• 제목/요약/키워드: Intermediate goods trade

검색결과 40건 처리시간 0.019초

Similarity Analysis of Exports Value Added by Country and Implication for Korea's Global Value Added Chains

  • Cho, Jung-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Trade
    • /
    • 제23권4호
    • /
    • pp.103-114
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose - This paper investigates the structure of exports across countries in terms of value added. Exports value added is examined under two categories, domestic and overseas. Using a statistical classification method by distance based on these two value added categories, this paper estimates the similarity of exports value added across countries including Korea. Design/methodology - The model of study is to employ a generalized distance function and then derive the Manhattan and Euclidean distances. The paper also performs cluster analysis using the Partitioning Around Medoids (PAM) and hierarchical methods to classify the 44 sample countries considered in this study. Findings - Our main findings are as follows. The 44 countries can be classified under 5 groups by their domestic and overseas value added in exports. Korea has a sandwich global value chains (GVCs) position between Japan, China, and Taiwan in the East Asian region. Originality/value - Existing papers point out the double counting problem of trade statistics as the intermediate goods trade across borders increases. This paper addresses the double counting problem by using the World Input-Output Table. The paper shows the need to explore the similarity of value added in exports structure across countries and investigate the GVCs position and role of each country.

중국 제조업에서 GVC 참여 정도와 위치가 생산성에 미친 영향 실증 분석 (Relationship between the GVC participation and the productivity in the Chinese Manufacturing Industries)

  • 왕정복;오근엽
    • 무역학회지
    • /
    • 제46권3호
    • /
    • pp.45-63
    • /
    • 2021
  • This paper investigates the effects of China's participation in global value chains (GVC) on the productivities focusing on the manufacturing industries. In this study, several indicators of participation in global value chains were used. These include GVC participation, forward GVC participation, backward GVC participation and GVC position index. In particular, we used the data obtained from 18 manufacturing industries in China during 15 years from 2000 to 2014. The main results of the analysis are as follows. First, the higher the degree of total participation in GVC, the higher the productivity. This means that with the increase in exports and imports of intermediate goods, productivity has increased through technology spillover effects or competition effects, and so on. Second, the backward participation does not increase the productivities significantly while forward participation leads higher productivity. Third, the productivity improvement effects of GVC participation was larger in the high-tech industries than in the low-tech industries. These results show that GVC participation was helpful for the economic growth of China and the efforts for moving toward upstream production stage in GVC is necessary for the improvement of international competitiveness in Chinese manufacturing industry.

A Study on the Substantial impact of US high rate tariff policy on the Korean companies -Based on analysis of Article 301 of the US Trade Law -

  • Nam, Seon Mo
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
    • /
    • 제7권4호
    • /
    • pp.63-68
    • /
    • 2019
  • Recently, the United States and China have declared a 25% retaliatory tariff for the partner country products of 50 billion dollar scale. "Trade war" is getting full swing. Such conflicts between economic powers may spread to Japan like the domino phenomenon following the EU (European Union) and become bigger in the global trade war. As a result, Korea has an economic system with a high degree of external dependence, and there is an expert's analysis that it will become the largest victim of the global trade war. If the WTO Dispute Settlement Authority approves this US 301 retaliation measure in the same way as the past case (US-EU hormone-treated beef imports), the United States will not import any Chinese imported products Chinese products) can be imposed. If the US launches a special 301 or super 301, which is stronger than the regular 301, then China is very likely to enforce US retaliation against it, and the trade war between the two countries could become a reality. This phenomenon is likely to have a negative impact on Korean companies. In particular, Korea, which is highly reliant on intermediate goods exports to China, is expected to suffer a great deal of damage. Therefore, Korea needs flexible response at home and abroad, it is necessary to enhance the autonomy of companies and protect export industries. Adjusting corporate tax rate as well as domestic industry height will be one way. The long-term (21 months) trade war between the United States and China has resulted in economic uncertainty. The resulting damage must be compensated. It is necessary to prepare the compensation through the economic council between countries. In the future, the punitive damage compensation system should be introduced.

투입·산출 구조분해를 통한 해운항만산업 성장구조분석 (Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis on the Growth Structure of Korean Maritime and Port Industry)

  • 김상춘
    • 무역학회지
    • /
    • 제46권1호
    • /
    • pp.83-111
    • /
    • 2021
  • This paper conducts a Structural Dcomposition Analysis on the structure of factors contributing to the output growth of Korean Maritime and Port Industry during year 2000~ year 2017. Some of results are as follows. The output growth rates of the industry (yearly average 4.3%) was far lower than the average growth rates of Service as well as of Manufacturing Industries (yearly average 9% and 6.8%, respectively) due to the lower output growth of Maritime Industry. Among the growth contributing factors, change in domestic demand for final goods is the first contributing factor, and then change in technology, change in export and import substitution for intermediate goods are followed in order, but import substitution for final goods decreased its output. However, in each respective sub-periods of pre-global financial crisis and post-global financial crisis, change in the export, especially change in the export of Maritime Industry is the dominant determinant of output change in the Maritime and Port Industry in opposite ways. In the periods of the former the increase in the export of Maritime Industry overwhelmingly led the output growth of the Maritime and Port industry, but in the periods of the latter the decrease in its export was the culprit of lower output growth of the industry. On the other hand, among all industries of service and manufacturing sectors, Wholesale and Retail industry is the leading industry in contributing to the output growth of the Maritime and Port Industry, and Transportation Equipment industry is the leading industry among all manufacturing industries.

