• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.65-78
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• 1985

In this paper, the approach getting a total demand by forecasting the new demand and the replacement demand separately and adding them is used for long term forecasting of durable goods. Cross country analysis using the income as an independent variable and S-shaped growth curve as a fitting model is developed as a method of forecasting new demand. To get the replacement demand the methods using the number of ownership and the replacement rate and the methods using the past demand and the distribution of the product life are proposed. And the theoretical explannation for product life cycle's diversity, which is the one of the major considerations in the long term forecasting, is attempted by the combination of the new demand and the replacement demand patterns. This is applicated the long term forecasting of Korean passenger cars.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제19권9호
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• pp.261-268
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• 2018

전력수요와 부하용량이 증가 되어감에 따라 부하에 전력공급을 위한 간선으로서의 케이블은 설치 시간의 과다와 공간의 제약으로 사용이 제한적이다. 이런 문제를 해결하기 위한 간선 시스템으로 대전류를 효율적으로 공급해 줄 수 있는 버스웨이 시스템의 사용이 증가되고 있으나, 신뢰성의 검증을 위한 시험평가 방법과 그에 대한 결과 제시가 부족한 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 에폭시를 주절연으로 하는 버스웨이 시스템의 신뢰성 검증을 위해서 IEC 61439-6에서 제시된 시험항목이외에 장기 사용성과 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있는 시험항목을 선정하였다. 열 및 전기적 스트레스를 동시에 인가하여 최대한 실사용 상태를 반영한 복합가속열화시험을 실시하였으며, 50년 수명 조건을 충족하도록 열화 조건을 선정하여 버스웨이 시스템의 절연성능 확인시험을 통해 수명을 만족함을 확인하였다. 또한, 버스웨이가 설치되는 온도, 습도 및 부하전류 사용 환경에 대한 적합성 확인에 대한 신뢰성 평가 시험항목으로서 열적 과전류 시험, 침수시험, 냉충격시험, 온도 사이클 시험을 선정하여 실시하였으며, 확인 시험을 통해 시험 전후의 특성 변화와 이상 유무를 검토하였다. 이 결과들로부터 에폭시 절연형 버스웨이 시스템의 평가항목으로서 본 논문에서 제시한 시험항목이 적절하고, 그에 대한 제품의 성능도 우수함을 확인하였다.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제19D권1호
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• pp.95-104
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• 2012

본 연구의 목적은 금융IT 발전의 거시적 관점에서 방향성을 제안하고, 국내 금융IT 환경의 변화과정에 대한 경험적 모델을 바탕으로 향후 진행될 금융IT 시스템의 이론적 근거를 제시하는데 있다. 이를 위해 금융IT 발전과정 40년 동안 중요한 영향을 미쳤던 의미있는 패턴들을 도출 및 분석하고 코어뱅킹 모델의 라이프사이클을 역 추적하였다. 연구결과 첫째, 우리나라 금융IT 시스템의 라이프사이클은 10년으로 분석되었다. 둘째, 코어뱅킹 모델의 라이프사이클은 평균11년으로 분석되었으며 최장기 모델의 라이프사이클은 33년으로 분석되었다. 셋째, 장기 생존 코어뱅킹 모델들은 초기부터 철저한 객관적 분석과 벤치마킹을 통해 설계되고 발전시켜 왔다. 넷째, 금융IT 분야는 융합산업 분야로 성장시켜 나가야 하며, 이를 위해 코어뱅킹 모델연구의 체계화와 전문인력 양성이 필요하다. 본 연구는 그동안 명확하게 정리되지 않았던 코어뱅킹 모델의 분석을 통해 새로운 방향성을 제시하였다는데 의의가 있다. 전반부에는 코어뱅킹 모델의 역추적 의미와 금융IT 경영전략 차원의 핵심요소들을 중심으로 조사하였고, 후반부에는 이를 근거로 본격적인 코어뱅킹 모델의 라이프사이클을 분석하였다.

