• 제목/요약/키워드: Logit model

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Measuring the Scientific Benefits from the Deep-sea Human-operated Vehicle Project: A Choice Experiment Study (선택실험법을 이용한 심해 유인잠수정 개발사업의 과학기술적 경제적 편익추정)

  • Jin, Se-Jun;Lim, Seul-Ye;Park, Se-Hun;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.277-288
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    • 2014
  • The Korean government is considering the implementation of a project to develop a deep-sea human-operated vehicle (HOV) to improve the level of deep-sea research. Information on the scientific benefits from the project is urgently needed in order to come to a decision about whether to implement the project. This paper measures the conservation value of developing nine attributes associated with HOV by using the choice experiment (CE). A survey of about 356 experts was undertaken and 132 experts completely responded to the survey. To deal with the CE data from the survey, we employed a multinomial logit model. All the coefficient estimates are statistically significant and consistent with prior expectations. Therefore, we can judge that the respondents' works required in the CE survey were within their cognitive abilities and they reported responsible and significant values. Each marginal willingness to pay for each attribute associated with the HOV is statistically significant and provides good information on the scientific values with regard to developing the HOV. The results can be utilized in evaluating and planning several alternatives related to developing the HOV.

Segmentation and Characteristic Analysis of Urban Farmers Behavior (도시농업 활동 유형화 연구)

  • Hwang, Jeong-Im;Choi, Yoon-Ji;Jang, Bo-Gyung;Rhee, Sang-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Community Living Science
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.619-631
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to segment and examine urban farmers behavior by applying a two-step cluster analysis and multi-nominal logit model. The data were collected by a telephone survey with two-staged stratified random sampling in the cities around the country for the purpose of acquiring representative data. Respondents were asked to describe their awareness of urban agriculture, their agricultural activity, and sociodemographic characteristics. Among 2,000 cases, 381 cases(19.1%) which were of participants in urban agriculture were analysed in SPSS. From the findings, 27.3% of respondents had heard the word 'urban agriculture', and 25.5% of them regarded themselves as urban farmers. Four different clusters were derived from two-step clusters based on motive, place, companion, area and hours. They were 'Large scale hobby farming(cluster 1)', ‘Weekend farm/ hobby farming(cluster 2)', 'Land/ Self-supporting farming(cluster 3)', and 'Small scale hobby farming(cluster 4)'. The result of multinomial logistic regression showed that there were significant differences among these four segmented groups in terms of age, city size and housing type. In other words, there is quite a possibility that urbanites select different urban farming types according to their socio-demographic profiles. Therefore, the urbanite profiles can be used as the basis for promoting policy of several urban agriculture types. According to the result, policy directions for facilitating urban agriculture were presented.

A Case Study on the Information Capacity Assessment Index of local Residents Using Score Card (스코어카드를 활용한 개인 및 지역정보화 수준 측정 사례연구)

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Chul;Cho, Young-Im
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1077-1091
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we consider to assess the information ability of individuals related to local information. Questionnaire surveys are frequently used for studies on the measuring of information index and such specified indexes of society development. However, if questionnaire papers measured individuals' abilities and such parts of quality, the subjective judgments of respondents cannot but be intervened. Therefore a method which will enable subjective points to be comparatively objectified is needed. In this study, when an attempt is being made to measure individuals' information capacity through questionnaire surveys as the process for calculating the standards of regional information levels. Cases have been looked at for times when, by using a scorecard, individuals' subjective survey result have been be changed to be comparatively objectified scores and such process. The logit model was used in the preparation of the scorecard. In this study, we have presented a clue which enables the comparative measurement about regional information gaps by using characteristics of regional population statistics.

Physical Distribution Channel Choice according to Commodity Types (제품특성에 따른 물적유통경로선택 분석)

  • Park, Min-Yeong;Kim, Chan-Seong;Kim, Eun-Mi;Park, Dong-Ju;Pattanamekar, Parichart
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2010
  • The study developed physical distribution channel choice models reflecting decision making of the firms and studied how choice decision factors influence selection of distribution channel. The distribution channel survey data in Korea was used to do empirical study. As a choice set, distribution channels were classified into two main choice channels: direct and indirect channels. In addition, indirect channels were classified into other three channels according to the type of intermediate point: distribution center, wholesale store, and agency. This study developed choice models by applying both binary and multinomial logit model with various set of factors. The results showed that the developed logit models seemingly reflect distribution channel choice behaviors. The hypothesis tests on how each factor influences choice of distribution channel were performed and discussed as well.

Characteristics of Urban households that want to move to rural area after retirement. (은퇴 후 귀촌 희망 가구의 사회경제적 특성 및 지역 간 차이 분석)

  • Noh, Seung Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.29-45
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    • 2015
  • Urban household's interest in moving to rural area after retirement have been increasing. Most of them live in rural areal for the sake of pleasant natural environment such as fresh air, clean water. The purpose of the study is to analyse characteristics of them and factors affecting their decision. In 2010, about 27% of urban households wish to migrate to rural area after retirement. The results from the random intercept binary logit model implies that 40~50 age, less high-school graduate and middle-income households are more likely to move. And households are more concerned with residential environment-noise, air, water- than house condition. Also, more people have moved to rural in the region. more households wish to move. It implies that information about urban-to-rural migration and life in rural area affect people's positive attitude to move to rural after their retirement.

