• Title/Summary/Keyword: Index Flood

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Frequency Analysis of Meteorologic Drought Indices using Boundary Kernel Density Function (경계핵밀도함수를 이용한 기상학적 가뭄지수의 빈도해석)

  • Oh, Tae Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Kim, Seong Sil;Park, Gu Sun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.2B
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2011
  • Recently, occurrence frequency of extreme events like flood and drought is increasing due to climate change by global warming. Especially, a drought is more severer than other hydrologic disasters because it causes continuous damage through long period. But, ironically, it is difficult to recognize the importance and seriousness of droughts because droughts occur for a long stretch of time unlike flood. So as to analyze occurrence of droughts and prepare a countermeasure, this study analyzed a meteorologic drought among many kinds of drought that it is closely related with precipitation. Palmer Drought Severity Index, Standard Precipitation and Effective Drought Index are computed using precipitation and temperature material observed by Korean Meteorological Administration. With the result of comparative analysis of computed drought indices, Effective Drought Index is selected to execute frequency analysis because it is accordant to past droughts and has advantage to compute daily indices. A Frequency analysis of Effective Drought Index was executed using boundary kernel density function. In the result of analysis, occurrence periods of spring showed about between 10 year and 20 year, it implies that droughts of spring are more frequent than other seasons. And severity and occurrence period of droughts varied in different regions as occurrence periods of the Youngnam region and the southern coast of Korea are relatively shorter than other regions.

The study of Application of Drought Index Using Measured Soil Moisture at KoFlux Tower (KoFlux 타워에서 관측된 토양수분 값을 이용한 가뭄지수 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sooyoung;Jo, Hwan Bum;Lee, Seung Oh;Choi, Minha
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6B
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    • pp.541-549
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    • 2010
  • While the number of rainy days is decreasing, the mean annual precipitation is increasing due to abnormal climate changes caused by the global warming in Korea. Owing to the biased-concentration of rainfall during specific short terms, not only flood but also drought becomes more and more serious. From the literature, it is easily found that previous studies about flood have been intensively conducted. However, previous studies about drought have been performed rarely. This study conducted the comparison between two representative drought indexes calculated from soil moisture and precipitation. Study area was Haenam-gun, Jeollanam-do in Korea. Soil Moisture Index(SMI) was calculated from soil moisture data while the Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) and the Palmer Drought Severity Index(PDSI) were calculated from meteorological data. All monthly data utilized in this study were observed at the KoFlux Tower. After the comparative analysis, three indexes showed similar tendency. Therefore, it is thought that the drought index using soil moisture measured at the KoFlux Tower is reasonable, which is because the soil moisture is immediately affected by all the meteorological factors.

Development of Reservoir Operation Model using Simulation Technique in Flood Season (I) (모의기법에 의한 홍수기 저수지 운영 모형 개발 (I))

  • Sin, Yong-No;Maeng, Seung-Jin;Go, Ik-Hwan;Lee, Hwan-Gi
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.745-755
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    • 2000
  • The dam operation system of KOWACO for flood control doesn't have capability to account for the downstream hydrologic conditions and any feasible index to decide the pre-release from the forecasted rainfall and inflow. In this study, a dam operation model for flood control was developed to account for the flood flow condition of its downstream to give users the dam release schedules. Application test of EV ROM to Keum River showed that EV ROM is superior to the Rigid ROM and Technical ROM which are currently used by KOWACO. EV ROM developed in this study provides a release schedule accounting for the cumulative lateral flow hydrograph at the downstream control points where the discharge does not depend only on the dam operation. but also on lateral inflow from the tributaries. In order to reduce the peak discharge at the control points, it suggests the preliminary release during the early rising phase of the predicted hydrograph, holding the flood flow inside the dam during a peak phase, and afterward resuming the release. Three case studies of flood control by the operation of Daechung Multipurpose Dam in Geum River Basin show that the EV ROM is superior to the Rigid ROM and Technical ROM. This must be due to its nature to account for the downstream flow condition as well as the inflow and water level of the dam. It was also conceived that further case studies of EV ROM and more accurate rainfall prediction would improve the dam operation for flood control.ontrol.

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Analysis of the Crop Damage Area Related to Flood by Climate Change Using a Constrained Multiple Linear Regression Model (구속 다중선형회귀 모형을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 농작물 홍수 피해 면적 분석)

  • Kim, Myojeong;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.2
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the characteristics of crop damage area by flooding for 113 middle range watersheds during 2000-2016 were analyzed and future crop damage area by flooding were analyzed using 13 GCM outputs such as hourly maximum rainfall, 10-min maximum rainfall, number of days of 80 mm/day, daily rainfall maximum, annual rainfall amount associated with RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios and watershed characteristic data such as DEM, urbanization ratio, population density, asset density, road improvement ratio, river improvement ratio, drainage system improvement ratio, pumping capacity, detention basin capacity, and crop damage area by flooding. A constrained multiple linear regression model was used to construct the relationships between the crop damage area by flooding and other variables. Future flood index related to crop damage may mainly increase in the Mankyung watershed, Southwest part of Youngsan and Sumjin river basin and Southern part of Nackdong river basin. Results are useful to identify watersheds which need to establish strategies for responding to future flood damage.

Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis by Climate Change in an Urban Stream : A Case Study of the Woo-yi Stream Basin (도시하천의 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성 분석: 우이천유역을 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Moon, Young-Il;Kim, Gui-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.981-981
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    • 2012
  • 최근 지구환경 변화에 따른 기후변화의 영향으로 자연재해의 형태는 점차 대형화, 다양화되고 있으며 극치사상의 발생 빈도가 계속해서 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 특히 도시하천의 경우 인구와 재산이 밀집해 있어 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성이 클 것으로 사료된다. 본 연구에서는 기후 변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성 분석을 위하여 위험도 기반 불확실성을 다루는 수단으로 UQR-MCS (Upper Quartile Range-Monte Carlo Simulation)을 적용하였으며, 다양한 형태의 확률 분포로부터 특정변량(variable)의 확률분포 Quartile을 모의하였다. 또한 기후변화에 따른 도시하천의 홍수위험 및 취약성 평가를 위하여 도시하천에 적합한 홍수위험 및 취약성평가 지수(FVI: flood vulnerability index)를 산정하였으며, 홍수취약성지수는 기후변화(Climate change)와 도시화(Urbanization), 제방월류위험(Overtopping risk) 및 홍수범람 면적(Flood area) 등의 지표를 사용하였다. 각각의 지표는 엔트로피(Entropy) 기법을 적용하여 가중치를 부여하였으며, 표준화과정을 통한 일반화된 지표 값을 산정하였다. 우이천 유역의 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성 지표값은 KMA RCM A1B 시나리오자료를 바탕으로 추정한 미래 확률강수량과 각 인자별 재현기간에 따른 수문변량의 변화를 통하여 산정하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 도시하천의 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험도분석 및 취약성 평가, 극치 수문사상에 대한 신뢰성 있는 분석과 더불어 예상치 못할 이상홍수에 대비한 하천방재 연구에 도움이 되리라 사료된다.

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Analysis of Flood Resilience of the Stormwater Management Using SWMM Model (SWMM 모델을 이용한 우수 관리 홍수 탄력성 분석)

  • Hwang, Soonho;Kim, Jaekyoung;Kang, Junsuk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.126-126
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    • 2021
  • Stormwater reduction plays an important role in the safety and resilience to flooding in urban areas. Due to rapid climate change, the world is experiencing abnormal climate phenomena, and sudden floods and concentrated torrential rains are frequently occurring in urban basins and the amount of outflow due to stormwater increases. In addition, the damage caused by urban flooding and inundation due to extreme rainfall exceeding the events that occurred in the past increases. To solve this problem, water supply, drainage, and water supply for sustainable urban development, the water management paradigm is shifting from sewage maintenance to water circulation and water-sensitive cities. So, in this study, The purpose of this study is to examine measures to increase the resilience of urban ecosystem systems for urban excellence reduction by analyzing the effects of green infra structures and LID techniques and evaluating changes in resilience. In this study, for simulating and analysis of runoff for various stormwater patterns and LID applications, Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) was used.

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Reliability considerations in bridge pier scouring

  • Muzzammil, M.;Siddiqui, N.A.;Siddiqui, A.F.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2008
  • The conventional design of bridge piers against scour uses scour equations which involve number of uncertain flow, sediments and structural parameters. The inherent high uncertainties in these parameters suggest that the reliability of piers must be assessed to ensure desirable safety of bridges against scour. In the present study, a procedure for the reliability assessment of bridge piers, installed in main and flood channels, against scour has been presented. To study the influence of various random variables on piers' reliability sensitivity analysis has been carried out. To incorporate the reliability in the evaluation of safety factor, a simplified relationship between safety factor and reliability index has been proposed. Effects of clear water (flood channel) and live bed scour (main channel) are highlighted on pier reliability. In addition to these, an attempt has also been made to explain the failure of Black mount bridge of New Zealand based on its pier's reliability analysis. Some parametric studies have also been included to obtain the results of practical interest.

