• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inaccuracy Index

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Better Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Process Incapability Index $C_{pp}$

  • Cho, Joong-Jae;Han, Jeong-Hye;Lee, In-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.341-357
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    • 1999
  • Greenwich and Jahr-Schaffrath(1995) considered a new process incapability index(PII) $C_{pp}$, which modified the useful index $C^{\ast}_{pm}{$ for detecting assignable causes. The new index $C_{pp}$ provides an uncontaminated separation between information concerning the process accuracy and precision while this kind of information separation is not available with the $C^{\ast}_{pm}$ index. In this paper, we will study about the index $C_{pp}$ based on the bootstrap. First, we will prove the consistency of bootstrap deriving the bootstrap asymptotic distribution for our index $C_{pp}$. Moreover, with the consistency of bootstrap, we will construct six bootstrap confidence intervals and compare their performances. Some simulation results, comparison and analysis are provided. In particular, two STUD and ABC bootstrap methods perform significantly better.

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An Improved Process Incapability Index for the Evaluation of Process Capability (공정능력의 평가를 위한 개선된 비공정능력지수)

  • Shin, Kyung-seok;Kim, Seong-Jip;Kang, Chang-wook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.90-102
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    • 1996
  • Process incapability index which is intended to evaluate the process capability by measuring process incapability provides more detailed information by dividing information about the process mean and variance. But when the target value is not consistent with the center of specification, it is very difficult to evaluate the process capability accurately. Thus it is necessary to improve the existing process incapability index. The improved process incapability index can identify the variation of the process faster than other process capability indices when applied firstly, to the precision process which can be affected sensitively by the change of the process, secondly, to the ordinary process where cost difference from the change of process is noticeable. By using subindices such as inaccuracy index and imprecision index, it is easier for quality manager to find where the cause of the variation of process is, and to take necessary action in advance.

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Stock market stability index via linear and neural network autoregressive model (선형 및 신경망 자기회귀모형을 이용한 주식시장 불안정성지수 개발)

  • Oh, Kyung-Joo;Kim, Tae-Yoon;Jung, Ki-Woong;Kim, Chi-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.335-351
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    • 2011
  • In order to resolve data scarcity problem related to crisis, Oh and Kim (2007) proposed to use stability oriented approach which focuses a base period of financial market, fits asymptotic stationary autoregressive model to the base period and then compares the fitted model with the current market situation. Based on such approach, they developed financial market instability index. However, since neural network, their major tool, depends on the base period too heavily, their instability index tends to suffer from inaccuracy. In this study, we consider linear asymptotic stationary autoregressive model and neural network to fit the base period and produce two instability indexes independently. Then the two indexes are combined into one integrated instability index via newly proposed combining method. It turns out that the combined instability performs reliably well.

Estimation trial for rice production by simulation model with unmanned air vehicle (UAV) in Sendai, Japan

  • Homma, Koki;Maki, Masayasu;Sasaki, Goshi;Kato, Mizuki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 2017.06a
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    • pp.46-46
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    • 2017
  • We developed a rice simulation model for remote-sensing (SIMRIW-RS, Homma et al., 2007) to evaluate rice production and management on a regional scale. Here, we reports its application trial to estimate rice production in farmers' fields in Sendai, Japan. The remote-sensing data for the application was periodically obtained by multispectral camera (RGB + NIR and RedEdge) attached with unmanned air vehicle (UAV). The airborne images was 8 cm in resolution which was attained by the flight at an altitude of 115 m. The remote-sensing data was relatively corresponded with leaf area index (LAI) of rice and its spatial and temporal variation, although the correspondences had some errors due to locational inaccuracy. Calibration of the simulation model depended on the first two remote-sensing data (obtained around one month after transplanting and panicle initiation) well predicted rice growth evaluated by the third remote-sensing data. The parameters obtained through the calibration may reflect soil fertility, and will be utilized for nutritional management. Although estimation accuracy has still needed to be improved, the rice yield was also well estimated. These results recommended further data accumulation and more accurate locational identification to improve the estimation accuracy.

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Development of Plantar Pressure Measurement System and Personal Classification Study based on Plantar Pressure Image

  • Ho, Jong Gab;Kim, Dae Gyeom;Kim, Young;Jang, Seung-wan;Min, Se Dong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.3875-3891
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a Velostat pressure sensor was manufactured to develop a plantar pressure measurement system and a C#-based application was developed to monitor and collect plantar pressure data in real time. In order to evaluate the characteristics of the proposed plantar pressure measurement system, the accuracy of plantar pressure index and personal classification was verified by comparing with MatScan, a commercial plantar pressure measurement system. As a result, the output characteristics according to the weight of the Velostat pressure sensor were evaluated and a trend line with the reliability of r2 = 0.98 was detected. The Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the weighted area was 11.315 cm2, the RMSE of the x coordinate of Center of Pressure(CoPx) was 1.036 cm and the RMSE of the y coordinate of Center of Pressure(CoPy) was 0.936 cm. Finally, inaccuracy of personal classification, the proposed system was 99.47% and MatScan was 96.86%. Based on the advantage of being simple to implement and capable of manufacturing at low cost, it is considered that it can be applied to various fields of measuring vital signs such as sitting posture and breathing in addition to the plantar pressure measurement system.

Comprehensive evaluation of cleaner production in thermal power plants based on an improved least squares support vector machine model

  • Ye, Minquan;Sun, Jingyi;Huang, Shenhai
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.559-565
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    • 2019
  • In order to alleviate the environmental pressure caused by production process of thermal power plants, the application of cleaner production is imperative. To estimate the implementation effects of cleaner production in thermal plants and optimize the strategy duly, it is of great significance to take a comprehensive evaluation for sustainable development. In this paper, a hybrid model that integrated the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) algorithm optimized by grid search (GS) algorithm is proposed. Based on the establishment of the evaluation index system, AHP is employed to pre-process the data and GS is introduced to optimize the parameters in LSSVM, which can avoid the randomness and inaccuracy of parameters' setting. The results demonstrate that the combined model is able to be employed in the comprehensive evaluation of the cleaner production in the thermal power plants.

