• 제목/요약/키워드: Market Theory

검색결과 997건 처리시간 0.024초

혼돈기법을 이용한 주가의 비선형 결정론적 특성 검정 및 예측 (An Empirical Study on Verification and Prediction of Non-Linear Dynamic Characteristics of Stock Market Using Chaos Theory)

  • 김성근;윤용식
    • 정보기술과데이타베이스저널
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.73-88
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    • 1999
  • There have been a series of debates to determine whether it would be possible to forecast dynamic systems such as stock markets. Recently the introduction of chaos theory has allowed many researchers to bring back this issue. Their main concern was whether the behavior of stock markets is chaotic or not. These studies, however, present divergent opinions on this question, depending upon the method applied and the data used. And the issue of predictability based on the nonlinear, chaotic nature was not dealt extensively. This paper is to test the nonlinear nature of the Korea stock market and accordingly attempts to predict its behavior. The result indicates that our stock market represents a chaotic behavior. We also found out based on our simulation that executing buy/sell transactions based upon forecasts which were derived using the local approximation method outperforms the decision of holding without a buy/sell transaction.

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GAME MODEL AND ITS SOLVING METHOD FOR OPTIMAL SCALE OF POWER PLANTS ENTERING GENERATION POWER MARKET

  • Tan, Zhongfu;Chen, Guangjuan;Li, Xiaojun
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제26권1_2호
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    • pp.337-347
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    • 2008
  • Based on social welfare maximum theory, the optimal scale of power plants entering generation power market being is researched. A static non-cooperative game model for short-term optimization of power plants with different cost is presented. And the equilibrium solutions and the total social welfare are obtained. According to principle of maximum social welfare selection, the optimization model is solved, optimal number of power plants entering the market is determined. The optimization results can not only increase the customer surplus and improve power production efficiency, but also sustain normal profits of power plants and scale economy of power production, and the waste of resource can also be avoided. At last, case results show that the proposed model is efficient.

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KOSPI200 선물 시장의 증거금 수준에 대한 연구 (Analysis of the margin level in the KOSPI200 futures market)

  • 김준;최인찬
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2004년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.734-737
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    • 2004
  • When the margin level is set relatively low, margin violation probability increases and the default probability of the futures market rises. On the other hand, if the margin level is set high, the margin violation probability decreases, but the futures market becomes less attractive to hedgers as the investor's opportunity cost increases. In this paper, we investigate whether the movement of KOSPI200(Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200) futures daily prices can be modeled with the extreme value theory. Base on this investigation, we examine the validity of the margin level set by the extreme value theory. Computational results are presented to compare the extreme value distribution and the empirical distribution of margin violation in KOSPI200. Some observations and implications drawn from the computational experiment are also discussed.

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The Sustainability of Korean Management in Global Market: Competitive Strategy and Performance in Korean ICT Industry

  • Kwak, Kyu Tae;Cheon, Youngjoon;Lee, Bong Gyou
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.1344-1361
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    • 2016
  • ICT contents market is globally considered as an industry of high added value, where sustainability is accomplished through stories that cover wide range of consumers. However, the need for long-term internationalization strategy is growing as countless number of applications and games has pushed the local market to its limit. Thus, this research explored on the industrial characteristics and the internationalization of ICT contents firms through acquisition of competency. Based on Resource Dependence theory, the authors studied how pursuit of legitimacy and autonomy functioned in the expansion process of ICT contents firms. A survey analysis of 212 key decision makers of Korean ICT content firms were performed, to reveal that resource environment and interdependence must undergo a thorough consideration.

게임이론을 적용한 전력거래 해석 (Power Transaction Analysis using Game Theory)

  • 박만근;김발호;박종배;정만호
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제49권6호
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    • pp.266-271
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    • 2000
  • The electric power industries are moving from the conventional monopolistic or vertically integrated environments to deregulated and competitive environments, where each participant is concerned with profit maximization rather than system-wide costs minimization. Consequently, the conventional least-cost approaches for the generation resource schedule can not exactly handle real-world situations. This paper presents a game theory application for analyzing power transactions and market design in a deregulated energy marketplace, where the market participants determine the net profits through the optimal bidding strategies. The demand elasticity of the energy price is considered for the realistic modeling of the deregulated marketplace.

