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검색결과 988건 처리시간 0.027초

포유류 로드킬 저감을 위한 고속도로 유도울타리 효율성 및 개선방안 연구 - 중앙고속도로 만종~홍천 구간을 사례로 - (The Efficiency and Improvement of the Highway Wild-Life Fences for Decrease of Mammals Road-kill - In Case of Manjong~Hongchun Section on Jungang Highway -)

  • 송정석;이경재;기경석;전익요
    • 한국환경생태학회지
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.649-657
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 고속도로 야생동물 유도울타리 설치효과를 분석하여 적정한 유도울타리 설치 개선 및 관리방안을 제시하고자 중앙고속도로 만종분기점~홍천나들목구간을 대상으로 수행하였다. 고속도로에 설치된 유도울타리는 포유류의 도로침입 방지효과가 있었으며, 방음벽, 낙석방지울타리, 2단 가드레일과 분리방호벽도 로드킬 예방에 효과적인 시설이었다. 유도울타리의 로드킬 저감 효과는 출입문이 설치된 높이 1.5m의 울타리보다 출입문이 설치되지 않은 높이 1.0m 구간이 로드킬 감소효과가 높아 출입문의 유무가 로드킬 저감에 중요한 요인으로 판단되었다. 또한 도로시설물의 연결지점에서 로드킬 저감 효과가 컸으며 출입문이 있더라도 관리가 잘되는 지역도 로드킬 감소효과가 높았다. 유도울타리는 설치연장이 증가함에 따라 로드킬 감소율이 높았다. 유도울타리 끝 부분과 절토부 주변은 로드킬에 취약하여 이에 대한 개선이 요구되었다. 울타리 유지관리용 출입문은 설치간격이 가까울수록 로드킬 발생량이 높아 출입문 관리가 로드킬 저감에 효과가 많은 것으로 판단되었다. 고속도로 유도울타리 설치 개선방안은 암반의 급경사 지역 외에 모두 설치되어야 하고, 도로상의 낙석방지책, 2단 가드레일, 방호벽 등은 적정 시설개선을 통해 유도울타리로 연결 설치되어야 한다. 출입문을 설치할 경우 자동개폐식 또는 중력개폐식으로 설치하여 개방을 방지하고 야생동물 탈출로가 조성이 되어야 한다. 겸용생물이동통로는 토양층 복원이나 식생공간을 조성하여 생물이동통로화 하여야하며 로드킬로 포식자에 의한 2차 로드킬을 막기 위해 사고난 사체는 즉시 도로외부로 처리가 되어야 한다. 울타리는 최소 사고예방 목표지점으로부터 양방향 500m 이상 즉 1,000m 이상 설치되어야 하며 가급적 다음 도로시설인 교량, 통로박스 등까지 연결하여 야생동물을 생물이동통로로 안전하게 유도하여야 한다.

파스큐라의 미술론 (PASKYULA's Theory of Art)

