• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard prediction

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Prediction Method of Rebar Corrosion Level Using Infrared Thermographic Data according to Increasing Rate of Early Temperature (적외선 열화상 데이터를 이용한 초기온도 상승률에 따른 철근의 부식률 예측 기법)

  • Yun, Ju-Young;Paik, In-Kwan;Cho, Seung-Ho;Roh, Young-Sook;Chung, Lan
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.425-428
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    • 2007
  • In order to measure corrosion level of reinforcement rebar which is inside reinforced concrete structure, infrared thermographic technique was employed. Experimental test parameters were ambient temperatures, various levels of corrosion states. After analysis of temperature distributions of concrete surface, the amount of heat flux from the concrete surface is directly proportional to the corrosion level which is inside of concrete.

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Numerical Prediction of the Heat and Smoke Propagations for a Passenger Train Fire in an Underground Subway Tunnel for Different Extraction Flowrate (지하철 터널 내 운행 중 객차에서 화재발생시 제연풍량에 따른 열 및 연기 확산 예측 연구)

  • Chang, Hee-Chul;Yoon, Kyung-Beom;Park, Lee-Jin;Kim, Tae-Kuk;Park, Won-Hee;Kim, Dong-Hyeon
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.250-253
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this research is focussed on the numerical predictions of the heat and smoke propagations for a passenger train fire in an underground subway tunnel for different air supply and extraction flowrates. The analysis is performed for one of the stations on subway line #5 in Seoul under the emergency operation mode for different air supply and extraction flowrates. Five different the air supply and extraction flowrates are considered for the numerical analyses. The numerical results show that the air supply and extraction flowrates affect the smoke control performance significantly by improving the smoke removal performance for the balanced control of air supply and smoke extraction and for the unbalanced control with lager smoke extraction than air supply.

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APPLICATION OF LOGISTIC REGRESSION MODEL AND ITS VALIDATION FOR LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITY MAPPING USING GIS AND REMOTE SENSING DATA AT PENANG, MALAYSIA

  • LEE SARO
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.310-313
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this study is to evaluate the hazard of landslides at Penang, Malaysia, using a Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing. Landslide locations were identified in the study area from interpretation of aerial photographs and from field surveys. Topographical and geological data and satellite images were collected, processed, and constructed into a spatial database using GIS and image processing. The factors chosen that influence landslide occurrence were: topographic slope, topographic aspect, topographic curvature and distance from drainage, all from the topographic database; lithology and distance from lineament, taken from the geologic database; land use from TM satellite images; and the vegetation index value from SPOT satellite images. Landslide hazardous area were analysed and mapped using the landslide-occurrence factors by logistic regression model. The results of the analysis were verified using the landslide location data and compared with probabilistic model. The validation results showed that the logistic regression model is better prediction accuracy than probabilistic model.

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Establishment of Korea Integrated Seismic System (KISS) (통합 지진네트워크 구축)

  • 이희일;지헌철;임인섭;조창수;류용규
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2002.09a
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2002
  • The four agencies in Korea - KMA, KIGAM, KEPRI, and KINS - have been operating their own seismic network for many years. In this study we have developed an integrated seismic system named KISS (Korea Integrated Seismic System), which is very similar to LISS (Live Internet Seismic Server) of Albuquerque Seismological Laboratory. Through KISS we could share all the earthquake data observed by those organizations in near real time. This research result will lead to provide the opportunity to use all seismic information of the earthquakes around Korean peninsula. And KISS will make us enable to do systematic researches, such as study on focal mechanisms of earthquakes around Korean peninsula, seismic design, earthquake prediction, etc. KISS will be used in developing an Early Earthquake Warning System like TriNet in Southern California, USA so as to minimize seismic hazard.

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The Statistical Analysis of Operating Life Characteristic on Poler Transformers(I) (전력용 변압기 운전수명 특성의 통계적 분석(I))

  • Kang, Dong-Sik;Kim, Kwang-Hwa;Kweon, Dong-Jin;Kim, Moon-Duk
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1996.07c
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    • pp.1885-1887
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    • 1996
  • Power transformers are the most important facilities in the substation of electrical power, yet they do not have the efficient operating life characteristics which are the important elements of repairing and maintenance in regional conditions. This paper describes the statistical analysis of operating conditions and troubles on transformers for the operating life assessment using Statistical Analysis System programs, Hazard method and Weibull distributions. We analyze transformers in several methods, and compares correlation relationship of operating life and troubles. Therefore, this study will be the useful basic operating life prediction technique of power transformers in the future.

