The results say that the market positively reacts to the information release of technological innovation on the event date. Especially, the disclosure on technology development causes stable increase of the firm's value. It is concluded that the market reacts favorably to technological innovations.

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Market-opening and Audience (시장 개방과 수용자)

  • Lee, Nam-Pyo
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.35
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    • pp.87-113
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    • 2006
  • This study aims to theoretically examine the validity of argument that market-opening will improve the audience welfare of media and cultural contents. To accomplish its purpose, first of all, this study classifies the spectrum of approaches on cultural market-opening in Korea. Then, it examines, by the concept of public goods, whether market-opening can bring on economic gains for audience as consumer. Finally, this study inspects the profit and loss for audience as citizen which will be brought on by market-opening on the grounds of democratic value. As a result of this study, the improvement of economic efficiency and competence, the expansion of consumer‘s choices, the preservation of cultural value that the positive approach on market-opening is promising cannot be justified theoretically and logically. Therefore, at least in theoretically, the conclusion that market-opening cannot improve the audience welfare is deduced. However, the objection of market-opening cannot be related to the distorted protectionism of nation culture. On the contrary, this study suggests the condition of market-opening debate must be a opportunity to reconsider and reform of cultural diversity in Korea.

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Empirical Investigation on Information Breach Effect on the Market Value of the Firm: Focused on Source and Long Term Performance (정보유출이 기업가치에 미치는 효과분석: 원천 및 장기성과)

  • Kwon, Sun Man;Han, Chang Hee
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 2016
  • This paper analyzes the impact of information breach on shareholder value by measuring the stock price reaction associated with the announcements of data breach. The breach firms in the sample lost, on average, 1.3% of their market value, amounting to 98.9 million won of loss within two-day of the event period after the announcement. We examine the abnormal returns in various categories (i.e., source, type, size, etc.) of information breach. Although the market does not react significantly to the announcements of outside breach, we find statistically significant market reactions to inside breach. We estimate abnormal returns over the following 60 days. The mean 60-day cumulative abnormal return and BHAR (buy-and-hold abnormal returns) are both significantly far from zero. We conclude that there is a coherent market reaction following the announcement. The difference between the market reactions to IT firms and Non-IT firms is statistically significant. But breach amount, firm size, and the year the breach occurred do not show to be significant variables.

The Impact of Capital Structure on Firm Value: A Case Study in Vietnam

  • LUU, Duc Huu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.287-292
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    • 2021
  • The article analyzes the impact of capital structure on the firm value of chemical companies listed on the stock market of Vietnam. Data was collected from the financial statements of 23 chemical firms listed on the Vietnam stock market from 2012 to 2019. Quantitative research method with regression model according to OLS, FEM, REM method is used; FGLS method is used to overcome the model's defects. In this research, firm value (Tobin's Q) is a dependent variable. Capital structure (DA), Return on assets (ROA), Asset turnover (AT), fixed assets (TANG), Solvency (CR), Firm size (SZ), Firm Age (AGE), and revenue growth rate (GR) are independent variables in the study. The analysis results show that the capital structure of firms in the chemical industry listed on the Vietnam stock market has an inverse correlation with firm value. Besides, firms with greater asset turnover, business size, and number of years of operation have lower firm value. This article helps corporate executives improve corporate value by adjusting their capital structure properly. Chemical firms adjusted their capital structure in the direction of gradually decreasing the debt ratio and gradually increasing equity. Firms use high debt, which has the effect of reducing the firm value of firms in the chemical industry.