• 제목/요약/키워드: Logistic Model

검색결과 1,975건 처리시간 0.027초

사각형강목의 끝자루를 이용한 트롤어구의 어획선택성 연구 ( I ) - 사각형강목의 어획선택성 - ( Studies on the Selectivity of the Trawl Net With the Square Mesh Cod-End ( 1 ) - Selectivity of the Square Mesh Cod-End - )

  • 이주희;김삼곤;김진건
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.161-171
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    • 1994
  • Mesh selection analysis for the trawl net were carried out at the Southern Korean Sea and the East China Sea during the 1992-1994 years by the training ship Seabada of the National Fisheries University of Pusan, using A type (51.2mm), B type (70.2mm), C type (77.6mm), D type (88.0mm) square mesh cod-ends. The fishing trials were made using bottom trawl of the trouser type cod-end with cover net. Selection curves and selection parameters were calculated by a logistic model for Sphyraena pinguis, Pampus argenteus, Trachurus japonicus, Pagrus major, Callanthias japonicus, Trichiurus lepturus. The results obtained are summarized as follows: 1. Red barracuda : Selection range and fifty percent selection length in the A type was 115.8mm, 292.8mm, respectively. 2. Harvest fish : Each selection range and fifty percent selection length in the B. C. and D type was 37.7mm, 113.8mm : 40.1mm, 131.7mm and 64.8mm, 148.6mm, respectively. Selection parameters of master curve were : slope, 3.81 : intercept, -6.4. Optimum mesh size was 89.3mm. 3. Horse mackerel : Each selection range and fifty percent selection length in the A, B, C and D type was 43.0mm, 148.3mm : 60.7mm, 183.2mm, 214.5mm and 91.4mm, 254.9mm, respectively. Selection parameters of master curve were : slope 2.30 : intercept, -6.4. Optimum mesh size was 66.8mm. 4. Red seabrem : Selection range and fifty percent selection length in the D type was 42.7mm, 203.4mm, respectively. 5. Yellowsail red bass : Selection range and fifty percent selection length in the A type was 84.0mm, 110.6mm, respectively. 6. Hair tail : Each selection range and fifty percent selection length in the A, B and C type was 59.7mm, 176.0mm : 100.9mm, 250.7mm and 178.6mm, 307.0mm, respectively. Selection parameters of master curve were : slope, 1.54 : intercept, -5.4. Optimum mesh size was 57.5mm.

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한국인 성인 비만의 사회경제적 비용 (Socioeconomic Costs of obesity for Korean Adults)

  • 문옥륜;김남순;강재헌;윤태호;이상이;이신재;정백근
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2002
  • Objective : To estimate the socioeconomic costs of obesity in Korea,1998. Methods : The 1998 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(1998 NHNES) data was used and 10,880 persons who had taken health examinations were selected for study. Essential hypertension, NIDDM(non insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus), dyslipidemia, osteoarthritis, coronary heart disease, stroke were included as obesity related disease. The data of direct costs of obesity was obtained from the National Federation of Medical Insurance. The category of indirect costs was the loss of productivity caused by premature death and admission, time costs, traffic costs, nursing fees due to obesity. Multiple logistic regression model was developed to estimate prevalence odds ratio by obesity class adjusted demographic and socio-ecnomic factors and calculate PAF(Population Attributable Fraction) of obesity on obesity related disease. And we finally calculated the socioeconomic costs of obesity in relation to BMI with PAF. Results : The direct costs of obesity were 2,126 billion${\sim}965$ billion Won in considering out of pocket payment to uninsured services, and the indirect costs of obesity were 2,099 billion${\sim}1,086$ billion Won. Consequently, in considering out of pocket payment to uninsured services, the socioeconomic costs of obesity were 4.225 billion${\sim}2,050$ billion Won, which corresponded to about $0.094%{\sim}0.046%$ of GDP and $1.88%{\sim}0.91$ of total health care costs in Korea. Conclusions : Obesity represents a major health problem with significant economic implications for the society. This results are conservative estimates as far as all obesity related disease and all health care and indirect costs were not included due to missing information. further studies are needed to caculate socioeconomic costs of obesity more exactly.

