• Title/Summary/Keyword: Kriging method

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Sequential Approximate Optimization Using Kriging Metamodels (크리깅 모델을 이용한 순차적 근사최적화)

  • Shin Yongshik;Lee Yongbin;Ryu Je-Seon;Choi Dong-Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.9 s.240
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    • pp.1199-1208
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    • 2005
  • Nowadays, it is performed actively to optimize by using an approximate model. This is called the approximate optimization. In addition, the sequential approximate optimization (SAO) is the repetitive method to find an optimum by considering the convergence of an approximate optimum. In some recent studies, it is proposed to increase the fidelity of approximate models by applying the sequential sampling. However, because the accuracy and efficiency of an approximate model is directly connected with the design area and the termination criteria are not clear, sequential sampling method has the disadvantages that could support an unreasonable approximate optimum. In this study, the SAO is executed by using trust region, Kriging model and Optimal Latin Hypercube design (OLHD). Trust region is used to guarantee the convergence and Kriging model and OLHD are suitable for computer experiment. finally, this SAO method is applied to various optimization problems of highly nonlinear mathematical functions. As a result, each approximate optimum is acquired and the accuracy and efficiency of this method is verified by comparing with the result by established method.

Applicability of Spatial Interpolation Methods for the Estimation of Rainfall Field (강우장 추정을 위한 공간보간기법의 적용성 평가)

  • Jang, Hongsuk;Kang, Narae;Noh, Huiseong;Lee, Dong Ryul;Choi, Changhyun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.370-379
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    • 2015
  • In recent, the natural disaster like localized heavy rainfall due to the climate change is increasing. Therefore, it is important issue that the precise observation of rainfall and accurate spatial distribution of the rainfall for fast recovery of damaged region. Thus, researches on the use of the radar rainfall data have been performed. But there is a limitation in the estimation of spatial distribution of rainfall using rain gauge. Accordingly, this study uses the Kriging method which is a spatial interpolation method, to measure the rainfall field in Namgang river dam basin. The purpose of this study is to apply KED(Kriging with External Drift) with OK(Ordinary Kriging) and CK(Co-Kriging), generally used in Korea, to estimate rainfall field and compare each method for evaluate the applicability of each method. As a result of the quantitative assessment, the OK method using the raingauge only has 0.978 of correlation coefficient, 0.915 of slope best-fit line, and 0.957 of $R^2$ and shows an excellent result that MAE, RMSE, MSSE, and MRE are the closest to zero. Then KED and CK are in order of their good results. But the quantitative assessment alone has limitations in the evaluation of the methods for the precise estimation of the spatial distribution of rainfall. Thus, it is considered that there is a need to application of more sophisticated methods which can quantify the spatial distribution and this can be used to compare the similarity of rainfall field.

The Estimation of Theoretical Semivariogram Adapting Genetic Algorithm for Kriging

  • Ryu, Je-Seon;Park, Young-Sun;Cha, Kyung-Joon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.355-368
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    • 2004
  • In order to use Kriging, one has to estimate three parameters(nugget, sill and range) of semivariogram, which shows the relationship in the given two sites. A visual fit of the semivariogram parameters to a few standard models is widely used. But, it does not give the suitable results and not provide the automated process of Kriging. The gradient based nonlinear least squares is another choices to estimate three parameters, but it has some problems such as initial value problem. In this paper, we suggest the genetic algorithm as a compatible alternative method to solve the above mentioned problem. Finally, we estimate three parameters of semivariogram of rain-fall by adapting the genetic algorithm, compute Kriging estimate and conclude its effectiveness and compatibility.

Population Distribution Estimation Using Regression-Kriging Model (Regression-Kriging 모형을 이용한 인구분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byeong-Sun;Ku, Cha-Yong;Choi, Jin-Mu
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.806-819
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    • 2010
  • Population data has been essential and fundamental in spatial analysis and commonly aggregated into political boundaries. A conventional method for population distribution estimation was a regression model with land use data, but the estimation process has limitation because of spatial autocorrelation of the population data. This study aimed to improve the accuracy of population distribution estimation by adopting a Regression-Kriging method, namely RK Model, which combines a regression model with Kriging for the residuals. RK Model was applied to a part of Seoul metropolitan area to estimate population distribution based on the residential zones. Comparative results of regression model and RK model using RMSE, MAE, and G statistics revealed that RK model could substantially improve the accuracy of population distribution. It is expected that RK model could be adopted actively for further population distribution estimation.

Structural Design of a Container Crane Part-Jaw, Using Metamodels (메타모델을 이용한 크레인 부품 조의 구조설계)

  • Song, Byoung-Cheol;Bang, Il-Kwon;Han, Dong-Seop;Han, Geun-Jo;Lee, Kwon-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2008
  • Rail clamps are mechanical components installed to fix the container crane to its lower members against wind blast or slip. According to rail clamps should be designed to survive harsh wind loading conditions. In this study, a jaw structure, which is a part of a wedge-typed rail clamp, is optimized with respect to its strength under a severe wind loading condition. According to the classification of structural optimization, the structural optimization of a jaw is included in the category of shape optimization. Conventional structural optimization methods have difficulties in defining complex shape design variables and preventing mesh distortions. To overcome the difficulties, the metamodel using Kriging interpolation method is introduced to replace the true response by an approximate one. This research presents the shape optimization of a jaw using iterative Kriging interpolation models and a simulated annealing algorithm. The new Kriging models are iteratively constructed by refining the former Kriging models. This process is continued until the convergence criteria are satisfied. The optimum results obtained by the suggested method are compared with those obtained by the DOE (design of experiments) and VT (variation technology) methods built in ANSYS WORKBENCH.

