• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long cycle life

Search Result 476, Processing Time 0.034 seconds

Long Term Forecastig for Durable Goods by Cross Country Analysis Using Growth Curve (성장곡선을 이용한 횡단면 분석에 의한 내구재의 장기유요예측모형)

  • 정규석
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.65-78
    • /
    • 1985
  • In this paper, the approach getting a total demand by forecasting the new demand and the replacement demand separately and adding them is used for long term forecasting of durable goods. Cross country analysis using the income as an independent variable and S-shaped growth curve as a fitting model is developed as a method of forecasting new demand. To get the replacement demand the methods using the number of ownership and the replacement rate and the methods using the past demand and the distribution of the product life are proposed. And the theoretical explannation for product life cycle's diversity, which is the one of the major considerations in the long term forecasting, is attempted by the combination of the new demand and the replacement demand patterns. This is applicated the long term forecasting of Korean passenger cars.

  • PDF

Study on the Estimation of Long Life Cycle and Reliability Tests for Epoxy Insulation Busway System (에폭시 박막 절연형 버스웨이 시스템의 장기 수명 및 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Dong-Uk;Park, Seong-Hee;Lee, Kang-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.9
    • /
    • pp.261-268
    • /
    • 2018
  • The use of electric cable was limited due to the installation time and large space as the increase of power demand and load quantity in side line. In order to solve these problems, the application of busway system which can supply the large current was increasing. But it was lack of methods of performance tests to evaluate the reliability and results of test for busway system. In this paper, we presented items to evaluate the reliability test for epoxy coated busway system with reference to IEC 61349-6. In addition, we proposed items to evaluate the reliability and long term life cycle test for the epoxy coated busway system. The combined acceleration deterioration test that reflects actual conditions of the survey as much as possible was conducted considering both thermal and electrical stresses. The deterioration condition was selected to satisfy fifty years life expectation and the insulation performance verification test of the busway system confirmed the long term life prediction. Furthermore, as test items for reliability assessment of compliance with the environment for the use of temperature, humidity and load current where busway system was installed, thermal overload test, water immersion test, cold shock temperature test and thermal cycle test were performed. And we examined changes in characteristics and abnormality after tests. From results, the test items presented to evaluate performance and reliability of the epoxy insulated busway system were confirmed to be appropriate in this paper, and the performance of the product was also confirmed to be excellent for reliability tests.

A Study on Developing Trend of Core-Banking Model through Tracking of Financial IT Development (금융IT 발전과정의 추적을 통한 코어뱅킹 모델의 발전방향에 관한 연구)

  • Weon, Dal-Soo;Jun, Moon-Seog
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
    • /
    • v.19D no.1
    • /
    • pp.95-104
    • /
    • 2012
  • The main purpose of this paper is to propose the direction of financial IT development in macro-perspective. And it also shows a theoretical basis on the financial IT system that will be progressed with regard to an empirical model on the basis of the transformation process of the domestic financial IT environment for the future. In the process, this research produces and analyzes the meaningful patterns that have a significant influence on the financial IT development for 40 years, and attempts to backtrack the life-cycle of the core-banking model. This paper can be summarized as follows: Firstly, I analyzed the life-cycle of financial IT system in Korea per 10years. Secondly. The life-cycle of core-banking model is analyzed by 11years on the average and the one of the long term model by 33years. Thirdly, from the earlier days, the models of a long-term survival core-banking have been designed and developed through the objective analysis and bench-marketing. Lastly, the financial IT field should be developed into the integrated industry, and systematization of core-banking model studies and more professionals need to be extended. This research has contributed to provide the new frameworks through the analysis of the core-banking model that has not studied obviously for a long time. The paper involves two related sections, the first section deals with the significance of backtracking in core-banking model and also focuses on the key components from the perspective of financial IT management strategies. Based on the process, the second section figures out the life-cycles of actual core-banking model.

A Design of LED Lighting Controller for use of Solar Battery (태양전지 이용을 위한 LED 조명 제어기 설계)

  • Kim, Byun-Gon;Lee, Ok-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
    • /
    • v.25 no.6
    • /
    • pp.18-27
    • /
    • 2011
  • LED lighting because of high efficiency, long life, friendly environment, as a general lighting of the next generation, has been substituted for incandescent bulb and fluorescent lamp. The proposed system for use of solar battery is the intelligent controller for LED street lights which is improved the method of battery charging and charging efficiency in winter to extend battery life cycle, controlled lighting current according to SoC and in steps. Also, it is implemented emotional lighting which is controlled with the surrounding environment, by using colorful sub LED to take up 10[%] of a source of total light, white LED. As a lab results, the proposed system was implemented functions to adapt to the environmental changes, and improved the charging efficiency and battery life cycle.

