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http://dx.doi.org/10.5389/KSAE.2020.62.2.001

Analysis of the Crop Damage Area Related to Flood by Climate Change Using a Constrained Multiple Linear Regression Model  

Kim, Myojeong (Korea Infrastructure Safety Corporation)
Kim, Gwangseob (School of Architectural, Civil, Environmental, and Energy Eng., Kyungpook National University)
Publication Information
Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers / v.62, no.2, 2020 , pp. 1-15 More about this Journal
Abstract
In this study, the characteristics of crop damage area by flooding for 113 middle range watersheds during 2000-2016 were analyzed and future crop damage area by flooding were analyzed using 13 GCM outputs such as hourly maximum rainfall, 10-min maximum rainfall, number of days of 80 mm/day, daily rainfall maximum, annual rainfall amount associated with RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios and watershed characteristic data such as DEM, urbanization ratio, population density, asset density, road improvement ratio, river improvement ratio, drainage system improvement ratio, pumping capacity, detention basin capacity, and crop damage area by flooding. A constrained multiple linear regression model was used to construct the relationships between the crop damage area by flooding and other variables. Future flood index related to crop damage may mainly increase in the Mankyung watershed, Southwest part of Youngsan and Sumjin river basin and Southern part of Nackdong river basin. Results are useful to identify watersheds which need to establish strategies for responding to future flood damage.
Keywords
Crop damage area by flooding; CMLR; GCM; RCP scenario;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 7  (Citation Analysis)
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