• Title/Summary/Keyword: Initial Returns

Search Result 50, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

The Gains To Bidding Firms' Stock Returns From Merger (기업합병의 성과에 영향을 주는 요인에 대한 실증적 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Kap
    • Management & Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.23
    • /
    • pp.41-74
    • /
    • 2007
  • In Korea, corporate merger activities were activated since 1980, and nowadays(particuarly since 1986) the changes in domestic and international economic circumstances have made corporate managers have strong interests in merger. Korea and America have different business environments and it is easily conceivable that there exists many differences in motives, methods, and effects of mergers between the two countries. According to recent studies on takeover bids in America, takeover bids have information effects, tax implications, and co-insurance effects, and the form of payment(cash versus securities), the relative size of target and bidder, the leverage effect, Tobin's q, number of bidders(single versus multiple bidder), the time period (before 1968, 1968-1980, 1981 and later), and the target firm reaction (hostile versus friendly) are important determinants of the magnitude of takeover gains and their distribution between targets and bidders at the announcement of takeover bids. This study examines the theory of takeover bids, the status quo and problems of merger in Korea, and then investigates how the announcement of merger are reflected in common stock returns of bidding firms, finally explores empirically the factors influencing abnormal returns of bidding firms' stock price. The hypotheses of this study are as follows ; Shareholders of bidding firms benefit from mergers. And common stock returns of bidding firms at the announcement of takeover bids, shows significant differences according to the condition of the ratio of target size relative to bidding firm, whether the target being a member of the conglomerate to which bidding firm belongs, whether the target being a listed company, the time period(before 1986, 1986, and later), the number of bidding firm's stock in exchange for a stock of the target, whether the merger being a horizontal and vertical merger or a conglomerate merger, and the ratios of debt to equity capital of target and bidding firm. The data analyzed in this study were drawn from public announcements of proposals to acquire a target firm by means of merger. The sample contains all bidding firms which were listed in the stock market and also engaged in successful mergers in the period 1980 through 1992 for which there are daily stock returns. A merger bid was considered successful if it resulted in a completed merger and the target firm disappeared as a separate entity. The final sample contains 113 acquiring firms. The research hypotheses examined in this study are tested by applying an event-type methodology similar to that described in Dodd and Warner. The ordinary-least-squares coefficients of the market-model regression were estimated over the period t=-135 to t=-16 relative to the date of the proposal's initial announcement, t=0. Daily abnormal common stock returns were calculated for each firm i over the interval t=-15 to t=+15. A daily average abnormal return(AR) for each day t was computed. Average cumulative abnormal returns($CART_{T_1,T_2}$) were also derived by summing the $AR_t's$ over various intervals. The expected values of $AR_t$ and $CART_{T_1,T_2}$ are zero in the absence of abnormal performance. The test statistics of $AR_t$ and $CAR_{T_1,T_2}$ are based on the average standardized abnormal return($ASAR_t$) and the average standardized cumulative abnormal return ($ASCAR_{T_1,T_2}$), respectively. Assuming that the individual abnormal returns are normal and independent across t and across securities, the statistics $Z_t$ and $Z_{T_1,T_2}$ which follow a unit-normal distribution(Dodd and Warner), are used to test the hypotheses that the average standardized abnormal returns and the average cumulative standardized abnormal returns equal zero.

  • PDF

Periodic Review Inventory Model for Deteriorating Items with Partial Returns and Additional Orders

  • Choi, Young-Jin;Kim, Man-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.11-23
    • /
    • 1988
  • A periodic review inventory model for deteriorating items in which time is treated as a discrete variable is developed. The model is developed under deterministic but time dependent demands and instantaneous delivery. Deterioration is assumed to be a constant fraction of the on hand inventory and partial returns are allowed for the deteriorated items. The solution procedures for obtaining the optimal order quantities which maximize the total profit in the scheduling period are presented for the cases of back orders and lost sales. Finally, when the additional orders are allowed, an efficient solution algorithm determining the initial and additional order quantities and additional ordering time is developed. Some numerical examples are also presented to illustrate the results.