의료기관 선택기준에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Criteria for Selection of Medical Care Facilities)

  • 조우현;김한중;이선희
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 1992
  • There are increasing interest and need for information on health care consumer with the significance of hospital marketing and strategic planning being increasingly emphasized. This study was conducted to investigate the criteria for selection of medical facilities according to the characteristics of health care consumer by the types of medical services on a sample of 1,500 population aged 20 years and above. Major findings are as follows ; 1. When considering the criteria for selection of medical facilities into two factors, namely, quality or convenience factors, convenience factor was the major contributor for outpatient and dental services whereas it was quality factor for inpatient services. 2. Females and those residing in large cities selected medical facilities based on convenience factor in the outpatient services. In the case of inpatient service, persons who considered their present health status to be good and whose ages were 50 years old and above choose medical facilities based on quality factor. 3. Persons who considered medical facilities to be profit-making tended to choose medical facilities based on convenience factor for outpatient services. There were no differences in the cases of inpatient and dental services. 4. There was no significant difference on the criteria for selection of medical facilities according to the decision maker for selection or trust on medical facilities. On the use of health service information, selection of medical facilities was based on quality factor for those who made more use of the information in the cases of outpatient and dental services. 5. Analysis using the logistic regression model on the criteria for the selection of medical facilities with the characteristics of health care consumer as independent variables was performed. The selection of medical facilities was significantly related with residential area, sex, and use of information on medical facilities for outpatient services and with age, average monthly income, and perception of health status for inpatient services. For dental services significant association with residential area and use of information on medical facilities was seen. The results of this study, despite some limitations, can be used as baseline data for marketing and strategic planning of hospital management.

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L-모멘트법을 이용한 지역홍수빈도분석을 통한 금강유역 미계측 유역의 설계홍수량 산정 (Estimating design floods for ungauged basins in the geum-river basin through regional flood frequency analysis using L-moments method)

  • 이진영;박동혁;신지예;김태웅
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제49권8호
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    • pp.645-656
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 금강유역에 대한 지역홍수빈도분석을 실시하고 재현기간에 따른 홍수량을 추정하는 관계식을 제안하였다. 유역 내 유량자료의 수문학적 독립성과 동질성에 대한 검증을 위하여 Lag-1 자기상관성 분석, 동질성 검정, 이상치 검정, 불일치척도 검정을 수행하였다. 검정 결과, 금강유역의 대상 관측소들은 시간에 대하여 독립적이고 동질적 모집단에 속하며 이상치는 없었다. 일반 극치 분포(GEV), 3변수 대수정규 분포(LN-III), 피어슨-III 분포(P-III), 일반 로지스틱 분포(GLO), 일반 파레토 분포(GPA) 등 5개의 3변수 확률분포함수에 대한 L-모멘트비도와 평균가중거리(AWD), 그리고 $Z^{DIST}$ 적합도 산정 결과, GLO 분포함수가 금강유역의 최적 확률분포형으로 선정되었다. GLO 분포를 바탕으로 지역홍수빈도를 추정하는 회귀모형을 제안하였고, 강경 관측소의 관측 유량을 이용하여 회귀모형의 적용성을 검증하였다.

