• 제목/요약/키워드: Lifetime Estimation

검색결과 232건 처리시간 0.03초

PAG 및 POE 오일의 열안정성 평가 및 수명 예측 (Evaluation of the thermal stability and estimation of the lifetime of PAG and POE oil)

  • 박근서;박경근;김석현;강병하
    • 대한설비공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한설비공학회 2005년도 동계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.386-391
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    • 2005
  • An experimental study was conducted to analyze the thermal stability and to estimate the lifetime of refrigerating lubricants. PAG and POE oil are considered as a test fluids in this study. The viscosity of PAG and POE oil was measured by the vibration type viscometer while temperature is varied periodically in the range of $0^{\circ}C{\sim}100^{\circ}C$. The results indicate that the reduction rates of viscosity of PAG and POE oil were less than 5% after 510 cycles. In order to estimate lifetime of PAG and POE oil with temperature, the viscosity was measured while the temperature of oils was maintained at 180, 200 and $220^{\circ}C$. It is found that the lifetimes of PAG oil were shown to be 244, 177 and 89 hours at the temperature of 180, 200 and $220^{\circ}C$, respectively. Also the lifetimes of POE oil were estimated to be 1,744, 1,007 and 334 hours at the temperature of 180, 200 and $220^{\circ}C$, respectively. The lifetime correlations of PAG and POE oil are suggested in this paper.

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헤드램프용 필라멘트 램프 가속열화데이터 분석을 통한 로버스트 열화모형 연구 (A Study of the Roust Degradation Model by Analyzing the Filament Lamp Degradation Data)

  • 성기우
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.132-139
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    • 2012
  • It is generally needed to test durability and lifetime when we develop parts in new technology. In this paper, the accelerated degradation analysis methods are developed to test them. This study is presented robust model estimation method that is less affected by outlier in regresstion model estimation. In addition, the lifetime can be predicted by Degradation-stress relationship in stress level.

A new extended Birnbaum-Saunders model with cure fraction: classical and Bayesian approach

  • Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.;Ramires, Thiago G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.397-419
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    • 2017
  • A four-parameter extended fatigue lifetime model called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric distribution is proposed. This model extends the odd Birnbaum-Saunders and Birnbaum-Saunders distributions. We derive some properties of the new distribution that include expressions for the ordinary moments and generating and quantile functions. The method of maximum likelihood and a Bayesian approach are adopted to estimate the model parameters; in addition, various simulations are performed for different parameter settings and sample sizes. We propose two new models with a cure rate called the odd Birnbaum-Saunders mixture and odd Birnbaum-Saunders geometric models by assuming that the number of competing causes for the event of interest has a geometric distribution. The applicability of the new models are illustrated by means of ethylene data and melanoma data with cure fraction.

인버터 서지와 온도 스트레스 하에서 Magnet Wire 절연 수명평가 (Insulation Life Estimation for Magnet Wire Under Inverter Surge and Temperature Stress)

  • 박재준
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제29권10호
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    • pp.641-646
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    • 2016
  • Coil specimen was prepared by coating a copper wire with two varnish thin layers: the first was polyamideimide (PAI)/nanosilica (5 wt%) varnish and the second was anti-corona PAI/nanosilica (15 wt%) varnish. Insulation breakdown voltage was investigated under inverter surge condition at $20^{\circ}C$, $70^{\circ}C$, $100^{\circ}C$, $150^{\circ}C$, $200^{\circ}C$, $250^{\circ}C$, respectively. The insulation lifetime of the two layered coil was tens of times longer than that of original PAI coil. And the insulation lifetime decreased with increasing ambient temperature because there was weak binding strength between copper and varnish layer.

도시철도 전력설비 상태감시 시스템 구성 (Condition Monitoring System Construction for Electrical Equipments of Metropolitan Rapid Transit)

  • 박현수;최광범;어수영;유기선;임형길;정호성;박영;고성범
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.447-451
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    • 2009
  • Metropolitan rapid transit has been used by one of a main transport service for several decades, but there are no monitoring system for electrical equipment condition which can cause enormous economic loss and social problem if fault occurs. Recently, necessity of condition monitoring system for electrical equipment fault came to the fore, we became carrying out a research project for a design of electrical equipment lifetime estimation system for metropolitan rapid transit. In this paper, basic design result of condition monitoring system and specification of transformer partial discharge detection system are presented, which are part of entire lifetime estimation system. Definition of target apparatus and monitoring method determined by analysis of user requirement from each railway company and, each railway company's opinions and requests were collected sufficiently by surveys and discussion.

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Estimating the Mixture of Proportional Hazards Model with the Constant Baseline Hazards Function

  • Kim Jong-woon;Eo Seong-phil
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2005년도 학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.265-269
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    • 2005
  • Cox's proportional hazards model (PHM) has been widely applied in the analysis of lifetime data, and it can be characterized by the baseline hazard function and covariates influencing systems' lifetime, where the covariates describe operating environments (e.g. temperature, pressure, humidity). In this article, we consider the constant baseline hazard function and a discrete random variable of a covariate. The estimation procedure is developed in a parametric framework when there are not only complete data but also incomplete one. The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is employed to handle the incomplete data problem. Simulation results are presented to illustrate the accuracy and some properties of the estimation results.

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On simple estimation technique for the reliability of exponential lifetime model

  • Al-Hemyari, Z.A.;Al-Saidy, Obaid M.;Al-Ali, A.R.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.79-96
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    • 2013
  • Exponential distribution plays a key role in engineering reliability and its applications. The exponential failure model has been studied for years. This article introduces two new preliminary test estimators for the reliability function (R(t)) in complete and censored samples from the exponential model with the use of a prior estimation (${\theta}_0$) of the mean (${\theta}$). The proposed preliminary test estimators are studied and compared numerically with the existing estimators. Computer-intensive calculations for bias and relative efficiency show that for, different values of levels of significance and for varying constants involved in the proposed estimators, the proposed estimators are far better than classical and existing estimators.

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Bayesian Estimation of Three-parameter Bathtub Shaped Lifetime Distribution Based on Progressive Type-II Censoring with Binomial Removal

  • Chung, Younshik
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.2747-2757
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    • 2018
  • We consider the MLE (maximum likelihood estimate) and Bayesian estimates of three-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution based on the progressive type II censoring with binomial removal. Jung, Chung (2018) proposed the three-parameter bathtub-shaped distribution which is the extension of the two-parameter bathtub-shaped distribution given by Zhang (2004). Jung, Chung (2018) investigated its properties and estimations. The maximum likelihood estimates are computed using Newton-Raphson algorithm. Also, Bayesian estimates are obtained under the balanced loss function using MCMC (Markov chain Monte Carlo) method. In particular, BSEL (balanced squared error loss) function is considered as a special form of balanced loss function given by Zellner (1994). For comparing theirs MLEs with the corresponding Bayes estimates, some simulations are performed. It shows that Bayes estimates is better than MLEs in terms of risks. Finally, concluding remarks are mentioned.

A Note on a New Two-Parameter Lifetime Distribution with Bathtub-Shaped Failure Rate Function

  • Wang, F.K.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents the methodology for obtaining point and interval estimating of the parameters of a new two-parameter distribution with multiple-censored and singly censored data (Type-I censoring or Type-II censoring) as well as complete data, using the maximum likelihood method. The basis is the likelihood expression for multiple-censored data. Furthermore, this model can be extended to a three-parameter distribution that is added a scale parameter. Then, the parameter estimation can be obtained by the graphical estimation on probability plot.

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