  • PDF

Morphing of Composite Plate Using SMA Actuator (형상기억합금 작동기를 이용한 복합재 평판의 형상변형)

  • 김상헌;조맹효
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society For Composite Materials Conference
    • /
    • 2003.10a
    • /
    • pp.146-149
    • /
    • 2003
  • Two-way shape memory effect(TWSME) under residual stresses are considered in the present study. The structure using two-way shape memory alloy(SMA) concept returns to its initial shape by increasing or decreasing temperature under the initially given residual stress. In the present study, we use a thermo-mechanical constitutive equation of SMA and laminated composite plates are considered as simple morphing structural components which are based on first order shear deformable laminated composite plate with large deflection. Numerical results of fully coupled SMA-composite structures are presented

  • PDF

Morphing of Composite Beam actuated by SMA Actuator (형상기억합금 작동기로 작동되는 복합재 보의 형상변형)

  • Kim Sanghaun;Cho Maenghyo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society For Composite Materials Conference
    • /
    • 2004.04a
    • /
    • pp.123-126
    • /
    • 2004
  • Two-way shape memory effect(TWSME) under residual stresses are considered in the present study. The structure using two-way shape memory effect concept returns to its initial shape by increasing or decreasing temperature under the initially given residual stress. In the present study, we use a thermo-mechanical constitutive equation of SMA and laminated composite beam are considered as simple morphing structural components which are based on large deformable 2D composite beam theory. Numerical results of fully coupled SMA-composite structures are presented.

  • PDF

Stock Market Behavior after Large Price Changes and Winner-Loser Effect: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

  • RASHEED, Muhammad Sahid;SHEIKH, Muhammad Fayyaz;SULTAN, Jahanzaib;ALI, Qamar;BHUTTA, Aamir Inam
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.10
    • /
    • pp.219-228
    • /
    • 2021
  • The study examines the behavior of stock prices after large price changes. It further examines the effect of firm size on stock returns, and the presence of the disposition effect. The study employs the event study methodology using daily price data from Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) for the period January 2001 to July 2012. Furthermore, to examine the factors that explain stock price behavior after large price movements, the study employs a two-way fixed-effect model that allows for the analysis of unobservable company and time fixed effects that explain market reversals or continuation. The findings suggest that winners perform better than losers after experiencing large price shocks thus showing a momentum behavior. In addition, the winners remain the winner, while the losers continue to lose more. This suggests that most of the investors in PSX behave rationally. Further, the study finds no evidence of disposition effect in PSX. The investors underreact to new information and the prices continue to move in the direction of initial change. The pooled regression estimates show that firm size is positively related to post-event abnormal returns while the fixed-effect model reveals the presence of unobservable firm-specific and time-specific effects that account for price continuation.

Applying a Two-Stage Option Games Method to Investment Decisions of Business Startups: Case Study of a Smart House Startup in Indonesia

  • Wardani, Ida Sri;Fujiwara, Takao
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.178-189
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this paper, we present a case study of a new emerging business startup involved in smart house appliances. The irreversible investment concept and real-option theory are introduced as the fundamentals of the model. By using games theory we show that the startup's actions can trigger reactions from other firms. The first part covers initial the research and development stage, while the second part covers production and commercialization. The findings of this study suggest that, given a certain amount of initial investment, an open and shared innovation may lead to hurting a firm's investment while strengthening the competitors' position in the market. However, given the sensitivity analysis, when volatility and demand grow favorably, sharing R&D investment is not a bad option for a new player to adjust its position in the market while still maintaining positive returns.

Numerical Simulation of Double SMA wire Actuator Using Two-Way Shape Memory Effect of SMA (형상기억합금의 양방향효과를 이용한 두개의 형상기억합금선이 부착된 작동기의 수치해석)

  • Kim, Sang-Haun;Cho, Maeng-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2004.11a
    • /
    • pp.287-290
    • /
    • 2004
  • A structure using the two-way shape memory effect (TWSME) returns to its initial shape by increasing or decreasing temperature under initial residual stress. Through the thermo-mechanical constitutive equation of shape memory alloy(SMA) proposed by Lagoudas et al., we simulate the behavior of a double actuator in which two SMA wires are attached to the tip of panel under the initially given residual stress. Through the numerical results conducted in the present study, the proposed actuator device is suitable for repeated actuation. The simulation algorithm proposed in the present study can be applied extensively to the analysis of the assembled .system of SMA-actuator and host structure in the practical applications.

