• 제목/요약/키워드: Inaccuracy Index

검색결과 15건 처리시간 0.022초

Better Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Process Incapability Index $C_{pp}$

  • Cho, Joong-Jae;Han, Jeong-Hye;Lee, In-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제10권2호
    • /
    • pp.341-357
    • /
    • 1999
  • Greenwich and Jahr-Schaffrath(1995) considered a new process incapability index(PII) $C_{pp}$, which modified the useful index $C^{\ast}_{pm}{$ for detecting assignable causes. The new index $C_{pp}$ provides an uncontaminated separation between information concerning the process accuracy and precision while this kind of information separation is not available with the $C^{\ast}_{pm}$ index. In this paper, we will study about the index $C_{pp}$ based on the bootstrap. First, we will prove the consistency of bootstrap deriving the bootstrap asymptotic distribution for our index $C_{pp}$. Moreover, with the consistency of bootstrap, we will construct six bootstrap confidence intervals and compare their performances. Some simulation results, comparison and analysis are provided. In particular, two STUD and ABC bootstrap methods perform significantly better.

  • PDF

공정능력의 평가를 위한 개선된 비공정능력지수 (An Improved Process Incapability Index for the Evaluation of Process Capability)

  • 신경석;김성집;강창욱
    • 품질경영학회지
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.90-102
    • /
    • 1996
  • Process incapability index which is intended to evaluate the process capability by measuring process incapability provides more detailed information by dividing information about the process mean and variance. But when the target value is not consistent with the center of specification, it is very difficult to evaluate the process capability accurately. Thus it is necessary to improve the existing process incapability index. The improved process incapability index can identify the variation of the process faster than other process capability indices when applied firstly, to the precision process which can be affected sensitively by the change of the process, secondly, to the ordinary process where cost difference from the change of process is noticeable. By using subindices such as inaccuracy index and imprecision index, it is easier for quality manager to find where the cause of the variation of process is, and to take necessary action in advance.

  • PDF

선형 및 신경망 자기회귀모형을 이용한 주식시장 불안정성지수 개발 (Stock market stability index via linear and neural network autoregressive model)

  • 오경주;김태윤;정기웅;김치호
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제22권2호
    • /
    • pp.335-351
    • /
    • 2011
  • 오경주와 김태윤 (2007) 등은 위기 관련 데이터의 희귀성 에서 발생하는 문제를 해결하기 위해 과거 금융시장이 안정적이었던 구간을 기준 구간으로 설정하고 기준 구간의 금융시장 움직임을 점 근 자기회귀 모형으로 적합한 후 현재의 금융시장 상황과 비교하여 불안정 지수를 도출할 것을 제안하였다. 그러나 비모수 기법인 신경망을 사용하여 도출된 불안정 지수가 기준 구간의 데이터에 지나치게 의존하는 관계로 불안정 지수가 종종 실제 경제상황을 제대로 반영하지 못하는 것으로 관찰되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 비모수 기법인 신경망과 모수 기법인 선형모형을 이용하여 기준구간에 대한 적합을 독립적으로 수행하여 두 종류의 불안정성 지수들을 도출한 후 이 둘을 결합한 통합 불안정성 지수를 사용할 것을 제안한다. 두 지수의 적절한 통합을 위해 신경망과 선형모형을 통해 도출된 두 지수의 최적 결합비율을 부여하는 방법을 제안하며 제안기법의 타당성을 국내 주식시장 대상으로 검증하였다.

Estimation trial for rice production by simulation model with unmanned air vehicle (UAV) in Sendai, Japan

  • Homma, Koki;Maki, Masayasu;Sasaki, Goshi;Kato, Mizuki
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국작물학회 2017년도 9th Asian Crop Science Association conference
    • /
    • pp.46-46
    • /
    • 2017
  • We developed a rice simulation model for remote-sensing (SIMRIW-RS, Homma et al., 2007) to evaluate rice production and management on a regional scale. Here, we reports its application trial to estimate rice production in farmers' fields in Sendai, Japan. The remote-sensing data for the application was periodically obtained by multispectral camera (RGB + NIR and RedEdge) attached with unmanned air vehicle (UAV). The airborne images was 8 cm in resolution which was attained by the flight at an altitude of 115 m. The remote-sensing data was relatively corresponded with leaf area index (LAI) of rice and its spatial and temporal variation, although the correspondences had some errors due to locational inaccuracy. Calibration of the simulation model depended on the first two remote-sensing data (obtained around one month after transplanting and panicle initiation) well predicted rice growth evaluated by the third remote-sensing data. The parameters obtained through the calibration may reflect soil fertility, and will be utilized for nutritional management. Although estimation accuracy has still needed to be improved, the rice yield was also well estimated. These results recommended further data accumulation and more accurate locational identification to improve the estimation accuracy.