Development of the Marginal Scale of Rural Over-Depopulated Village by Analysing the Rural Residential Conditions (농촌마을 정주환경분석을 통한 과소마을 임계규모 결정지표 개발)

  • Bae, Yeon Joung;Lee, Ji Min;Suh, Kyo;Lee, Jeong Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.109-122
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    • 2013
  • The rapid rural urban migration and aging has generated an over-depopulation problems in rural areas since the 1980s. The purpose of this study constructs the marginal size of rural over-depopulated village through the analysis of the residential disparities such as farmer's ratio, basic life service accessibility, and levels of social and economic factors for each village community. This marginal scale could support evaluating diverse rural policies, which have been planned to apply to the rural development programs at the village level. The major challenges for over-depopulated villages are the lack of basic facilities, production infrastructures and inactive communities in the village. Therefore, the quantitative analysis of rural residential disparities according to rural village scale can provide the criteria for rural over-depopulated villages. We utilized Korea Agricultural Survey Data(2010) including specific residential condition of village level. The present study adopt multinomial-logit model for quantitative analysis of different village scales and decomposition techniques to separate the direct effect by the village scale factor from the endowment effects by regional or area characteristics, and residual effect by unknown factors. The present study found that the minimum scale of a rural over-depopulated village was 40 and 60 houses for the respective conditions of farmer's ratios less than 50% and greater than 75%. It was concluded based on the study findings that threshold scale could support evaluating the diverse rural policies, which have been planned to apply to the rural development programs at the village level.

Estimating Values of Statistical Lives using Choice Experiment Method (선택실험법을 이용한 확률적 인간생명가치의 추정)

  • Shin, Young Chul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.683-699
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    • 2007
  • This study applied the choice experiment (CE) method to measure values of statistical lives from multi-attributed mortality risk reduction choices. The four characteristics of mortality risk (i.e. cause of death, voluntariness of mortality risk, timing of death, magnitude of mortality risk reduction) are utilized to design the alternatives of choice sets. The estimation results for the multinomial logit model show that individuals are willing to pay 27,930 won per year for a change from the status quo to a $\frac{1}{100}$ mortality risk reduction for 10 years, 116,773 won per year for mortality risk reduction associated with adults, 97,682 won per year for voluntary mortality risk reduction, 77,234 won per year for involuntary mortality risk reduction. There were several estimates of VSL related to different attributes of mortality risk. The mean VSLs of infant/child/young adult ranged from 1,165 million won to 1,367 million won. The mean VSLs ranged from 1,631 million won to 1,833 million won for adult, and were between 1,128 million won and 1,330 million won for old person.

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The Bankruptcy Prediction Analysis : Focused on Post IMF KSE-listed Companies (기업도산 예측력 분석방법에 대한 연구 : IMF후 국내 상장회사를 중심으로)

  • Jeong Yu-Seok;Lee Hyun-Soo;Chae Young-Il;Hong Bong-Hwa
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2006
  • This paper is concerned with analysing the bankruptcy prediction power of three models: Multivariate Discriminant Analysis(MDA), Logit Analysis, Neural Network. The research targeted the bankrupted companies after the foreign exchange crisis in 1997 to differentiate from previous research efforts, and all participating companies were randomly selected from the KSE listed companies belonging to manufacturing industry to improve prediction accuracy and validity of the model. In order to assure meaningful bankruptcy prediction, training data and testing data were not extracted within the corresponding period. The result is that prediction accuracy of neural networks is more excellent than that of logit analysis and MDA model when considering that execution of testing data was followed by execution of training data.

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Analysis of Transportation Mode Choice Behavior Based on Accessibility : Focused on Chungnam-Weihai route (접근성에 따른 운송수단 선택행동에 관한 분석 : 충남-위해구간을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jung-kyu
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the choice behavior of the mode of transportation for travel from Korea to China. Discrete choice analysis is utilized to establish the factors that affect travelers' choice and to quantify the importance of these factors in transportation mode choices. The proposed choice models were constructed by using stated-preference (SP) data obtained from Chungcheongnam-do. This study also examined different choice behavior in order to capture any previously unobserved differences in the residence area. Results showed that the access time and frequency attributes are the most significant factors, while the travel time attributes are the least significant factors for travelers' choice behaviour. The insights of the results described in this research provide some practical suggestions to transportation providers for planning and strategic management endeavors in the future.

Satisfaction on Marital Relationship of Husband and Wife in Old Age (노년부부가구 남편과 부인의 부부관계 만족도)

  • Kim, Cheong-Seok;Choi, Hyung-Ju
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2011
  • The prolongation of life expectancy has expanded the duration of marriage in old age. In the meanwhile, the change of life style emphasizing privacy and sociodemographic environment favoring independent living has increased the number and proportion of the elderly living with spouse only. This study, focusing on those aged 60 and over who live with spouse only the elderly, explores their marital relationship. The study pays a special attention to compare whether and how the satisfaction on the relationship with spouse would differ between husband and wife. The ordered logit model analysis is conducted based on the nationwide survey '2008 Korean National Survey of Welfare Need in the Elderly'. The results show that the marital relationship satisfaction of husbands is influenced by their own characteristics but hardly affected by his wife's. In contrast, the satisfaction of wife is influenced by husband's characteristics as well as hers. These finding reflect that women are more strongly family-centered and dependent on their husband.