• Title/Summary/Keyword: Longevity Population

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Characteristics of Longevity Factor with Time and Spatial Changes (시간$\cdot$공간적 변화에 따른 장수지수 결정 요인의 특성)

  • 김한중;정남수;김대식;윤성수;이정재
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.116-126
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    • 2003
  • In this study, we research about the relationships of human longevity and environments, inducted the significant factors of longevity from the statistical analysis, and represented spatial distribution of longevity using geographic information system. The factors confining human longevity can be categorized by geography/geology, climate/weather, economy, and social welfare. After analyzing statistical data, dependent variable which means the longevity index is defined by the ratio of population more than 85 years old among population more than 65 years old. The results of analysis show that longevity are related with waterworks ratio, temperature, local tax ratio, and latitude. In this study we discussed about the spatial characteristics which are represented by variance of the longevity index and described a spatial relationship between the longevity index and significant factors which are chosen by statistical analysis. In the further study, in order to sustain the longevity of a region, it is necessary for the effective rural planning to propagate a longevity of rural areas.

The Factors. affecting Longevity and its Changing Trend in Korea (한국의 장수동향과 그의 상관요인에 관한 분석)

  • 조유향
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.34-47
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    • 1989
  • The changing trend of longevity from 1955 through 1985 and its interprovincal variation were studied with longevity rate as indicator. In order to detect the affecting factors of longevity rate, eleven urbanalizational, geographic-environmental, demographic and social-economic variables were employed to carry out multiple stepwise regression analysis. The data used for this study were from Population Census Reports 1955-1985 published by EPB and Year book of Public Health and Social Statistics 1986 published by Ministry of Health and Social Affairs and other reference. Subsequent to that longevity rate decreased during 1950's it has increased continuously by the yeat of 1980's. This trend was especially remarkable in the south area and the GIRI mountain area in Korea. The stepwise regression analysis shows that the longevity rates were significantly associated with the independent variables, and the dependent variables explained at the level of 93.7percent-99.9 percent. Longevity is a reflection of the demographic and socio-economic, environmental and health resourses factor etc., longevity problems cannot be dealt with in isolation. The possible research and services which could be provided by government will be discuss.

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A Study on Estimates to Longevity Population of Small Area and Distribution Patterns using Vector based Dasymetric Mapping Method (벡터기반 대시매트릭 기법을 이용한 소지역 장수인구 추정 및 분포패턴에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Don-Jeong;Kim, Young-Seup;Suh, Yong-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.479-485
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    • 2011
  • A number of case studies that find distribution of longevity population and influencing factors through the spatial data fusion using GIS techniques are growing. The majority cases of these studies are adopt census administrative boundary data for the spatial analysis. However, these methods cannot fully explain the phenomenon of longevity because there are a variety of spatial characteristics within the census administrative boundaries. Therefore, studies of spatial unit are required that realistically reflect the phenomenon of human longevity. The dasymetric mapping method enables to product of spatial unit more realistic than census administrative boundary map and statistic estimates of small area utilizing diversity spatial information. In this study, elderly population of small area has been estimated within statistically significant level that applied the vector based dasymetric mapping method. Also, the cluster analysis confirmed that the variation of local spatial relationship within census administrative boundary. The result of this study implied that the need for local-level studies of the human longevity and the validity of the dashmetric mapping techniques.

A Study on the Longevity Index and the Criteria of Longevity in Rural Area for Aged Society (노령화사회에 대비한 농촌지역 장수도의 정의 및 장수지역 기준마련에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Nam-Su;Lee, Jeong-Jae;Kim, Han-Joong;Lee, Gi-Min;Seo, Kyo;Lee, Ho-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.9 no.3 s.20
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    • pp.35-39
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    • 2003
  • In this study, the longevity index was suggested for researches about social and environmental effects to human immorality and criteria for defining longevity area were developed using statistical analysis. Candidates indexes based on researches about the tend of human death ratio were investigated. As a result statistical analysis, ratio of population over 85 yearn old and over 65 years was selected as a longevity index. Statistical analysis on the longevity distribution at each district showed that 'eup' and 'myun' are appropriate spatial unit to study social and geographical characteristics of longevity. The spatial analysis using the $ArcView^{TM}$ with the suggested index shows the time dependent variances of degree of immorality and spatial relationship between degree of immorality and human migration.

