• 제목/요약/키워드: Index of Performance Evaluation

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심층신경망을 이용한 레이더 영상 학습 기반 초단시간 강우예측 (Very short-term rainfall prediction based on radar image learning using deep neural network)

  • 윤성심;박희성;신홍준
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제53권12호
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    • pp.1159-1172
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 강우예측을 위해 U-Net과 SegNet에 기반한 합성곱 신경망 네트워크 구조에 장기간의 국내 기상레이더 자료를 활용하여 심층학습기반의 강우예측을 수행하였다. 또한, 기존 외삽기반의 강우예측 기법인 이류모델의 결과와 비교 평가하였다. 심층신경망의 학습 및 검정을 위해 2010부터 2016년 동안의 기상청 관악산과 광덕산 레이더의 원자료를 수집, 1 km 공간해상도를 갖는 480 × 480의 픽셀의 회색조 영상으로 변환하여 HDF5 형태의 데이터를 구축하였다. 구축된 데이터로 30분 전부터 현재까지 10분 간격의 연속된 레이더 영상 4개를 이용하여 10분 후의 강수량을 예측하도록 심층신경망 모델을 학습하였으며, 학습된 심층신경망 모델로 60분의 선행예측을 수행하기 위해 예측값을 반복 사용하는 재귀적 방식을 적용하였다. 심층신경망 예측모델의 성능 평가를 위해 2017년에 발생한 24개의 호우사례에 대해 선행 60분까지 강우예측을 수행하였다. 임계강우강도 0.1, 1, 5 mm/hr에서 평균절대오차와 임계성공지수를 산정하여 예측성능을 평가한 결과, 강우강도 임계 값 0.1, 1 mm/hr의 경우 MAE는 60분 선행예측까지, CSI는 선행예측 50분까지 참조 예측모델인 이류모델이 보다 우수한 성능을 보였다. 특히, 5 mm/hr 이하의 약한 강우에 대해서는 심층신경망 예측모델이 이류모델보다 대체적으로 좋은 성능을 보였지만, 5 mm/hr의 임계 값에 대한 평가결과 심층신경망 예측모델은 고강도의 뚜렷한 강수 특징을 예측하는 데 한계가 있었다. 심층신경망 예측모델은 예측시간이 길어질수록 공간 평활화되는 경향이 뚜렷해지며, 이로 인해 강우 예측의 정확도가 저하되었다. 이류모델은 뚜렷한 강수 특성을 보존하기 때문에 강한 강도 (>5 mm/hr)에 대해 심층신경망 예측모델을 능가하지만, 강우 위치가 잘못 이동하는 경향이 있다. 본 연구결과는 이후 심층신경망을 이용한 레이더 강우 예측기술의 개발과 개선에 도움이 될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 또한, 본 연구에서 구축한 대용량 기상레이더 자료는 향후 후속연구에 활용될 수 있도록 개방형 저장소를 통해 제공될 예정이다.

Cosmetic Outcomes and Quality of Life in Thai Women Post Breast Conserving Therapy for Breast Cancer

  • Thanarpan, Peerawong;Somrit, Mahattanobon;Rungarun, Jiratrachu;Paytai, Rordlamool;Duangjai, Sangtawan;Chanon, Kongkamol;Puttisak, Puttawibul
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권11호
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    • pp.4685-4690
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: To evaluate the correlation between cosmetic outcome (CO), body image, and quality of life in post breast-conserving therapy (BCT) women. Materials and Methods: This cross-sectional study concerned one-year post-completed BCT Thai women. The data included subjective and objective CO with a questionnaire covering demographic and clinical data, anti-hormonal treatment status, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status, Self-Reported Cosmetic Outcomes (SRCO), Self-Reported Breast Symmetry (SRBS), Body Image Scale (BIS), and the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy with Breast Cancer subscale (FACT-B). Participants had breast photographs taken for the evaluation of objective cosmetic outcome (OCO) after breast cancer conservation treatment. The relationship between CO and FACT-B was tested using Spearman's rank correlation Results: A total 127 participants volunteered for the study. The participant characteristics were age 52(${\pm}9$), Buddhist 87%, married 65%, body mass index 25.0(${\pm}4.6$), breast cup size A-C 91%, college educated 60%, employed 66%, ECOG 0-1 95%, tumor size less than or equal to 2 cm 55%, no lymph node metastasis 98%, and taking tamoxifen 57%. Two percent of the participants regretted their decision to undergo BCT. The SRCO was excellent in 2%, good in 68%, fair in 30%, and poor in 0%. For SRBS, rates were 17%, 58%, 24% and 1% for excellent, good, fair and poor cosmetic outcomes, respectively. The BCCT scores were excellent 24%, good 39%, fair 32%, and poor 6%. The median total QOL score of the participants was 130 (93-144). There was no significant correlation between CO and FACT-B scores. Conclusions: The significance of CO for FACT-B in Thai women with breast cancer could not be assessed in detail because of a very low level of correlation. The results may be due to the effects of cultural background.