대표농도경로 (RCP) 시나리오에 따른 회야강 유역의 미래 유출 및 유사 변화 분석 (Impact of IPCC RCP Scenarios on Streamflow and Sediment in the Hoeya River Basin)

  • 황창수;최철웅;최지선
    • 대한공간정보학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 미래 기후변화 및 토지피복변화가 유역 내 유출량과 유사량의 거동에 가져올 영향을 분석하는데 목적이 있다. 기상자료는 IPCC 5차 평가보고서를 위해 새롭게 논의된 RCP 시나리오 중 서로 상반되는 4.5 및 8.5 시나리오의 기후전망 (2011~2100년) 이 사용되었으며, 토지피복지도는 RCP 4.5 및 8.5 시나리오의 사회 경제 스토리라인과 로지스틱 회귀모형 (LR)을 이용하여 개발 된 모델에 의해 구축되었다. 기후변화만 고려한 경우, 토지피복변화만 고려한 경우, 기후변화 및 토지피복변화 모두 고려한 경우의 세 가지 시나리오를 설정하고, 각 시나리오에 따른 유출량 및 유사량을 모의한 결과 계절적으로 매우 명확한 변화를 나타내었다. 기후변화는 봄과 겨울에 유출량을 증가시키고 여름과 가을에 유출량을 감소시키는 것으로 나타났으며, 유사량 역시 유출량과 동일한 변화의 양상을 보였다. 토지피복변화는 유출량을 증가시키는 반면 유사량은 감소시키며, 이는 도시화로 인한 불투수 면적의 증가에 의한 것으로 판단된다. 토지피복변화는 기후변화에 비해 유출량에 적은 영향을 끼치나, 기후변화에 의해 초래된 유출량 문제를 더욱 극대화 시킬 수 있다. 따라서 지속적인 수자원 관리를 위하여 기후변화의 잠재적 영향을 파악하고, 토지피복변화에 따른 적절한 수자원 대응 정책 마련이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

노인의 불명확한 사망원인진단 관련요인 분석과 개선방안 (Analysis and Improving ways of Factors affecting the Ill-defined Causes of Death of the Aged in Korea)

  • 박상희;이태용
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.329-348
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    • 2011
  • This research analyzed 168,010 cases of death of the aged over 65 from 244,867cases of death excluding 7 unknown age cases from 244,874 all age cases of death by using the death data of the National Statistical Office for 2007 to figure out factors affecting the quality of causes of death statistics of the aged and to suggest the ways of improving the quality of death statistics of the aged in korea. This research tried to derive factors affecting ill-defined cause of death category in acordance with WHO's guidelines and to find causes of lowering the accuracy of causes of death statistics of the aged. This research identified the problems of causes of death statistics of the aged by using both demographic characteristics such as sex, age, marital status, educational attainment, residential region, region size and factors of death items as independent variable to find causes of ill-defined cause of death of the aged. Logistic regression analysis was executed to calculate the hazard ratio about the ill-defined causes of death of the aged and multiple regression analysis was conducted to derive factors affecting the ill-defined cause of death by regional groups through using these independent variables such as the component ratio of over age 65, female death rates, doctors insitutions rate, medical institutions rate, attaching rates of death certificate by neighborhood. As a results of this research, R-code was the highest of ill-defined causes of death, accounting for 82.1%, and senility death(R54) of R-code was the highest, accounting for 91.2%. through subdivided order distribution of the ill-defined causes of death of the aged. As ill-defined causes of death by regional groups, attaching rates of death certificate by neighborhood was the most important factor(p<0.05) and also showed regression model's description with 83.8% ($R^2$=83.8%). Furthermore, Jeon-nam was the highest in the regional groups and these regions such as Je-ju, Jeon-buk, Chung-nam were not only attaching the death certificate by neighborhood but also were high at the rate of ill-defined causes of death. Therefore, this research found that both reconsideration about death certificate by neighborhood and education for doctors who write death certificate were needed the most.

