• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-run

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Analysis of a Random Shock Model for a System and Its Optimization

  • Park, Jeong-Hun;Choi, Seung-Kyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.773-782
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a random shock model for a system is considered. Each shock arriving according to a Poisson process decreases the state of the system by a random amount. A repairman arriving according to another Poisson process of rate $\lambda$ repairs the system only if the state of the system is below a threshold $\alpha$. After assigning various costs to the system, we calculate the long-run average cost and show that there exist a unique value of arrival rate $\lambda$ and a unique value of threshold $\alpha$ which minimize the long-run average cost per unit time.

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Analysis of a Random Shock Model for a System and Its Optimization

  • Park, Jeong-Hun;Choi, Seung-Kyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a random shock model for a system is considered. Each shock arriving according to a Poisson process decreases the state of the system by a random amount. A repairman arriving according to another Poisson process of rate $\lambda$ repairs the system only if the state of the system is below a threshold $\alpha$. After assigning various costs to the system, we calculate the long-run average cost and show that there exist a unique value of arrival rate $\lambda$ and a unique value of threshold $\alpha$ which minimize the long-run average cost per unit time.

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The Impact of Product Distribution and Information Technology on Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Korea

  • Lee, Jung Wan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2014
  • The paper deals with the impact of the product distribution and information technology sectors on energy resource use, carbon emissions and economic growth by examining the long-run equilibrium relationships and Granger causal relationships among these variables in South Korea. The quarterly time series data from the first quarter of 1970 to the third quarter of 2010 (163 observations) are collected and retrieved from the Bank of Korea database. The paper examines the long-run equilibrium relationships using cointegration techniques and Granger causality using vector error correction models. Test results indicate a long-run equilibrium relationship exists among these variables. In testing directional causality, both the product distribution and the information technology sectors show direct effects on economic growth but only marginal effects on carbon emissions.

An Economic Design of a k-out-of-n System

  • Yun, Won-Young;Kim, Gue-Rae;Gopi Chattopadhyay
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2003
  • A k-out-of-n system with n identical and independent components is considered in which the components takes two types of function: 0 (open-circuit) or 1 (closed) on command (e.g. electromagnetic relays and solid state switches). Components are subject to two types of failure on command: failure to close or failure to open. In our k-out-of-n system, failure of (n-k)+1 or more components to close causes to the close failure of the system, or failure of k or more components to open causes the open failure of the system. The long-run average cost rate is obtained. We find the optimal k minimizing the long run average cost rate for given n. A numerical example is presented.

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Optimal Restocking Policy of an Inventory with Constant Demand

  • Ki, Jeong Jin;Lim, Kyung Eun;Lee, EuiYong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.631-641
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a model for an inventory whose stock decreases with time is considered. When a deliveryman arrives, if the level of the inventory exceeds a threshold $\alpha$, no stock is delivered, otherwise a delivery is made. It is assumed that the size of a delivery is a random variable Y which is exponentially distributed. After assigning various costs to the model, we calculate the long-run average cost and show that there exist unique value of arrival rate of deliveryman $\alpha$, unique value of threshold $\alpha$ and unique value of average delivery m which minimize the long-run average cost.

Correlation between the Stock and Futures Markets by Timescale

  • Lee, Chang Min;Lee, Hahn Shik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.897-915
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    • 2012
  • This paper examines the relationship between the stock and futures markets in terms of lead-lag relationship, correlation and the hedge ratio using wavelet analysis. The basic finding is that the relationship between the two markets significantly depends on the time-scale. First, there is a feedback relationship between the stock and futures markets in the long-run scale; however, weaker evidence is observed in shorter-run scales. Second, wavelet correlation between the two markets increases for a longer time scale. Third, the hedge ratio and the effectiveness of hedging strategies increase as the investment horizon gets longer. The results in this paper indicate that the stock and futures series are perfectly correlated in the long run and are tied together over long horizons.

An optimal continuous type investment policy for the surplus in a risk model

  • Choi, Seung Kyoung;Lee, Eui Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we show that there exists an optimal investment policy for the surplus in a risk model, in which the surplus is continuously invested to other business at a constant rate a > 0, whenever the level of the surplus exceeds a given threshold V > 0. We assign, to the risk model, two costs, the penalty per unit time while the level of the surplus being under V > 0 and the opportunity cost per unit time by keeping a unit amount of the surplus. After calculating the long-run average cost per unit time, we show that there exists an optimal investment rate $a^*$>0 which minimizes the long-run average cost per unit time, when the claim amount follows an exponential distribution.

A Study on the Determinants of Bilateral Trade : Evidence from China and US

  • He, Yugang
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - Recently, the trade war between China and US has been escalating, which has also attracted worldwide attention. Based on this background, this paper sets China and US as an example to explore the determinants of bilateral trade between China and US. Research design, date, and methodology - A quarterly data from the 2000-Q1 to the 2017-Q4 will be used to perform an empirical analysis under some econometric approaches such as the fully modified least squares and the vector error correction estimates. Result - The results illustrate that the two economic entities of China and US have the greatest positive effect on bilateral trade between China and US. The real exchange rate has a positive effect on bilateral trade between China and US. The nominal exchange rate has a negative effect on bilateral trade between China and US in the short run. US's average price has a positive effect on bilateral trade between China and US in the short run. China's average price has a negative effect on bilateral trade between China and US in the short run. Meanwhile, the bilateral trade between China and US also suffers from the economic crisis happened in 2008. Even through the bilateral trade between China and US in the short run is deviate from the long-run equilibrium, there exist an error correction mechanism back to the long-run equilibrium. Conclusion - This paper provides some empirical evidences for both governments. Based on the results of this paper, both governments should take corresponding measures to promote the development of bilateral trade between China and US.

AFTERMARKET PERFORMANCE OF THE U.K. IPOs

  • Lee, Ki-Hwan
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.215-244
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    • 1995
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the three anomalies phenomena that appear in the initial public offerings(IPOs) market. Of them, the first anomaly is that the new issues are underpriced in the short-run. Secondly, the hot issue market phenomenon appears. Thirdly, in the long-run, the initial public offerings of equities are overpriced. These phenomena have been documented by Inany studies using the us stock market data. In particular, we will investigate whether these three anomalies also appear in the UK new issues market. Firstly, the underpricing phenomenon of initial public offerings in the short-run will be examined. Then the long-run performance of new issues will be examined using cross-sectional and time-series analysis. Finally, we will briefly examine the existence of the hot issue market in the uk IPOs market.

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Dynamic Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from Chinese Stock Markets

  • Lee, Jung Wan;Zhao, Tianyuan Frederic
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2014
  • This paper empirically examines the short-run and long-run causal relationship between stock market prices and exchange rates in Chinese stock markets using monthly data from January 2002 to December 2012 retrieved from the National Bureau of Statistics of the People's Republic of China. Unit root, cointegration tests, vector error correction estimates, block exogeneity Wald tests, impulse responses, variance decomposition techniques and structural break tests are employed. This study found 1) long-run causality from exchange rates to stock prices in Chinese stock markets and 2) short-run causality from Japanese yen and Korean won exchange rates to stock prices in the Shanghai Stock Exchange strongly prevails while in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange weakly prevails. The impact of the global financial crisis from 2007 to 2009 on Chinese stock markets was insignificant.