Case Studies of the Life Cycle Cost Analysis for Rehabilitation of Deteriorated Expressway Concrete Pavements (고속도로 노후 콘크리트 포장 보강의 경제성 분석 사례 연구)

  • Suh, Young-Chan;Park, Ji-Won;Kim, Chan-Woo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.33-45
    • /
    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : Concrete pavement has been used in the construction of the Jungbu expressway in 1987. More than 60% of the pavement on the expressway is currently made of concrete, but most has been used far beyond their design life. Pavement life has been extended through routine maintenance or overlay. However, the structural capacity of the pavement has reached its limit, and extensive rehabilitation/reconstruction with long time traffic blocking should be considered. The three following issues on concrete rehabilitation/reconstruction will be discussed: (1) economic comparison of asphalt inlay and asphalt overlay, (2) economic comparison preventive overlay on a section which is currently good and routine overlay on the section which will be poor, and (3) economic analysis of early-strength concrete when it is used in concrete reconstruction. METHODS : First, various life cycle cost analysis tools were compared, and the proper tool for the extensive rehabilitation/reconstruction was selected. Second, a sensitivity analysis of the selected tool was performed to find the influential input variables, which should be carefully selected in the analysis. Third, three case studies, which can be issues in the rehabilitation/reconstruction of the expressway concrete pavement in Korea, were performed. RESULTS : Asphalt overlay without milling the deteriorated concrete showed 18~25% lower life cycle cost than the current asphalt inlay with milling. The good current preventive overlay on the section was economically justified within the scope of this study. The construction cost limit of the early strength concrete was suggested to be economical for 1, 3, and 7 days of construction alternative opening. CONCLUSIONS : CA4PRS was a viable tool for comparing various rehabilitation/reconstruction issue alternatives. Several concrete issues associated with the rehabilitation/reconstruction of the deteriorated concrete pavement were discussed as mentioned above.

Field Performance Evaluation of Preventive Maintenance Methods (예방적 유지보수 공법의 현장 적용성능 평가 연구)

  • Lee, Sang Yum
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.103-112
    • /
    • 2017
  • PURPOSES : In this study, field performance evaluation of crack treatment of pavement and the feasibility of surface treatment of pavement are presented. The performance and cost of preventive maintenance methods have been previously verified, and the methods are being used in many developed countries and cities. However, the performance and cost of the system have not been verified in domestic, field applications. Therefore, in order to improve performance, the field performance is evaluated, and a reasonable cost is proposed. METHODS : Visual Inspection was conducted to evaluate the field application and performance of the preventive maintenance method. In addition, the PCI index was calculated from the results of visual inspection of the application area of the surface treatment method, and the performance life of each method was predicted. For the economic evaluation, life cycle cost analysis was performed using the life cycle cost analysis program. RESULTS :In order to evaluate and quantify the field performance of crack repair material, the residue condition of the pavement surface after crack treatment, rather than the performance of the material, is evaluated. In addition, the crack resistance and performance life of surface treatment methods are evaluated. The cost of currently available treatment methods are compared to the common pavement cut and overlay method, and it is determined that the preventive method is not economical based on life cycle cost analysis. CONCLUSIONS :Because of the characteristics of cracking, it is necessary to conduct the evaluation of currently applied methods and the analysis of the cause of damage, by visual inspection. Moreover, in order to evaluate the performance and economic suitability of the currently applied surface treatment methods, it is necessary to acquire information on application sections by monitoring their long-term conditions and performance.

A Study on the Proper Inspection Cycle Plan Through Reliability Analysis of One-Shot System (One-Shot System의 신뢰도 분석을 통한 적정 점검주기 방안 연구)

  • June-Young Lim;Hyeonju Seol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.46 no.1
    • /
    • pp.48-54
    • /
    • 2023
  • Guided missiles are a one-shot system that finishes their purpose after being used once, and due to the long-term storage until launch, the storage reliability is calculated during development, and performance is maintained through periodic inspections until the life cycle arrives. However, the reliability standards applied in the development of guided missiles were established by analyzing data accumulated by the United States during long-term operation in the country, and since they are different from our environment, the 00 guided missiles that have been deployed in the armed forces for more than 10 years under the premise that there is a difference from actual reliability. As a result of verifying the appropriateness of the current inspection cycle by analyzing the actual reliability of the missile, the necessity of changing the inspection period was derived because it was higher than the predicted reliability. It is proposed to build and utilize a lifespan management system that can systematically collect all data such as shooting and maintenance results by classification, and to establish a reliable reliability standard based on the accumulated data.