Study on the Priority Decision for Redevelopment of Agricultural Reservoir (농업용저수지 재개발 우선순위 결정 연구)

  • Kim, Hae-Do;Kim, Sun-Joo;Lee, Kwang-Ya
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.51 no.6
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2009
  • Most of agricultural reservoirs in Korea have no function of flood control except 5% of reservoirs even exposed to natural disaster. In addition, there are increasing needs for the reservoir to guarantee the release of environmental flow to the downstream. Thus, the purpose of this paper is to study the priority decision method for the reservoir redevelopment satisfying both water utilization and flood control. The major scopes of this research are to set up six priority indices and to make needed GIS data for calculating each priority. There is important consideration of obtaining the data or not in deciding the indices. Although the detailed indices is expected to better reflect redevelopment priority but the subjective indices like, 'opinion' and 'landscape' are excluded. From the results, it will enables the six priority indices to really assist in decision redevelopment priority of agricultural reservoirs.

Multipurpose dam effects on flood controls in Nakdong river basin using spatially propagated flood event data (홍수유출 공간 확장 자료를 활용한 홍수조절에 대한 댐의 영향 분석 - 낙동강 유역 중심)

  • Jung, Yong;Kim, Nam Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.460-460
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 규모가 비슷한 두 개 댐의 홍수조절 경향성과 영향을 시공간적으로 분석하고 하류에 미친 영향에 대해 조사하였다. 이를 위해 낙동강 유역의 안동댐과 임하댐을 선정하였다. 댐 하류에 위치하여 직접적인 영향을 받는 성주 수위관측소를 기준으로 하였다. 성주 수위관측소의 시작은 1995년 3월로, 이를 기준으로 2010까지의 31개 홍수 사상에 대해 홍수조절 능력과 영향을 검토하였다. 홍수사상의 관측치를 기준으로 한강홍수통제소에서 사용하고 있는 저류함수법을 활용하였다. 관측치에 대한 모의를 통해 매개변수를 최적화하고 이를 기준으로 자연상태의 홍수 발생량을 측정하였다. 성주 수위관측소를 중심으로 홍수 조절에 대한 댐 영향을 유역면적의 비와 홍수저감률의 관계로 분석하였으며 수위관측소의 평균저감률과 유역면적의 비와 비교하였다. 댐 운영에 따른 Resevoir Index (RI)를 활용하여 댐에 따른 하류지점에서의 영향성을 분석하였으며 홍수저감 효과를 분석하고 이를 한강유역에서 분석한 자료와 비교 분석하여 분석의 유사성을 통해 다른 유역에 대한 적용 가능성을 제시하고자 한다.

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A study on the development of flood plain stability evaluation Index for flood risk assessment in floodplain (홍수터에서의 홍수위험도 예측을 위한 홍수터 안정성 평가 지수 개발)

  • Ku, Young Hun;Song, Chang Geun;Park, Yong Sung;Kim, Young Do
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.69-69
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    • 2016
  • 하천은 크게 하도와 홍수터 그리고 제방으로 나눌 수 있으며, 국내에서는 다른 국가들과 다르게 대하천사업 이후 하천의 홍수터에 생태공원이나 체육시설 등과 같은 다양한 친수시설들을 조성하여 활용하고 있다. 하지만 최근 이상기후로 인해 홍수의 발생빈도 및 강도가 증가하고 있으며 여름철 집중호우에 의한 하천의 홍수위 상승은 이러한 친수시설의 침식과 퇴적 등과 같은 침수피해를 가중시키는 원인이 되기도 한다(Ku et al., 2013). 따라서 이와 같은 홍수피해를 예측하기 위해서는 홍수터를 포함한 복단면에서의 수치해석이 선행되어야 하며, 일반적으로 2차원 수치해석이 바람직한 것으로 제안되고 있다(Sato et al., 1989). 또한 하천에서의 2차원 수치해석 결과를 이용하여 침식과 퇴적에 관한 친수시설 안정성 평가 지수를 산정할 수 있으며, 산정된 지수를 통해 홍수터에서의 홍수피해를 예측할 수 있다. 다른 국가에서는 국내와 다르게 홍수터에 대한 활용이 거의 없기 때문에 홍수에 따른 홍수터에서의 위험도를 평가한 연구는 거의 없는 실정이며, 한국에서도 홍수터에서의 홍수위험도 평가에 대한 연구는 Song et al.(2016)이 다른 국가에서 활용하고 있는 제내지에서의 홍수위험도 평가 지수를 홍수터에 도입하여 실제 태풍에 의한 홍수위험도를 간접적으로 평가한 연구 정도가 대부분이라고 볼 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 Einstein-Krone 공식(1962)을 이용하여 침식과 퇴적을 동시에 고려할 수 있는 Transient Erosion and Deposition Index(TEDI)와 Steady Erosion and Deposition Index(SEDI)를 개발하였다. 또한 개발된 지수를 실제 자연하천에 적용하여 태풍 사상에서의 산정된 지수를 통해 홍수터 안정성을 평가하였다.

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