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A Study on transverse Behavior of Lifeline System Due to Liquefaction-induced Permanent Ground Displacement (액상화 영구지반변형에 의한 라이프라인 구조물의 횡방향 거동에 관한 연구)

  • 김문겸
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.369-376
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of the present study is to analyze the response of pipelines subjected to liquefaction-induced permanent ground displacement and to discuss the failure prediction of domestic waterway pipelines. Initially here, characteristics of liquefaction are reviewed and then permanent ground displacement is investigated base on previous earthquake hazard cases. Next, considering the distribution of the transverse permanent ground displacement and equivalent spring constant effect, formulas obtained by a beam theory are established to analyze continuous pipelines. This analysis was performed without consideration of axial effects. So the finite element analysis was used in order to consider the axial stiffness of soil. As a result, degree of liquefaction, width of deformed ground and axial stiffness are crucial points for evaluation the failure of pipelines subjected to permanent ground displacement.

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Connection method on pre-installed bridge monitoring system for bridge structure safety network (교량시설물 안전관리 네트워크 구축을 위한 기존 시스템 연계방안 연구)

  • Park, Ki-Tae;Lee, Woo-Sang;Joo, Bong-Chul;Hwang, Yoon-Koog
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.469-472
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    • 2008
  • In general, structures in service gradually lose original performance according to time due to initial defects in design and construction, or exposure to unfavorable external conditions such as repeated loading or deteriorating environment, and in extreme cases, may collapse in large disaster. Therefore, in order to maintain the serviceability of structures at optimal level, advanced structure measuring system which can inform optimal time point and method of maintenance is required in addition to accurate prediction of residual life the structure by periodic inspection. To guarantee the safety level of bridge structure and to prevent from disaster, the integration of safety network for bridge structures are needed. Therefore in this study, to enhance the effectiveness of safety network for bridge, the connection methodologies between safety network and pre-installed bridge monitoring system are investigated.

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The prediction of maximum wave height for virtual tsunami in the eastern coast of the Korea (가상 지진해일에 의한 동해안에서의 피해 예측)

  • Sim, Ju-Yeol;Choi, Moon-Kyu;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.229-232
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    • 2008
  • The Central East Sea Tsunami caused huge damage to the eastern coast of the Korean Peninsula, eapecially Imwon port was damaged relatively strongly beacause of water depth variation which makes the wave concentration on this port. there are many virtual tsunami in east sea which has a possibility of happening. So, it is very important to expect the region which may be damaged by vritual tsunmis. In this study, modified dispersion-correction terms are used. The modified scheme has the advantage of using the constant spatial grid size and time step size even in real topography. Dynamic linking technique and staggered grid system are used. Using this model some cases of virtual tsunami was simulated and check the region which is occured maximum wave heights on the eastern sea of the Korean peninsula.

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FEM Analysis for the Prediction of Void Closure On the Open Die Forging Process (자유단조공정에서 기공폐쇄 예측을 위한 유한요소해석)

  • Min, K.Y.;Lim, S.J.;Choi, H.J.;Choi, S.;Park, Y.B.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.71-74
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    • 2008
  • In order to resolve the problems which appear after the clean large ingot production process, the impurities which are involved in the steel smelting process should be removed by developing cleaner materials. Through the rationalization of cogging process that is the first forging process of large ingot the quality is to be improved. For the sake of the optimization of an open die forging process and the improvement of the subject matter frequency ratio, a hazard precise die forging process must be developed and a Near Net Shape Forming accomplished. As a result, energy can be reduced by minimizing an after control process. In order to produce large axes and other forming parts, processing techniques are to be developed. In this context, this paper is a study about a reduction ratio, dies width ratio and rotary angles, the amount of overlap, and intends to analysis cogging processes, utilizing Deform-3D cogging module

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Integrated Model for Assessment of Risks in Rail Tracks under Various Operating Conditions

  • G. Chattopadhyay;V. Reddy;Larsson, P-O
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.183-190
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    • 2003
  • Rail breaks and derailments can cause a huge loss to rail players due to loss of service, revenue, property or even life. Maintenance has huge impact on reliability and safety of railroads. It is important to identify factors behind rail degradation and their risks associated with rail breaks and derailments. Development of mathematical models is essential for prediction and prevention of risks due to rail and wheel set damages, rail breaks and derailments. This paper addresses identification of hazard modes, estimation of probability of those hazards under operating, curve and environmental condition, probability of detection of potential hazards before happening and severity of those hazards for informed strategic decisions. Emphasis is put on optimal maintenance and operational decisions. Real life data is used for illustration.

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