  • 정주영
    • 미술이론과 현장
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    • 제5호
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    • pp.43-80
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    • 2007
  • PASKYULA was formed in September, 1923 through the union of artists involved in two art groups: Kim Ki-Jin, Kim Bok-Jin, Yeon Hak-Nyeon who had previously participated in the ToWolHoi, and Park Young-Hi, Lee Sang-Hwa, An Seok-Ju, former members of the BaeckJo. After its founding, the PASKYULA artists had been searching for the social function of art to reform the harsh reality of Minjung and the nation with criticism toward society as well as art world. Their art theory for MinJung could grow relatively ease in relation to changing social and political conditions in the early 1920s. In August, 1925, PASKYULA organized the Korea Artista Proletaria Federatio with the YeomGunSa, and laid the groundwork for Proletariat art movement which was regularized in the late 1920s. From PASKYULA up to the early state of KAPF, the theory of art advocated by Kim Bok-Jin and An Seok-Ju could be summarized as "art for MinJung". At that time, widely ranging discourses on MinJung, however, was spawned in art theory, because many intellectuals-including artists and writers-begun to pay more attention to MinJung, who emerged as one of the social forces after the Samil Independent Movement. Sometimes, MinJung was construed as the target of enlightenment from a negative viewpoint. On the other hand, several intellectuals under the influence of individualism asserted that the discussion itself on MinJung exerted an evil influence on art. In contrast of these cases, the PASKYULA artists including Kim Bok-Jin, An Seok-Ju perceived that MinJung had the potential to change society, and regarded them as "a creator of genuine civilization and art". In the PASKYULA artist's writings, the concept of MinJung was often overlapped with the meaning of the Choson nation suffering under colony. Although their concept of MinJung was transformed gradually into the proletariat as they were under the strong influence of socialism, it did not change that they grasped the realities of the whole Choson Peninsula through the proletarian consciousness. In the early state of PASKYULA, the methodology for social function of art was presented in a twofold manner. First of all, Kim Bok-Jin emphasized on the necessity of education to improve MinJung's way of life through art, and it was embodied by the organization of ToWol Art Workshop and public lecture. Also, he championed "the popularization of art", which was one of methods to distribute art to MinJung. According to the PASKYULA artists, art should be not art for art' sake but art for MinJung. That was why they advocated the convergence of art and MinJung's life. Especially Kim Bok-Jin affirmed a link between art and industry because he considered industry the field inextricably linked with MinJung's life. In this context, his idea could be read as the generalization and equalization within the framework of possession. Kim Bok-Jin thought that the social ramifications of capitalism deprived MinJung of their right to enjoy art, and emphasized the artist' social role to return the right to them. That is, the even distribution of art was mainly discussed than the contents of art in the half of 1920s. By 1925, the contents of art itself became an issue in the PASKYULA art theory, and it was based in realism. Kim Bok-Jin and An Seok-Ju insisted that art should be reflection of real life. At that time, realism acquired the representation of MinJung and the nation's realities not realistic style. In fact, the various Western art styles including Futurism, Constructivism, Cubism etc. were exploited in the PASKYULA's visual images. Western art, target of criticism on theory, was selectively adopted in the works which were produced by Kim Bok-Jin and An Seok-Ju. Kim Bok-Jin's MoonYeUnDong cover design was conceived of as the example in which Western art was adopted with it's ideology under the influence of MAVO, while Western art shown in An Seok-Ju's illustrations served as a decorative function in many cases. Especially, An Seok-Ju attempted the various styles of Western art simultaneously, which may be seen as representing that PASKYULA did not have a firm ideology for their style. Also, it can be read as showing his hasty zeal to overcome Western art rapidly. The wish to establish "art for MinJung" as soon as possible was accompanied with the will to jump over the all steps of Western art though it was superficial. This aspiration of PASKYULA was expressed through the mass media, which had the potential for communicating to MinJung. At this point, there was a significant disparity between PASKYULA and another art groups in the first half of 1920s. However, the PASKYULA's method on the basis of the mass media could not but have a certain limitation because of the medium's properties. Nevertheless, PASKYULA' attempts may be considered to be valuable in sense that they expended the boundaries of Korean modern art into the commercial art questioning the matter of the distribution for art.

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Christine M. Korsgaard의 구성주의와 도덕적 실재론 (Christine M. Korsgaard's Constructivism and Moral Realism)

