• Title/Summary/Keyword: Kurtosis

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A Study on the Charateristic of the Groundwater Quality in Seoul (서울지역의 지하수 수질특성에 관한 연구)

  • 김익수;이재영;최상일
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.54-63
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    • 2004
  • For the purpose of finding out the distributions of groundwater uses, the effect of facilities on the parameter and the correlations among measurements, various statistical analysis were carried out with the data of groundwater quality measurements from January to December in 2002. (1) The rates of groundwater for drinking water were 10.5% in Yungcheon-Gu, 10.2% in Kangdong-Gu, and 9.9% in Eunpyung-Gu. The rates of other uses of groundwater were shown to be 58.1 %(786 wells) for civil defense emergency, 22.1% (299 wells) for contamination-concerning, 9.8%(133 wells) for water quality monitoring, consisting of 90% of all groundwater. (2) The 52.6% of groundwater for drinking were demonstrated to be appropriate while 91.9% for other uses-domestic, industrial, agricultural uses- were shown to be proper. (3) For drinking water, the maximum values of colar, turbidity, NH3-N, F, and Fe were 766.9 degree, 69.16NTU, 860.0 mg/l, 5.6 mg/l and 49.87 mg/l respectively. (4) Comparision of skewness and kurtosis for Seoul groundwater, pH was found to be 0.022 and -0.524, but the T.colony, color, turbidity, NH$_3$-N, NO$_3$-N, Fe and Mn respectively fumed out to be 11.641 and 174.324, 8.501 and 80.260, 5.675 and 32.821, 19.507 and 380.994, 3.323 and 17.436, 10.544 and 134.093 and 5.979 and 39.124. (5) In cases of drinking water wells for emergency, the results of statistical analysis showed that building year of the wells, depth and pumping rate didn't affect on whether it was proper for that use or not. It were shown that there were linear correlations between depth and NO3-N(-0.171) and F(0.332) while the correlation coefficients were 0.381 and -0.169 between the building year of well and depth and pumping rate respectively.

Effect of Environmental Variables on Changes in Macrobenthic Communities in the Coastal Area of Inchon, Korea (인천연안 대형저서동물 군집 변동에 미치는 환경요인의 영향)

  • YU Ok Hwan;KOH Byoung-Seol;LEE Hyung-Gon;LEE Jae-Hac
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.423-432
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    • 2004
  • In coastal area of Inchon, dredging and the disposal of dredged material for sea-wall construction and reclamation have increased in recent years. These activities may impact the benthic environment and result in changes in benthic communities, but little information is available on the extent and direction of these changes. We investigated whether there have been changes in the dominant macrobenthic species and benthic community over the last decade, and explored the relationship between environmental variables and spatial patterns of macrobenthic community structure. We sampled macrobenthos and recorded environmental variables in the coastal habitats of Inchon in March and June 2004. In total, 212 macrobenthic species were recorded during this study, predominately crustaceans $(34{\%})$, mollusks $(32{\%})$ and polychaetes $(21{\%})$. The mean density of macrobenthos was $1,393\;ind./m^{2}$.The most abundant species was Amphioplus japonicus $(20.5{\%})$, followed by Heteromastus filiformis $(14.4{\%})$, Theora fragilis $(8.2{\%})$ and Ampharete sp. $(4.0{\%})$. Over the past decade the dominant macrobenthic species in this area shifted. Multivariate analysis (multidimensional scaling) revealed significant differences in community structure among three regions: the middle part of the sampling area (B), site 8 (C) and other sites (A). Mean density varied significantly among the three regions, but no differences in the number of species and diversity (H') were observed. The distribution of the macrobenthic community was affected by environmental variables such as percentage sand content and sediment kurtosis. Species that were important in different areas included A. japonicus in region A, Raeta puchella in region B and T. fragilis in region C. The important species in regions B and C were filter-feeding bivalves, and the abundance of these species may be related to the increase in percentage sand content. We suggest that the sediment composition (percentage sand content) may be an important factor in determining the dominant species and structure of the macrobenthic communities in coastal Inchon. Long-term monitoring programs are necessary to understand ongoing changes in the benthic communities of this area.

