• 제목/요약/키워드: Life distribution

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강의 피로균열전파수명의 확률분포 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Estimation of the Probability Distribution of Fatigue Crack Growth Life for Steels)

  • 김선진;윤성환;전창환;정규연;안석환
    • 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양공학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.40-45
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    • 2000
  • Presented are the estimation of the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and reliability assessment of structures by simulating material resistance to fatigue crack growth along a crack path. The material resistance is treated as a Weibull stochastic process. A non-Gaussian stochastic fields simulation method proposed by Shimozuka, et al is applied with the statistical data obtained experimentally. Test results are obtained for $\Delta$K constant amplitude load in tension with stress ratio of R=0.2 and three specimen thicknesses of 6, 12 and 18mm. This simulation method is useful to estimate the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and the smallest life.

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강의 피로균열전파수명의 확률분포 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Estimation of the Probability Distribution of Fatigue Crack Growth Life for Steels)

  • 김선진;윤성환;전창환;김일석
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2000
  • Presented are the estimation of the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and reliability assessment of structures by simulating material resistance to fatigue crack growth along a crack path. The material resistance is treated as a Weibull stochastic process. A non-Gaussian stochastic fields simulation method proposed by shimozuka, et al is applied with the statistical data obtained experimentally. Test results are obtained for $\delta K$ constant amplitude load in tension with stress ratio of R=0.2 and three specimen thicknesses of 6,12 and 18mm. This simulation method is useful to estimate the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and the smallest life.

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Shelf-life prediction of fresh ginseng packaged with plastic films based on a kinetic model and multivariate accelerated shelf-life testing

  • Jong-Jin Park;Jeong-Hee Choi;Kee-Jai Park;Jeong-Seok Cho;Dae-Yong Yun;Jeong-Ho Lim
    • 한국식품저장유통학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.573-588
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to monitor changes in the quality of ginseng and predict its shelf-life. As the storage period of ginseng increased, some quality indicators, such as water-soluble pectin (WSP), CDTA-soluble pectin (CSP), cellulose, weight loss, and microbial growth increased, while others (Na2CO3-soluble pectin/NSP, hemicellulose, starch, and firmness) decreased. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using the quality attribute data and the principal component 1 (PC1) scores extracted from the PCA results were applied to the multivariate analysis. The reaction rate at different temperatures and the temperature dependence of the reaction rate were determined using kinetic and Arrhenius models, respectively. Among the kinetic models, zeroth-order models with cellulose and a PC1 score provided an adequate fit for reaction rate estimation. Hence, the prediction model was constructed by applying the cellulose and PC1 scores to the zeroth-order kinetic and Arrhenius models. The prediction model with PC1 score showed higher R2 values (0.877-0.919) than those of cellulose (0.797-0.863), indicating that multivariate analysis using PC1 score is more accurate for the shelf-life prediction of ginseng. The predicted shelf-life using the multivariate accelerated shelf-life test at 5, 20, and 35℃ was 40, 16, and 7 days, respectively.

파레토 및 어랑 형상모수에 의존한 수명분포를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 대한 신뢰도 특성요인 비교 연구 (A Comparison of Reliability Factors of Software Reliability Model Following Lifetime Distribution Dependent on Pareto and Erlang Shape Parameters)

  • 김희철;문송철
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2017
  • Software reliability is one of the most elementary and important problems in software development In order to find the software failure occurrence, the instantaneous failure rate function in the Poisson process can have a constant, incremental or decreasing tendency independently of the failure time. In this study, we compared the reliability performance of the software reliability model using the parameters of Pareto life distribution with the intensity decreasing pattern and the shape parameter of Erlang life distribution with the intensity increasing and decreasing pattern in the software product testing. In order to identify the software failure environment, the parametric estimation was applied to the maximum likelihood estimation method. Therefore, in this paper, we compare and evaluate software reliability by applying software failure time data. The reliability of the Erlang and Pareto life models is shown to be higher than that of the Pareto lifetime distribution model when the shape parameter is higher and the Erlang model is more reliable when the shape parameter is higher. Through this study, the software design department will be able to help the software design by applying various life distribution and shape parameters, and providing basic knowledge using software failure analysis.

