• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logistic Analysis

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Freight Demand Analysis for Multimodal Shipments (복합수단운송을 고려한 화물통행수요분석 방안)

  • Hong, Da-Hee;Park, Min-Choul;Lee, Jung-Yub;Hahn, Jin-Seok;Kang, Jae-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2012
  • Modern freight transport pursues not only the reduction of logistic costs but also aims at green logistics and efficient shipments. In order to accomplish these goals, various policies regarding the multimodal shipment and stopover to logistic facilities have widely been made. Such situation requires changes in existing methods for analyzing freight demand. However, the reality is that a reliable freight demand forecast is limited, since in the transport research field there is no robust freight demand model that can accommodate transshipments at logistic facilities. This study suggested a novel method to analyze freight demand, which can consider transshipments in multi-modal networks. Also, the applicability of this method was discussed through an example test.

Chi-squared Tests for Homogeneity based on Complex Sample Survey Data Subject to Misclassification Error

  • Heo, Sunyeong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.853-864
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    • 2002
  • In the analysis of categorical data subject to misclassification errors, the observed cell proportions are adjusted by a misclassification probabilities and estimates of variances are adjusted accordingly. In this case, it is important to determine the extent to which misclassification probabilities are homogeneous within a population. This paper considers methods to evaluate the power of chi-squared tests for homogeneity with complex survey data subject to misclassification errors. Two cases are considered: adjustment with homogeneous misclassification probabilities; adjustment with heterogeneous misclassification probabilities. To estimate misclassification probabilities, logistic regression method is considered.

Application of Statistical Models for Default Probability of Loans in Mortgage Companies

  • Jung, Jin-Whan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2000
  • Three primary interests frequently raised by mortgage companies are introduced and the corresponding statistical approaches for the default probability in mortgage companies are examined. Statistical models considered in this paper are time series, logistic regression, decision tree, neural network, and discrete time models. Usage of the models is illustrated using an artificially modified data set and the corresponding models are evaluated in appropriate manners.

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A study on the forecasting of instant messinger's users choice using neural network (인공신경망을 이용한 인스턴트 메신저 선택 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Dong Sung;Kim Gye Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.597-602
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    • 2004
  • This study examined the forecasting of instant messinger's users choice using neural network. We used the statistical methods which were Logistic Regression, MDA(Multiple Discriminant Analysis), and ANN(Artificial Neural Network). In the result, the forecasting performance of the ANN was better than conventional model(Logistic Regression, MDA).

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Innovative Mechanisms in the Procurement Logistics of Kazakhstan

  • Zhatkanbaev, Erzhan B.;Mukhtar, Ernur S.;Suyunchaliyeva, Maiya M.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.33-36
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    • 2015
  • Innovations in the procurement logistics now is very popular in Kazakhstan. Nowadays there are a lot of documents of transport infrastructure and Kazakhstan logistic system is developing more and more. Procurement logistic is the direction where you can count, sometimes you can buy some products or transport equipments. Logistic in Kazakhstan is new direction, there are a lot of young people who choose this specialty and will stay demanded. Our president said a lot of words in strategies about development in logistics and so there will be new methods that will be used here. Innovations are new technologies that are used in different spheres so this structure as procurement logistic will develop in Kazakhstan and every citizen of our republic will support it. Transport systems are used for transitions different products so there are a lot new transition roads for example Western China - Western Europe; Astana-Almaty; Astana-Ust-Kamenogorsk; Astana-Aktobe, Atyrau; Almaty - Ust-Kamenogorsk; Karaganda - Zhezkazgan - Kyzylorda; Atyrau-Astrakhan, it helps Kazakhstan to support international links between other countries.

Two-Stage Logistic Regression for Cancer Classi cation and Prediction from Copy-Numbe Changes in cDNA Microarray-Based Comparative Genomic Hybridization

  • Kim, Mi-Jung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.847-859
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    • 2011
  • cDNA microarray-based comparative genomic hybridization(CGH) data includes low-intensity spots and thus a statistical strategy is needed to detect subtle differences between different cancer classes. In this study, genes displaying a high frequency of alteration in one of the different classes were selected among the pre-selected genes that show relatively large variations between genes compared to total variations. Utilizing copy-number changes of the selected genes, this study suggests a statistical approach to predict patients' classes with increased performance by pre-classifying patients with similar genetic alteration scores. Two-stage logistic regression model(TLRM) was suggested to pre-classify homogeneous patients and predict patients' classes for cancer prediction; a decision tree(DT) was combined with logistic regression on the set of informative genes. TLRM was constructed in cDNA microarray-based CGH data from the Cancer Metastasis Research Center(CMRC) at Yonsei University; it predicted the patients' clinical diagnoses with perfect matches (except for one patient among the high-risk and low-risk classified patients where the performance of predictions is critical due to the high sensitivity and specificity requirements for clinical treatments. Accuracy validated by leave-one-out cross-validation(LOOCV) was 83.3% while other classification methods of CART and DT performed as comparisons showed worse performances than TLRM.