A Grain Size Analysis of Bottom Sediments of Yeongil Bay, Korea (한국 영일만 해저퇴적물의 입도분포)

  • Park, Byong-Kwon;Song Moo-Young
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 1972
  • This paper studied the grain size distribution of bottom sediments of Yeongil Bay which is located at the southeastern part of the Korean Peninsula. Sixty four samples collected with snapper and dredger are analyzed by roe Tap Sieve Shaker and Pipette Method. The moment parameters are calculated with the method of Friedman(1961). Most samples are composed of sand size sediments and a few samples are composed of silt and clay. The Yeongil Bay can be divided into gravel-granule zone, sand zone, and silt-clay zone. The sediments near Yeonam- Dong and Hyongsan river are moderately sorted and others are very poorly sorted according to scheme of Friedman91962). In general, sorting values are ranged from 1.0 to 3.5. The samples near Janggigap and Masin-Dong show negative and others show positive skewness values. Skewness values are ranged from -1 to 2. All samples show the leptokurtic distribution except for the samples near Masin- dong and at the deepest place near Janggigap. Kurtosis values are ranged from -1.5 to 21.9. The samples of gravel-granule zone contain more than 50% and those of silt-clay zone contain less than 50% of CaCO$\_$3/. Four different colors, black, yellow, brown and gray, are shown in the sediments of Yeongil Bay.

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The Structural relationship among Commitment to Change, Needs of Technology Education Innovation, Communication and Self-Efficacy of Technology Teachers (교육환경 변화에 따른 기술교사의 변화몰입과 기술교육혁신 요구, 커뮤니케이션 및 자기효능감의 구조적 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-lk
    • 대한공업교육학회지
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.111-130
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to identify a causal relationship among commitment to change, needs of technology education innovation, communication and self-efficacy of technology teachers. A total of 300 copies of questionnaires were used for data analysis except for 117 copies like the one where insincerely responds to any question was found. To ensure the reliability and validity of questions, I performed technical statistics like average, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis via PASW 18.0, item-total correlation and the totality, and reliability analysis. I undertook a confirmatory factor analysis via AMOS 7.0 to ensure the validity of items together with a structural analysis to perform a path analysis among variables and assess the suitability of model. The major finding of this study were as follows: First, because fit index of hypothetical model generally met standards in this study, a hypothetical model was judged appropriately. Second, needs of technology education innovation had a positive effect on communication and commitment to change of technology teachers. And, communication among technology teachers had a positive effect on commitment to change of technology teachers. This result means that communication among technology teachers is important to activation of technology education. Third, self-efficacy had a positive effect on commitment to change of technology teachers. This result means that it needs to raise self-efficacy level through teacher education.

Model-based Diagnosis for Crack in a Gear of Wind Turbine Gearbox (풍력터빈 기어박스 내의 기어균열에 대한 모델 기반 고장진단)

  • Leem, Sang Hyuck;Park, Sung Hoon;Choi, Joo Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 2013
  • A model-based method is proposed to diagnose the gear crack in the gearbox under variable loading condition with the objective to apply it to the wind turbine CMS(Condition Monitoring System). A simple test bed is installed to illustrate the approach, which consists of motors and a pair of spur gears. A crack is imbedded at the tooth root of a gear. Tachometer-based order analysis, being independent on the shaft speed, is employed as a signal processing technique to identify the crack through the impulsive change and the kurtosis. Lumped parameter dynamic model is used to simulate the operation of the test bed. In the model, the parameter related with the crack is inversely estimated by minimizing the difference between the simulated and measured features. In order to illustrate the validation of the method, a simulated signal with a specified parameter is virtually generated from the model, assuming it as the measured signal. Then the parameter is inversely estimated based on the proposed method. The result agrees with the previously specified parameter value, which verifies that the algorithm works successfully. Application to the real crack in the test bed will be addressed in the next study.