• 조명전기설비학회논문지
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.18-27
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• 2011

LED lighting because of high efficiency, long life, friendly environment, as a general lighting of the next generation, has been substituted for incandescent bulb and fluorescent lamp. The proposed system for use of solar battery is the intelligent controller for LED street lights which is improved the method of battery charging and charging efficiency in winter to extend battery life cycle, controlled lighting current according to SoC and in steps. Also, it is implemented emotional lighting which is controlled with the surrounding environment, by using colorful sub LED to take up 10[%] of a source of total light, white LED. As a lab results, the proposed system was implemented functions to adapt to the environmental changes, and improved the charging efficiency and battery life cycle.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.33-45
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• 2016

PURPOSES : Concrete pavement has been used in the construction of the Jungbu expressway in 1987. More than 60% of the pavement on the expressway is currently made of concrete, but most has been used far beyond their design life. Pavement life has been extended through routine maintenance or overlay. However, the structural capacity of the pavement has reached its limit, and extensive rehabilitation/reconstruction with long time traffic blocking should be considered. The three following issues on concrete rehabilitation/reconstruction will be discussed: (1) economic comparison of asphalt inlay and asphalt overlay, (2) economic comparison preventive overlay on a section which is currently good and routine overlay on the section which will be poor, and (3) economic analysis of early-strength concrete when it is used in concrete reconstruction. METHODS : First, various life cycle cost analysis tools were compared, and the proper tool for the extensive rehabilitation/reconstruction was selected. Second, a sensitivity analysis of the selected tool was performed to find the influential input variables, which should be carefully selected in the analysis. Third, three case studies, which can be issues in the rehabilitation/reconstruction of the expressway concrete pavement in Korea, were performed. RESULTS : Asphalt overlay without milling the deteriorated concrete showed 18~25% lower life cycle cost than the current asphalt inlay with milling. The good current preventive overlay on the section was economically justified within the scope of this study. The construction cost limit of the early strength concrete was suggested to be economical for 1, 3, and 7 days of construction alternative opening. CONCLUSIONS : CA4PRS was a viable tool for comparing various rehabilitation/reconstruction issue alternatives. Several concrete issues associated with the rehabilitation/reconstruction of the deteriorated concrete pavement were discussed as mentioned above.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.103-112
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• 2017

PURPOSES : In this study, field performance evaluation of crack treatment of pavement and the feasibility of surface treatment of pavement are presented. The performance and cost of preventive maintenance methods have been previously verified, and the methods are being used in many developed countries and cities. However, the performance and cost of the system have not been verified in domestic, field applications. Therefore, in order to improve performance, the field performance is evaluated, and a reasonable cost is proposed. METHODS : Visual Inspection was conducted to evaluate the field application and performance of the preventive maintenance method. In addition, the PCI index was calculated from the results of visual inspection of the application area of the surface treatment method, and the performance life of each method was predicted. For the economic evaluation, life cycle cost analysis was performed using the life cycle cost analysis program. RESULTS :In order to evaluate and quantify the field performance of crack repair material, the residue condition of the pavement surface after crack treatment, rather than the performance of the material, is evaluated. In addition, the crack resistance and performance life of surface treatment methods are evaluated. The cost of currently available treatment methods are compared to the common pavement cut and overlay method, and it is determined that the preventive method is not economical based on life cycle cost analysis. CONCLUSIONS :Because of the characteristics of cracking, it is necessary to conduct the evaluation of currently applied methods and the analysis of the cause of damage, by visual inspection. Moreover, in order to evaluate the performance and economic suitability of the currently applied surface treatment methods, it is necessary to acquire information on application sections by monitoring their long-term conditions and performance.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제46권1호
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• pp.48-54
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• 2023

Guided missiles are a one-shot system that finishes their purpose after being used once, and due to the long-term storage until launch, the storage reliability is calculated during development, and performance is maintained through periodic inspections until the life cycle arrives. However, the reliability standards applied in the development of guided missiles were established by analyzing data accumulated by the United States during long-term operation in the country, and since they are different from our environment, the 00 guided missiles that have been deployed in the armed forces for more than 10 years under the premise that there is a difference from actual reliability. As a result of verifying the appropriateness of the current inspection cycle by analyzing the actual reliability of the missile, the necessity of changing the inspection period was derived because it was higher than the predicted reliability. It is proposed to build and utilize a lifespan management system that can systematically collect all data such as shooting and maintenance results by classification, and to establish a reliable reliability standard based on the accumulated data.