  • PDF

Does Individual Investors' Sentiment Explain Japanese IPO Aftermarket Performance?

  • CHE-YAHYA, Norliza;MATSUURA, Yoshiyuki
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1079-1090
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study examines the influence of individual investors' sentiment on Japanese IPO aftermarket performance (measured by return and trading volume on the first trading day and return on the first trading year). This study proposes that IPOs will be, on average overpriced on the listing day when individual investors' sentiment is highly optimistic. Higher initial return and trading volume are expected in IPOs with higher investors' optimism. Further, the positive initial return will occur in the short term as individual investors usually are uninformed investors who demand shares based on their personal preferences, which will last only in a short period. Following the overvaluation hypothesis, price reversals should be predicted once the effect of individual investors' optimism has disappeared, causing the IPOs to underperform in the long term. Using 520 Japanese IPOs issued from January 2010 to December 2019, this study reveals that individual investors' sentiment is positively and significantly related to returns and trading volume on the first trading day. Return reversals are found on the first trading year despite the insignificant influence of individual investors' sentiment on IPO return on the first trading year.

The Effect of Optimistic Investors' Sentiment on Anomalious Behaviors in the Hot Market IPOs (낙관적 투자자의 기대가 핫마켓상황 IPO 시장의 이상현상에 미치는 영향력 검증)

  • Kim, Hyeon-A;Jung, Sung-Chang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-33
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study explores if the higher initial returns and the poorer long-run performance observed in the IPOs markets are associated with the firms offered in the 'hot markets,' and then empirically examines the effect of optimistic investors' sentiment on this phenomenon, particularly in the aspects of both pricing mechanism and the opportunistic behavior of offering firms. We analyzed a total of 432 IPO firms for the years between 2001 and 2005. This analysis finds that the initial returns and long-run under-performances of 'IPOs in the hot market' are significantly higher than those of 'IPOs in the cold market.' This study also finds that the proxy variables for the optimistic investors' sentiment have a positive effect on the initial return and negative effect on the long-run performance. Finally, this research finds no difference of ownership structure, venture capital backed, and financial properties between hot market IPOs and cold market IPOs. R&D expenditure rate and financial qualities of IPOs are higher in the hot market than in the cold market. These results do not support the 'windows of opportunity' hypothesis that low quality firms take advantage of hot market condition for successful IPOs.

  • PDF

Environment Policy and Regional Economic Growth: Conflicting vs. Complementing (환경정책과 지역경제 : 상반관계 vs. 보완관계)

  • 김홍배;윤갑식
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.63-73
    • /
    • 1999
  • It is generally believed that there is a trade-off between economic growth and environmental quality since pollutants are generated in the process of production and consumption of commodities. Several researchers have shown this prevailing belief using the short-term input-output models. The literature, however, shows that there have been few attempts to investigate the relationship using long-term forecasting models. This motivates the current paper. This paper attempts to build a reginal growth model in a partial equilibrium framework taking into consideration the requirements of capital invested for pollutant abatement. Model is largely neoclassical. Labor is assumed to move a region with high utility specified in regional per capita average was income and pollution level while capital is partially mobile to a region with high returns. The regional growth is explored in a phase diagram. The paper shows that there are two stable growth equilibria which a region can converge over time and that the equilibria are distinguished by the initial threshold capital stock that a region holds. If the initial capital stock of a region is over(under) than the threshold size, the region converges to the higher (lower) growth equilibrium over time. Moreover, based on this result an environmental quality enhancing policy is analyzed in the phase diagram. It has revealed that the policy calls for the relocation of growth equilibrium points, specifically speaking, it stimulates an increase in labor stock and a decrease in capital stock. Hence the paper has suggested that the prevailing belief which the environmental policy negatively impacts on a regional economic growth is not always true.

  • PDF