• Title/Summary/Keyword: K-factor estimate

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Bayesian Inference for Switching Mean Models with ARMA Errors

  • Son, Young Sook;Kim, Seong W.;Cho, Sinsup
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.981-996
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    • 2003
  • Bayesian inference is considered for switching mean models with the ARMA errors. We use noninformative improper priors or uniform priors. The fractional Bayes factor of O'Hagan (1995) is used as the Bayesian tool for detecting the existence of a single change or multiple changes and the usual Bayes factor is used for identifying the orders of the ARMA error. Once the model is fully identified, the Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings subchains is constructed to estimate parameters. Finally, we perform a simulation study to support theoretical results.

Controller of the Capacitor Commutated Converter for Hvdc

  • Tsubota, Shinji;Funaki, Tsuyoshi;Matsuura, Kenji
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.914-919
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    • 1998
  • A Capacitor Commutated Converter (CCC) has less difficulty of commutation failure in comparison to the conventional line commutated converter. This paper proposes the Ar1R control of the CCC in the inverter operation, which deserves as the Ar1R of the conventional converter. The CCC can be operated in high power factor area by using the proposing Ar1R control. The voltage stability at an AC bus connected the CCC inverter is investigated and estimated its ability of preventing the AC voltage collapse. To estimate the voltage stability, this paper developed the simplified converter mathematical model and led the VSF index. The results shows that the AC voltage stability is guaranteed and enables the interconnection to an weak AC system, when compensation factor of the compensation capacitor is higher than 200%.

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SRF Combustion Pollutants' Impact on Domestic Emissions Assessments (SRF 사용 시 발생되는 대기오염물질 (PM, NOx)의 국가배출량 기여도 평가)

  • Kim, Sang-Kyun;Jang, Kee-Won;Kim, Jong-Hyeon;Yoo, Chul;Hong, Ji-Hyung;Kim, Hyung-Chun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.656-665
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    • 2012
  • Recently, yearly production of SRF (Solid Recovered Fuel) as an alternative fuel has been rapidly increasing because of the limited waste disposal, rise in oil prices and reduction of greenhouse gas emission. However, SRF using facilities are excluded from the National Air Pollutant Emission Estimation because SRF using facilities are not yet included among the SCC (Source Classification Code). The purpose of this research was to estimate the emission and emission factor of SRF using facilities' PM and $NO_x$, in order to investigate whether or not they are included in the National Air Pollutant Emission Estimation. The emission factors of SRF using facilities' PM and $NO_x$ are calculated as 0.216 kg/ton, and 3.970 kg/ton, and the emission was estimated based on the yearly total SRF usage of 2011. The results above was 18.7% for PM and 12.8% for $NO_x$ emissions from combustion facility (SCC2) in manufacturing industry combustion (SCC1) of CAPSS. If CAPSS estimate the emission by adding SCC on unlisted SRF in case of Boiler (SCC3) fuel, both PM and $NO_x$'s emissions would increase by 15.8% and 11.3% compare to the emissions for the existing combustion facility. As a result, emissions caused by SRF should be considered when calculating the National Air Pollutant Emission Estimation. In addition, further researches to develop emission factor and improve subdivided SCC should be done in the future, for the accurate and reliable estimation of National Emission.

Estimate of $CH_4$ Emission Factors in Municipal Wastewater Treatment Plants (하수와 소화슬러지의 $CH_4$가스 배출원단위 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Hyung-Jae;Park, Jung-Min
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2008
  • In order to study the estimate of $CH_4$ emission factors in the municipal wastewater treatment plants, the active sludge process, 5-stage process, Denipho process, and SBR process were investigated. When active sludge process, 5-stage process, and Denipho process were used in wastewater treatment plant, the $CH_4$ emission factors were 2.88, 1.61, and 0.57 g-$CH_4/kg$-BOD, respectively. On the other hand, in the case of SBR process, it was 4.14 g-$CH_4/kg$-BOD. These results indicate that SBR process was effective for $CH_4$ emission in municipal wastewater treatment plants. Using the above processes, the methane emission factor and amount of waste water sludge were $4.78m^3/t$ and $12,204,506m^3/yr$, respectively. The remove of BOD was a range of $93.91{\sim}98.63%$.

Development of a Sampling Strategy and Sample Size Calculation to Estimate the Distribution of Mammographic Breast Density in Korean Women

  • Jun, Jae Kwan;Kim, Mi Jin;Choi, Kui Son;Suh, Mina;Jung, Kyu-Won
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.4661-4664
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    • 2012
  • Mammographic breast density is a known risk factor for breast cancer. To conduct a survey to estimate the distribution of mammographic breast density in Korean women, appropriate sampling strategies for representative and efficient sampling design were evaluated through simulation. Using the target population from the National Cancer Screening Programme (NCSP) for breast cancer in 2009, we verified the distribution estimate by repeating the simulation 1,000 times using stratified random sampling to investigate the distribution of breast density of 1,340,362 women. According to the simulation results, using a sampling design stratifying the nation into three groups (metropolitan, urban, and rural), with a total sample size of 4,000, we estimated the distribution of breast density in Korean women at a level of 0.01% tolerance. Based on the results of our study, a nationwide survey for estimating the distribution of mammographic breast density among Korean women can be conducted efficiently.