A Study on Brand Identity Revitalization for Aging Brand (노후화된 브랜드의 브랜드 아이덴티티 재활성화(Revitalization)를 위한 연구)

  • Koo, Yoo-Ri
    • Archives of design research
    • /
    • v.19 no.5 s.67
    • /
    • pp.335-350
    • /
    • 2006
  • Due to the development in industrial technology, changes in consumer behavior and aggravating competition within the industry, it is growing only harder every day to build up a strong brand power. Besides, a brand is supposed to age as time goes by, following a brand life cycle, as it is not a solid, immutable asset but something of a living creature. Therefore, self-renovation and revitalization efforts are needed, in order to incessantly confirm the self existence through the relationship with the consumer. In sum, revitalization operation is needed to renew a brand that has grown trite in the passage of time or due to the change in market condition, so as to bring it back anew to the consumers. This study did not stop at measuring the effect of a design renewal as a short-term assignment, but focused on the long-term brand management following the brand life cycle and aimed to define the effective timing and method of revitalization by comprehending the analysis results of consumer consciousness by analyzing the successful cases of brand revitalization and selecting the research analysis targets. As a result, this study proved that a properly-timed brand revitalization efforts in order to cope in advance with predictable changes in environment, can significantly prevent any drop of brand equity from occurring and then extend the brand life cycle. Also, this study could find that a brand revitalization is not a mere concept of a strategy for a short-term sales increase, but should be a long-term strategy to manage a brand, which must be practiced continuously in the time when the brand life cycle curve starts to fall. This research could also confirm that a superficial design renewal, which changes only the packaging of a brand, peformed in short-term haste, is not of help at all.

  • PDF

A Study on the 43$0^{\circ}C$ Degradation Behavior of Cast Stainless Steel(CF8M)(II)-Evaluation of Low Cycle Fatigue Characteristics- (주조 스테인리스강 CF8M의 43$0^{\circ}C$ 열화거동에 관한 연구 (II) -저사이클 피로특성 평가-)

  • Gwon, Jae-Do;U, Seung-Wan;Park, Jung-Cheol;Lee, Yong-Seon;Park, Yun-Won
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.24 no.9 s.180
    • /
    • pp.2183-2190
    • /
    • 2000
  • A thermal aging is observed in a primary reactor cooling system(RCS) made of a casting stainless steel when the RCS is exposed for long period at the reactor operating temperature, 290~3300C An investigation of effects of thermal aging on a low cycle fatigue characteristics included a stress variations caused by a reactor operation and trip, is required. The purpose of the present investigation is to find an effect of a thermal aging of the CF8M on a low cycle fatigue life. The specimen of CF8M are prepared by an artificially accelerated aging technique holding 300 and 1800hr at 4300C respectively. The low cycle fatigue tests for the virgin and two aged specimens are performed at the room temperature for various strain amplitudes($\varepsilon$ta), 0.3, 0.5, 0.8, 1.0, 1.2 and 1.5% strain. Through the experiment, it is found that the fatigue life is rapidly reduced with an creasing of the aging time. The experimental fatigue life estimation formulas between the virgin and two aged specimen are obtained and are proposed to a analysis purpose.

A Study on Economic Analysis of LNG Fuel Propulsion Ships using Life Cycle Cost(LCC) Based on Combined Interest Rates and Sensitivity Analysis (복합이자율과 민감도분석에 기반한 LCC 기법에 의한 LNG 연료추진 선박 경제성 평가 사례 연구)

  • Hong, Jin Pyo;Kim, Su Yeong;Kim, Chwa Jin
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
    • /
    • v.51 no.6
    • /
    • pp.451-458
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the economics between a diesel propulsion vessel and a LNG fuel propulsion vessel through the analysis of the present value using the LCC(Life Cycle Cost) method. This study is also to judge the economics for long-term operation of a LNG fuel propulsion vessel as a result of analysis about the equivalent uniform annual cost. In particular, LCC method was strengthened by sensitivity analysis based on combined interest rate which is considering discount rate and inflation rate simultaneously.