• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.262-276
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• 2018

Models to predict Leaf Wetness Duration (LWD) were evaluated using the observed meteorological and dew data at the 11 citrus orchards in Jeju, South Korea from 2016 to 2017. The sensitivity and the prediction accuracy were evaluated with four models (i.e., Number of Hours of Relative Humidity (NHRH), Classification And Regression Tree/Stepwise Linear Discriminant (CART/SLD), Penman-Monteith (PM), Deep-learning Neural Network (DNN)). The sensitivity of models was evaluated with rainfall and seasonal changes. When the data in rainy days were excluded from the whole data set, the LWD models had smaller average error (Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) about 1.5hours). The seasonal error of the DNN model had the similar magnitude (RMSE about 3 hours) among all seasons excluding winter. The other models had the greatest error in summer (RMSE about 9.6 hours) and the lowest error in winter (RMSE about 3.3 hours). These models were also evaluated by the statistical error analysis method and the regression analysis method of mean squared deviation. The DNN model had the best performance by statistical error whereas the CART/SLD model had the worst prediction accuracy. The Mean Square Deviation (MSD) is a method of analyzing the linearity of a model with three components: squared bias (SB), nonunity slope (NU), and lack of correlation (LC). Better model performance was determined by lower SB and LC and higher NU. The results of MSD analysis indicated that the DNN model would provide the best performance and followed by the PM, the NHRH and the CART/SLD in order. This result suggested that the machine learning model would be useful to improve the accuracy of agricultural information using meteorological data.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.175-183
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• 2008

QoS-support technology in networks is based on measuring QoS metrics which reflect a magnitude of stability and performance. The one-way delay measurement of the QoS metrics especially requires a guarantee of clock synchronization between end-to-end hosts. However, the hosts in networks have a relative or absolute difference in clock time by reason of clock offsets. flock skews and clock adjustments. In this paper, we present a theorem, methods and simulation results of one-way delay and clock offset estimations between end-to-end hosts. The proposed theorem is a relationship between one-way delay, one-way delay variation and round-trip time And we show that the estimation error is mathematically smaller than a quarter of round-trip time.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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• 2007.04a
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• pp.81-84
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• 2007

This paper describes general procedure and results of the GPS 3rd odor network adjustment which has been carried out for determining coordinates sets with respect to new Korean Geodetic Datum, so-call Korean Geodetic Datum 2002 (KGD 2002). The adjustment begins with minimally constrained adjustments with respect to each of the 69 campaign networks. This was followed by constructing and adjusting sixteen block network. After detecting and removing outliers in the observation file, an attempt was made by applying the empirical stochastic modeling techniques used in the 2nd order network adjustment, so as to determine the magnitude of absolute and relative error for the estimated baseline vector from the GPS data processing. The over constrained adjustment were, in sequence, performed against each of the block network. In this adjustment, both of the 2nd order control points in the block network and the 3rd order control points overlapped with adjacent network whose coordinates were already determined from a preceding adjustment. The final adjustment results have shown that the accuracy of the 3rd order network adjustment was better than 1cm and 2cm in horizontal and vertical component, respectively.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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• v.41 no.2
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• pp.77-83
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• 2004

Cross-talk noise which can occur between on-chip interconnects is significant factor which influence signal integrity. Therefore, this paper presents an analytical method for estimating maximum cross-talk noise. We consider inductance effect of interconnects and use arbitary ramp inputs to estimate noise magnitude exactly. Also, we have used a virtual source for the easy of analytically caculating maximum cross-talk noise from complex cross-talk noise model. The accuracy of the has been shown that be within 4.3 percent maximum relative error compared with the results of HSPICE simulation. Hence, this study can be utilized in various CAD tools for guaranteeing signal integrity.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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• v.24 no.5
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• pp.56-61
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• 2007

In the braking of railway rolling stock, the slip that is the relative velocity between train body and its wheel affects the adhesive force which is connected to the braking force. The coefficient of the adhesive force changes in accordance with the slip and the condition of a rail road. Namely, its value increases upon the maximum on a rail condition, and there it declines conversely while the magnitude of slip keeps rising on. First, this paper introduced a reference slip generator so that can utilize maximum adhesive forces with a disturbance observer for estimating unmeasurable current adhesive forces which is as an input of the generator. And, an adaptive sliding-mode control system has been synthesized for minimizing the error between reference and current slip. Finally the effectiveness of the proposed control system is evaluated by computer simulation.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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• v.11D no.7 s.96
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• pp.1491-1498
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• 2004

Successful project planning relics on a good estimation of the manpower required to complete a project, together with the schedule options that may be available. Despite the extensive research done developing new and better models, existing software manpower estimation models are present only the total manpower or instantaneous manpower distribution according to the testing time for the software life-cycle. This paper suggests the manpower estimating models for software testing phase as well as testing process and debugging process in accordance with de-tected faults. This paper presents the polynomial model for effort based on testing and debugging faults. These models are verified by 5 different software project data sets with coefficient of determination and mean magnitude of relative error for adaptability of model.

• Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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• v.2
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• pp.756-759
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• 2006

The ocean tide loading (OTL) is an important factor for the GPS positioning, especially in the height direction. The shorter of the distance to the ocean, the larger of the error by the OTL. The influence will be changed when we measure in different place and the order of magnitude is from few centimeters to ten centimeters. In this study, more than ten kinds of the OTL models were collected and applied on the GPS static relative positioning in Taiwan. The GPS observations including five stations were obtained from Nov. 9, 2004 to Feb. 23, 2005 and we used the Bernese GPS software to execute the data processing. In this period, the average amplitudes of the 3-D coordinates are as follows: N is 0.4 cm, E is 0.7 cm, h is 1.8 cm at Kinmen station; N is 0.7 cm, E is 1.3 cm, h is 2.3 cm at Lanyu station; N is 0.5 cm, E is 0.7 cm, h is 2.0 cm at Matsu station; N is 0.6 cm, E is 0.6 cm, h is 2.0 cm at Penghu station and N is 0.5 cm, E is 1.2 cm, h is 1.7 cm at Hsinchu station. Moreover, we will analyze the advantage and disadvantage of every kind of the OTL models in different environments to offer some information to the GPS users and enhance the precision of the GPS positioning.

• Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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• 2008.03a
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• pp.963-971
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• 2008

Unsaturated soil mechanics has been often used to find out a cause of failure (tensile failure) of retaining walls and hill slopes containing sandy soils. Checking shear strength is a popular method by considering suction stress developed form pore water menisci among the grains and saturated pockets of pore water under negative pressure. Linear Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion is generally adopted as a failure criterion. However, depending on relative density, stress history, and the magnitude of stress, the failure behavior of sand may not follow linear M-C frictional behavior. For stress in the large compressive ranges, say from tens to hundreds of kPa, the linear M-C criterion is an adequate representation for the shear strength behavior of sand. However, less than tens of kPa, the M-C criterion often can not be accurately represented. Depending on failure criterion, the uniaxial tensile strength is different over 100% relative error. For sand behavior under small compression regimes, therefore, such as under low or zero gravity, or under undergoing tensile failure in the crest area of hill slopes or behind retaining walls, it is important to consider the non-linear behavior.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.515-525
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• 2010

We investigated design-based properties of the ordinary least square estimator(OLSE) and the weighted least square estimator(WLSE) in a panel regression model. Given a complex data we derive the magnitude of the design-based bias of two estimators and show that the bias of WLSE is smaller than that of OLSE. We also conducted a simulation study using Korean welfare panel data in order to compare design-based properties of two estimators numerically. In the study we found the followings. First, the relative bias of OLSE is nearly two times larger than that of WLSE and the bias ratio of OLSE is greater than that of WLSE. Also the relative bias of OLSE remains steady but that of WLSE becomes smaller as the sample size increases. Next, both the variance and mean square error(MSE) of two estimators decrease when the sample size increases. Also there is a tendency that the proportion of squared bias in MSE of OLSE increases as the sample size increase, but that of WLSE decreases. Finally, the variance of OLSE is smaller than that of WLSE in almost all cases and the MSE of OLSE is smaller in many cases. However, the number of cases of larger MSE of OLSE increases when the sample size increases.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.222-233
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• 2010

This paper aims at predicting the BDI from Jan. to Dec. 2010 using such econometric techniues of the univariate time series as stochastic ARIMA-type models and Hodrick-Prescott filtering technique. The multivariate cause-effect econometric model is not employed for not assuring a higher degree of forecasting accuracy than the univariate variable model. Such a cause-effect econometric model also fails in adjusting itself for the post-sample. This article introduces the two ARIMA models and five Intervention-ARIMA models. The monthly data cover the period January 2000 through December 2009. The out-of-sample forecasting performance is compared between the ARIMA-type models and the random walk model. Forecasting performance is measured by three summary statistics: root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean error (ME). The RMSE and MAE indicate that the ARIMA-type models outperform the random walk model And the mean errors for all models are small in magnitude relative to the MAE's, indicating that all models don't have a tendency of overpredicting or underpredicting systematically in forecasting. The pessimistic ex-ante forecasts are expected to be 2,820 at the end of 2010 compared with the optimistic forecasts of 4,230.