• Title/Summary/Keyword: Heatwave Research

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Analysis of Domestic Heatwave Research Trends (국내 폭염 연구 동향 분석)

  • Baek, Jun-Beom;Kwon, Yongseok
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.755-768
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Due to the nature of heatwave research, where research is conducted for a variety of subjects and purposes, it is important to anticipate research trends and development directions in order to improve the quality of the research. Therefore, in order to provide basic data that can suggest the current status of heatwave research and the direction of future research, we tried to examine the trends of heatwave-related research. Method: Heatwave studies published in academic journals registered with the National Research Foundation of Korea from 2011 to 2020 were analyzed by classifying them according to the research period, the purpose of the study, the research subjects and the research method. Result: The main research results are as follows. First, as interest in heatwaves increases, the number of heatwave studies also increases. Second, the purpose of heatwave research is biased and needs to be studied from various perspectives. Third, although various research subjects were used, an even study was not conducted. Fourth, under the influence of the research purpose, the bias of the research method appeared together. Conclusion: The damage caused by the heat wave is persistent and has a widespread impact. In order to manage, prevent, and respond to such heat waves as disasters, equal research should be conducted in various fields.

Large-scale Atmospheric Patterns associated with the 2018 Heatwave Prediction in the Korea-Japan Region using GloSea6

  • Jinhee Kang;Semin Yun;Jieun Wie;Sang-Min Lee;Johan Lee;Baek-Jo Kim;Byung-Kwon Moon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2024
  • In the summer of 2018, the Korea-Japan (KJ) region experienced an extremely severe and prolonged heatwave. This study examines the GloSea6 model's prediction performance for the 2018 KJ heatwave event and investigates how its prediction skill is related to large-scale circulation patterns identified by the k-means clustering method. Cluster 1 pattern is characterized by a KJ high-pressure anomaly, Cluster 2 pattern is distinguished by an Eastern European high-pressure anomaly, and Cluster 3 pattern is associated with a Pacific-Japan pattern-like anomaly. By analyzing the spatial correlation coefficients between these three identified circulation patterns and GloSea6 predictions, we assessed the contribution of each circulation pattern to the heatwave lifecycle. Our results show that the Eastern European high-pressure pattern, in particular, plays a significant role in predicting the evolution of the development and peak phases of the 2018 KJ heatwave approximately two weeks in advance. Furthermore, this study suggests that an accurate representation of large-scale atmospheric circulations in upstream regions is a key factor in seasonal forecast models for improving the predictability of extreme weather events, such as the 2018 KJ heatwave.

Impact Assessment between Heatwave and Drought Based on PLS-SEM (부분최소제곱 구조방정식(PLS-SEM)을 이용한 폭염과 가뭄의 영향평가)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Han, Jeongwoo;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2021
  • The occurrence mechanisms of heatwave have been conventionally studied at a synoptic scale. However, the implications of precedent droughts on the following up heatwave occurrences have not been elucidated and are important to address the complex causal mechanisms of heatwaves. Therefore, this study evaluated the causality and implication of the seasonally antecedent droughts to summer heatwaves that occurred for 46 years since 1974 using partial least squares-structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM). The resulting contribution of winter (spring and summer) droughts to summer heatwaves for Seoul-Gyeonggi, Gangwon, and Chungcheong provinces were 37 % (29 % and 22 %), 21 % (18 % and 29 %), and 17 % (8 % and 38 %), respectively. This is due to the regional variability of seasonal drought impacts. Furthermore, Gangwon and Chungcheong provinces, which have a higher level of impacts of summer droughts to summer heatwaves, are more likely to be exposed to the compound drought-heatwave damages compared to Seoul-Gyeonggi province, which has relatively a low-level impact of summer drought.

Evaluation of Long-Term Seasonal Predictability of Heatwave over South Korea Using PNU CGCM-WRF Chain (PNU CGCM-WRF Chain을 이용한 남한 지역 폭염 장기 계절 예측성 평가)