Feasibility assessment of longevity swap for the Korean life annuity market

  • Lee, Changsoo;Hong, Jimin;Kim, Seongmin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.655-671
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzes the premium risk of insurers in Korea, which is expected to experience the fastest population aging in the world. Based on the Lee-Carter model, we generate 10,000 scenarios for the number of future survivors in the group of the 10,000 policyholders of life annuity. According to the result of simulation study, the probability of insurer's loss for both groups of male and female policyholders is very low. This result indicates that the premium risk of insurers is not as great as the insurer's concern. This study also suggests introduction of the longevity swap as an alternative to manage the premium risk for the insurer which sells life annuity products. The longevity swap allows insurers to hedge premium risk and reduce capital burden due to the premium risk inherent in life annuity. This study also shows through examples that the counterparty of swap deal may have excess profit in exchange for taking premium risk.

Geographically Weighted Regression on the Environmental-Ecological Factors of Human Longevity (장수의 환경생태학적 요인에 관한 지리가중회귀분석)

  • Choi, Don Jeong;Suh, Yong Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2012
  • The ordinary least square (OLS) regression model is assumed that the relationship between distribution of longevity population and environmental factors to be identical. Therefore, the OLS regression analysis can't explain sufficiently the spatial characteristics of longevity phenomenon and related variables. The geographically weighted regression (GWR) model can be representing the spatial relationship of adjacent area using geographically weighted function. It also characterized which can locally explain the spatial variation of distribution of longevity population by environmental characteristics. From this point of view, this study was performed the comparative analysis between OLS and GWR model for ecological factors of longevity existing studies. In the results, GWR model has higher corresponded to model than OLS model and can be accounting for spatial variability about effect of specific environmental variables.

A Study on the Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis of the Distribution of Longevity Population and the Scale Effect of the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem(MAUP) (장수 인구의 분포 패턴에 관한 탐색적 공간 데이터 분석과 수정 가능한 공간단위 문제(MAUP)의 Scale Effect에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Don-Jeong;Suh, Yong-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.40-53
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    • 2013
  • Most of the existing domestic studies to identify the distribution of longevity population and influencing factors oriented confirmatory approach. Furthermore, most of the studies in this research topic simply have used their own definition of spatial unit of analysis or employed arbitrary spatial units of analysis according to data availability. These research approaches can not sufficiently reflect the spatial characteristic of longevity phenomenon and exposed to the Modifiable Aerial Unit Problem(MAUP). This research performed the Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA) to identify the spatial autocorrelation of the distribution of longevity population and investigated whether the modifiable areal unit problem in the aspect of scale effect using spatial population data in Korea. We used Si_Gun_Gu and Eup_Myeon_Dong as two different spatial units of regional longevity indicators measured. Then, we applied Getis-Ord Gi* to investigate the existence of spatial hot spots and cold spots. The results from our analysis show that there exist statistically significant spatial autocorrelation and spatial hot spots and cold spots of regional longevity at both Si_Gun_Gu and Eup_Myeon_Dong levels. This result implies that the modifiable areal unit problem does exist in the studies of spatial patterns of longevity population distribution. The demand for longevity researches would be increased inevitably. In addition, there were apparent differences for the global spatial autocorrelation and local spatial cluster which calculated different spatial units such as Si_Gun_Gu and Eup_Myeon_Dong and this can be seen as scale effect of MAUP. The findings from our analysis show that any study in this topic can mislead results when the modifiable areal unit problem and spatial autocorrelation are not explicitly considered.