Reliability of mortar filling layer void length in in-service ballastless track-bridge system of HSR

  • Binbin He;Sheng Wen;Yulin Feng;Lizhong Jiang;Wangbao Zhou
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2023
  • To study the evaluation standard and control limit of mortar filling layer void length, in this paper, the train sub-model was developed by MATLAB and the track-bridge sub-model considering the mortar filling layer void was established by ANSYS. The two sub-models were assembled into a train-track-bridge coupling dynamic model through the wheel-rail contact relationship, and the validity was corroborated by the coupling dynamic model with the literature model. Considering the randomness of fastening stiffness, mortar elastic modulus, length of mortar filling layer void, and pier settlement, the test points were designed by the Box-Behnken method based on Design-Expert software. The coupled dynamic model was calculated, and the support vector regression (SVR) nonlinear mapping model of the wheel-rail system was established. The learning, prediction, and verification were carried out. Finally, the reliable probability of the amplification coefficient distribution of the response index of the train and structure in different ranges was obtained based on the SVR nonlinear mapping model and Latin hypercube sampling method. The limit of the length of the mortar filling layer void was, thus, obtained. The results show that the SVR nonlinear mapping model developed in this paper has a high fitting accuracy of 0.993, and the computational efficiency is significantly improved by 99.86%. It can be used to calculate the dynamic response of the wheel-rail system. The length of the mortar filling layer void significantly affects the wheel-rail vertical force, wheel weight load reduction ratio, rail vertical displacement, and track plate vertical displacement. The dynamic response of the track structure has a more significant effect on the limit value of the length of the mortar filling layer void than the dynamic response of the vehicle, and the rail vertical displacement is the most obvious. At 250 km/h - 350 km/h train running speed, the limit values of grade I, II, and III of the lengths of the mortar filling layer void are 3.932 m, 4.337 m, and 4.766 m, respectively. The results can provide some reference for the long-term service performance reliability of the ballastless track-bridge system of HRS.

농업용저수지의 실시간 수위 보정을 위한 Hampel Filter의 최적 Window Size 분석 (Analysis of the Optimal Window Size of Hampel Filter for Calibration of Real-time Water Level in Agricultural Reservoirs)

  • 주동혁;나라;김하영;최규훈;권재환;유승환
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제64권3호
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    • pp.9-24
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    • 2022
  • Currently, a vast amount of hydrologic data is accumulated in real-time through automatic water level measuring instruments in agricultural reservoirs. At the same time, false and missing data points are also increasing. The applicability and reliability of quality control of hydrological data must be secured for efficient agricultural water management through calculation of water supply and disaster management. Considering the characteristics of irregularities in hydrological data caused by irrigation water usage and rainfall pattern, the Korea Rural Community Corporation is currently applying the Hampel filter as a water level data quality management method. This method uses window size as a key parameter, and if window size is large, distortion of data may occur and if window size is small, many outliers are not removed which reduces the reliability of the corrected data. Thus, selection of the optimal window size for individual reservoir is required. To ensure reliability, we compared and analyzed the RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient) of the corrected data and the daily water level of the RIMS (Rural Infrastructure Management System) data, and the automatic outlier detection standards used by the Ministry of Environment. To select the optimal window size, we used the classification performance evaluation index of the error matrix and the rainfall data of the irrigation period, showing the optimal values at 3 h. The efficient reservoir automatic calibration technique can reduce manpower and time required for manual calibration, and is expected to improve the reliability of water level data and the value of water resources.