코로나19와 한국의 글로벌가치사슬(GVC) 변화 (COVID-19 and Changes in Global Value Chains of Korea)

  • 구양미
    • 한국경제지리학회지
    • /
    • 제23권3호
    • /
    • pp.209-228
    • /
    • 2020
  • 본 연구의 목적은 코로나19의 확산에 따른 한국의 무역 및 산업의 변화를 글로벌가치사슬 관점에서 분석하고 시사점을 제시하는 것이다. 이를 위해 코로나19와 직접적으로 관련 있는 방역용품과 GVC 참여도가 높은 IT산업을 분석하였다. 방역용품은 코로나19의 확산에 따라 수출입 변동 폭이 컸다. 마스크의 경우 최종재는 수출입이 급격히 변화했지만 중간재의 변화는 상대적으로 크지 않았다. 한국의 IT산업은 GVC에서 전방참여도가 높아지고 후방참여도가 낮아지는 전반적인 변화 속에서 주요 무역대상국별로 차별화된 특성을 보였다. 아직까지 코로나19로 인한 변화가 직접적으로 나타나지는 않았지만, 중국, 베트남과의 생산 연계와 무역 의존도가 높은 상황에서 다변화 전략의 필요성이 높아졌다. 코로나19는 여전히 진행 중으로 포스트 코로나 시대의 GVC 변화에 대응하기 위한 기업의 전략과 정책적 노력이 필요하다.

FTA 교차누적조항의 해석에 관한 연구: 한국 수출기업들의 이행방안을 중심으로 (A Study on Interpretation of Cross-cumulation Clauses in FTAs: Focusing on Implications for Korean Exporting Firms)

  • 노재연;이주형;박정준
    • 무역학회지
    • /
    • 제45권5호
    • /
    • pp.181-200
    • /
    • 2020
  • The Korea-Canada FTA and the EVTA have adopted cross-cumulation clauses in their rules of origin, aiming at the enhancement of the value chains among the FTA parties. In fact, intricate rules of origin are often considered as the major cause that discourages the utilization of the agreement for the exporting firms. From this perspective, the correct understanding of cross-cumulation clauses in FTAs is an urgent mission for the Korean exporters as well, and the EVTA, which has recently introduced the cross-cumulation method in a linkage with the Korea-EU FTA provides the timely motivation. This paper first analyzes the Korea-Canada FTA of 2015 as for the case study, because this is a unique trade agreement for Korea that has already adopted the cross-cumulation clauses. It is concluded that the clause is rather vague, particularly in certifying the origins of the intermediate goods from the territory of an authorized third party. From this perspective, the recently-ratified EVTA is particularly important and meaningful with its clearer explanations for the utilization of the privileged rules of origin. The paper finalizes the study by making policy suggestions to the stakeholders, expecting more future FTAs to come equipped with similar cumulative rules of origin, and implies the possibility of the modification of the current clauses in the FTA with Canada.

북한의 광물 수출과 품목별 수입: 대중무역을 중심으로 (The Effects of North Korea's Mineral Export on Various Imports)

  • 김다울;김민정;김병연
    • 경제분석
    • /
    • 제26권2호
    • /
    • pp.72-113
    • /
    • 2020
  • 이 연구는 1995년 1분기부터 2019년 3분기까지의 북·중무역 자료를 사용하여 북한의 가장 중요한 외화획득 원천이었던 광물 수출과 품목별 수입 간의 관계를 공적분, 벡터자기회귀모형, 그리고 충격반응함수를 통하여 분석하였다. 연구 결과에 따르면 광물 수출은 수입품 중 식품, 연료, 자본재류 중간재와 공적분 관계를 가지는 것으로 추정되었다. 한편, 벡터자기회귀 분석 결과 광물 수출에 구조변화가 있었던 2010년 3분기 전후로 광물 수출과 품목별 수입의 단기적인 관계에서 상반된 결과를 발견할 수 있었다. 구조변화 이전에는 수입 충격이 광물 수출에 영향을 준 반면 구조변화 이후에는 광물 수출 충격이 차량, 섬유류 중간재, 기타 중간재, 사치재 수입을 증가시키는 것으로 추정되었다. 본 연구의 추정결과는 2010년 이후 급증한 북한의 광물 수출이 북한의 경제성장에 기여할 가능성과 한계를 동시에 보여준다. 광물 수출이 식품, 연료 등의 필수재와 더불어 자본재류 중간재와 공적분 관계를 가지며, 단기적으로는 자본재 수입과 각종 중간재 수입을 증가시킨다는 점은 광물 수출이 경제성장에 기여할 가능성을 보여준다. 그러나 기계설비자산 등 자본량 축적에 필요한 자본재 수입과의 장기균형관계는 발견되지 않았으며, 단기적 영향도 차량수입 증가에 국한된 것으로 추정되어 광물 수출에 의한 성장효과는 제한적이었을 것으로 평가된다.