  • Kim, Young-Hyun;Kim, Eung-Sup;Choi, Myeong-Ju;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.671-687
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    • 2019
  • This study evaluates the long-term seasonal predictability of summer (June, July and August) heatwaves over South Korea using 30-year (1989~2018) Hindcast data of the Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM)-Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) chain. Heatwave indices such as Number of Heatwave days (HWD), Heatwave Intensity (HWI) and Heatwave Warning (HWW) are used to explore the long-term seasonal predictability of heatwaves. The prediction skills for HWD, HWI, and HWW are evaluated in terms of the Temporal Correlation Coefficient (TCC), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Skill Scores such as Heidke Skill Score (HSS) and Hit Rate (HR). The spatial distributions of daily maximum temperature simulated by WRF are similar overall to those simulated by NCEP-R2 and PNU CGCM. The WRF tends to underestimate the daily maximum temperature than observation because the lateral boundary condition of WRF is PNU CGCM. According to TCC, RMSE and Skill Score, the predictability of daily maximum temperature is higher in the predictions that start from the February and April initial condition. However, the PNU CGCM-WRF chain tends to overestimate HWD, HWI and HWW compared to observations. The TCCs for heatwave indices range from 0.02 to 0.31. The RMSE, HR and HSS values are in the range of 7.73 to 8.73, 0.01 to 0.09 and 0.34 to 0.39, respectively. In general, the prediction skill of the PNU CGCM-WRF chain for heatwave indices is highest in the predictions that start from the February and April initial condition and is lower in the predictions that start from January and March. According to TCC, RMSE and Skill Score, the predictability is more influenced by lead time than by the effects of topography and/or terrain feature because both HSS and HR varies in different leads over the whole region of South Korea.

Development and Assessment of LSTM Model for Correcting Underestimation of Water Temperature in Korean Marine Heatwave Prediction System (한반도 고수온 예측 시스템의 수온 과소모의 보정을 위한 LSTM 모델 구축 및 예측성 평가)

  • NA KYOUNG IM;HYUNKEUN JIN;GYUNDO PAK;YOUNG-GYU PARK;KYEONG OK KIM;YONGHAN CHOI;YOUNG HO KIM
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2024
  • The ocean heatwave is emerging as a major issue due to global warming, posing a direct threat to marine ecosystems and humanity through decreased food resources and reduced carbon absorption capacity of the oceans. Consequently, the prediction of ocean heatwaves in the vicinity of the Korean Peninsula is becoming increasingly important for marine environmental monitoring and management. In this study, an LSTM model was developed to improve the underestimated prediction of ocean heatwaves caused by the coarse vertical grid system of the Korean Peninsula Ocean Prediction System. Based on the results of ocean heatwave predictions for the Korean Peninsula conducted in 2023, as well as those generated by the LSTM model, the performance of heatwave predictions in the East Sea, Yellow Sea, and South Sea areas surrounding the Korean Peninsula was evaluated. The LSTM model developed in this study significantly improved the prediction performance of sea surface temperatures during periods of temperature increase in all three regions. However, its effectiveness in improving prediction performance during periods of temperature decrease or before temperature rise initiation was limited. This demonstrates the potential of the LSTM model to address the underestimated prediction of ocean heatwaves caused by the coarse vertical grid system during periods of enhanced stratification. It is anticipated that the utility of data-driven artificial intelligence models will expand in the future to improve the prediction performance of dynamical models or even replace them.

Heatwave Vulnerability Analysis of Construction Sites Using Satellite Imagery Data and Deep Learning (인공위성영상과 딥러닝을 이용한 건설공사현장 폭염취약지역 분석)

  • Kim, Seulgi;Park, Seunghee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2022
  • As a result of climate change, the heatwave and urban heat island phenomena have become more common, and the frequency of heatwaves is expected to increase by two to six times by the year 2050. In particular, the heat sensation index felt by workers at construction sites during a heatwave is very high, and the sensation index becomes even higher if the urban heat island phenomenon is considered. The construction site environment and the situations of construction workers vulnerable to heat are not improving, and it is now imperative to respond effectively to reduce such damage. In this study, satellite imagery, land surface temperatures (LST), and long short-term memory (LSTM) were applied to analyze areas above 33 ℃, with the most vulnerable areas with increased synergistic damage from heat waves and the urban heat island phenomena then predicted. It is expected that the prediction results will ensure the safety of construction workers and will serve as the basis for a construction site early-warning system.