집중의 신경해부와 정신생리 (The Neuroanatomy and Psychophysiology of Attention)

  • 이성훈;박윤조
    • 수면정신생리
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 1998
  • Attentional processes facilitate cognitive and behavioral performance in several ways. Attention serves to reduce the amount of information to receive. Attention enables humans to direct themselves to appropriate aspects of external environmental events and internal operations. Attention facilitates the selection of salient information and the allocation of cognitive processing appropriate to that information. Attention is not a unitary process that can be localized to a single neuroanatomical region. Before the cortical registration of sensory information, activation of important subcortical structures occurs, which is called as an orienting response. Once sensory information reaches the sensory cortex, a large number of perceptual processes occur, which provide various levels of perceptual resolution of the critical features of the stimuli. After this preattentional processing, information is integrated within higher cortical(heteromodal) systems in inferior parietal and temporal lobes. At this stage, the processing characteristics can be modified, and the biases of the system have a direct impact on attentional selection. Information flow has been traced through sensory analysis to a processing stage that enables the new information to be focused and modified in relation to preexisting biases. The limbic and paralimbic system play significant roles in modulating attentional response. It is labeled with affective salience and is integrated according to ongoing pressures from the motivational drive system of the hypothalamus. The salience of information greatly influences the allocation of attention. The frontal lobe operate response selection system with a reciprocal interaction with both the attention system of the parietal lobe and the limbic system. In this attentional process, the search with the spatial field is organized and a sequence of attentional responses is generated. Affective, motivational and appectitive impulses from limbic system and hypothalamus trigger response intention, preparation, planning, initiation and control of frontal lobe on this process. The reticular system, which produces ascending activation, catalyzes the overall system and increases attentional capacity. Also additional energetic pressures are created by the hypothalamus. As psychophysiological measurement, skin conductance, pupil diameter, muscle tension, heart rate, alpha wave of EEG can be used. Event related potentials also provide physiological evidence of attention during information process. NI component appears to be an electrophysiological index of selective attention. P3 response is developed during the attention related to stimulus discrimination, evaluation and response.

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고랭지 배추 생산 예측을 위한 K-배추 모델 평가 (Evaluation of K-Cabbage Model for Yield Prediction of Chinese Cabbage in Highland Areas)

  • 이성은;한현희;문경환;김대현;김병혁;이상규;이희주;류수현;이혜림;심준용;신용순;안문일;이희애
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.398-403
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    • 2023
  • 과정 기반 작물모형인 K-배추 모델은 광합성, 생물 계절 등의 생리학적 과정을 기반으로 이전에 경험하지 못한 다양한 기후 조건에서 작물의 생장을 예측할 수 있게 해준다. 현재 1단계 프로세스 기반 모델은 기후 변화 시나리오에 따른 생산량 예측을 통해 기후영향을 평가하는 데 활용될 수 있지만, 지금까지 주산지 빅데이터와 모델 예측 간의 비교는 수행되지 않았다. 본 연구는 생산량 예측을 위해 현재 모델을 사용하고자 할 때 모델의 개선 방향을 검토하기 위해 수행되었다. 이를 위해, 강원 태백 및 삼척에서 수집된 관측 자료를 바탕으로 모델의 예측력을 평가하였다. 조사 대상 농가들은 정식일 및 토양관리 면에서 재배방법이 상이하였다. 분석 결과는 K-배추 모델을 사용하여 추정한 잠재적 바이오매스가 모든 경우에서 관측 값을 초과하는 것으로 나타났다. 한편, 모델 평가 과정에서 생체중 사용에 따른 한계 등으로, 수확 2주 전의 값을 기준으로 모델을 피팅했음에도 수확기 무렵 예측값과 관측값은 완전한 양의 상관관계를 보이지 않았다(R2=0.74, RMSE=866.4). 또한 생장적합지수는 농장별로 상이하였는데, 이러한 결과는 농가 간 토양특성 및 관리방식의 차이에 의한 것으로 추정된다. 따라서 농장별 토양 및 관리방식의 차이를 고려한 생산 예측기술 고도화를 위해서는 현재 K-배추 모델에서 임의의 생장적합지수를 사용하는 대신 동적 토양 양분 및 수분 모듈을 작물 모델에 통합하는 것이 필요하다.