가스켓용 고무소재의 특성수명 예측 (Prediction of Characteristics Life of the Rubber Gasket)

  • 박준형;이세희;장현덕;김광섭;양정삼
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.213-235
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we carried out an accelerated degradation test that is commonly used to predict characteristics life of rubber gaskets for a pole transformer. The potential failure mode applied for the test is rubber elongation and the corresponding failure mechanism is heat. From the result, we found that Weibull distribution is the fatigue life distribution in NBR and H-NBR. After estimating characteristics life in commonly used temperature, the average life span of $B_{50}$ in NBR is 7.7 years under $50^{\circ}C$ and the life span in H-NBR is 28 years.

마그네슘합금의 피로파손수명의 누적확률분포특성과 신뢰성에 미치는 경계조건의 영향 (Effect of Boundary Conditions on Reliability and Cumulative Distribution Characteristics of Fatigue Failure Life in Magnesium Alloy)

  • 최선순
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.594-599
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 마그네슘합금 AZ31의 피로파손수명의 확률론적 특성과 신뢰성에 미치는 경계조건의 영향을 평가하였다. 경계조건으로 시편두께와 응력비 그리고 최대피로하중을 적용하였으며, 각 경계조건별로 세부 실험조건에 대한 피로균열전파실험을 수행하여 피로파손수명에 대한 통계 데이터를 획득하였다. 마그네슘합금의 피로파손수명의 통계적 해석을 위하여 3-모수 와이블분포를 사용하였다. 시편두께가 두꺼울수록, 응력비가 클수록, 그리고 최대피로하중이 작을수록 통계적 피로파손수명이 길게 나타났다. 반면에 시편두께가 얇을수록, 응력비가 작을수록, 그리고 최대피로하중이 클수록 신뢰성이 급격히 감소하였다.

On the Estimation of Parameters in ALT under Generalized Exponential Distribution

  • Yoon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.923-931
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    • 2005
  • The two parameter generalized exponential distribution was recently introduced by Gupta and Kundu (1999). It is observed that the generalized exponential distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze skewed data set. This paper develops the accelerated life test model using generalized exponential distribution and considers maximum likelihood estimation of parameters under the tampered random variable model. To show the performance of proposed maximum likelihood estimates, some simulation will be performed. Using a real data set, an example will be given.

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The Distribution of Work-Life Integration against COVID-19 and its Implications: Focusing on Remote Work in Switzerland

  • CHOI, Choongik;LEE, Kwang-Hoon
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to explore the distribution of work-life integration against COVID-19 and its Implications by analyzing remote work in Switzerland. Research design, data and methodology: The study performed literature review and descriptive analyses using various data such as perception surveys, statistics, and related documents. Results: The infectious disease was a turning point for many people in Switzerland by changing where and how people want to live. Since the COVID-19 crisis demonstrated that disease could be spread by proximity, negative perception about urban areas expanded, and rural areas are increasingly preferred due to fresh and clean air and a more ecological lifestyle. In addition, increased remote work, a change brought about by COVID-19, has subsequently led to changes in household habits and needs. Distance from work is no longer an important factor when someone chooses where to live. A trend is now emerging where households wanting to improve the quality of life leave the city center and move to the suburbs. Conclusions: Paradoxically, such trend accelerated by the COVID-19 crisis has an unintendedly positive impact on the distribution of work-life integration across society while providing more flexibility in terms of place and time management and lowering the burden on roads and infrastructure.

Noninformative Priors for Step Stress Accelerated Life Tests in Exponential Distribution

  • 이우동;박홍경
    • 한국산업정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국산업정보학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 미래 IT융합기술 및 전략
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2009
  • This paper deals with noninformative priors for such as Jeffres' prior, reference prior and probability matching prior for scale parameter of exponential distribution when the data are collected in multiple step stress accelerated life tests. We find the noninformative priors for this model and show that the reference prior satisfies first order matching criterion. Using artificial data, we perform Bayesian analysis for proposed priors.

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Three level constant stress accelerated life tests for Weibull distribution

  • Moon, Gyoung Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the maximum likelihood estimators and confidence intervals for parameters of Weibull distribution are derived under three level constant stress accelerated life tests and the assumption that a log quadratic relationship exits between stress and the scale parameter ${\theta}$. The compound linear plan proposed by Kim (2006) is used to allocate the test units at each stress level, which performed nearly as good as the optimum quadratic plan and had the advantage of simplicity. Some simulation studies are given.