의사들의 유헬스케어 서비스에 대한 인식과 사용의도 (Doctors' Perception and Intention of the U-healthcare Service)

  • 이윤경;박지윤;노미정;왕보람;최인영
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.349-357
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    • 2012
  • 유헬스케어 서비스는 오랫동안 만성질환 관리에 대한 효과적인 대안으로 부각되고 있으나 아직까지 활성화되지 못하고 있다. 본 연구는 유헬스케어 서비스 도입에 있어 중요 의사결정자인 의사들의 유헬스케어 서비스에 대한 인식과 사용의도에 영향을 주는 요인에 대해 고찰해 보고자 한다. 이를 위해 유헬스케어 서비스 제공자인 의사들을 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하여 유헬스케어 서비스 사용의도에 따른 집단별 특성을 비교하고, 사용의도에 영향을 주는 요인을 고찰하기 위해 로지스틱 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 의사들의 유헬스케어 서비스 사용경험은 16.0%로 낮으나 사용의도는 70.1%로 높게 나타났다. 또한 유헬스케어 서비스 적용은 만성질환과 예방분야가 적절하다고 응답하였으며, 적용이 적합한 질환은 당뇨병과 고혈압등의 순으로 나타났다. 의사 특성에 따른 사용의도의 차이에 관한 로지스틱 분석 결과 유헬스케어 서비스 사용의도는 대학병원에 비해 비대학병원 의사들의 사용의도가 3.7배 높았다. 본 연구는 유헬스케어 서비스에 대한 의사들의 인식 그리고 사용의도에 대한 집단 간 차이를 파악함으로써 유헬스케어 서비스의 활성화와 효과적인 비즈니스 모델 개발에 기여할 것이다.

An Epidemiological Study for Desirable Health Habits Affecting Workers' Health Status

  • Lee, Myung-Sun
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2002
  • This study identified the health habits affecting health status of industrial workers. Data was collected from 965 workers in 58 companies at Buchon. The research conducted a self-administered questionnaire survey and obtained the workers' health examination records. The results were as follows: 1. Among 965 respondents, men were 82.4%, women were 17.6%, 44.5% were of the 30${\sim}$40 age group, the married were 67.4%, the single were 30.8%, high school graduates were 81.1% and 38.8% were of people who worked between 1 and 5 years 2. As far as the seven health habits, current smokers were 52.8%, people who regularly exercise was 28.5%, 7${\sim}$8 hour of sleep, on the average were 71.4%, people eating breakfast nearly every day were 8.8%, and people eating between meals almost every day were 46.5%. Heavy drinkers who drink 3${\sim}$4 times or more per week were 14.2%, 1${\sim}$2 times per week were 32.6% and the obese were 9.3%. 3, Health status of A and B, estimated by doctors in the health examination were 80.8% and C, D1, D2, the unhealthy were 19.2%. For men, those who reported more than women in unhealthy groups and the results regarding health status reflects those for gender, educational level and age. That is to say that, lower educational level group and over 30 years of age group perceive their health to be worse than the higher educational level and under 30 age group. And these differences were statistically significant. 4. The relationship between health habits and health status were examined based on the odds ratio. Current smokers had a consistently worse health status than a non smokers with a 1.98 odds ratio. The workers who reported eating breakfast rarely or never were more associated with the unhealthy group than the regular breakfast eating group with a 2.96 odds ratio. One or more drink per week had a worse health status than a never or a little drinker with a 1.56 odds ratio. 5. General health habit score and duration of work were selected as significant factors influencing health status from the result of logistic regression analysis. According to the results of this model, the odds ratio of good health status was 2.08 for good health habit score, 1.63 for workers who worked five years or more duration at work. In summary, good health habits were associated with good health status. In particular, the workers who had 5 or more desirable health habits had a significantly better health status than the workers who had 4 or less than 4 good health habits. Therefore, in order to provide the health promotion programs to workers it is necessary to organize clear health management plans based on effective health education and health service perspective. If further research examines health habits and health status using a prospective study design, More precise findings for health promotion program development in the worksite and worksite health management planning.