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Structural Design for a Jaw Using Metamodels

  • Bang, Il-Kwon;Kang, Dong-Heon;Han, Dong-Seop;Han, Geun-Jo;Lee, Kwon-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.329-334
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    • 2006
  • Rail clamps are mechanical components installed to fix the container crane to its bottoms from wind blast or slip. Rail clamps should be designed to survive the harsh wind loading condition. In this study, the jaw structure that is one part of wedge-typed rail clamp is optimized, considering strength under the severe wind loading condition. According to the classification of structural optimization, the structural optimization of a jaw belongs to shape optimization. In the conventional structural optimization methods, they have difficulties in defining complex shape design variables and preventing mesh distortions. To overcome the difficulties, the metamodel using kriging interpolation method is introduced, replacing true response by approximate one. This research presents the shape optimization of a jaw using iterative kriging interpolation models and simulated annealing algorithm. The new kriging models are iteratively constructed by refining the former kriging models. This process is continued until the convergence criteria are satisfied. The optimum results obtained by the suggested method are compared with those obtained by the DOE (design of experiments) and VT (variation technology) methods built in ANSYS WORKBENCH.

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RELIABILITY ESTIMATION AND RBDO USING KRIGING METAMODEL AND GENETIC ALGORITHM

  • Cho, Tae-Min;Lee, Byung-Chai
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.1016-1021
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    • 2008
  • In this study, effective methods for reliability estimation and reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) are proposed using kriging metamodel and genetic algorithm. In our previous study, we proposed the accurate method for reliability estimation using two-staged kriging metamodel and genetic algorithm. In this study, the possibility of applying the previously proposed method to RBDO is examined. The accuracy of that method is much improved than the first order reliability method with similar efficiency. Finally, the effective method for RBDO is proposed and applied to numerical examples. The results are compared to the existing RBDO methods and shown to be very effective and accurate.

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BLADE PLANFORM OPTIMIZATION FOR HSI NOISE REDUCTION OF HELICOPTER (헬리콥터의 고속충격소음 감소를 위한 블레이드 평면형상 최적화)

  • Chae, Sang-Hyun;Yang, Choong-Mo;Jung, Shin-Kyu;Aoyama, Takashi;Obayashi, Shigeru;Yee, Kwang-Jung
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this research is to design blade planform to reduce high speed impulsive(HSI) noise from a non-lifting helicopter rotor using CFD method and optimization techniques. As for the aero-acoustic analysis, CFD technique for aerodynamic analysis and Kirchhoff's method for the acoustic analysis were used. As for the optimization method, Kriging-based genetic algorithm(GA) model as a high-fidelity optimization method was chosen. Design variables and constraints are determined for arbitrary blade planform. The result shows that the optimized blade planform with high swept-back and taper ratio can reduce HSI noise by suppressing generation of the strong shock wave on blade surface and propagation of the noise to the farfield flow region.

Comparative Studies of Kriging Methods for Estimation of Geo-Layer Distribution of Songdo International City in Incheon (인천 송도국제도시 지층분포추정을 위한 크리깅 방법의 비교연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Hee;Ryu, Dong-Woo;Lee, Ju-Hyoung;Choi, In-Gul;Kim, Jong-Kook;Lee, Woo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2010
  • Kriging techniques have been used to estimate the spatial distribution of soil layers and soil properties in the geotechnical engineering area. Since the selected kriging technique may provide different values of estimation, the selection of method is important in the geotechnical estimation. In this paper, the spatial distribution of the thickness of consolidation layer of Songdo International City is estimated using simple, ordinary, and universal kriging techniques, and the reliability of estimated results is analyzed. It is shown that the consolidation layer thickness estimated by the simple kriging technique is larger than those by other kriging techniques when the location of estimation is far from the locations where the measured data exist. In this case, the reliability of the simple kriging technique is observed to be lower than those of other techniques. Universal kriging gives a negative value for thickness of consolidation layer in some locations away from the data. It is concluded that the ordinary kriging is the most optimized estimation technique because the reliability of ordinary kriging technique is higher than those of other ones and the consolidation layer thickness estimated by the ordinary kriging locates within the reasonable range.

The Application of SIS (Sequential Indicator Simulation) for the Manganese Nodule Fields (망간단괴광상의 매장량평가를 위한 SIS (Sequential Indicator Simulation)의 응용)

  • Park, Chan Young;Kang, Jung Keuk;Chon, Hyo Taek
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.493-498
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to develop geostatistical model for evaluating the abundance of deep-sea manganese nodule. The abundance data used in this study were obtained from the KODOS (Korea Deep Ocean Study) area. The variation of nodule abundance was very high within short distance, while sampling methods was very limited. As the distribution of nodule abundance showed non-gaussian, indicator simulation method was used instead of conditional simulation method and/or ordinary kriging. The abundance data were encoded into a series of indicators with 6 cutoff values. They were used to estimate the conditional probability distribution function (cpdf) of the nodule abundance at any unsampled location. The standardized indicator variogram models were obtained according to variogram analysis. This SIS method had the advantage over other traditional techniques such as the turning bands method and ordinary kriging. The estimating values by indicator conditional simulation near high abundance area were more detailed than by ordinary kriging and indicator kriging. They also showed better spatial characteristics of distribution of nodule abundance.

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