• Title/Summary/Keyword: Improved Decision Tree

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Deciding the Optimal Shutdown Time Incorporating the Accident Forecasting Model (원자력 발전소 사고 예측 모형과 병합한 최적 운행중지 결정 모형)

  • Yang, Hee Joong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.171-178
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the continuing operation of nuclear power plants has become a major controversial issue in Korea. Whether to continue to operate nuclear power plants is a matter to be determined considering many factors including social and political factors as well as economic factors. But in this paper we concentrate only on the economic factors to make an optimum decision on operating nuclear power plants. Decisions should be based on forecasts of plant accident risks and large and small accident data from power plants. We outline the structure of a decision model that incorporate accident risks. We formulate to decide whether to shutdown permanently, shutdown temporarily for maintenance, or to operate one period of time and then periodically repeat the analysis and decision process with additional information about new costs and risks. The forecasting model to predict nuclear power plant accidents is incorporated for an improved decision making. First, we build a one-period decision model and extend this theory to a multi-period model. In this paper we utilize influence diagrams as well as decision trees for modeling. And bayesian statistical approach is utilized. Many of the parameter values in this model may be set fairly subjective by decision makers. Once the parameter values have been determined, the model will be able to present the optimal decision according to that value.

A Context-Aware Information Service using FCM Clustering Algorithm and Fuzzy Decision Tree (FCM 클러스터링 알고리즘과 퍼지 결정트리를 이용한 상황인식 정보 서비스)

  • Yang, Seokhwan;Chung, Mokdong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.810-819
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    • 2013
  • FCM (Fuzzy C-Means) clustering algorithm, a typical split-based clustering algorithm, has been successfully applied to the various fields. Nonetheless, the FCM clustering algorithm has some problems, such as high sensitivity to noise and local data, the different clustering result from the intuitive grasp, and the setting of initial round and the number of clusters. To address these problems, in this paper, we determine fuzzy numbers which project the FCM clustering result on the axis with the specific attribute. And we propose a model that the fuzzy numbers apply to FDT (Fuzzy Decision Tree). This model improves the two problems of FCM clustering algorithm such as elevated sensitivity to data, and the difference of the clustering result from the intuitional decision. And also, this paper compares the effect of the proposed model and the result of FCM clustering algorithm through the experiment using real traffic and rainfall data. The experimental results indicate that the proposed model provides more reliable results by the sensitivity relief for data. And we can see that it has improved on the concordance of FCM clustering result with the intuitive expectation.

i-Tree Canopy-based Decision Support Method for Establishing Climate Change Adaptive Urban Forests (기후변화적응형 도시림 조성을 위한 i-Tree Canopy 기반 의사결정지원 방안)

  • Tae Han Kim;Jae Young Lee;Chang Gil Song;Ji Eun Oh
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.12-18
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    • 2024
  • The accelerated pace of climate crisis due to continuous industrialization and greenhouse gas emissions necessitates sustainable solutions that simultaneously address mitigation and adaptation to climate change. Naturebased Solutions (NbS) have gained prominence as viable approaches, with Green Infrastructure being a representative NbS. Green Infrastructure involves securing green spaces within urban areas, providing diverse climate adaptation functions such as removal of various air pollutants, carbon sequestration, and isolation. The proliferation of Green Infrastructure is influenced by the quantification of improvement effects related to various projects. To support decision-making by assessing the climate vulnerability of Green Infrastructure, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has developed i-Tree Tools. This study proposes a comprehensive evaluation approach for climate change adaptation types by quantifying the climate adaptation performance of urban Green Infrastructure. Using i-Tree Canopy, the analysis focuses on five urban green spaces covering more than 30 hectares, considering the tree ratio relative to the total area. The evaluation encompasses aspects of thermal environment, aquatic environment, and atmospheric environment to assess the overall eco-friendliness in terms of climate change adaptation. The results indicate that an increase in the tree ratio correlates with improved eco-friendliness in terms of thermal, aquatic, and atmospheric environments. In particular, it is necessary to prioritize consideration of the water environment sector in order to realize climate change adaptive green infrastructure, such as increasing green space in urban areas, as it has been confirmed that four out of five target sites are specialized in improving the water environment.