  • PDF

Development of Plantar Pressure Measurement System and Personal Classification Study based on Plantar Pressure Image

  • Ho, Jong Gab;Kim, Dae Gyeom;Kim, Young;Jang, Seung-wan;Min, Se Dong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • 제15권11호
    • /
    • pp.3875-3891
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, a Velostat pressure sensor was manufactured to develop a plantar pressure measurement system and a C#-based application was developed to monitor and collect plantar pressure data in real time. In order to evaluate the characteristics of the proposed plantar pressure measurement system, the accuracy of plantar pressure index and personal classification was verified by comparing with MatScan, a commercial plantar pressure measurement system. As a result, the output characteristics according to the weight of the Velostat pressure sensor were evaluated and a trend line with the reliability of r2 = 0.98 was detected. The Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the weighted area was 11.315 cm2, the RMSE of the x coordinate of Center of Pressure(CoPx) was 1.036 cm and the RMSE of the y coordinate of Center of Pressure(CoPy) was 0.936 cm. Finally, inaccuracy of personal classification, the proposed system was 99.47% and MatScan was 96.86%. Based on the advantage of being simple to implement and capable of manufacturing at low cost, it is considered that it can be applied to various fields of measuring vital signs such as sitting posture and breathing in addition to the plantar pressure measurement system.

Comprehensive evaluation of cleaner production in thermal power plants based on an improved least squares support vector machine model

  • Ye, Minquan;Sun, Jingyi;Huang, Shenhai
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.559-565
    • /
    • 2019
  • In order to alleviate the environmental pressure caused by production process of thermal power plants, the application of cleaner production is imperative. To estimate the implementation effects of cleaner production in thermal plants and optimize the strategy duly, it is of great significance to take a comprehensive evaluation for sustainable development. In this paper, a hybrid model that integrated the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) algorithm optimized by grid search (GS) algorithm is proposed. Based on the establishment of the evaluation index system, AHP is employed to pre-process the data and GS is introduced to optimize the parameters in LSSVM, which can avoid the randomness and inaccuracy of parameters' setting. The results demonstrate that the combined model is able to be employed in the comprehensive evaluation of the cleaner production in the thermal power plants.

Prediction of Survival in Patients with Advanced Cancer: A Narrative Review and Future Research Priorities

  • Yusuke Hiratsuka;Jun Hamano;Masanori Mori;Isseki Maeda;Tatsuya Morita;Sang-Yeon Suh
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
    • /
    • 제26권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-6
    • /
    • 2023
  • This paper aimed to summarize the current situation of prognostication for patients with an expected survival of weeks or months, and to clarify future research priorities. Prognostic information is essential for patients, their families, and medical professionals to make end-of-life decisions. The clinician's prediction of survival is often used, but this may be inaccurate and optimistic. Many prognostic tools, such as the Palliative Performance Scale, Palliative Prognostic Index, Palliative Prognostic Score, and Prognosis in Palliative Care Study, have been developed and validated to reduce the inaccuracy of the clinician's prediction of survival. To date, there is no consensus on the most appropriate method of comparing tools that use different formats to predict survival. Therefore, the feasibility of using prognostic scales in clinical practice and the information wanted by the end users can determine the appropriate prognostic tool to use. We propose four major themes for further prognostication research: (1) functional prognosis, (2) outcomes of prognostic communication, (3) artificial intelligence, and (4) education for clinicians.

용수부족지표를 이용한 다목적댐의 비상용수 공급 효과 분석 (Analysis of Emergency Water Supply Effects of Multipurpose Dams Using Water Shortage Index)