Prediction of Survival in Patients with Advanced Cancer: A Narrative Review and Future Research Priorities

  • Yusuke Hiratsuka;Jun Hamano;Masanori Mori;Isseki Maeda;Tatsuya Morita;Sang-Yeon Suh
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2023
  • This paper aimed to summarize the current situation of prognostication for patients with an expected survival of weeks or months, and to clarify future research priorities. Prognostic information is essential for patients, their families, and medical professionals to make end-of-life decisions. The clinician's prediction of survival is often used, but this may be inaccurate and optimistic. Many prognostic tools, such as the Palliative Performance Scale, Palliative Prognostic Index, Palliative Prognostic Score, and Prognosis in Palliative Care Study, have been developed and validated to reduce the inaccuracy of the clinician's prediction of survival. To date, there is no consensus on the most appropriate method of comparing tools that use different formats to predict survival. Therefore, the feasibility of using prognostic scales in clinical practice and the information wanted by the end users can determine the appropriate prognostic tool to use. We propose four major themes for further prognostication research: (1) functional prognosis, (2) outcomes of prognostic communication, (3) artificial intelligence, and (4) education for clinicians.

Analysis of Emergency Water Supply Effects of Multipurpose Dams Using Water Shortage Index (용수부족지표를 이용한 다목적댐의 비상용수 공급 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Gwang-Man;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.11
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    • pp.1143-1156
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    • 2012
  • One of the important purposes of most water resources systems is to prevent from drought damages. However, there are uncertainties in water supply plans from a reservoir due to factors such as limitation of available data, inaccuracy of surveyed data, unsuitability of analysis method, and climate change. In actual operating process, severe drought exceeding the water supply capability makes the normal water usage difficult. In Korea, however, alternative water source such as a development of new water project is very limited in case of water shortages due to drought. Especially, since there is no standard to evaluate the water supply effect considering severe drought damages, it is difficult to prepare the practical measures. In this study, water shortage events of existing multipurpose reservoirs are analyzed and the method of using low-storage emergency water supply is studied by using Water Shortage Index (WSI). The water shortage events are analyzed and the effect of water shortage decrease is evaluated using the existing inflow data of multi-purpose reservoirs. The results show that Imha, Daechung, Hapchon and Namkang reservoirs are highly vulnerable to the severe drought and required to develop additional emergency water source.

Development of Score-based Vegetation Index Composite Algorithm for Crop Monitoring (농작물 모니터링을 위한 점수기반 식생지수 합성기법의 개발)

  • Kim, Sun-Hwa;Eun, Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.6_1
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    • pp.1343-1356
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    • 2022
  • Clouds or shadows are the most problematic when monitoring crops using optical satellite images. To reduce this effect, a composite algorithm was used to select the maximum Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) for a certain period. This Maximum NDVI Composite (MNC) method reduces the influence of clouds, but since only the maximum NDVI value is used for a certain period, it is difficult to show the phenomenon immediately when the NDVI decreases. As a way to maintain the spectral information of crop as much as possible while minimizing the influence of clouds, a Score-Based Composite (SBC) algorithm was proposed, which is a method of selecting the most suitable pixels by defining various environmental factors and assigning scores to them when compositing. In this study, the Sentinel-2A/B Level 2A reflectance image and cloud, shadow, Aerosol Optical Thickness(AOT), obtainging date, sensor zenith angle provided as additional information were used for the SBC algorithm. As a result of applying the SBC algorithm with a 15-day and a monthly period for Dangjin rice fields and Taebaek highland cabbage fields in 2021, the 15-day period composited data showed faster detailed changes in NDVI than the monthly composited results, except for the rainy season affected by clouds. In certain images, a spatially heterogeneous part is seen due to partial date-by-date differences in the composited NDVI image, which is considered to be due to the inaccuracy of the cloud and shadow information used. In the future, we plan to improve the accuracy of input information and perform quantitative comparison with MNC-based composite algorithm.

Investment Performance of Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model over the Accuracy of the Input Parameters in the Korean Stock Market (한국 주식시장에서 마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형의 입력 변수의 정확도에 따른 투자 성과 연구)

  • Kim, Hongseon;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.35-52
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    • 2013
  • Markowitz's portfolio selection model is used to construct an optimal portfolio which has minimum variance, while satisfying a minimum required expected return. The model uses estimators based on analysis of historical data to estimate the returns, standard deviations, and correlation coefficients of individual stocks being considered for investment. However, due to the inaccuracies involved in estimations, the true optimality of a portfolio constructed using the model is questionable. To investigate the effect of estimation inaccuracy on actual portfolio performance, we study the changes in a portfolio's realized return and standard deviation as the accuracy of the estimations for each stock's return, standard deviation, and correlation coefficient is increased. Furthermore, we empirically analyze the portfolio's performance by comparing it with the performance of active mutual funds that are being traded in the Korean stock market and the KOSPI benchmark index, in terms of portfolio returns, standard deviations of returns, and Sharpe ratios. Our results suggest that, among the three input parameters, the accuracy of the estimated returns of individual stocks has the largest effect on performance, while the accuracy of the estimates of the standard deviation of each stock's returns and the correlation coefficient between different stocks have smaller effects. In addition, it is shown that even a small increase in the accuracy of the estimated return of individual stocks improves the portfolio's performance substantially, suggesting that Markowitz's model can be more effectively applied in real-life investments with just an incremental effort to increase estimation accuracy.