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A study for Desertification Monitoring and Assessment based on satellite imagery in Tunisia (위성영상기반 튀니지 사막화 모니터링 및 평가에 관한 연구)

  • KIM, Ji-Won;SONG, Chol-Ho;PARK, Eun-Been;LEE, Jong-Yeol;CHOI, Sol-E;LEE, Eun-Jung;LEE, Woo-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.91-107
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    • 2018
  • It is required to monitor and assess the desertification in Tunisia, where the Sahara Desert, which is located in the southern part of Tunisia, is recently expanding northward. In this study, by using remote sensed data, land cover changes were examined, and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Topsoil Grain Size Index (TGSI) and Albedo are used to monitor and assess desertification in Tunisia. Decision Tree was constructed, and the frequencies and trends of each assessment indicator, desertification degree and land cover were identified. In addition, we analyzed the correlation between assessment indicators and precipitation. As a result, desertification is generally intensifying northward, especially in areas with high levels of desertification. Also, bivariate correlation analysis showed that Albedo, NDVI and TGSI were all highly correlated with precipitation. It indicates that changes in precipitation have also been shown to affect Tunisian desertification. In conclusion, this study has improved the usability of various methodologies considering the assessment indicators based on satellite imagery, Decision Tree, which is a method of evaluating them complexly, and trends of land cover change.

A study on Natural Disaster Prediction Using Multi-Class Decision Forest

  • Eom, Tae-Hyuk;Kim, Kyung-A
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a study was conducted to predict natural disasters in Afghanistan based on machine learning. Natural disasters need to be prepared not only in Korea but also in other vulnerable countries. Every year in Afghanistan, natural disasters(snow, earthquake, drought, flood) cause property and casualties. We decided to conduct research on this phenomenon because we thought that the damage would be small if we were to prepare for it. The Azure Machine Learning Studio used in the study has the advantage of being more visible and easier to use than other Machine Learning tools. Decision Forest is a model for classifying into decision tree types. Decision forest enables intuitive analysis as a model that is easy to analyze results and presents key variables and separation criteria. Also, since it is a nonparametric model, it is free to assume (normality, independence, equal dispersion) required by the statistical model. Finally, linear/non-linear relationships can be searched considering interactions between variables. Therefore, the study used decision forest. The study found that overall accuracy was 89 percent and average accuracy was 97 percent. Although the results of the experiment showed a little high accuracy, items with low natural disaster frequency were less accurate due to lack of learning. By learning and complementing more data, overall accuracy can be improved, and damage can be reduced by predicting natural disasters.

The Study on Improving Accuracy of Land Cover Classification using Spectral Library of Hyperspectral Image (초분광영상의 분광라이브러리를 이용한 토지피복분류의 정확도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jung-Seo;Seo, Jin-Jae;Go, Je-Woong;Cho, Gi-Sung
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.239-251
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    • 2016
  • Hyperspectral image is widely used for land cover classification because it has a number of narrow bands and allow each pixel to include much more information in comparison with previous multi-spectral image. However, Higher spectral resolution of hyperspectral image results in an increase in data volumes and a decrease in noise efficiency. SAM(Spectral Angle Mapping), a method based on vector inner product to compare spectrum distribution, is a highly valuable and popular way to analyze continuous spectrum of hyperspectral image. SAM is shown to be less accurate when it is used to analyze hyperspectral image for land cover classification using spectral library. this inaccuracy is due to the effects of atmosphere. We suggest a decision tree based method to compensate the defect and show that the method improved accuracy of land cover classification.