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전기자동차 구매의도에 대한 중국 소비자의 친환경적 행동: 규범활성화이론과 계획된 행동이론을 중심으로 (Environmentally Friendly Behavior of Chinese Consumers on Electric Vehicle Purchase Intention: Norm-activation Theory and Theory of Planned Behavior)

  • 왕조;최지훈;박수빈;노태우
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권5호
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2022
  • As a part of environmental pollution mitigation in China, the number of environmentally friendly vehicles in China is proliferating, attention to vehicles that use environmentally friendly energy continues to increase, and China's new energy vehicle market is also growing rapidly. Similar to existing research, the focus of the subsidy is to provide financial support for electric vehicle buyers and the expansion of new energy vehicle charging infrastructure. Under these circumstances, this study attempts to understand the influence of Chinese consumers' green responsibility and other psychological factors on electronic vehicle purchase intention based on norm activation theory and theory of planned behavior. PLS-SEM examined the proposed hypotheses with 369 valid Chinese consumers, and all were supported. Our findings contribute to the extension of the research scope of Chinese consumers' intention to purchase electric vehicles and provide practical information for domestic and foreign firms entering China, the world's largest electric vehicle market.

Application of Fuzzy Theory and Analytic Hierarchy Process to Evaluate Marketing Strategies

  • Yu, C.S.;Tzeng, G.H.;Li, H. L.
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 1998년도 The Third Asian Fuzzy Systems Symposium
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    • pp.352-357
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    • 1998
  • Conventional marketing research generally focuses on a single layer's benefit. A notable example is the consumer layer providing managers with partial market information to evaluate relevant strategies. As generally known, marketing management encounters complex supply and demand behaviors, thereby necessitation that a successful marketing strategy adopt multi-layer considerations, such as the consumer layer, channel-retailer layer, and marketing planner layer. In light of above situation, this study applies fuzzy theory and the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) technique to analyze the performances of marketing strategies under multi-layer benefits, In addition, conventional marketing research has difficulty in efficiently allocating the limited budget so that each desired criterion can be significantly enhanced by a group of events. Therefore, a weighting structure among the goal, layers, criteria, and strategies(i.e. a group of events) is also developed herein to trace the influential process and assist marketing managers in efficiently allocating resources(i.e.budget).

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Creating the Optimal Product Business Management System for Social and Enterprise Development

  • Liao, Shih-chung
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - This paper examines product design management, the current design focus of which has shifted to the need to produce innovation applications that can effectively respond to the market's consumption changes in a timely manner. Research design, data, methodology - This study discusses several methodologies that are widely used in experimental processes, such as fuzzy theory, multi-criteria decision-making theory, and managing decision making. The designers will better understand their customers by applying these methodologies. This study examines how the current trend in product innovation design observes customer needs, controls innovation, and stimulates design ability. Results - This paper takes innovative telephone design as an experimental case to investigate how to create a product using market-oriented and customized management concepts and creative design abilities. Conclusions - If accompanied by an innovative product value chain, a product can further the development of enterprise management, now the main element of every developed country's social and economic development.

Applying a Two-Stage Option Games Method to Investment Decisions of Business Startups: Case Study of a Smart House Startup in Indonesia

  • Wardani, Ida Sri;Fujiwara, Takao
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.178-189
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we present a case study of a new emerging business startup involved in smart house appliances. The irreversible investment concept and real-option theory are introduced as the fundamentals of the model. By using games theory we show that the startup's actions can trigger reactions from other firms. The first part covers initial the research and development stage, while the second part covers production and commercialization. The findings of this study suggest that, given a certain amount of initial investment, an open and shared innovation may lead to hurting a firm's investment while strengthening the competitors' position in the market. However, given the sensitivity analysis, when volatility and demand grow favorably, sharing R&D investment is not a bad option for a new player to adjust its position in the market while still maintaining positive returns.

급진자유주의~현대한국사회철학 (Radical Liberalism~Contemporary Korean Social Philosophy)

  • 윤평중
    • 철학연구
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    • 제84호
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    • pp.5-32
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    • 2009
  • 신자유주의의 광풍이 21세기 초의 경제공황을 가져왔다는 인식이 지배적인 상황에서 자유주의를 철학적으로 옹호하는 것은 갈수록 힘들어지고 있다. 그런 의미에서 이 논문은 '반시대적 고찰'일 수 있다. 그러나 현대 자유민주주의의 복권은 자유주의의 외부가 아니라 내부로부터 가능할 것이다. 자유주의의 급진적 재구성 작업에서 시장에 대한 철학적 성찰이 필수적이다. 시장의 철학은 시장의 본성을 해명한 다음, 시장질서와 민주질서의 복합 상관성에 대해 논구한다. 자본주의적 시장경제가 민주주의의 논리와 적대 관계에 서 있다는 입장이나, 시장이 민주질서와 선순환관계에 있다는 입론 모두 일면적이라는 사실을 논증한다. 나아가 시장질서와 민주질서의 대립구도에 '정치적인 것'의 이념을 대입시킬 때 급진자유주의의 기획이 명료화됨을 입론한다. 결론적으로 급진자유주의가 자유주의의 보편적 적실성과 한국사회에서의 구체적 타당성을 나눠가질 수 있는 하나의 사회철학적 기획임이 입론된다.