Model Design and Demonstration Test for the Verification of Temperature Reduction Effect of Cooling Fog System with Stainless Steel (스테인리스 쿨링포그의 온도저감효과 검증을 위한 모델설계 및 실증 실험)

  • Kim, Jaekyoung;Kang, Junsuk;Kim, Hoijin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.683-689
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    • 2020
  • According to a NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies report, temperatures have risen by approximately 1℃ so far, based on temperatures recorded in 1880. The 2003 heatwave in Europe affected approximately 35,000 people across Europe. In this study, a cooling fog, which is used in smart cities, was designed to efficiently reduce the temperature during a heatwave and its pilot test results were interpreted. A model experiment of the cooling fog was conducted using a chamber, in which nano mist spray instruments and spray nozzles were installed. The designed cooling fog chamber model showed a temperature reduction of up to 13.8℃ for artificial pavement and up to 8.0℃ for green surfaces. However, this model was limited by constant wind speed in the experiment. Moreover, if the cooling fog is used when the wind speed is more than 3m/s in the active green zone, the temperature reduction felt by humans is expected to be even greater. As a second study, the effect of cooling fog on temperature reduction was analyzed by installing a pilot test inside the Land Housing Institute (LHI). The data gathered in this research can be useful for the study of heat reduction techniques in urban areas.

Tank colours do not change the effects of extreme temperatures on the productive parameters, but skeletal deformities of golden trevally

  • Van Manh Ngo;Khuong V. Dinh;Bich Lien Chau;Diep Minh Luc
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.26 no.8
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    • pp.461-469
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    • 2023
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate how the tank colours may change the effects of extreme temperature on the survival, growth, and quality of juvenile golden trevally (Gnathanodon speciosus). The experiment was set up with fifteen treatments of five tank colours (blue, red, yellow, grey, and white) and three temperatures (30℃, 32℃, 34℃) with three replications. Fish performance was assessed for four weeks. The results showed that tank colours and elevated temperatures affected the quality of golden trevally juveniles. The survival and growth rate of fish tend to decrease gradually, but the deformation rate of fish tended to increase in the order of tank colours: red, yellow > grey, blue, and white. The growth and survival rate of fish gradually decreased when the rearing temperature increased from 30℃ to 34℃ and this effect was independent of tank colors. Importantly, the deformation rate increased under elevated temperature, particularly in blue and white tanks with potential long-term effects. It is, therefore, not recommended to use blue and white tanks for rearing the golden trevally juveniles, particularly during extremely high temperatures from heatwave events.

Municipal Disease Burden Attributable to Heat Wave (기초자치단체의 폭염으로 인한 온열 및 심뇌혈관질환 부담)

  • Lee, Suehyung;Shin, Hosung
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: The objective of study was to calculate the municipal level environmental burden of disease (EBD) due to heat wave. Methods: The data used were Korea National Health Insurance 2011 claim data and 2011 death registry. Heatwave related diseases included hypertensive heart diseases, ischemic heart diseases, cerebrovascular disease, and heat related illness. According to the method that WHO proposed, the study computed population-attributable fraction with relative risk which come from previous study and proportion of exposure which the study calculated with historical meteorology data. Results: The Average of 251 municipal EBD was 2.11 per thousand persons. The value of years lost due to disability was 11 times higher than that of years of life lost. On average EBD of county and southern geographical areas tended to be higher than those of District or city areas. The relationship between municipal deprivation index (composite deprivation index) and EBD showed the positive association, which means that the worse deprived municipal is, the higher EBD takes. Conclusions: Climate change is getting one of the major risk factors of cardio-cerebrovascular disease, which is the second leading cause of death. The study results suggested the urgent policy planning and reaction of climate change adaptation.

Haptic AR Sports Technologies for Indoor Virtual Matches (실내 가상 경기를 위한 햅틱 AR 스포츠 기술)

  • Kim, J.S.;Jang, S.H.;Yang, S.I.;Yoon, M.S.
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.92-102
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    • 2021
  • Outdoor sports activities have been restricted by serious air pollution, such as fine dust and yellow dust, and abnormal meteorological change, such as heatwave and heavy snow. These environmental problems have rapidly increased the demand for indoor sports activities. Virtual sports, such as virtual golf, virtual baseball, virtual soccer, etc., allow playing various sports games without going outdoors. Indoor sports industries and markets have seen rapid growth since the advent of virtual sports. Most virtual sports platforms use screen-based virtual reality techniques, which are why they are called screen sports. However, these platforms cannot support various sports games, especially virtual match games, such as squash, boxing, and so on, because existing screen-based virtual reality sports techniques use real balls and players. This article presents screen-based haptic-augmented reality technologies for a new virtual sports platform. The new platform does not use real balls and players to solve the limitations of previous platforms. Here, various technologies, including human motion tracking, human action recognition, haptic feedback, screen-based augmented-reality systems, and augmented-reality sports content, are unified for the new virtual sports platform. From these haptic-augmented reality technologies, the proposed platform supports sports games, including indoor virtual matches, that existing virtual sports platforms cannot support.