  • 노영란
    • 철학연구
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    • 제129권
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    • pp.23-51
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    • 2014
  • 동시대의 대표적인 칸트주의자인 코스가드는 구성주의가 도덕적 실재론에 의존하지 않으면서 규범성을 정당화하고 도덕적 회의주의에 대응할 수 있게 해준다고 믿는다. 본 연구에서는 코스가드의 칸트적 구성주의를 검토하면서 도덕적 실재론에 대한 그녀의 입장을 비판적으로 고찰한다. 이를 위해 먼저 코스가드가 도덕적 실재론의 어떤 점을 비판하는지 그리고 어떤 이유로 구성주의적 접근을 취하는지 살펴본다. 코스가드는 도덕적 실재론이 도덕적 개념의 기능을 실재의 묘사로 이해하고 행위에 대해 적용된 지식모델(the model of applied knowledge)을 취함으로써 규범성의 물음에 답을 주지 못한다고 비판한다. 반면에 그녀는 구성주의가 도덕적 개념의 기능을 문제에 대한 해결을 표시하는 것으로 보고 도덕적 요구가 행위의 실천적 문제에 필연적으로 관련된다는 것을 보임으로써 규범적 물음을 해결한다고 주장한다. 도덕적 실재론에 대한 비판과 함께 채택된 코스가드의 구성주의에는 반실재론적 요소들이 관련되어 있다. 순수한 절차주의를 추구하는 급진적 구성주의, 존재론적, 형이상학적 요소를 배제하는 구성적 모델(the constitutive model), 그리고 가치의 원천으로서의 인간과 상호주관주의에 근거한 가치의 객관성 설명 등은 그녀의 반실재론적 입장을 잘 드러내준다. 그러나 이러한 반실재론적 요소들에도 불구하고 코스가드의 구성주의를 간단히 반실재론으로 단정하기는 어렵다. 먼저 초기 저서인 "규범성의 원천"에서 코스가드는 자신의 칸트적 구성주의를 실재론의한 유형-구체적으로 절차적 도덕 실재론-으로 설명한다. 또한 이후의 저서들에서 실재론과 구성주의를 직접 대조하여 논의할 때 코스가드는 구성주의의 실천적 의미에 주목하고 존재론적 관련성을 배제함에도 불구하고 여전히 구성주의와 실재론이 양립가능하다고 주장한다. 이러한 점들은 코스가드가 전형적인 도덕 실재론을 거부하지만 자신이 추구하는 구성주의적 규범윤리이론이 반실재론으로 귀결되길 원치 않는다는 것을 보여준다. 그러나 코스가드가 이해하는 실재론은 실재론으로 수용되기에는 너무 느슨하고 너무 사소하다. 또한 코스가드가 주장하는 것처럼 구성주의적 접근을 취하면서 실재론을 유지한다면 굳이 구성주의적 접근을 취할 이유가 무엇인지 의문을 가질 수 있다. 이러한 점들에 대해 명확한 설명을 줄 수 있을 때 코스가드의 실재론적 관여는 설득력을 가질 수 있을 것이다.

건설분쟁 중재제도의 차별화 및 개선방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Differentiation and Improvement in Arbitration Systems in Construction Disputes)

  • 이선재
    • 한국중재학회지:중재연구
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.239-282
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    • 2019
  • The importance of ADR(Alternative Dispute Resolution), which has the advantage of expertise, speed and neutrality due to the increase of arbitration cases due to domestic and foreign construction disputes, has emerged. Therefore, in order for the nation's arbitration system and the arbitration Organization to jump into the ranks of advanced international mediators, it is necessary to research the characteristics and advantages of these arbitration Organization through a study of prior domestic and foreign research and operation of international arbitration Organization. As a problem, First, education for the efficient promotion of arbitrators (compulsory education, maintenance education, specialized education, seminars, etc.). second, The effectiveness of arbitration in resolving construction disputes (hearing methods, composition of the tribunal, and speed). third, The issue of flexibility and diversity of arbitration solutions (the real problem of methodologies such as mediation and arbitration) needs to be drawn on the Arbitration laws and practical problems, such as laws, rules and guidelines. Therefore, Identify the problems presented in the preceding literature and diagnosis of the defects and problems of the KCAB by drawing features and benefits from the arbitration system operated by the international arbitration Institution. As an improvement, the results of an empirical analysis are derived for "arbitrator" simultaneously through a recognition survey. As a method of improvement, First, as an optimal combination of arbitration hearing and judgment in the settlement of construction disputes,(to improve speed). (1) A plan to improve the composition of the audit department according to the complexity, specificity, and magnification of the arbitration cases - (1)Methods to cope with the increased role of the non-lawyer(Specialist, technical expert). (2)Securing technical mediators for each specialized expert according to the large and special corporation arbitration cases. (2) Improving the method of writing by area of the arbitration guidelines, second, Introduction of the intensive hearing system for psychological efficiency and the institutional improvement plan (1) Problems of optimizing the arbitration decision hearing procedure and resolution of arbitration, and (2) Problems of the management of technical arbitrators of arbitration tribunals. (1)A plan to expand hearing work of technical arbitrator(Review on the introduction of the Assistant System as a member of the arbitration tribunals). (2)Improved use of alternative appraisers by tribunals(cost analysis and utilization of the specialized institution for calculating construction costs), Direct management of technical arbitrators : A Study on the Improvement of the Assessment Reliability of the Appraisal and the Appraisal Period. third, Improvement of expert committee system and new method, (1) Creating a non-executive technical committee : Special technology affairs, etc.(Major, supports pre-qualification of special events and coordinating work between parties). (2) Expanding the standing committee.(Added expert technicians : important, special, large affairs / pre-consultations, pre-coordination and mediation-arbitration). This has been shown to be an improvement. In addition, institutional differentiation to enhance the flexibility and diversity of arbitration. In addition, as an institutional differentiation to enhance the flexibility and diversity of arbitration, First, The options for "Med-Arb", "Arb-Med" and "Arb-Med-Arb" are selected. second, By revising the Agreement Act [Article 28, 2 (Agreement on Dispute Resolution)], which is to be amended by the National Parties, the revision of the arbitration settlement clause under the Act, to expand the method to resolve arbitration. third, 2017.6.28. Measures to strengthen the status role and activities of expert technical arbitrators under enforcement, such as the Act on Promotion of Interestments Industry and the Information of Enforcement Decree. Fourth, a measure to increase the role of expert technical Arbitrators by enacting laws on the promotion of the arbitration industry is needed. Especially, the establishment of the Act on Promotion of Intermediation Industry should be established as an international arbitration agency for the arbitration system. Therefore, it proposes a study of improvement and differentiation measures in the details and a policy, legal and institutional improvement and legislation.

