• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hedge performance

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Systems Thinking Perspective on the Sustainable Growth Strategy of Hedge Funds Market

  • Kim, Tae-Hyun;Chung, Sam-Young;Eom, Jae-Gun
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.91-120
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    • 2016
  • This study explores hedge fund characteristics that affect hedge fund performance, namely, fund size, fund age, and performance fee. Previous studies have examined relationships between hedge fund characteristics and fund performance using singular and static thinking to report inconsistent findings without providing full understanding of the causal relationships among variables. To identify that comprehensive causal relationships between hedge fund characteristics and hedge fund performance, this research applies the system dynamics perspective, which allowed demonstration of the interactions within the overall system beyond the singular causal relationships between hedge fund characteristics and performance found in existing traditional research. This study contributes to existing literature in the following ways. First, it overcomes the limitations of singular research methodologies by looking at the integrated system of hedge fund characteristics and fund performance from a bird's eye view based on their dynamic feedback relationships. Second, policy suggestions in terms of regulation and education are presented as growth strategies for the sustainable development of the Korean hedge fund market.

Hedge Effectiveness in Won-Dollar Futures Markets (원 달러 선물시장을 이용한 헤지효과성)

  • Hong, Chung-Hyo;Moon, Gyu-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.231-253
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    • 2004
  • We examine hedge strategies that use Won-dollar futures to hedge the price risk of the Won-dollar exchange rate. We employ the naive hedge model, minimum variance hedge model and bivariate ECT-ARCH(1) model as hedge instruments, and analyze their hedge performances. The sample period covers from January 2, 2001 to December 31, 2002 with sub-samples such as daily, weekly, bi-weekly prices of the Won-dollar futures and cash. The important findings may be summarized as follows. First, there is no significant difference in hedge ratio between the risk minimum variance model and bivariate ECT-ARCH(1) model that controls for the cointegration relationship of the Won-dollar futures and cash. Second, hedge performance of the naive model and minimum variance model with constant hedge ratios is not far behind that of bivariate ECT-ARCH(1) model with time-varying hedge ratios. This results imply that investors are encouraged to use the minimum variance hedge model to hedge Won-dollar exchange rate with Won-dollar futures. Third, hedge performance and effectiveness of each model is also analyzed with respect to hedge period appear to be greater over long than over the short period. This evidence supports the hypothesis that futures prices would have more time to respond to the greater cash price changes over the longer holding period, leading to an improved hedge performance.

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A Study on the Cross Hedge Performance of KOSPI 200 Stock Index Futures (코스피 200 주가지수선물을 이용한 교차헤지 (cross-hedge))

  • Hong, Chung-Hyo;Moon, Gyu-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.243-266
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    • 2006
  • This paper tests cross hedging performance of the KOSPI 200 stock index futures to hedge the downside risk of the KOSPI, KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ50 spot market. For this purpose we introduce the minimum variance hedge model, bivariate GARCH(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1) model as hedge models. The main results are as follows; First, we find that the direct hedge performance of KOSPI 200 index futures is better than those of indirect hedge performance. second, in case or cross hedge performance the hedge effect of KOSPI 200 stock index futures market against KOSPI 200 stock index spot market is relatively better than those of KOSPI 200 index futures against KOSPI and KOSDAQ spot position. Third, for the out-sample, hedging effectiveness of the risk-minimization with constant hedge ratios is higher than those of the time varying bivariate GARCH(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1) model. In conclusion, investors are encouraged to use simple risk-minimization model rather than the time varying hedge models like GARCH and EGARCH model to hedge the position of the Korean stock index cash markets.

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An Option Hedge Strategy Using Machine Learning and Dynamic Delta Hedging (기계학습과 동적델타헤징을 이용한 옵션 헤지 전략)

  • Ru, Jae-Pil;Shin, Hyun-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.712-717
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    • 2011
  • Option issuers generally utilize Dynamic Delta Hedging(DDH) technique to avoid the risk resulting from continuously changing option value. DDH duplicates payoff of option position by adjusting hedge position according to the delta value from Black-Scholes(BS) model in order to maintain risk neutral state. DDH, however, is not able to guarantee optimal hedging performance because of the weaknesses caused by impractical assumptions inherent in BS model. Therefore, this study presents a methodology for dynamic option hedge using artificial neural network(ANN) to enhance hedging performance and show the superiority of the proposed method using various computational experiments.

GA based Fuzzy Modeling using Fuzzy Equalization and Linguistic Hedge (퍼지 균등화와 언어적인 Hedge를 이용한 GA 기반 퍼지 모델링)

  • 김승석;곽근창;유정웅;전명근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2001.12a
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    • pp.217-220
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    • 2001
  • The fuzzy equalization method does not require the usual learning step for generating fuzzy rules. However it is heavily depend on the given input-output data set. So, we adapt an hierarchical scheme which sequentially optimizes the fuzzy inference system. Here, the parameters of fuzzy membership functions obtained from the fuzzy equalization are optimized by the genetic algorithm, and then they are also modified to increase the performance index using the linguistic hedge. Finally, we applied it to the Rice taste data and got better results than previous ones.