  • 이광만;이재응
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제45권11호
    • /
    • pp.1143-1156
    • /
    • 2012
  • 수자원 시스템의 중요한 기능 중 하나는 갈수 피해를 방지하는 것이다. 그러나 댐에 의한 용수공급계획은 이용 가능한 자료의 한계, 조사 자료의 부정확, 해석 방법의 부적합 그리고 기후변화 등의 요인에 의해 불확실성이 존재한다. 실제 운영과정에서는 이수안전도를 초과하는 이상가뭄 발생 시 용수부족이 발생하여 제한급수 등 정상적인 물이용이 불가능해진다. 그러나 우리나라는 가뭄에 의해 물부족이 발생할 경우 대체수원개발 등 딱히 마땅한 대처수단이 없으며, 갈수대책을 위한 수원확보도 미미한 실정이다. 특히 이상가뭄에 의한 피해정도를 고려하여 용수공급효과를 평가할 수 있는 기준이 마련되어 있지 못해 현실적인 대책을 마련하기 어려운 실정이다. 본 연구는 기 제시되어 있는 용수부족지표를 이용하여 기존 다목적댐의 저수(低水) 용량을 비상용수 공급원으로 활용하는 방안에 대하여 검토하였다. 기존 다목적댐의 유량자료를 이용하여 용수부족 사상을 분석하고 용수부족 감소효과를 평가하였다. 적용 결과 임하, 대청, 합천 및 남강댐의 경우 이상가뭄에 매우 취약한 것으로 나타났으며 가뭄대비용 비상용수의 추가 확보가 필요한 것으로 나타났다.

농작물 모니터링을 위한 점수기반 식생지수 합성기법의 개발 (Development of Score-based Vegetation Index Composite Algorithm for Crop Monitoring)

  • 김선화;은정
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제38권6_1호
    • /
    • pp.1343-1356
    • /
    • 2022
  • 광학위성영상을 이용해 농작물을 모니터링 할 때 가장 문제가 되는 것은 구름이나 그림자이다. 구름과 그림자의 영향을 줄이기 위해 일정 주기동안 최대 정규식생지수를 선택하는 합성기법이 사용되었다. 그러나, 본 방법은 구름의 영향을 줄이기는 하나, 일정 주기 동안 최대 정규식생지수(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI)값만을 사용하기 때문에 NDVI가 감소하는 현상을 신속히 보여주기 어렵다. 이에 따라, 구름의 영향을 최소화하면서 식생의 분광정보를 최대한 유지하기 위한 방안으로 합성 시 여러 환경인자를 정의하고, 이에 대한 점수를 부여하여 합성 시 가장 적합한 화소를 선택하는 방법인 점수 기반 합성기법이 제시되었다. 본 연구에서는 Sentinel-2A/B Level2A 반사율 영상과, 부가정보로 제공되는 구름, 그림자, Aerosol Optical Thickness(AOT), 촬영날짜, 센서천정각 등을 이용한 점수 기반 식생지수 합성기법을 개발하였다. 2021년동안 당진 논지역과 태백 고랭지 배추밭을 대상으로 15일 주기와 한달 주기로 점수기반 합성기법을 적용한 결과, 구름의 영향을 받은 우기만을 제외하고 15일 주기 합성 시 한달 주기에 비해 보다 빠르고 자세한 NDVI값의 변화를 볼 수 있었다. 특정 영상에서는 합성 NDVI영상에서 부분적으로 날짜별 차이가 나타나 공간적으로 이질적인 부분이 보이기도 하는데, 이는 사용한 구름, 그림자 정보의 부정확성으로 인한 것으로 사려된다. 향후 입력정보의 정확도를 향상시키고, Maximum NDVI Composite (MNC) 기반 합성기법과 정량적 비교를 수행할 예정이다.

한국 주식시장에서 마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형의 입력 변수의 정확도에 따른 투자 성과 연구 (Investment Performance of Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model over the Accuracy of the Input Parameters in the Korean Stock Market)

  • 김홍선;정종빈;김성문
    • 한국경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제38권4호
    • /
    • pp.35-52
    • /
    • 2013
  • Markowitz's portfolio selection model is used to construct an optimal portfolio which has minimum variance, while satisfying a minimum required expected return. The model uses estimators based on analysis of historical data to estimate the returns, standard deviations, and correlation coefficients of individual stocks being considered for investment. However, due to the inaccuracies involved in estimations, the true optimality of a portfolio constructed using the model is questionable. To investigate the effect of estimation inaccuracy on actual portfolio performance, we study the changes in a portfolio's realized return and standard deviation as the accuracy of the estimations for each stock's return, standard deviation, and correlation coefficient is increased. Furthermore, we empirically analyze the portfolio's performance by comparing it with the performance of active mutual funds that are being traded in the Korean stock market and the KOSPI benchmark index, in terms of portfolio returns, standard deviations of returns, and Sharpe ratios. Our results suggest that, among the three input parameters, the accuracy of the estimated returns of individual stocks has the largest effect on performance, while the accuracy of the estimates of the standard deviation of each stock's returns and the correlation coefficient between different stocks have smaller effects. In addition, it is shown that even a small increase in the accuracy of the estimated return of individual stocks improves the portfolio's performance substantially, suggesting that Markowitz's model can be more effectively applied in real-life investments with just an incremental effort to increase estimation accuracy.