• 디자인학연구
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.335-350
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• 2006

산업기술의 발달, 소비자의 행동변화, 업계경쟁 심화 등으로 인해 강력한 브랜드를 구축하는 일이 점점 더 힘들어지고 있다. 더욱이 브랜드는 고정 불변된 자산이 아니라 살아있는 생명체와 같아서 브랜드 수명주기에 따라 노화되기 마련이다. 따라서 끊임없이 소비자와의 관계를 통해서 자기 존재를 확인 시킬 수 있는 자기변화와 변혁이 필요하다. 즉, 시간의 흐름과 함께 또는 시장상황의 변화로 인해 진부해진 브랜드를 다시금 소비자의 인식선상으로 되돌리기 위하여 재활성화 작업이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 단기적 과제로써 디자인 리뉴얼에 대한 효과를 측정하는 것에서 벗어나, 브랜드 수명주기에 따른 장기적 의미의 브랜드 관리에 초점을 맞추고 성공적인 브랜드 재활성화의 사례 분석과 연구 분석 대상 선정을 통한 소비자 의식도 분석결과를 종합하여 효과적인 재활성화의 시기와 방안에 관하여 규명하고자 하였다. 본 연구결과를 통하여 예측 가능한 환경의 변화에 미리 대응하기 위하여 단행하는 시기적절한 브랜드 재활성화는 브랜드 에쿼티의 하락을 미연에 방지하고 브랜드의 수명을 연장할 수 있는 중요한 방법으로 파악되었다. 또한 브랜드 재활성화는 단기적 매출 상승을 위한 전술의 개념보다는 장기적인 브랜드 관리전략으로써 BLC곡선이 하락하는 시점에서 지속적으로 실행되어야하며, 단기간에 졸속으로 이루어져 겉포장만 바꾸는 식의 외형적 측면의 디자인 리뉴얼에만 연연해서는 안 된다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제24권9호
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• pp.2183-2190
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• 2000

A thermal aging is observed in a primary reactor cooling system(RCS) made of a casting stainless steel when the RCS is exposed for long period at the reactor operating temperature, 290~3300C An investigation of effects of thermal aging on a low cycle fatigue characteristics included a stress variations caused by a reactor operation and trip, is required. The purpose of the present investigation is to find an effect of a thermal aging of the CF8M on a low cycle fatigue life. The specimen of CF8M are prepared by an artificially accelerated aging technique holding 300 and 1800hr at 4300C respectively. The low cycle fatigue tests for the virgin and two aged specimens are performed at the room temperature for various strain amplitudes($\varepsilon$ta), 0.3, 0.5, 0.8, 1.0, 1.2 and 1.5% strain. Through the experiment, it is found that the fatigue life is rapidly reduced with an creasing of the aging time. The experimental fatigue life estimation formulas between the virgin and two aged specimen are obtained and are proposed to a analysis purpose.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제51권6호
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• pp.451-458
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• 2014

The purpose of this study is to compare the economics between a diesel propulsion vessel and a LNG fuel propulsion vessel through the analysis of the present value using the LCC(Life Cycle Cost) method. This study is also to judge the economics for long-term operation of a LNG fuel propulsion vessel as a result of analysis about the equivalent uniform annual cost. In particular, LCC method was strengthened by sensitivity analysis based on combined interest rate which is considering discount rate and inflation rate simultaneously.