• Title/Summary/Keyword: Housing Finance

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The Evaluation of Value at Risk in Build Transfer Lease Project (민간투자사업의 위험가치 평가 - 임대형 민간투자사업(BTL)의 위험가치 평가 제도를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Seok-Joon;Kim, Sang-Sin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.10
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    • pp.2907-2916
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    • 2009
  • PPPs(Public Private Partnerships) in Korea was introduced in 1990s, which mainly used for providing transportation facilities such as railroad and high-way. Since 2005, a service delivery type PPPs, in other words BTL(Build Transfer Lease) has been implemented, which focused on social infra-structure including school, military housing, and sewage facilities. According to previous literature, efficient risk evaluation and management is the key factor for successful PPPs in the UK and Australia. However, Korea doesn't have proper risk evaluation system for PPP type project. In this paper, we explore and analyze risk evaluation system of PPPs in Korea and other countries. Also, we apply empirical methodology used in the UK to a BTL project and set up a new PSC(Public Sector Comparator) with risk evaluation.

Business Cycles and Impacts of Oil Shocks on the Korean Macroeconomy (경기변동에 따른 유가충격이 거시경제에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Baek, Ingul;Kim, Taehwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.171-194
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    • 2020
  • We revisit the impact of oil shocks on the Korean economy and examine how this impact varies depending on a business cycle. First, we estimate the probability of a recession through a logistic probability distribution, and correct the probability to match business cycles announced by the Korea National Statistical Office. We set up a STVAR model to analyze the response of macroeconomic variables to oil shocks according to business cycles. We find that oil shocks during the recession have a negative effect on GDP in the mid- and long-term, but during the expansion, GDP does not show a statistically significant response to oil shocks. We presume that this finding is associated with the factors of both the increase in demand for consumption and the increase in current account during the economic boom. Also, we find that the impact of oil shocks on the price level was also observed differently in terms of the persistence of inflation by business cycle. These results highlight the importance of an application of a regime switching model, which has been widely used in energy economics in recent years.

A Study on the Reformation Proposal of Post-Evaluation Indicator for Performance Measurement in the Public Construction (공공공사 성과측정을 위한 사후평가항목 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Eun-Ji;Kim, Kyung-Hwan;Lee, Yoon-Sun;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.523-526
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    • 2007
  • In Korea, the construction industry has been growing quantitatively because of its aggressive advances into overseas construction market and the Korean government's housing policy. Moreover, visions and goals such as 'construction industry promotion build up plan' have recently been promoted by the government while new strategic growth focused on competitiveness is gaining interests among the industry. However, there are a few problems in the construction performance. First, the specific performance measurement indicator or skills for the construction industry are hardly found in Korea. Currently, the finance or overall management system in the construction business are used as indicators to measure performances in not only the construction industry but all industries including the manufacturing industry. The government, the industry and universities recognized the need for the performance measurement indicator and skill and have developed and actively studied on them.

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An Analysis of the Factors Influencing Sales Price of Multi-Household Houses in Chang-won City (창원시 다가구주택의 매매가격에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Oh, Sae-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.193-201
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    • 2019
  • The public's interest regarding multi-household houses, one of the small-scale housings used as profit earning property, has been increasing. Previous studies regarding price, such as the rent and sales price of multi-household houses', however, were difficult to find. Thus, this study set forth to find out what characteristics influence the sales price of multi-household houses so as to provide further suggestions to investors' decision makings and developers' strategy establishments. The data was retrieved from multi-household sales transacted in Changwon City. Through empirical analysis, this paper found that prices were high in Euichang-gu and Seongsan-gu, and meaningful variables in terms of locations were distance from major trade areas(-), distance from main streets(-), and Corner site(+). Meaningful variables related to household characteristics were total floor area(+), Studio type(+), Southern exposure(+), Building age(-), and Full-furnished(+).

Predicting Default Risk among Young Adults with Random Forest Algorithm (랜덤포레스트 모델을 활용한 청년층 차입자의 채무 불이행 위험 연구)

  • Lee, Jonghee
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.19-34
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    • 2022
  • There are growing concerns about debt insolvency among youth and low-income households. The deterioration in household debt quality among young people is due to a combination of sluggish employment, an increase in student loan burden and an increase in high-interest loans from the secondary financial sector. The purpose of this study was to explore the possibility of household debt default among young borrowers in Korea and to predict the factors affecting this possibility. This study utilized the 2021 Household Finance and Welfare Survey and used random forest algorithm to comprehensively analyze factors related to the possibility of default risk among young adults. This study presented the importance index and partial dependence charts of major determinants. This study found that the ratio of debt to assets(DTA), medical costs, household default risk index (HDRI), communication costs, and housing costs the focal independent variables.

Estimation of Economic Value of Public Housing Parking Lot : Focusing on the Hedonic Price Approach in the Case of Hanam City (공공주택 주차장의 경제적 가치 추정 연구 : 하남시 사례의 헤도닉가격접근법 중심으로)

  • Heo Eun Jin;Choi Sung Won
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2023
  • This study uses the hedonic price approach to estimate the economic value of a parking lot in an apartment building. In this study, a logarithmic function was applied to estimate the price elasticity of parking spaces. Variables were composed of an independent variable (apartment house characteristics) and a dummy variable (external characteristics). Detailed variables include exclusive area, number of floors, waterproofing, number of bathrooms, and number of parking spaces per household. Based on the results of the analysis for the entire year, the increase in the number of parking spaces affects a price increase of approximately 25.97 million won to 59.68 million won, which can be interpreted as the economic value of the parking space. However, since Hanam City was specified in this study, there is a limit to generalizing the current results and using them for project evaluation.