Spatial Characteristics of Longevity Degree in Korea (한국 장수도(長壽度) 변화의 공간적 특성)

  • Park, Sam-Ock;Jeong, Eun-Jin;Song, Kyung-Un
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.187-210
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the spatial characteristics of the longevity phenomenon and long-live areas in Korea where a rapid aging process is undergoing. Population data from 1966 to 2000 at the county level are analyzed to understand aging process and changes of longevity degree by regions. The relationship between the degree of longevity and a region's natural environments and distance to a metropolis has been analyzed to understand regional factors of longevity. The findings from the study are summarized as follows. Firstly, the rural regions in Honam show the highest degree of longevity in the nation. Secondly, the areas of the high degree of longevity has recently shifted and/or expanded from the islands and seashore areas of southwestern region to inland mountainous areas around Soback Mountain. Southern islands and seashore regions used to show the nation's highest degree of longevity in the 1970s. Thirdly, the analysis of regional environment factors indicated that longevity has more related to a precipitation and an average altitude than temperature. Fourthly, in order to identify the longevity factors in urban areas, social and economic factors should be considered beyond the natural environmental factors.

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Sustainability of pensions in Asian countries

  • Hyunoo, Shim;Siok, Kim;Yang Ho, Choi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.679-694
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    • 2022
  • Mortality risk is a significant threat to individual life, and quantifying the risk is necessary for making a national population plan and is a traditionally fundamental task in the insurance and annuity businesses. Like other advanced countries, the sustainability of life pensions and the management of longevity risks are becoming important in Asian countries entering the era of aging society. In this study, mortality and pension value sustainability trends are compared and analyzed based on national population and mortality data, focusing on four Asian countries from 1990 to 2017. The result of analyzing the robustness and accuracy of generalized linear/nonlinear models reveals that the Cairns-Blake-Dowd model, the nonparametric Renshaw-Haberman model, and the Plat model show low stability. The Currie, CBD M5, M7, and M8 models have high stability against data periods. The M7 and M8 models demonstrate high accuracy. The longevity risk is found to be high in the order of Taiwan, Hong Kong, Korea, and Japan, which is in general inversely related to the population size.

Regional Differentials in Mortality in Korea, 1990-2000 (사망력 수준의 시ㆍ군별 편차 및 그 변화 추이, 1990∼2000)

  • 김두섭;박효준
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2003
  • This paper attempts to explore the effects of ecological and socioeconomic factors on the level of mortality and the changing trends of such effects during the period of 1990∼2000. For this purpose the population census data and micro-data from the vital statistics for years 1990, 1995 and 2000 were used. As indicators of mortality, the crude death rate(CDR), the standardized death rate(SDR) and the longevity rate were calculated for 170 'Si' s and 'Gun's. Using GIS, this paper first presents the mortality and longevity maps for years 1990, 1995 and 2000. Then ANOVA and regression analyses are carried out in an effort to generalize the effects of ecological and socioeconomic factors on the CDR, the SDR and the longevity rate. When the mortality and longevity maps are examined, three indices of mortality are found to be markedly high in the southwest coastal regions of Cholla-Nam-Do. By contrast, Seoul and Pusan metropolitan areas show substantially low level of mortality and longevity in these indices. It is also found that the regional differentials in the SDR and the longevity rate show a trend of becoming smaller after 1990. The research, however, does not find any linear relationship between the SDR and the longevity rate. The causal mechanisms of the two indices are found to be different. The results of the ANOVA and the regression analysis reveal that the locational factors of both mountainous and farming regions tend to increase the CDR and SDR while both coastal and farming regions disclose a tendency of increasing the longevity rate. The level of statistical significance of these analytical results is found to be weaker when socioeconomic factors such as education, income, marital status, availability of medical care, and sanitary conditions of the region are taken into account. The regional differentials in the mortality level seem to have a clear relationship not only with the socioeconomic factors but also with the age structure influenced by the age selectivity of migration during the past 40 years.