Validation of a New Design of Tellurium Dioxide-Irradiated Target

  • Fllaoui, Aziz;Ghamad, Younes;Zoubir, Brahim;Ayaz, Zinel Abidine;Morabiti, Aissam El;Amayoud, Hafid;Chakir, El Mahjoub
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제48권5호
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    • pp.1273-1279
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    • 2016
  • Production of iodine-131 by neutron activation of tellurium in tellurium dioxide ($TeO_2$) material requires a target that meets the safety requirements. In a radiopharmaceutical production unit, a new lid for a can was designed, which permits tight sealing of the target by using tungsten inert gaswelding. The leakage rate of all prepared targets was assessed using a helium mass spectrometer. The accepted leakage rate is ${\leq}10^{-4}mbr.L/s$, according to the approved safety report related to iodine-131 production in the TRIGA Mark II research reactor (TRIGA: Training, Research, Isotopes, General Atomics). To confirm the resistance of the new design to the irradiation conditions in the TRIGA Mark II research reactor's central thimble, a study of heat effect on the sealed targets for 7 hours in an oven was conducted and the leakage rates were evaluated. The results show that the tightness of the targets is ensured up to $600^{\circ}C$ with the appearance of deformations on lids beyond $450^{\circ}C$. The study of heat transfer through the target was conducted by adopting a one-dimensional approximation, under consideration of the three transfer modes-convection, conduction, and radiation. The quantities of heat generated by gamma and neutron heating were calculated by a validated computational model for the neutronic simulation of the TRIGA Mark II research reactor using the Monte Carlo N-Particle transport code. Using the heat transfer equations according to the three modes of heat transfer, the thermal study of I-131 production by irradiation of the target in the central thimble showed that the temperatures of materials do not exceed the corresponding melting points. To validate this new design, several targets have been irradiated in the central thimble according to a preplanned irradiation program, going from4 hours of irradiation at a power level of 0.5MWup to 35 hours (7 h/d for 5 days a week) at 1.5MW. The results showthat the irradiated targets are tight because no iodine-131 was released in the atmosphere of the reactor building and in the reactor cooling water of the primary circuit.

일부 병원 내원 환자의 금연에 관한 건강행위 동기요소 (Health Behavior Motivators about Quit-Smoking in Some Outpatients of University Hospitals)

  • 궁화수;유승미;황수정
    • 치위생과학회지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.314-320
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 한림대학교 성심병원과 충남대학교 병원 심혈관센터를 방문한 환자 중 본 연구에 대해 자발적으로 동의한 40대 이상 300명을 대상으로 하여 흡연 여부와 관련된 동기요소를 파악하고자 설문조사를 실시하고 분석하였다. 1. 흡연자율은 성별, 최종학력, 월수입에 따라 유의한 차이가 있었으며, 남자, 고등학교 졸업자, 월수입 200만원대인 대상자의 흡연율이 높았다. 2. 흡연군은 비흡연군이나 금연군에 비해 건강행위에 대한 지각된 유익성은 유의하게 낮고(p=0.021) 지각된 장애성은 더 높았다(p<0.001). 흡연군은 건강행위에 있어서는 생활방식, 건강습관 등을 실천하지 않으며(p<0.001), 변화단계에서는 비흡연군과 금연군이 행동단계 이상이나 흡연군은 준비단계에 위치하였다(p<0.001). 3. 흡연 여부에 따라 주관적 구강건강인식, 치은출혈 여부, 1일 잇솔질 횟수, 치과방문은 차이가 나지 않았다. 4. 건강행위에 대한 지각된 장애가 평균 미만인 군이 OR이 0.378 (p=0.039)이고 변화단계가 평균 미만인 군은 OR이 4.746 (p=0.002)이었다. 남성이 흡연할 OR은 12.743 (p<0.001)이었고, 경제상태에서는 월수입이 200만원대인 군이 300만원 이상인 군에 비해 OR이 3.271 (p=0.045)이었다. 따라서, 금연에 대한 동기요소를 변화시키기 위해 건강행위에 대한 유익성, 장애성, 실천 등을 변화시킬 수 있는 금연교육프로그램이 필요하며 구강보건관련인력도 흡연과 연관된 구강건강 관리뿐 아니라 동기요소를 변화시킬 수 있는 금연 유도 프로그램을 개발하고 이용해야 할 것이다.