대순진리회의 '세계종교' 가능성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Possibility of 'World Religion' in Daesoon Jinrihoe)

  • 권동우
    • 대순사상논총
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    • 제35집
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    • pp.73-107
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    • 2020
  • 대순진리회는 교단 내부 구성원들에 있어서나 학계에 있어서나 '민족종교'로 인식되고 있다. 그런데 이 민족종교의 성격이 꽤 복잡하다. 곧 민족종교로서 민족주의를 중심으로 한민족의 선민사상을 강조하면서도, 한편으로는 인류와 세계를 구제하겠다는 세계종교의 보편성도 내포하고 있다고 주장한다. 이를 민족종교의 특수성과 세계종교의 보편성이라고 말하고 있다. 그런데 이러한 특수성과 보편성의 논리는 단지 대순진리회에만 국한된 특징이 아니다. 이미 세계적으로 많은 종교들이 민족종교와 세계종교의 두 가지 측면을 동시에 가진다고 하는 이중성을 보여 왔다. 그 가운데 본고에서 주목한 것은 근대 일본에서 형성된 교파신도다. 근대 일본 정부가 국가신도체제를 구축하는 과정에서 탄생한 교파신도는 총 13개 종파가 형성되는데, 이들의 대부분은 일본인의 민족적 전통을 계승하는 민족종교라고 하면서도, 청일전쟁과 러일전쟁을 기점으로 본격적으로 세계종교를 표방하면서 해외포교에 나선다. 그렇다면 이처럼 민족종교의 정체성을 유지하면서 세계종교를 지향했던 교파신도의 해외포교는 어떻게 귀착되었고, 이들의 세계종교화는 현재 어떻게 진행되고 있을까? 본고에서는 이처럼 민족종교와 세계종교의 이중성을 보여 왔던 교파신도의 사례를 통해 대순진리회의 세계종교의 가능성을 살펴보고, 이를 위해 대순진리회가 지향해야 하는 길에 대해 약간의 제언을 하고자 한다. 이를 위해 한국사회에서 오랫동안 논의되어 왔던 '민족종교'론 또는 '민중종교'론의 역사적 흐름에 대해 살펴볼 것이며, 한국에서 민족종교이면서 세계종교를 지향하고 있는 원불교의 사례도 점검하는 것으로 민족종교와 세계종교의 경계에 서 있는 대순진리회의 새로운 지향점에 대해 검토해 보고자 한다.

유소년의 골연령에 따른 체력 표준지표 개발 (Development of Physical Fitness Standard Indicators According to the Bone Age in Youth)