Estimation of BDI Volatility: Leverage GARCH Models (BDI의 변동성 추정: 레버리지 GARCH 모형을 중심으로)

  • Mo, Soo-Won;Lee, Kwang-Bae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2014
  • This paper aims at measuring how new information is incorporated into volatility estimates. Various GARCH models are compared and estimated with daily BDI(Baltic Dry Index) data. While most researchers agree that volatility is predictable, they differ on how this volatility predictability should be modelled. This study, hence, introduces the asymmetric or leverage volatility models, in which good news and bad news have different predictability for future. We provide the systematic comparison of volatility models focusing on the asymmetric effect of news on volatility. Specifically, three diagnostic tests are provided: the sign bias test, the negative size bias test, and the positive size bias test. From the Ljung-Box test statistic for twelfth-order serial correlation for the level we do not find any significant serial correlation in the unpredictable BDI. The coefficients of skewness and kurtosis both indicate that the unpredictable BDI has a distribution which is skewed to the left and significantly flat tailed. Furthermore, the Ljung-Box test statistic for twelfth-order serial correlations in the squares strongly suggests the presence of time-varying volatility. The sign bias test, the negative size bias test, and the positive size bias test strongly indicate that large positive(negative) BDI shocks cause more volatility than small ones. This paper, also, shows that three leverage models have problems in capturing the correct impact of news on volatility and that negative shocks do not cause higher volatility than positive shocks. Specifically, the GARCH model successfully reveals the shape of the news impact curve and is a useful approach to modeling conditional heteroscedasticity of daily BDI.

Genetic Status of ESR Locus and Other Unidentified Genes As sociated with Litter Size in Chinese Indigenous Tongcheng Pig Breed after a Long Time Selection

  • Zhu, M.J.;Yu, M.;Liu, B.;Zhu, Z.Z.;Xiong, T.A.;Fan, B.;Xu, S.P.;Du, Y.Q.;Peng, Z.Z.;Li, K.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.598-602
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    • 2004
  • The Tongcheng pig breed is a famous Chinese indigenous breed. The Ministry of Agriculture of China has filed it as 1 of 19 national key conservation breeds selected from more than 100 Chinese indigenous pig breeds in 2000. In order to improve the reproductive performance, it has been intensively selected to increase the litter size for about 10 years. The population randomly sampled from conservation nucleus of eight families in the Tongcheng pigs was genotyped for identification of their estrogen receptor locus polymorphisms with the PCR-RFLPs method. Only AB heterozygotes and BB homozygotes were detected, and $X^2$ test demonstrated that the locus was in disequilibrium at a significant level (p<0.05). In the present paper, the litter sizes in different parities were regarded as different traits. Holistic status of other unspecific and unidentified genes was estimated by using the statistical methods. Coefficients of kurtosis and skewness showed that the litter size still presented segregating characteristic in the 2nd, 5th, 7th, 8th and 9th parities. Analysis of homogeneity of variance between families confirmed the results for the 5th, 7th and 8th parities. The heritability of litter size for the 1st to 10th parities was estimated with paternal half-sib model and individual estimated breeding values (EBVs) were evaluated by a single trait animal model as well. We found that the averages of EBVs for litter size in each parity did not differ significantly between genotypes, despite the significant difference for original phenotype records in the 3rd, 4th and 5th parities (p<0.05 or p<0.01). The results may be explained by the deduction that the polymorphisms of ESR locus are no longer the important genetic base of litter size variation when the frequency of allele B accumulated in the experience of selection procedure, and further conferring that there exist special genes associated with litter size in the recent Tongcheng pigs population can be made.