Analysis of Factors in Visual Preference for River Scenery to estimate the Optimal Ratio of Water Surface Width.River Width - With a Focus on the Youngsan and Sumjin Rivers - (적정 수면폭.하천폭비 산정을 위한 하천경관의 시각적 선호요인 분석 - 영산강과 섬진강을 중심으로 -)

  • Yoo, Sang-Wan;Lee, Joo-Heon;Hong, Hyoung-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.35 no.1 s.120
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the visual preference factors for river scenery, which can vary according to changes in water levels, to estimate the optimal ratio of water surface/river width. Five locations on the Youngsan and Sumjin Rivers were selected as representative samples and field survey data such as channel geometry with water levels were prepared to develop the slide of river scenery, To estimate the level of satisfaction in river scenery, slides of 4 different water levels at each of the representative locations were developed through questionnaire. To analyse the correlation between the visual preference for river scenery and preference factors, a multi regression analysis method was adopted in this study. According to the results of the multi regression analysis, Factor B(Aesthetic factors) have the greatest affect on visual preferences and Factor A(A Feeling of Open space and Physical factors) affect significantly to visual preferences for river scenery. The results of analysis shows that the most preferred W/B ratio varies from 0.5 to 0.7 and this result indicates that many people prefer high levels river flow to maintain a natural and harmonious view of rivers. The results of this study will contribute to the field of river landscape design and river restoration projects in order to maximize the human being's satisfaction as a part of nature.

A New Method to Estimate the Induced Electric Field in the Human Child Exposed to a 100 kHz-10 MHz Magnetic Field Using Body Size Parameters

  • Park, Young-Min;Song, Hye-Jin;Byun, Jin-Kyu
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.174-180
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, a new and simple method is proposed to quickly estimate the induced electric field in the human child exposed to a 100 kHz-10 MHz magnetic field, for the sake of electromagnetic field (EMF) safety assessment. The quasi-static finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) method is used to calculate the induced electric fields in high resolution 3D human child models with various body size parameters, in order to derive the correction factor for the estimation equation. The calculations are repeated for various frequencies and incident angles of the magnetic field. Based on these calculation results, a new and simple estimation equation for the 99th percentile value of the body electric field is derived that depends on the body size parameters, and the incident magnetic field. The estimation errors were equal to or less than 5.1%, for all cases considered.

Estimation of Ultimate Bearing Capacity of Gravel Compaction Piles Using Nonlinear Regression Analysis (비선형 회귀분석을 이용한 쇄석다짐말뚝의 극한지지력 예측)

  • Park, Joon Mo;Han, Yong Bae;Jang, Yeon Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.112-121
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    • 2013
  • The calibration of resistance factor in reliability theory for limit state design of gravel compaction piles (GCP) requires a reliable estimate of ultimate bearing capacity. The static load test is commonly used in geotechnical engineering practice to predict the ultimate bearing capacity. Many graphical methods are specified in the design standard to define the ultimate bearing capacity based on the load-settlement curve. However, it has some disadvantages to ensure reliability to obtain an uniform ultimate load depend on engineering judgement. In this study, a well-fitting nonlinear regression model is proposed to estimate the ultimate bearing capacity, for which a nonlinear regression analysis is applied to estimate the ultimate bearing capacity of GCP and the results are compared with those calculated using previous graphical method. Affect the resistance factor of the estimate method were analyzed. To provide a database in the development of limit state design, the load test conditions for predicting the ultimate bearing capacity from static load test are examined.

A Simplified Estimation of Stress Intensity Factor on the Hertzian Contact

  • Jin, Songbo;Kim, Seock-Sam
    • KSTLE International Journal
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.8-11
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    • 2000
  • A surface crack in a semi-infinite body under Hertzian contact was considered. The simplified method used to estimate stress intensity factor K for specimen was extended to the model which is chosen in this paper. Very satisfactory results are obtained comparing with those known and it is proved that the method is more convenient than other methods. The results of the analysis show that due to the presence of $K_I$ for unlubricated condition, mode I fracture is active in the field below the surface and the maximum $K_{I}$ is obtained when the trailing edge of Hertzian contact reaches a position over the crack. The magnitudes of stress intensity factors $K_I$ and $K_Il$ increase with increasing friction forces. For a surface crack perpendicular to the contact surface, the stress intensity factor $K_I$ reaches its maximum value at a depth very close to the surface. Driving forve fer crack initiation and propagation is $K_I$ for unlubricated condition and $K_Il$ for both fluid and boundary lubricated condition.n.

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A Study on Projection Properties of the 12-Run Plackett-Burman Design

  • Park, Dong-Kwon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.707-718
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    • 1999
  • Non-regular designs such as the Plackett-Burman(PB) design have traditionally been used for screening only main effects because of complex aliasing. But it was found that these designs could be used to estimate the 2-factor interactions as well as main effects through the hidden projection property. The goal of this paper is to propose the estimable model when projecting the 12-run PB design using the algebraic geometric method. The core of this method considers the design as a affine variety and the Grbner basis of the design ideal for this affine variety gives the estimable polynomial models. As the results of applying the 12-run PB design it is actually found that this design has the models not only with 2-factor interactions but with 3-factor. This design is the maximal fan in 4-factor projection.

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