  • 김대훈;윤형기;오세이;이영준;조석연;송대식;서동녘;김주원;나규민;김민준;오경아
    • 한국응용과학기술학회지
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    • 제38권6호
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    • pp.1627-1642
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 유소년의 골연령에 따른 체력을 평가하는 데 있으며, 골연령에 따른 체력 표준지표를 통해 유소년들의 균형적인 발달을 위한 기초자료를 제공하는 데 있다. 연구 대상은 골연령 11세~13세 및 역연령 11세~13세에 해당하는 730명을 대상으로 하였으며 골연령 산출을 위해 X-ray 필름을 촬영한 후 TW3 방법으로 평가하였다. 체격은 신장, 체중을 신장계(Hanebio, Korea, 2021), Inbody 270(Biospace, Korea, 2019)를 사용하여 총 2개의 체격 요소를 측정하였으며, 체력은 근력(악력), 평형성(외발서기), 민첩성(플랫테핑), 순발력(제자리멀리뛰기), 유연성(좌전굴), 근지구력(윗몸일으키기), 심폐지구력(셔틀런)으로 총 7개 체력 요소의 종목을 측정하였다. 자료처리 방법은 SPSS PC/Program(Version 26.0)을 이용하여 기술통계, 독립표본 t-test 검정을 실시하였으며, p< .05수준에서 유의한 것으로 간주하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 11세~13세 골연령과 역연령을 비교한 결과, 체력에서 남자는 근력, 순발력, 근지구력, 심폐지구력에서 유의한 차이가 나타났다. 여자는 근력, 평형성, 민첩성, 순발력, 유연성, 근지구력, 심폐지구력에서 유의한 차이가 나타났다. 둘째, 골연령에 따른 유소년의 성별과 연령(11~13세)별로 체력평가의 기초 자료인 골연령 체력 표준지표를 개발하였다.

유라시아 철도의 다중경로 구축에 관한 연구 (The Study of Establishing the Multi-pass Eurasian Railroads)

