• 제목/요약/키워드: Logistic analysis

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병원도산의 예측모형 개발연구 (Developing a Combined Forecasting Model on Hospital Closure)

  • 정기택;이훈영
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2000
  • This study reviewde various parametic and nonparametic method for forexasting hospital closures in Korea. We compared multivariate discriminant analysis, multivartiate logistic regression, classfication and regression tree, and neural network method based on hit ratio of each model for forecasting hospital closure. Like other studies in the literture, neural metwork analysis showed highest average hit ratio. For policy and business purposes, we combined the four analytical method and constructed a foreasting model that can be easily used to predict the probabolity of hospital closure given financial information of a hospital.

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Power 모형을 이용한 비정상성 확률강수량 산정 (Estimates the Non-Stationary Probable Precipitation Using a Power Model)

  • 김광섭;이기춘;김병권
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제56권4호
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we performed a non-stationary frequency analysis using a power model and the model was applied for Seoul, Daegu, Daejeon, Mokpo sites in Korea to estimate the probable precipitation amount at the target years (2020, 2050, 2080). We used the annual maximum precipitation of 24 hours duration of precipitation using data from 1973 to 2009. We compared results to that of non-stationary analyses using the linear and logistic regression. The probable precipitation amounts using linear regression showed very large increase in the long term projection, while the logistic regression resulted in similar amounts for different target years because the logistic function converges before 2020. But the probable precipitation amount for the target years using a power model showed reasonable results suggesting that power model be able to reflect the increase of hydrologic extremes reasonably well.

A Study on Improving the predict accuracy rate of Hybrid Model Technique Using Error Pattern Modeling : Using Logistic Regression and Discriminant Analysis

  • Cho, Yong-Jun;Hur, Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.269-278
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents the new hybrid data mining technique using error pattern, modeling of improving classification accuracy. The proposed method improves classification accuracy by combining two different supervised learning methods. The main algorithm generates error pattern modeling between the two supervised learning methods(ex: Neural Networks, Decision Tree, Logistic Regression and so on.) The Proposed modeling method has been applied to the simulation of 10,000 data sets generated by Normal and exponential random distribution. The simulation results show that the performance of proposed method is superior to the existing methods like Logistic regression and Discriminant analysis.

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분류모형과 DEA를 이용한 두뇌한국(BK) 21 사업단 효율성 분석 (Data Envelopment Analysis and Logistic Model for BRAIN KOREA 21)

  • 손소영;주용규
    • 산업공학
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.249-260
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    • 2004
  • The objective of this study is to measure and to predict the efficiency of participating groups of BK 21 by using DEA. DEA is a methodology to measure and to evaluate the relative efficiency of a homogeneous set of decision-making units (DMUs) in a process which uses multiple inputs to produce multiple outputs. In order to reflect the effect of the environmental factors of BK 21, we consider not only a general DEA model but also a logistic model for DEA. As a result, location of participating groups of BK 21 turns out to be significant. Our proposed approach can predict the efficiency of a new BK 21 group with given environmental factors. It is expected that these models can give a feedback for effective management of BK 21.

로지스틱 회귀 모형을 이용한 무선인터넷 콘텐츠 서비스의 life cycle 분석 및 예측 (A Study on Life Cycle analysis and prediction of Contents Service in the Wireless Internet)

  • 박지홍;전준현
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2005년도 추계종합학술대회
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    • pp.1161-1164
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we proposed the technique to estimate the life cycle of Internet content services based on the logistic regression model. In this paper, to define parameters of Internet contents estimating life cycle by logistic regression model, we used market size, traffic amount, page view and session-visit number as the parameters of Internet contents estimating life cycle by logistic regression model. In this paper, to compare the performance of our proposed scheme, we estimated life cycle for the download services of bell sound & character contents in mobile network. As a result, using our proposed logistic regression, we were able to estimate exactly the life cycle of the download services of bell sound & character contents.

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Logistic 회귀모형과 GIS기법을 활용한 접도사면 붕괴확률위험도 제작 (Hazard Map of Road Slope Using a Logistic Regression Model and GIS)

  • 강호윤;곽영주;강인준;장용구
    • 한국측량학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국측량학회 2006년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.339-344
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    • 2006
  • Slope failures are happen to natural disastrous when they occur in mountainous areas adjoining highways in Korea. The accidents associated with slope failures have increased due to rapid urbanization of mountainous areas. Therefore, Regular maintenance is essential for all slope and conducted to maintain road safety as well as road function. In this study, we take priority of making a database of risk factor of the failure of a slope before assesment and analysis. The purpose of this paper is to recommend a standard of Slope Management Information Sheet(SMIS) like as Hazard Map. The next research, we suggest to pre-estimated model of a road slope using Logistic Regression Model.

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APPLICATION OF LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL AND ITS VALIDATION FOR LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITY MAPPING USING GIS AND REMOTE SENSING DATA AT PENANG, MALAYSIA

  • LEE SARO
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
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    • pp.310-313
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to evaluate the hazard of landslides at Penang, Malaysia, using a Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing. Landslide locations were identified in the study area from interpretation of aerial photographs and from field surveys. Topographical and geological data and satellite images were collected, processed, and constructed into a spatial database using GIS and image processing. The factors chosen that influence landslide occurrence were: topographic slope, topographic aspect, topographic curvature and distance from drainage, all from the topographic database; lithology and distance from lineament, taken from the geologic database; land use from TM satellite images; and the vegetation index value from SPOT satellite images. Landslide hazardous area were analysed and mapped using the landslide-occurrence factors by logistic regression model. The results of the analysis were verified using the landslide location data and compared with probabilistic model. The validation results showed that the logistic regression model is better prediction accuracy than probabilistic model.

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Bayesian estimation in the generalized half logistic distribution under progressively type-II censoring

  • Kim, Yong-Ku;Kang, Suk-Bok;Se, Jung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.977-989
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    • 2011
  • The half logistic distribution has been used intensively in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we provide Bayesian estimation of the shape parameter and reliability function in the generalized half logistic distribution based on progressively Type-II censored data under various loss functions. We here consider conjugate prior and noninformative prior and corresponding posterior distributions are obtained. As an illustration, we examine the validity of our estimation using real data and simulated data.

Prole likelihood estimation of generalized half logistic distribution under progressively type-II censoring

  • Kim, Yong-Ku;Kang, Suk-Bok;Han, Song-Hui;Seo, Jung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.597-603
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    • 2011
  • The half logistic distribution has been used intensively in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we provide prole likelihood estimation of the shape parameter and scale parameter in the generalized half logistic distribution based on progressively Type-II censored data. We also introduce approximate maximum prole likelihood estimates for the scale parameter. As an illustration, we examine the validity of our estimation using real data and simulated data.

Bayesian analysis of an exponentiated half-logistic distribution under progressively type-II censoring

  • Kang, Suk Bok;Seo, Jung In;Kim, Yongku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.1455-1464
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    • 2013
  • This paper develops maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of unknown parameters in an exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on a progressively type-II censored sample. We obtain approximate confidence intervals for the MLEs by using asymptotic variance and covariance matrices. Using importance sampling, we obtain Bayes estimators and corresponding credible intervals with the highest posterior density and Bayes predictive intervals for unknown parameters based on progressively type-II censored data from an exponentiated half logistic distribution. For illustration purposes, we examine the validity of the proposed estimation method by using real and simulated data.