A Determining System for the Category of Need in Long-Term Care Insurance System using Decision Tree Model (의사결정나무기법을 이용한 노인장기요양보험 등급결정모형 개발)

  • Han, Eun-Jeong;Kwak, Min-Jeong;Kan, Im-Oak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.145-159
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    • 2011
  • National long-term care insurance started in July, 2008. We try to make up for weak points and develop a long-term care insurance system. Especially, it is important to upgrade the rating model of the category of need for long-term care continually. We improve the rating model using the data after enforcement of the system to reflect the rapidly changing long-term care marketplace. A decision tree model was adpoted to upgrade the rating model that makes it easy to compare with the current system. This model is based on the first assumption that, a person with worse functional conditions needs more long-term care services than others. Second, the volume of long-term care services are de ned as a service time. This study was conducted to reflect the changing circumstances. Rating models have to be continually improved to reflect changing circumstances, like the infrastructure of the system or the characteristics of the insurance beneficiary.

A Study on the Improvement of Multitree Pattern Recognition Algorithm (Multitree 형상 인식 기법의 성능 개선에 관한 연구)

  • 김태성;이정희;김성대
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.348-359
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    • 1989
  • The multitree pattern recognition algorithm proposed by [1] and [2] is modified in order to improve its performance. The basic idea of the multitree pattern classification algorithm is that the binary dceision tree used to classify an unknow pattern is constructed for each feature and that at each stage, classification rule decides whether to classify the unknown pattern or to extract the feature value according to the feature ordet. So the feature ordering needed in the calssification procedure is simple and the number of features used in the classification procedure is small compared with other classification algorithms. Thus the algorithm can be easily applied to real pattern recognition problems even when the number of features and that of the classes are very large. In this paper, the wighting factor assignment scheme in the decision procedure is modified and various classification rules are proposed by means of the weighting factor. And the branch and bound method is applied to feature subset selection and feature ordering. Several experimental results show that the performance of the multitree pattern classification algorithm is improved by the proposed scheme.

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The Hybrid Model using SVM and Decision Tree for Intrusion Detection (SVM과 의사결정트리를 이용한 혼합형 침입탐지 모델)

  • Um, Nam-Kyoung;Woo, Sung-Hee;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.14C no.1 s.111
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2007
  • In order to operate a secure network, it is very important for the network to raise positive detection as well as lower negative detection for reducing the damage from network intrusion. By using SVM on the intrusion detection field, we expect to improve real-time detection of intrusion data. However, due to classification based on calculating values after having expressed input data in vector space by SVM, continuous data type can not be used as any input data. Therefore, we present the hybrid model between SVM and decision tree method to make up for the weak point. Accordingly, we see that intrusion detection rate, F-P error rate, F-N error rate are improved as 5.6%, 0.16%, 0.82%, respectively.

An Efficient One Class Classifier Using Gaussian-based Hyper-Rectangle Generation (가우시안 기반 Hyper-Rectangle 생성을 이용한 효율적 단일 분류기)

  • Kim, Do Gyun;Choi, Jin Young;Ko, Jeonghan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.56-64
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, imbalanced data is one of the most important and frequent issue for quality control in industrial field. As an example, defect rate has been drastically reduced thanks to highly developed technology and quality management, so that only few defective data can be obtained from production process. Therefore, quality classification should be performed under the condition that one class (defective dataset) is even smaller than the other class (good dataset). However, traditional multi-class classification methods are not appropriate to deal with such an imbalanced dataset, since they classify data from the difference between one class and the others that can hardly be found in imbalanced datasets. Thus, one-class classification that thoroughly learns patterns of target class is more suitable for imbalanced dataset since it only focuses on data in a target class. So far, several one-class classification methods such as one-class support vector machine, neural network and decision tree there have been suggested. One-class support vector machine and neural network can guarantee good classification rate, and decision tree can provide a set of rules that can be clearly interpreted. However, the classifiers obtained from the former two methods consist of complex mathematical functions and cannot be easily understood by users. In case of decision tree, the criterion for rule generation is ambiguous. Therefore, as an alternative, a new one-class classifier using hyper-rectangles was proposed, which performs precise classification compared to other methods and generates rules clearly understood by users as well. In this paper, we suggest an approach for improving the limitations of those previous one-class classification algorithms. Specifically, the suggested approach produces more improved one-class classifier using hyper-rectangles generated by using Gaussian function. The performance of the suggested algorithm is verified by a numerical experiment, which uses several datasets in UCI machine learning repository.