  • 한범희;허남균;허희영
    • 산학경영연구
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.137-170
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 국제물류시장에서 동북아 각국의 협력과 경쟁을 유발하는 유라시아철도의 경로구축에 대한 물류전략을 제시하고 있다. 21세기 세계경제의 화두(話頭)는 자유무역협정, 에너지자원개발, 지구온난화 등이다. 이미 유럽은 경제통합의 최고수준인 초국가적 기구를 설치하여 완전경제통합을 이루어 역내 생산 및 물류 방면에 경쟁우위를 확보하였으며, 캐나다, 미국, 멕시코 등도 1994년 1월에 북미자유무역협정(NAFTA)을 체결하여 역내 관세철폐를 통한 역외국가에 대해 비교우위를 점하고 있다. 한편, 유라시아 대륙의 동쪽지역에 해당하는 중국, 일본, 러시아, 한국 등 동북아시아 지역은 정치 경제적인 세계적 위상에 비추어 볼 때, 대립과 갈등이 거듭되는 낙후된 모습으로 교류와 소통에 비효율과 고비용 구조를 면하지 못하고 있다. 아프리카, 남아메리카, 중앙아시아, 몽골, 코카서스 지역 등에는 미국, 영국, 중국, 일본 등이 미래 에너지자원 확보를 위해 자원개발패키지프로그램을 실행하고 있으며, 지역에 따라서는 석유, 가스, 광물자원의 수송 대책에 상당한 어려움을 겪고있다. 2005년 2월 16일 일본 교토에서 기후변화에 관한 국제연합규약의 교토의정서를 채택한 이후 해당 국가들은 온실가스를 줄이기 위한 대체에너지개발 및 운송수단의 기술 개발에 박차를 가하고 있다. 현재, 유럽과 아시아간의 이동화물의 대부분은 해상경로를 통하여 운송되고 화물의 특성상 미량의 항공운송이 있으며, 기원전부터 동서양의 이동통로였던 실크로드는 흔적만 남아 있을 뿐이다. 유라시아 북부지역을 관통하는 시베리아횡단철도는 서비스상의 애로(隘路)가 많아 아직까지는 러시아만의 유통경로로 대부분 사용되고 있다. 1992년 완성된 중국횡단철도는 국제적 유통경로로서의 제 역할을 수행하지 못하고 있다. 이중육지폐쇄국가 (double landlocked country)인 우즈베키스탄을 비롯한 중앙아시아, 몽골, 아제르바이잔 등 해상과 인접하지 못한 국가들은 보유하고 있는 자원개발을 통하여 경제적 도약을 계획하고 있지만, 자원개발의 특성과 빈약한 물류인프라로 인하여 상당한 기간이 소요될 것으로 고려된다. 다만, 인접국가인 중국의 경우는 투르크메니스탄에서 우즈베키스탄과 카자흐스탄을 통한 가스파이프라인을 연결하여 중국서부지역의 수요를 충당할 계획으로 건설 중에 있다. 특히, 2001년에 정식으로 출범한 상하이협력기구(Shanghai Cooperation Organization:이하 SCO)는 중국과 러시아를 필두로 타지키스탄, 키르기스스탄, 카자흐스탄, 우즈베키스탄 등 정회원국 6개국과 옵서버 국가인 몽골, 인도, 파키스탄, 아프가니스탄, 이란 등 5개국으로 구성되어 있다. 처음에는 테러방지를 위한 군사적 동맹으로 시작했지만, 지금은 교통, 운송, 교역, 에너지협력까지 확대해 나가고 있다. 미국과 NATO의 옵서버 신청까지 거절하였으니 그 숨겨진 뜻을 이해할 필요가 있을 것이다. 러시아는 동서가 유라시아 대륙의 북부지역 전역을 차지하는 광활한 지역을 균형 발전시켜야한다는 국정과제를 수행하기 위하여 시베리아횡단철도(Trans Siberia Railway:이하 TSR)의 활성화와 극동 시베리아 지역의 경제발전에 전력을 다하고 있다. 또한 일본과 한국에 상당한 기대를 가지고, TSR과 TKR(한반도종단열차)을 연결시키기 위하여 적극적인 노력을 한 결과, 나진-하산 간 철도 개보수에 러시아, 북한, 남한 3개국이 참여하기로 잠정 합의되었다. 이 지역은 국제연합개발계획(UNDP)에서 추진하고 있는 두만강개발계획(Greater Tumen Initiative:이하 GTI)과 중첩되는 곳으로, 이 계획은 한국, 몽골, 중국, 러시아, 북한 등 5개국의 공동 프로젝트이며, 그 내용은 에너지, 관광, 환경, 몽골과 중국 간 철도연결 타당성 검토, 동북아 페리루트 개설 등이 추진되고 있다. 중국의 동북3성 재개발 계획을 성공적으로 실행하기 위해서는 국내외 자본의 많은 투자 유치가 필수적인데, 그 전제 조건이 중국동부 연안의 개발에서 이미 보았듯이 막힘 없는 물류인프라의 존재 여부이다. 일본은 몽골지역에 대규모 무상 인프라건설 지원을 해주면서, 몽골과 러시아 자루비노를 연결하는 '동방대통로'를 구상하고 있지만, 러시아, 중국의 태도를 주시해야하는 입장이다. 만약에, 북한의 비핵화 방지 프로그램이 파행을 거듭하지 않는다면, 미국도 어떠한 방식으로든 참여하게 되어, 한반도종단철도와 시베리아횡단철도, 한반도종단철도와 중국횡단철도의 연결은 아시아태평양경제사회위원회(UN ESCAP)의 추진 프로그램과 더불어 가속도를 붙게 할 것이다. 이것이 실행되면, 지금까지 미온적인 일본과 한국 간 해저터널 문제도 적극적으로 검토될 것이다. 결국 한반도는 주변국이 원하든 원하지 아니하든, 지경학적으로 그리고 지정학적으로 동북아시아의 중심적 위치를 차지할 수밖에 없을 것이며, 과거, 현재, 미래에 동북아시아 각 국가의 경쟁과 협력의 중심적 역할을 할 수 있는 한반도의 기회는 계속될 것이다.

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한국전쟁의 교훈과 대비 -병력수(兵力數) 및 부대수(部隊數)를 중심으로- (The lesson From Korean War)