Development a Measurement Scale for Analysis on Factors Influencing College Choice of College Freshman's (전문대학 신입생들의 대학선택 영향 요인 분석을 위한 측정도구 개발)

  • Kim, Myung-Eun;Jang, Won-Seok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.50-62
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study was to develop scale of test taker to affect on process of selection of college. The study procedures were performed as follow : establish of study model, item generation, verification of content validity, 1st and 2nd pilot test and verification of construct validity and reliability. In order to verification of validity and reliability, 230 freshman were surveyed and the data were analyzed by mean, standard deviation, skewness. kurtosis, Pearson correlation, Verimax factor analysis and Cronbach's ${\alpha}$. As result of factor analysis, the 15 factors(61 items) that explain 68.37% of the total variance were extracted and each factors were classified by attribution as follow : Information collection-mass media(4items), college activity (3items), support and environment(4items), education(5items), Influential person on decision making(3items), education quality(4items), education service(5items), reputation(3items), accessibility(2items), personal circumstances(2items), college's mass media(5items), promotion (4items), on-line(4items), person's PR (3items), College image(10items). Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ of total items was 0.916 and Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ of each factors were showed range between 0.694~0.878. Measurement scale of this study may be utilized to collect basic data be required to establish policy strategy of local college be faced with difficulty of admission recruitment.

Value at Risk with Peaks over Threshold: Comparison Study of Parameter Estimation (Peacks over threshold를 이용한 Value at Risk: 모수추정 방법론의 비교)

  • Kang, Minjung;Kim, Jiyeon;Song, Jongwoo;Song, Seongjoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.483-494
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    • 2013
  • The importance of financial risk management has been highlighted after several recent incidences of global financial crisis. One of the issues in financial risk management is how to measure the risk; currently, the most widely used risk measure is the Value at Risk(VaR). We can consider to estimate VaR using extreme value theory if the financial data have heavy tails as the recent market trend. In this paper, we study estimations of VaR using Peaks over Threshold(POT), which is a common method of modeling fat-tailed data using extreme value theory. To use POT, we first estimate parameters of the Generalized Pareto Distribution(GPD). Here, we compare three different methods of estimating parameters of GPD by comparing the performance of the estimated VaR based on KOSPI 5 minute-data. In addition, we simulate data from normal inverse Gaussian distributions and examine two parameter estimation methods of GPD. We find that the recent methods of parameter estimation of GPD work better than the maximum likelihood estimation when the kurtosis of the return distribution of KOSPI is very high and the simulation experiment shows similar results.

Characteristics of Grain Size and Organic Matters in the Tidal Flat Sediments of the Suncheon Bay (순천만 갯벌의 입도조성 및 유기물 분포특성)

  • Jang, Sung-Guk;Cheong, Cheong-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.198-205
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the characteristics of the grain size distribution and organic matters to understand the current status of the tidal flat sediment for efficient management of Suncheon Bay. We investigated the characteristics of the surface sediments in the mouth area of the Suncheon Bay at fifteen stations in April and July, 2009. Specific conclusions were as follows. The sediments in the most part of tidal flat was shown as muddy facies(clay and silt contents was more than 90%), whereas in the tidal river affected by water flow from the Dongstream was shown as sandy facies. The analyzed values of the tidal flat sediment were in the range of $1.9{\sim}3.8{\phi}$(mean $2.5{\phi}$) for sorting, and -1.5~3.2(mean -0.3) for skewness, and 1.5~14.1(mean 3.9) for kurtosis. So we knew that the tidal flat sediments in the Suncheon Bay was mainly composed by fine-grained sediment. Erosion was happened in the tidal river, whereas sedimentation was occurred in the tidal flat. The most of organic matters was derived from the Dongstream. Total organic matters shown as ignition loss was 5.75%, COD and $H_2S$ values were lower than the eutrophication level(COD; 20.0 mg/g dry, $H_2S$; 0.2 mg S/g dry). From our research the tidal flat of the Suncheon Bay is relatively fine, but a part of the flat was exceed the environmental standard. So we have to establish effective countermeasures to reduce the organic matters and nutrients derived from stream for environmental preservation of the Suncheon bay and conduct scientifically sustainable monitering for streams flowing into Suncheon Bay and tidal flat.