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Freight Demand Analysis for Multimodal Shipments

복합수단운송을 고려한 화물통행수요분석 방안

  • Hong, Da-Hee (Department of National Transport Survey and Analysis, The Korea Transport Institute) ;
  • Park, Min-Choul (Department of National Transport Survey and Analysis, The Korea Transport Institute) ;
  • Lee, Jung-Yub (Department of National Transport Survey and Analysis, The Korea Transport Institute) ;
  • Hahn, Jin-Seok (Department of National Transport Survey and Analysis, The Korea Transport Institute) ;
  • Kang, Jae-Won (Department of National Transport Survey and Analysis, The Korea Transport Institute)
  • 홍다희 (한국교통연구원 국가교통DB센터) ;
  • 박민철 (한국교통연구원 국가교통DB센터) ;
  • 이정엽 (한국교통연구원 국가교통DB센터) ;
  • 한진석 (한국교통연구원 국가교통DB센터) ;
  • 강재원 (한국교통연구원 국가교통DB센터)
  • Received : 2011.10.28
  • Accepted : 2012.06.14
  • Published : 2012.08.31

Abstract

Modern freight transport pursues not only the reduction of logistic costs but also aims at green logistics and efficient shipments. In order to accomplish these goals, various policies regarding the multimodal shipment and stopover to logistic facilities have widely been made. Such situation requires changes in existing methods for analyzing freight demand. However, the reality is that a reliable freight demand forecast is limited, since in the transport research field there is no robust freight demand model that can accommodate transshipments at logistic facilities. This study suggested a novel method to analyze freight demand, which can consider transshipments in multi-modal networks. Also, the applicability of this method was discussed through an example test.

최근 화물운송은 물류비용절감뿐만 아니라 화물운송효율화, 녹색물류를 추구하고 있으며, 이를 지원하기 위한 방안으로 물류시설 경유 및 다수단간 복합운송을 지향하는 교통물류정책들이 활발히 논의되고 있다. 이러한 추세에 따라 관련 화물통행수요 분석 방안의 변화가 필요한 시점에 이르렀다. 그러나 국내에서는 화물통행수요모형 개발에 대한 논의가 미흡한 상황이며, 특히 중간경유지에서의 수단간 환적 등의 물류활동을 고려하고 있지 않아 물동량 추정의 신뢰성 및 현실성에 한계가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 화물의 순물동량과 총물동량을 고려하여 복합수단교통망에서의 물류시설 경유여부 및 수단간 환적 등의 물류활동을 분석할 수 있는 화물통행수요분석 방안을 제시하였다. 또한 사례품목에 개발된 방법론을 적용함으로써 물류시설 신설 또는 변경에 따른 수단간 전환 효과를 분석에 본 방안의 적용가능성을 살펴보았다.

Keywords

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