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GA based Sequential Fuzzy Modeling Using Fuzzy Equalization and Linguistic Hedge (퍼지 균등화와 언어적 Hedge를 이용한 GA 기반 순차적 퍼지 모델링)

  • 김승석;곽근창;유정웅;전명근
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.827-832
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we propose a sequentially optimization method for fuzzy inference system using fuzzy equalization and linguistic hedge. The fuzzy equalization does not require the usual learning step for generating fuzy rules. However, it is too sensitive for the given input-output data set. So, we adopt a sequential scheme which sequentially optimizes the fuzzy inference system. Here, the parameters of fuzzy membership function obtained from the fuzzy equalization are optimized by the genetic algorithm, and then they are also modified to increase the performance index using the linguistic hedge. Finally, we applied it to rice taste data and got better results than previous ones.

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Hedging Performance Using KODEX200 ETF (KODEX200 ETF를 이용한 헤지성과)

  • Byun, Youngtae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.905-914
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we examine hedging effectiveness of KODEX200 ETF and KOSPI200 futures with respect to KOSPI200 spot or KODEX200 ETF using naive, the risk-minimization models and the VECM. The sample period covers from January 5. 2010 to October 31. 2013. Daily prices of the KOSPI200 spot, KOSPI200 futures and KODEX200 were used in this study. The results are summarized ans follows. First, this study show that there is cointegration relationship among KOSPI200 spot, futures and KODEX200 ETF market. Second, there is no significant difference in hedging performance among the models. Finally, hedged position of KOSPI200 cash(unhedged position)-KODEX200 ETF(hedge vehicle) or KODEX200 ETF-KOSPI200 futures seems to improve hedging performance compared to KOSPI200 cash-KOSPI200 futures. This implies that the portfolio managers may be encouraged to use the former than the latter.

Video Coding Method Using Visual Perception Model based on Motion Analysis (움직임 분석 기반의 시각인지 모델을 이용한 비디오 코딩 방법)

  • Oh, Hyung-Suk;Kim, Won-Ha
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.223-236
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    • 2012
  • We develop a video processing method that allows the more advanced human perception oriented video coding. The proposed method necessarily reflects all influences by the rate-distortion based optimization and the human visual perception that is affected by the visual saliency, the limited space-time resolution and the regional moving history. For reflecting the human perceptual effects, we devise an online moving pattern classifier using the Hedge algorithm. Then, we embed the existing visual saliency into the proposed moving patterns so as to establish a human visual perception model. In order to realize the proposed human visual perception model, we extend the conventional foveation filtering method. Compared to the conventional foveation filter only smoothing less stimulus video signals, the developed foveation filter can locally smooth and enhance signals according to the human visual perception without causing any artifacts. Due to signal enhancement, the developed foveation filter more efficiently transfers the bandwidth saved at smoothed signals to the enhanced signals. Performance evaluation verifies that the proposed video processing method satisfies the overall video quality, while improving the perceptual quality by 12%~44%.

Mutual Funds Trading and its Impact on Stock Prices (뮤추얼펀드의 자금흐름과 주식거래가 주가에 미치는 효과)

  • Kho, Bong-Chan;Kim, Jin-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.35-62
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the existence of the fund performance persistence and the smart money effect in Korean stock market and tests the flow-induced price pressure (FIPP) hypothesis, that is, fund flows affect individual stock returns and mutual fund performance. This paper also tests whether the FIPP effect can cause the performance persistence using the monthly returns and stock holdings data of 2,702 Korean mutual funds from January 2002 to June 2008. The empirical results indicate that the performance persistence exists significantly for a long time but the smart money effect does not. The hedge portfolio constructed by buying funds with the highest past 12 months performance and selling funds with the lowest past 12 months performance earns 0.11%~1.05% monthly abnormal returns, on average, in 3 years from portfolio formation month, but the hedge portfolio constructed by buying funds with the highest past net fund inflows and selling funds with the lowest past net fund inflows cannot earn positive monthly abnormal returns and the size of negative abnormal returns of the portfolio increase as time goes on. We find the evidence that the FIPP hypothesis is significantly supported. We first estimate the FIPP measure for each individual stock using the trading volume resulting from past fund flows and then construct the hedge portfolio by buying stocks with the highest FIPP measure and selling stocks with the lowest FIPP measure. That portfolio earns significantly positive abnormal return, 1.01% at only portfolio formation month and cannot earn significant abnormal returns after formation month. But, the FIPP effect cannot cause the performance persistence because, within the same FIPP measure group, funds with higher past performance still earn higher monthly abnormal returns than those with lower past performance by 0.08%~0.77%, on average, in 2 years. These results imply that the main cause of the performance persistence in Korean stock market is the difference of fund managers' ability rather than the FIPP effect.

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Assessments for MGARCH Models Using Back-Testing: Case Study (사후검증(Back-testing)을 통한 다변량-GARCH 모형의 평가: 사례분석)

  • Hwang, S.Y.;Choi, M.S.;Do, J.D.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.261-270
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    • 2009
  • Current financial crisis triggered by shaky U.S. banking system adds to the emphasis on the importance of the volatility in controlling and understanding financial time series data. The ARCH and GARCH models have been useful in analyzing economic time series volatilities. In particular, multivariate GARCH(MGARCH, for short) provides both volatilities and conditional correlations between several time series and these are in turn applied to computations of hedge-ratio and VaR. In this short article, we try to assess various MGARCH models with respect to the back-testing performances in VaR study. To this end, 14 korean stock prices are analyzed and it is found that MGARCH outperforms rolling window, and BEKK and CCC are relatively conservative in back-testing performance.