관절염 환자의 운동행위 결정요인 (Determinant factors of Exercise behaviors in Patients with Arthritis)

  • 서길희;임난영
    • 근관절건강학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.102-130
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    • 2000
  • The aims of this study were to understand and to predict the determinant factors affecting the exercise behaviors and physical fitness by testing the Ponder's health promotion model, and to help the patients with rheumatoid arthritis and osteoarthritis perform the continuous exercise program, and to help them maximize the physical effect such as muscle strength. endurance, and fuctional status and mental effects including self efficacy and quality of life, and improve the physical and mental wellbeing, and to provide a basis for the nursing intervention strategies. We analyzed the clinical records of 208 patients with rheumatoid arthritis and degenerative arthritis who visited the outpatient clinics at H university hospital in Seoul between October 5, 1999 and October 24, 1999. Data were composed of self reported questionnaire and good of fitness score which were obtained by pedalling the ergometer of bicycle for 9 minutes. SPSS Win 8.0 and Window LISREL 8.12a were used for statistical analysis. 24 Of 54 hypothetical paths were supported in modified model, which was considered as a proper model with improved fit index. The physical fitness was directly influenced by exercise participation behavior and education level, and indirectly by physical fitness, while fatigue, physical disability, pastexercise behavior, life-style, self-efficacy, which explained 20% of physical fitness. The exercise participation were directly influenced by perceived benefits and self-efficacy, and indirectly influenced by life-style, fatigue and physical disability, and directly and indirectly by past exercise behavior, which explained 53% of exercise participation. Exercise score were directly affected by perceived health status, perceived benefits, self efficacy, and past exercise behavior, and were indirectly affected by fatigue, physical disability, and life-style, which explained 50%. Perceived health status were directly influeced by level of education, depression, sleep disorder, and physical disability, which explained 34% of perceived health status. Perceived benefit was directly influenced by fatigue, sleep disorder, physical disability, and life-style, which explained 45%. Perceived barriers was directly influenced by fatigue, sleep disorder, and lifestyle, which explained 9%. Self- efficacy was directly influenced by fatigue, physical disability, past exercise behavior, and level of education, which explained 61%. In conclusion, important variables for physical fitness were exercise participation and level of education, and variables affecting exercise participation were perceived self-efficacy, benefits, and past exercise behavior. Perceived self-efficacy of exercise was a significant predictor of exercise participation. Life-style, fatigue, and physical disability showed direct effects on perceived benefit, perceived barriers, and self-efficacy, and indirect effects on exercise behavior. Therefore, disease related factor should be minimized for physical performance and well being in nursing intervention for patients with rheumatoid arthritis, and plans to promote and continue exercise should be soaked to reduce disability. In addition, Exercise program should be planned and performed by the exact evaluation of exercise according to the ability of the patients and the contents to improve the importance of exercise and self efficacy in self control program, dedicated educational program should be involved.

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Evaluation of synbiotics as gut health improvement agents against Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli isolated from the pig

  • Kim, Bo-Ra;Cho, Kyung Jin;Kim, Doowan;Cho, Jin Ho;Lee, Jun Hyung;Guevarra, Robin B.;Lee, Sun Hee;Kang, Jung Sun;Cho, Won Tak;Wattanaphansak, Suphot;Kang, Bit Na;Kim, Jong Nam;Song, Minho;Kim, Hyeun Bum
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제61권2호
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2019
  • Colibacillosis is one of the major health problems in young piglets resulting in poor health and death caused by Escherichia coli producing F18 pili and Shiga toxin 2e. It is pivotal to reduce colibacillosis in weaned piglets to enhance production performance. In this study, we evaluated synbiotics as the gut health improvement agents in the mouse model challenged with Shiga toxin-producing E. coli (STEC) isolated from piglets. Prebiotic lactulose was formulated with each $5.0{\times}10^6CFU/mL$ of Pediococcus acidilactici GB-U15, Lactobacillus plantarum GB-U17, and Lactobacillus plantarum GB 1-3 to produce 3 combinations of synbiotics. A total of 40 three weeks old BALB/c mice were randomly assigned to 4 groups (n = 10): a control group and 3 synbiotics treated groups. Each treatment groups were daily administrated with $5.0{\times}10^6CFU/mL$ of one synbiotics for the first week, and every 3 days during the second week. All the mice were challenged with $8.0{\times}10^8CFU/mL$ of STEC 5 days after animals began to receive synbiotics. Mice treated with synbiotics based on Pediococcus acidilactici GB-U15 and Lactobacillus plantarum GB-U17 significantly improved daily weight gain compared to mice in other groups. While mice treated with GB-U15 showed better fecal index, no significant differences were observed among groups. Gross lesion and histopathological evaluations showed that mice treated with GB-U15 moderately improved recovery from STEC infection. In conclusion, our results suggest that the synbiotics formulated with lactulose and Pediococcus acidilactici GB-U15 have potential benefits to prevent and improve colibacillosis in weaned piglets.