  • 윤일영
    • 안보군사학연구
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    • 통권8호
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    • pp.49-168
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    • 2010
  • Just before the Korean War, the total number of the North Korean troops was 198,380, while that of the ROK(Republic of Korea) army troops 105,752. That is, the total number of the ROK army troops at that time was 53.3% of the total number of the North Korean army. As of December 2008, the total number of the North Korean troops is estimated to be 1,190,000, while that of the ROK troops is 655,000, so the ROK army maintains 55.04% of the total number of the North Korean troops. If the ROK army continues to reduce its troops according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the total number of its troops will be 517,000 m 2020. If North Korea maintains the current status(l,190,000 troops), the number of the ROK troops will be 43.4% of the North Korean army. In terms of units, just before the Korean War, the number of the ROK army divisions and regiments was 80% and 44.8% of North Korean army. As of December 2008, North Korea maintains 86 divisions and 69 regiments. Compared to the North Korean army, the ROK army maintains 46 Divisions (53.4% of North Korean army) and 15 regiments (21.3% of North Korean army). If the ROK army continue to reduce the military units according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of ROK army divisions will be 28(13 Active Division, 4 Mobilization Divisions and 11 Local Reserve Divisions), while that of the North Korean army will be 86 in 2020. In that case, the number of divisions of the ROK army will be 32.5% of North Korean army. During the Korean war, North Korea suddenly invaded the Republic of Korea and occupied its capital 3 days after the war began. At that time, the ROK army maintained 80% of army divisions, compared to the North Korean army. The lesson to be learned from this is that, if the ROK army is forced to disperse its divisions because of the simultaneous invasion of North Korea and attack of guerrillas in home front areas, the Republic of Korea can be in a serious military danger, even though it maintains 80% of military divisions of North Korea. If the ROK army promotes the plans in [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of military units of the ROK army will be 32.5% of that of the North Korean army. This ratio is 2.4 times lower than that of the time when the Korean war began, and in this case, 90% of total military power should be placed in the DMZ area. If 90% of military power is placed in the DMZ area, few troops will be left for the defense of home front. In addition, if the ROK army continues to reduce the troops, it can allow North Korea to have asymmetrical superiority in military force and it will eventually exert negative influence on the stability and peace of the Korean peninsular. On the other hand, it should be reminded that, during the Korean War, the Republic of Korea was attacked by North Korea, though it kept 53.3% of troops, compared to North Korea. It should also be reminded that, as of 2008, the ROK army is defending its territory with the troops 55.04% of North Korea. Moreover, the national defense is assisted by 25,120 troops of the US Forces in Korea. In case the total number of the ROK troops falls below 43.4% of the North Korean army, it may cause social unrest about the national security and may lead North Korea's misjudgement. Besides, according to Lanchester strategy, the party with weaker military power (60% compared to the party with stronger military power) has the 4.1% of winning possibility. Therefore, if we consider the fact that the total number of the ROK army troops is 55.04% of that of the North Korean army, the winning possibility of the ROK army is not higher than 4.1%. If the total number of ROK troops is reduced to 43.4% of that of North Korea, the winning possibility will be lower and the military operations will be in critically difficult situation. [Military Reform Plan 2020] rums at the reduction of troops and units of the ground forces under the policy of 'select few'. However, the problem is that the financial support to achieve this goal is not secured. Therefore, the promotion of [Military Reform Plan 2020] may cause the weakening of military defence power in 2020. Some advanced countries such as Japan, UK, Germany, and France have promoted the policy of 'select few'. However, what is to be noted is that the national security situation of those countries is much different from that of Korea. With the collapse of the Soviet Unions and European communist countries, the military threat of those European advanced countries has almost disappeared. In addition, the threats those advanced countries are facing are not wars in national level, but terrorism in international level. To cope with the threats like terrorism, large scaled army trops would not be necessary. So those advanced European countries can promote the policy of 'select few'. In line with this, those European countries put their focuses on the development of military sections that deal with non-military operations and protection from unspecified enemies. That is, those countries are promoting the policy of 'select few', because they found that the policy is suitable for their national security environment. Moreover, since they are pursuing common interest under the European Union(EU) and they can form an allied force under NATO, it is natural that they are pursing the 'select few' policy. At present, NATO maintains the larger number of troops(2,446,000) than Russia(l,027,000) to prepare for the potential threat of Russia. The situation of japan is also much different from that of Korea. As a country composed of islands, its prime military focus is put on the maritime defense. Accordingly, the development of ground force is given secondary focus. The japanese government promotes the policy to develop technology-concentrated small size navy and air-forces, instead of maintaining large-scaled ground force. In addition, because of the 'Peace Constitution' that was enacted just after the end of World War II, japan cannot maintain troops more than 240,000. With the limited number of troops (240,000), japan has no choice but to promote the policy of 'select few'. However, the situation of Korea is much different from the situations of those countries. The Republic of Korea is facing the threat of the North Korean Army that aims