A study on the factor analysis of ERP system construction for small and medium enterprise using AHP -third logistic small and mediun partner company approach- (AHP를 통한 중소기업 ERP 구축을 위한 인지도에 관한 분석 -3자 중소물류협력사 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Ki-Hong;Kang, Kyung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 2012
  • The medium and small logistic companies that have an outsourcing contract from the large corporation are encountered with a problem to introduce the ERP system to their current business environment due to following risk of change in current business environment, high cost involved in investment, and lack of understanding of business requirement of ERP. Instead of build their own ERP system, the small and medium logistic companies are using the large corporation's ERP system and get the benefit of efficiency in management and control process. Therefore, it is more like the organization hierarchy, not collaboration between the medium and small companies with the large corporation. In this study, the survey method to find out how the medium and small logistic companies understand the importance of ERP system on continuous growth of business by AHP. as result, they are recognized. The benefit of the ERP system as having much effect on business competitiveness.

Optimum failure-censored step-stress partially accelerated life test for the truncated logistic life distribution

  • Srivastava, P.W.;Mittal, N.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents an optimum design of step-stress partially accelerated life test (PALT) plan which allows the test condition to be changed from use to accelerated condition on the occurrence of fixed number of failures. Various life distribution models such as exponential, Weibull, log-logistic, Burr type-Xii, etc have been used in the literature to analyze the PALT data. The need of different life distribution models is necessitated as in the presence of a limited source of data as typically occurs with modern devices having high reliability, the use of correct life distribution model helps in preventing the choice of unnecessary and expensive planned replacements. Truncated distributions arise when sample selection is not possible in some sub-region of sample space. In this paper it is assumed that the lifetimes of the items follow Truncated Logistic distribution truncated at point zero since time to failure of an item cannot be negative. Optimum step-stress PALT plan that finds the optimal proportion of units failed at normal use condition is determined by using the D-optimality criterion. The method developed has been explained using a numerical example. Sensitivity analysis and comparative study have also been carried out.

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A Study on the Optimal Release Time Decision of a Developed Software by using Logistic Testing Effort Function (로지스틱 테스트 노력함수를 이용한 소프트웨어의 최적인도시기 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Che, Gyu-Shik;Kim, Yong-Kyung
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a software-reliability growth model incoporating the amount of testing effort expended during the software testing phase after developing it. The time-dependent behavior of testing effort expenditures is described by a Logistic curve. Assuming that the error detection rate to the amount of testing effort spent during the testing phase is proportional to the current error content, a software-reliability growth model is formulated by a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. Using this model the method of data analysis for software reliability measurement is developed. After defining a software reliability, This paper discusses the relations between testing time and reliability and between duration following failure fixing and reliability are studied. SRGM in several literatures has used the exponential curve, Railleigh curve or Weibull curve as an amount of testing effort during software testing phase. However, it might not be appropriate to represent the consumption curve for testing effort by one of already proposed curves in some software development environments. Therefore, this paper shows that a logistic testing-effort function can be adequately expressed as a software development/testing effort curve and that it gives a good predictive capability based on real failure data.

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Arc Detection using Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회기를 이용한 아크 검출)

  • Kim, Manbae
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.566-574
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    • 2021
  • The arc is one of factors causing electrical fires. Over past decades, various researches have been carried out to detect arc occurrences. Even though frequency analysis, wavelet and statistical features have been used, arc detection performance is degraded due to diverse arc waveforms. On the contray, Deep neural network (DNN) direcly utilizes raw data without feature extraction, based on end-to-end learning. However, a disadvantage of the DNN is processing complexity, posing the difficulty of being migrated into a termnial device. To solve this, this paper proposes an arc detection method using a logistic regression that is one of simple machine learning methods.