A Study on the Impact Investment for the Revitalization of Financial Institutions of Social Enterprises: in the Case of Britain and U.S.A. (사회적기업의 금융지원 활성화를 위한 임팩트투자 연구 - 영국과 미국 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Chang, Sug-In;Seong, Yeon-Ok;Lim, Sang-Ho
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.151-169
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    • 2015
  • Social enterprises that are solving pressing global issues and providing services such as micro-finance, affordable housing, appropriate technology and education for the 'bottom of the pyramid' as well as cultural and community-related businesses that improve the 'quality of life' within a society are the target of impact investments. Among them, a capital financing is one of the most important factor in founding and fostering of social enterprise. However, the capital market for social enterprises in South Korea are not yet sufficiently developed. The Britain and U.S.A. attempted to solve the social problem by the introduction of the social innovation credit model, for example, social impact bonds(SIB), Big Society Capital, DBLIF, and ACCION International, which are considered as an innovative new financing instrument for social program. Instruments are being attempted for the first time in Britain and America. This study have two purposes. The first purpose is abstracting the institutional mechanism for introduction of impact investment such as SIB and DBLIF case in Britain and U.S.A.. Second, analyzing type and mix of policy instrument on impact investment from the perspective of policy instrument.

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A Scale Development of Healthy Lifestyle of Single-Person Household (1인가구 건강성 척도 개발 연구)

  • Song, Hyerim;Park, Jeongyun;Chin, Meejung;Koh, Sun-Kang
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2021
  • Focusing on increasing of single-person households this study aims to develop a scale to measure the healthiness of lifestyle among single-person households. The concept of healthiness of lifestyle is based on the theories of family strength and family ecology. We draw 50 items that encompass basic needs, individual, familial, and social aspects of single-person life. Using a sample of 317 persons who live alone, this study examined a factor structure of the items and selected 44 items based on the results of factor analysis. Reliability and criterion- and construct validity were also examined. The final scale consists of four domains; basic needs (finance, housing, consumption, and future plan), work·life balance (time management, health, and stress), family relations, and social participation (social network, social interests, and community participation). This scale can be used as an assessment measure of the healthiness of lifestyle of single persons who participate in programs in Healthy and Multicultural Families Support Centers.

Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Predicting Online Peer-to-Peer(P2P) Loan Default (인공지능기법을 이용한 온라인 P2P 대출거래의 채무불이행 예측에 관한 실증연구)

  • Bae, Jae Kwon;Lee, Seung Yeon;Seo, Hee Jin
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.207-224
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    • 2018
  • In this article, an empirical study was conducted by using public dataset from Lending Club Corporation, the largest online peer-to-peer (P2P) lending in the world. We explore significant predictor variables related to P2P lending default that housing situation, length of employment, average current balance, debt-to-income ratio, loan amount, loan purpose, interest rate, public records, number of finance trades, total credit/credit limit, number of delinquent accounts, number of mortgage accounts, and number of bank card accounts are significant factors to loan funded successful on Lending Club platform. We developed online P2P lending default prediction models using discriminant analysis, logistic regression, neural networks, and decision trees (i.e., CART and C5.0) in order to predict P2P loan default. To verify the feasibility and effectiveness of P2P lending default prediction models, borrower loan data and credit data used in this study. Empirical results indicated that neural networks outperforms other classifiers such as discriminant analysis, logistic regression, CART, and C5.0. Neural networks always outperforms other classifiers in P2P loan default prediction.

A Study on the Entry Strategies of Small and Medium Sized Landscape Contractors to Vietnam by Risk Analysis in Overseas Projects (해외사업 리스크 분석을 통한 중소 조경건설업체의 베트남 진출전략에 관한 연구)

  • Tae, Jongwook;Jeong, Daeyoung;Hwang, Joon;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2018
  • The decline in the construction industry has led to a decrease the profitability of small and medium-sized landscape contractors. To relieve this situation, small and medium-sized landscape contractors have continued to proactively find ways to enter global construction markets. However, many small and medium-sized landscape contractors face risks due to their lack of capacity and insufficient preparations to extend the business abroad. Thus, this study aims to analyze the current condition of the Vietnamese construction market and the related risk factors. It then suggests strategies to improve the small and medium-sized landscape contractors' competitiveness in that market. We investigated the business climate and analyzed risk factors. Finally, we developed expansion strategies and conducted in-depth interviews with six overseas construction professionals. The study results first showed that efforts to improve infrastructure and the increased demand for housing in Vietnam will lead to more opportunities for small and medium-sized landscape contractors entering the Vietnamese construction market. However, changes in the Vietnamese business climate may act as a variable. Second, we found that small and medium-sized landscape contractors' risk factors are mainly related to laws and regulations, government finance, market fluctuations, public administration system, minimum wage increases, financing and bonds, contracting, trees and materials, and design errors. Finally, small and medium-sized landscape contractors are required to consider the following when seeking to enter the Vietnamese construction market: short-term strategy and mid-to-long-term strategy. This study will be used as the basis for small and medium-sized landscape contractors to plan to enter the Vietnamese construction market and to contribute to the expansion of the global construction market in the landscape industry.