at keeping a large-scale military force. In addition, the countries surrounding Korea are also super powers containing strong military forces. Therefore, to cope with the actual threat of present and unspecified threat of future, the importance of maintaining a carefully calculated large-scale military force cannot be denied. Furthermore, when considering the fact that Korea is in a peninsular, the Republic of Korea must take it into consideration the tradition of continental countries' to maintain large-scale military powers. Since the Korean War, the ROK army has developed the technology-force combined military system, maintaining proper number of troops and units and pursuing 'select few' policy at the same time. This has been promoted with the consideration of military situation in the Koran peninsular and the cooperation of ROK-US combined forces. This kind of unique military system that cannot be found in other countries can be said to be an insightful one for the preparation for the actual threat of North Korea and the conflicts between continental countries and maritime countries. In addition, this kind of technology-force combined military system has enabled us to keep peace in Korea. Therefore, it would be desirable to maintain this technology-force combined military system until the reunification of the Korean peninsular. Furthermore, it is to be pointed out that blindly following the 'select few' policy of advanced countries is not a good option, because it is ignoring the military strategic situation of the Korean peninsular. If the Republic of Korea pursues the reduction of troops and units radically without consideration of the threat of North Korea and surrounding countries, it could be a significant strategic mistake. In addition, the ROK army should keep an eye on the fact the European advanced countries and Japan that are not facing direct military threats are spending more defense expenditures than Korea. If the ROK army reduces military power without proper alternatives, it would exert a negative effect on the stable economic development of Korea and peaceful reunification of the Korean peninsular. Therefore, the desirable option would be to focus on the development of quality of forces, maintaining proper size and number of troops and units under the technology-force combined military system. The tableau above shows that the advanced countries like the UK, Germany, Italy, and Austria spend more defense expenditure per person than the Republic of Korea, although they do not face actual military threats, and that they keep achieving better economic progress than the countries that spend less defense expenditure. Therefore, it would be necessary to adopt the merits of the defense systems of those advanced countries. As we have examined, it would be desirable to maintain the current size and number of troops and units, to promote 'select few' policy with increased defense expenditure, and to strengthen the technology-force combined military system. On the basis of firm national security, the Republic of Korea can develop efficient policies for reunification and prosperity, and jump into the status of advanced countries. Therefore, the plans to reduce troops and units in [Military Reform Plan 2020] should be reexamined. If it is difficult for the ROK army to maintain its size of 655,000 troops because of low birth rate, the plans to establish the prompt mobilization force or to adopt drafting system should be considered for the maintenance of proper number of troops and units. From now on, the Republic of Korean government should develop plans to keep peace as well as to prepare unexpected changes in the Korean peninsular. For the achievement of these missions, some options can be considered. The first one is to maintain the same size of military troops and units as North Korea. The second one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea in terms of military force index. The third one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea, with the combination of the prompt mobilization force and the troops in active service under the system of technology-force combined military system. At present, it would be not possible for the ROK army to maintain such a large-size military force as North Korea (1,190,000 troops and 86 units). So it would be rational to maintain almost the same level of military force as North Korea with the combination of the troops on the active list and the prompt mobilization forces. In other words, with the combination of the troops in active service (60%) and the prompt mobilization force (40%), the ROK army should develop the strategies to harmonize technology and forces. The Korean government should also be prepared for the strategic flexibility of USFK, the possibility of American policy change about the location of foreign army, radical unexpected changes in North Korea, the emergence of potential threat, surrounding countries' demand for Korean force for the maintenance of regional stability, and demand for international cooperation against terrorism. For this, it is necessary to develop new approaches toward the proper number and size of troops and units. For instance, to prepare for radical unexpected political or military changes in North Korea, the Republic of Korea should have plans to protect a large number of refugees, to control arms and people, to maintain social security, and to keep orders in North Korea. From the experiences of other countries, it is estimated that 115,000 to 230,000 troops, plus ten thousands of police are required to stabilize the North Korean society, in the case radical unexpected military or political change happens in North Korea. In addition, if the Republic of Korea should perform the release of hostages, control of mass destruction weapons, and suppress the internal wars in North Korea, it should send 460,000 troops to North Korea. Moreover, if the Republic of Korea wants to stop the attack of North Korea and flow of refugees in DMZ area, at least 600,000 troops would be required. In sum, even if the ROK army maintains 600,000 troops, it may need additional 460,000 troops to prepare for unexpected radical changes in North Korea. For this, it is necessary to establish the prompt mobilization force whose size and number are almost the same as the troops in active service. In case the ROK army keeps 650,000 troops, the proper number of the prompt mobilization force would be 460,000 to 500,000.

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