한·중 FTA와 기(旣)체결 주요 FTA의 원산지 규정과 절차 비교연구 - 미국·EU·ASEAN FTA 중심으로 - (A Comparative Study on the Rules of Origin and Origin Implementation Procedure in KORCHINA FTA and Main Korea's Existing FTAs - Focused on KORUS·KOREU·KORASEAN FTA -)

  • 임목삼;임성철
    • 무역상무연구
    • /
    • 제69권
    • /
    • pp.589-616
    • /
    • 2016
  • The reviewing of an analysis of the Korea-China FTA due to guidance introduced for the new regulations or exceptional regulations compared to the KORUS, Korea-EU, Korea-ASEAN FTA. Commodity sectors in the Korea-China FTA and the KORUS, Korea-EU, Korea-ASEAN FTA(the majority in the country and trade criteria analysis result) compared and analyzed the results, rules of origin and the customs clearance procedures of origin, preferential tariff rate of origin and the origin preferential specific rules are somewhat difference, but customs and trade facilitation regulations are already quite consistent with the Korea customs system. Relatively important research results were as follows. First, the calculation of the regional value content in KORCHINA FTA is that I'm to use the deduction method can comprehensively reflect a regional value ratio, with respect to the materials acquired originating status as the FTA in the US and EU use the product non it's not to consider the value of the originating materials originating materials can be utilized for intermediate goods. Second, even if a non-treaty country in the middle with the exception of direct transport rules, and acknowledge the country of origin are under customs control, there are provisions for the period are temporarily stored in a non-treaty countries separately, that period goods imported into the non-treaty countries and up to three months from the day. If the situation of the occurrence of force majeure be greater than three months, but has so exceed six months. Third, the materials acquired originating status in the Korea-China FTA not to consider the value of non-originating materials used in its products as the KORUS FTA and Korea-EU FTA, that can be utilized originating materials for intermediate goods. It is expected that higher utilization of rules of origin. Meanwhile, Korea-China FTA has provisions to allow requests for preferential tariff applied on imports Customs declaration of intention to apply pre-condition for a preferential tariff applied to the importer. In other words, if the import customs tariff preference when applying post-intention not to advance is to be noted that any preferential treatment to prevent the later application.

  • PDF

중국 통화정책 변화가 한국에 미치는 영향 (Transmission of Chinese Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence from Korea)

  • 조유정
    • 경제분석
    • /
    • 제27권4호
    • /
    • pp.43-69
    • /
    • 2021
  • 한국은 중국과의 교역 규모가 큰 데다 금융부문의 연계성 또한 점차 강화되고 있어 중국 통화정책 변화가 다양한 경로를 통해 한국 경제에 파급영향을 미치고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 중국 통화정책 운영상의 특징과 최근 운영 현황을 살펴보고, VAR 모형을 이용하여 중국 통화정책 변화가 한국 경제에 미치는 영향과 파급경로에 대해 분석하였다. 중국 통화정책 변화의 파급경로를 대중 수출 및 무역수지 등 한국 교역변수(무역경로)와 이자율, 주가, 물가 등 금융변수(금융경로, 원유가격경로)에 미치는 영향으로 나누어 분석한 결과, 중국 통화정책 완화 충격은 무역경로 중 수직적 무역통합 경로를 통해 한국의 대중 중간재 수출을 증가시킨 것으로 나타났다. 반면 지출전환 경로와 소득수요 경로는 유의하지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 금융경로 및 원유가격경로에서는 글로벌 투자자금 흐름 재조정, 금리차 및 원자재가격 변동 등을 통해 중국 통화정책 완화 충격이 한국 금리 하락과 주가 및 물가 상승을 유발하는 것으로 나타났다.

Different Types of Liberalization and Jobs in South Korean Firms

  • Kim, Hyuk-Hwang;Lee, Hongshik
    • East Asian Economic Review
    • /
    • 제19권1호
    • /
    • pp.71-97
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study examines the effects of several factors indicating economic openness-imported intermediate goods, total imports, IFDI (inward foreign direct investment), and foreign ownership-on regular, irregular jobs and the ratio of irregular employment to regular employment. Findings revealed that imported intermediate inputs and IFDI affected neither regular nor irregular job figures. However, an increase in total imports led to a decrease in the number of irregular jobs without affecting regular full time jobs, leading to a decrease in the ratio of irregular jobs to regular jobs. On the other hand, changes in foreign ownership structure had a contrary effect, that is, a decrease in the number of regular jobs and an increase in irregular ones, and, thus, an increase in the ratio of irregular jobs to regular jobs. Overall results showed that a rise in imports results in depressed overall employment, irregular employment in particular, while more IFDI results in more irregular jobs replacing regular ones, effectively exacerbating job insecurity. The implication of this analysis is that greater economic openness may have a negative impact on the South Korean labor market overall.