장석의 첨가가 산란계의 생산성 및 난 성분에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Dietary Feldspar on Productivity and Composition of Eggs in Laying Hens)

  • 고재우;우간바야르;오동환;배인휴;조성균;공일근;양철주
    • 한국가금학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.219-224
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 산란계에서 장석의 첨가가 난 생산과 난 성분에 미치는 영향을 구명하기 위하여 실시하였다. 공시동물은 갈색테트라 산란계 96수를 4처리 4반복으로 반복당 6수씩 3단 철제 cage에서 사양시험을 실시하였다. 시험사료는 대조구를 기초사료로 이용하였으며, 장석을 수준별로 $0.5\%,\;1.0\%$$1.5\%$로 첨가하여 배합하였다. 산란율은 대조구와 비교하여 장석 $0.5\%$$1.0\%$ 첨가구에서 증가하였으며, 통계적인 유의차를 보였다(P<0.05). 장석 0.5, 1.0및 $1.5\%$첨가구에서 산란계의 난중, 산란량, 사료섭취량, 사료요구율, 난각강도 및 난황색은 대조구에 비해 유의차가 없었다(P>0.05). 계란의 하우 유니트와 혈반은 장석 $1.5\%$ 첨가구에서 유의적으로 증가하였으며(P<0.05), 난백 높이와 잔반은 유의차를 보이지 않았다(P>0.05). 관능검사 결과 다즙성은 대조구가 2.78로 가장 낮았고, 장석 $1.0\%$ 첨가구가 3.57로 가장 높아 통계적 유의차를 보였다(P<0.05).종합적인 기호도에서 장석 $1.0\%$ 첨가구가 3.70으로 가장 높은 기호도를 보였다.

Effects of Sperm Motility on In Vitro Production of Embryo and Correlation with Mitochondria Amount in Pig

  • Chung, Ki-Hwa;Kim, In-Cheul;Son, Jung-Ho
    • 한국수정란이식학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.263-266
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    • 2010
  • Prediction of semen's fertilizing ability used in artificial insemination (AI) is one of very important factors on pig reproductive performance. In vitro fertilization (IVF) has been used for indirect evaluation of sperm's fertilizing ability and it has been showed as highly correlated index. In swine industry, increasing interest in preservation of boar semen raises questions on the sperm motility from semen used in commercial AI centers. Mitochondria in sperm mid-piece generate the energy to support motility and could be an explanation of impaired fertility. Objective of this study was to suggest usable sperm motility to farms in measuring the effect of sperm motility and sperm abnormality on in vitro production of embryo in which sperm's fertilizing ability can be determined indirectly. Semen samples were provided from local AI center and used within 3 days after collection. Semen samples were divided by 4 different motile groups (>70%; 61~70%; 51~60%; <50%) using CASA (computer-assisted sperm analysis) on the days of IVF. Developmental rate to the blastocyst stage from over 61% motile sperm group showed significantly higher rate than below 60% motile sperm group ($16.5{\pm}0.7{\sim}18.4{\pm}0.8%$ vs $6.3{\pm}0.8{\sim}11.5{\pm}0.7%$, p<0.05). In experiment to determine the relationship between sperm motility and viability and abnormality, over 61% motile sperm groups showed significantly higher viability rate compared to below 60% motile sperm groups ($84.8{\pm}4.0{\sim}88.1{\pm}4.0%$ vs $69.1{\pm}4.0{\sim}74.2{\pm}4.0%$, p<0.05). On the other hand, morphological sperm abnormality showed significantly higher in over 70% motile sperm group ($10.2{\pm}2.2$ vs $16.0{\pm}2.2{\sim}21.0{\pm}2.2%$, p<0.05). In experiment to find the correlation between sperm motility of 4 different motile groups and amount of mitochondria, lower motility group also showed lower level of mitochondria (p<0.05). The mitochondria parameter used in this study showed another possibility to differentiate the sperm motility. Taken together, because below 60% motile semen used in AI reduce the fertility, AI centers should provide the over 60% motile sperm to the farms at the time of AI.